Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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I presume that's no clock increase on desktop, but if the efficiency increases are there then might the large server chips might get a huge increase in guaranteed all core base clock?

That would explain the big uplifts rumours we got if they came from hyperscalers. Great for DC too I would imagine. Not that great for desktop though.
Will be good for those that primarily are interested in max MT perf on DT though.
 
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poke01

Golden Member
Mar 8, 2022
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Company's performance is tied to abilities of engineers working in it, and they come and go. Saying that the current issues are the same as those of 15 or more years ago is just silly, as it's the same company in name only.
Now, this somehow doesn’t work with Nvidia. That guy always manages to still hire and retain excellent engineers. Even if some great ones leave, later on other great engineers join.

Looking at the their performance since 2016 and it sure looks like they’re the only company that’s hasn’t slowed down.
 

poke01

Golden Member
Mar 8, 2022
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If we compare Apple M4 to M1, the difference is nearly 8% on the same clock in Geekbench 5 (149.3% * 3.19 / 4.4 - 100% = 8.2%, link to results). If we use SPEC 2017, the IPC difference will be nearly the same (~11%), according to Geekerwan.

That's what we have for 4 years. Yes, increasing clocks from 3.2 to 4.5 GHz is also not an easy task by any means, but, as a result, a P-core in M4 consumes more than twice as much power as the one in M1.

In the case of AMD, we expect nearly 25-30% IPC improvement for Zen 3 -> Zen 5 with the increased clock speeds for the same period (2020 -> 2024).
Look I didnt compare the last 4 years. I compared. i compared Zen 4 to Zen 5 and M3 -> M4. Both companies gen on gen in the last year.

In which case Apple comes out on top. You make it seem that the M4 is a power guzzler, it’s not. Intel and AMD use so much more than Apple. You don’t seem to get the lead Apple has in IPC.

It’s a massive one. One that AMD would have quickly put to bed if that claim of 32-40% increase was true.
 
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DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
1,684
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People who lived through the hype cycles of K9, Barcelona, Sandtiger, Bulldozer (and, of course, Tunnelborer), or K12 know this.
To be fair, AMD did not hype Zen 5 performance to the moon. Leakers who believe they know more than anybody else about what future products would be like created this narrative.
And YouTube clowns like RGT just ran with it seeing click opportunities.

"The best is yet to come" etc. are just optimistic statements which they don't repeat everywhere.
 
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Nothingness

Platinum Member
Jul 3, 2013
2,722
1,357
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Someone clone Keller and GWIII.
Not all CPU talents are famous or want to be famous.

But yeah, recruiting good CPU designers definitely is not easy. It's an area where you can't accept mediocre people that will hinder the work of others. You can still hire young engineers as long as they are fast learners and show creativity, but even that is a resource in short supply.
 

CakeMonster

Golden Member
Nov 22, 2012
1,426
530
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You won't have that issue if they put 3D V-cache on both chiplets, as rumored.
I hope so, but rumors are all over the place, so I'm just going by what they said regarding Z4, which was that they had reviewed the alternatives and found that it didn't make sense to them then. Safest assumption would be that that still applies for Z5.
 

Jan Olšan

Senior member
Jan 12, 2017
310
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if true, Apple got an avg improvement of 7% in 7 months and achieved more than AMD did in 22 months. This makes M4 look very good.

This is embarrassing. Like I think it’s fair to say AMD lost talent. I mean it looks like it. The cadence slowed down as well after Zen 3.
It was not in 7 months. It was developed for several years as always.
What clearly happened is that M3 was pushed back a lot due to process delay, almost to the point where M4 was ready. There was originally going to be much shorter gap between the M1 and M3 architecture and thus larger gap between what is now M3 and M4, that's all.
That's pretty clear given how Apple went three years without a new performance core before that. There's roughly 4 years between M1 and M4, so it was clearly intended to be closer to ~2 years spacing between new architecture originally. And both of those new uarchs (M3, M4) show single-percent IPC uplift.

Those 18-24months gaps are pretty much what AMD does, and the IPC, well. Apple owes the lion's share of their success after M1 to clock speeds chasing, which may be that effect of starting from low level, but also having the tailwind of being the richest kid on the block with most reckless customers so they can afford the node upgrade goodies 1-2 years before the rest.
 

poke01

Golden Member
Mar 8, 2022
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It was not in 7 months. It was developed for several years as always.
What clearly happened is that M3 was pushed back a lot due to process delay, almost to the point where M4 was ready. There was originally going to be much shorter gap between the M1 and M3 architecture and thus larger gap between what is now M3 and M4, that's all.
That's pretty clear given how Apple went three years without a new performance core before that. There's roughly 4 years between M1 and M4, so it was clearly intended to be closer to ~2 years spacing between new architecture originally. And both of those new uarchs (M3, M4) show single-percent IPC uplift.

Those 18-24months gaps are pretty much what AMD does, and the IPC, well. Apple owes the lion's share of their success after M1 to clock speeds chasing, which may be that effect of starting from low level, but also having the tailwind of being the richest kid on the block with most reckless customers so they can afford the node upgrade goodies 1-2 years before the rest.
I agree that Apple have slowed down too but so did AMD by the looks of it.
 

Geddagod

Golden Member
Dec 28, 2021
1,202
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To be fair, AMD did not hype Zen 5 performance to the moon. Leakers who believe they know more than anybody else about what future products would be like created this narrative.
And YouTube clowns like RGT just ran with it seeing click opportunities.

"The best is yet to come" etc. are just optimistic statements which they don't repeat everywhere.
 

techjunkie123

Junior Member
May 1, 2024
10
26
46
Sooo....we went from +40% to +32% to +16% and now closer to +10%. Ooooff. Performance seems to not be exciting.

The only exciting aspect for consumers now may be power efficiency. But given that AMD didn't say anything concrete about that, maybe it's not actually much better either...

I am hoping to be wrong when strix releases, but I think I'm just on hopium at this point because I was looking forward to upgrade from Rembrandt.
 

Geddagod

Golden Member
Dec 28, 2021
1,202
1,166
106
Sooo....we went from +40% to +32% to +16% and now closer to +10%. Ooooff. Performance seems to not be exciting.

The only exciting aspect for consumers now may be power efficiency. But given that AMD didn't say anything concrete about that, maybe it's not actually much better either...

I am hoping to be wrong when strix releases, but I think I'm just on hopium at this point because I was looking forward to upgrade from Rembrandt.
I thought rembrandt was extremely based. Good battery life, and pretty good perf/watt. I'm looking to upgrade from my 12900h asus m16 because charging between classes is now getting kind of a pain.... and I don't think ADL was all that competitive in battery life even when it released, IIRC, lol.
Given Strix has 12C tho, if anyone runs intensive nT workloads often, I expect it to be a big upgrade over Phoenix regardless of arch, from the sheer 50% core count increase alone.
 

lightmanek

Senior member
Feb 19, 2017
399
798
136
To be fair, AMD did not hype Zen 5 performance to the moon. Leakers who believe they know more than anybody else about what future products would be like created this narrative.
And YouTube clowns like RGT just ran with it seeing click opportunities.

"The best is yet to come" etc. are just optimistic statements which they don't repeat everywhere.

I remember watching interview with either Keller or Mike Clark few years back, in which one of them stated that new architecture does not mean major jump in performance, it means reworking things to not regress too much, but open new possibilities and options of improving no longer possible on older, fully developed architecture.
Already back then it was indicated that normal IPC jump is what they aim for in general.
If I find that quote I will link it here.
 

FlameTail

Diamond Member
Dec 15, 2021
3,145
1,792
106
I remember watching interview with either Keller or Mike Clark few years back, in which one of them stated that new architecture does not mean major jump in performance, it means reworking things to not regress too much, but open new possibilities and options of improving no longer possible on older, fully developed architecture.
Already back then it was indicated that normal IPC jump is what they aim for in general.
If I find that quote I will link it here.
Taking one step back, to jump two steps forward!
 

Geddagod

Golden Member
Dec 28, 2021
1,202
1,166
106
If we wait some days more we will get -20% /s
Ye, when reviews come out 🤣
I'm kidding (since that apparently needs to be a disclaimer now)
I remember watching interview with either Keller or Mike Clark few years back, in which one of them stated that new architecture does not mean major jump in performance, it means reworking things to not regress too much, but open new possibilities and options of improving no longer possible on older, fully developed architecture.
Already back then it was indicated that normal IPC jump is what they aim for in general.
If I find that quote I will link it here.
Saw that on reddit a couple days ago too IIRC.
Found it (at least the reddit comment), it was Keller
Honestly... kinda feel like its cap, I think AMD was still aiming for a higher IPC uplift with Zen 5.
Is there a step back?
According to Huang, who apparently has already started micro benching Zen 5, there is. But who knows, his methodology might be a bit scuffed...
 
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leoneazzurro

Golden Member
Jul 26, 2016
1,005
1,597
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According to Huang, who apparently has already started micro benching Zen 5, there is. But who knows, his methodology might be a bit scuffed...
I mean across the board. It is not uncommon for a new architecture to show some little regression on some tests while being noticeably faster in the average. And If I understood correctly, he measured an average of slightly less than the advertised +16% iso clock in his set of application. So calling a +13-15% a "step back" is a kind of stretch, maybe disappointing if we think about the increase in the core area and time to market. It will depend on how many low hanging fruits there are, and if Zen6 will take advantage of those when using a denser process.
 
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