Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Timorous

Golden Member
Oct 27, 2008
1,727
3,152
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The slides AMD shared had a lot of MT workloads in the 16% claim but the gaming slides are already indicating a larger gain than that IPC figure. They put Zen5 a tiny bit ahead of the Zen4 X3D which indicates a ~25% performance uplift in gaming.

Immediately something does not mesh so with that in mind I am waiting for Anandtech to do the SPECint 2017 1T tests to work out the IPC uplift in that benchmark. If it is less than 32% then adroc/Kepler were unambiguously wrong, if it matches or exceeds they were correct.

Given the gaming uplifts it suggests the 1T IPC uplift is greater than nT which is something that adroc has said.

Also, AMD sandbagged hard with Zen4. Pre reviews it was looking like it would be a lot slower than Z poen3X3D in gaming but it was actually on par and is now frequently ahead by a small margin.

So a long way of saying wait for benchmarks if you want definitive answers. In the interim just have fun, there is no need to lash out at people, it is just a tech thread, it is not that serious.
 

JustViewing

Member
Aug 17, 2022
163
274
96
not really , its called analysis of data points.

like it really is either AMD completely messed this core up ( i would argue more then bulldozer ( and i would be right ) ) or the extrapolations people are doing are largely correct.

it really comes down to , do your believe the single phrase single data point on a slide , or the foot note that contradicts that slide plus all the other data points that contradict that slide.
Why it is AMD's fault when the performance doesn't meet some random forum user's expectation/fantacy ?
 

Timorous

Golden Member
Oct 27, 2008
1,727
3,152
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Why it is AMD's fault when the performance doesn't meet some random forum user's expectation/fantacy ?

If 16% is accurate for 1T workloads as well then AMD have gained less than Intel from the same kind of changes. That would not be great, especially with ARM based architectures showing good gains.
 

Mahboi

Senior member
Apr 4, 2024
741
1,316
96
Some people just never learn. They can't be taught.
I was actually thinking about Liam Neeson after yesterday...
View attachment 100784
Perhaps I chose the wrong movie to parody. Leakerman Begins might've been the right call.
(Why do we Hype, Bruce? So we can not learn and Hype up again)
What matters is the actual result. And there seems more to the 16% figure.
Absolutely, that 16% number, power draw change on Granite Ridge and several little things don't make much sense. My headcannon is that AMD did their usual penny pinching thing and instead of coming out with a large core that would smash the competition, they went for something cheaper that aimed at great power efficiency. That puts everything Kepler/Adroc put as dead wrong, but I don't think they would just randomly throw >40% improvement for kicks. So for me the guesswork is where will we land between 16% and 30% with GNR.

Also I worded it wrong, speculate all you like, but why is it impossible for some to not act like they know the truth of things from random geekbench leaks that will be disproven within 24 hours?
I just wish people were less narrow minded and stopped acting like they knew things when they clearly are only guessing. It's this attitude that is getting toxic as heck, because you have this arms race of Proofs™ that end up being 100% wrong and everyone takes a -40 IQ debuff for 3 months every time.

Just chill, remember that guessing is guessing, and wait for reviews instead of jumping into hype trains like you're lumps of coal rushing to get burned.
 

Mahboi

Senior member
Apr 4, 2024
741
1,316
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Why it is AMD's fault when the performance doesn't meet some random forum user's expectation/fantacy ?
Because if you completely ignore the leakers, Zen 5 is still a breaking point in Zen's history.
Zen 1 was a beta, Zen 2 was the "real" Zen, Zen 3 was a highly efficient rework, Zen 4 mostly a shrink and tweak.

I/O, core, and general design, Zen has more or less been a highly stable thing. Zen 2->3->4 is more about refinement than real change.
Zen 5 was the moment where it made sense to really revamp the design for the next 2-3 generations. Zen 6 will be a tick, and there's no news yet on Zen 7.

It's not as if Zen 5 NEEDED to be massive, but it was the occasion to get a huge leap ahead.
Instead, it is apparently just a small change, the core gives 16% better according to AMD, and there's not much surprise.
It's really not about the leakers, but about what Zen's doing. Skymont is breathing down its neck now, just like Zen 2 did back in the day.

And again, it's WEIRD, just plainly weird, that it was shipped with 105W marked on the manifest but now ends up being 65W. I'm all for power efficiency and whatnot, but it feels like the target changed. Like AMD took in the backlash from the Zen 4 95°C limit and power draw getting much higher (and still didn't beat Intel fully), and decided to play different cards. Except that manifest was 40 days ago and the announced power was like 5 days ago.
So:
- did AMD bork the arch and it has some RDNA 3 type of problem where it would use way too much power to get its max IPC?
- did they make a Zen 3 Redux where the changes are small AGAIN and Zen 5 just is another case of AMD dodging risk and taking baby steps?
- is there a large discrepancy between the announced IPC number and actual Zen 5 (but why would they sandbag now?)
- other?

There's so many questions...but I don't think we'll know until the delid happens, the core gets shot, and we get 3rd party reviews.
Anything before that is just more noise from hypers and doomers.
 

B-Riz

Golden Member
Feb 15, 2011
1,530
676
136
The slides AMD shared had a lot of MT workloads in the 16% claim but the gaming slides are already indicating a larger gain than that IPC figure. They put Zen5 a tiny bit ahead of the Zen4 X3D which indicates a ~25% performance uplift in gaming.

Immediately something does not mesh so with that in mind I am waiting for Anandtech to do the SPECint 2017 1T tests to work out the IPC uplift in that benchmark. If it is less than 32% then adroc/Kepler were unambiguously wrong, if it matches or exceeds they were correct.

Given the gaming uplifts it suggests the 1T IPC uplift is greater than nT which is something that adroc has said.

Also, AMD sandbagged hard with Zen4. Pre reviews it was looking like it would be a lot slower than Z poen3X3D in gaming but it was actually on par and is now frequently ahead by a small margin.

So a long way of saying wait for benchmarks if you want definitive answers. In the interim just have fun, there is no need to lash out at people, it is just a tech thread, it is not that serious.

Has anyone floated the idea that M$ derailed everyone this expo with the NPU AI BS that, from all I can find, will make my video call background fuzzy but not use the GPU. I see no killer app for the "glorious NPU" :|


The neural processing unit (NPU) of a device has architecture that simulates a human brain’s neural network. Learn how it pairs with AI and provides you with powerful advantages in this new era.

It processes large amounts of data in parallel, performing trillions of operations per second.

It uses less power and is far more efficient at AI tasks than a CPU or GPU.

It excels at AI tasks and frees your CPU and GPU up for other tasks. Combining an NPU with machine learning gives you a powerful combo.

It provides lightning-fast, high-bandwidth AI in real time—a great advantage for using voice commands, creating images quickly, and more.

It helps you work fast and be more creative.


So AMD threw something together for Zen5, but it fell second fiddle to appease M$.

AND

If they truly said how good Zen5 was vs 3 and 4, sales slow down because people are waiting?
OR
True performance results are really a mixed bag depending on workload (no regressions, but some tasks have bigger gains than others), but performance per watt is still a nice improvement over Zen4?
 
Reactions: lightmanek
Jul 27, 2020
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Except that manifest was 40 days ago and the announced power was like 5 days ago.
AMD did make the Ryzen AI model number last minute change too so they've been adapting, hopefully for better success. I think they've worked too hard for Zen 5 to get lambasted in reviews for something like 95C max temp, when Intel TJmax is 100C and their laptop chips almost always throttle, especially the H and HX ones. Guess this time they want to project an image of cooler running chips.
 

DAPUNISHER

Super Moderator CPU Forum Mod and Elite Member
Super Moderator
Aug 22, 2001
28,816
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I see I missed the party. Rules violations have been delt with. Some of the infighting removed.

1. Stay on topic.

2. first rule of fight club/CPU forum - attack the post not the poster. Personal attacks include member callouts, they are not allowed. You can shoutout to someone as that is a positive thing.

3. No thread crapping


4. No trolling vendor threads by bashing and trashing that vendor (in this case AMD) in a thread dedicated to them.

Learn it. Know it. Live it. Or ban bingo spaces will get filled in.

Mod DAPUNISHER
 

branch_suggestion

Senior member
Aug 4, 2023
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Reactions: Elfear

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
18,393
4,963
136
Yeah. It’s just fanobyism. Same thing happened with Intel, people for years said 4 cores is all you need. Then Zen came out and suddenly 8, 12, 16 cores became desired.

After 16 and Zen 2, the only higher core parts are thousands of dollars, nevermind more expensive mobos.

Same thing for higher bandwidth. We’ve been stuck on dual channel forever.

AMD, it turns out, likes to make money just as much as Intel and Nvidia.
Most of the tasks most users do are still lightly threaded and not bandwidth limited.

IPC + Increased clock frequency is still the most important.
 

poke01

Golden Member
Mar 8, 2022
1,395
1,611
106
most useless benchmark but here is another datapoint.


13% faster than 7945hs in cpu-Z
 
Reactions: lightmanek

CouncilorIrissa

Senior member
Jul 28, 2023
302
1,051
96
most useless benchmark but here is another datapoint.

This particular ES has been doing rounds lately. I'm interested in how high it clocks.
 
Reactions: lightmanek

inf64

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2011
3,764
4,222
136
most useless benchmark but here is another datapoint.


13% faster than 7945hs in cpu-Z
I think it's VS 7940H, and if the clocks are 5.2Ghz for Zen 4 vs 5.1Ghz for Zen 5, the Cpuz 1T is around 15% better per clock. Not bad, given the fact that Zen 4 had it in the IPC mix from AMD with only 1% (vs Zen 3) and still managed to pull 11% in SpecINT.
 

stayfrosty

Junior Member
Apr 4, 2024
4
27
51
I downloaded the source video from bilibili (because the quality in the player is horrible for me) and reuploaded it to youtube:


I don't know how reliable task manager clocks are, but multi seems to run at 3.7ghz?




EDIT: Also the GB6 score at the start of the video is this one: https://browser.geekbench.com/v6/cpu/6420909
matches the eng sample name as well so that geekbench score should be legit.
 
Last edited:

CouncilorIrissa

Senior member
Jul 28, 2023
302
1,051
96
I downloaded the source video from bilibili (because the quality in the player is horrible for me) and reuploaded it to youtube:


I don't know how reliable task manager clocks are, but multi seems to run at 3.7ghz?

View attachment 100794


EDIT: Also the GB6 score at the start of the video is this one: https://browser.geekbench.com/v6/cpu/6420909
matches the eng sample name as well so that geekbench score should be legit.
So it boosts up to 4.4 under ST workload if I see it correctly? That's a pretty good score for 4.4 GHz
 
Reactions: lightmanek
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