K1052
Elite Member
- Aug 21, 2003
- 46,646
- 34,469
- 136
I'm going to disagree. It is an interesting problem; in order to get support from the USA; Trump cannot be elected; and increase in oil prices increases the chance of Trump being elected. USA is one of Ukraine largest supporter in terms of weapons.
-
Now having said that I'm not sure if Ukraine is better off destroying those refineries or waiting till after the election - after all they are falling into a pretty desperate position while Johnson holds up aide. I.e, I'm not saying that they should stop destroying the refineries but they might be better off long term if they did - hard to predict the future.
Russia has throughout the war periodically banned exports of gasoline and diesel fuel sometimes for extended periods of time so the market was already disrupted. They have not been prevented from exporting crude nor have the facilities required to do so been struck by Ukraine despite their obvious ability. Rising oil prices are mostly due to continued OPEC cuts, the conflict in the Middle East, and seasonality.