How can there even be any red states? I don't understand it.

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JD50

Lifer
Sep 4, 2005
11,685
2,133
126
And go where? Short of long distance re-location, housing prices will make that essentially useless.
Downsize, move somewhere cheaper, I dunno, what anyone else would do if they can't afford to live where they currently do. If their house has gone up 10x in value then I'm sure cost of living in that area has gone up quite substantially as well. Should the price of everything else freeze for them as well?
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,704
34,562
136
"You can't live in a retirement account."

I can. I do.

This is the problem. Housing is a basic need right up there with food. Treating the housing market this way has absolutely fucked over the younger generation if housing prices must go up always and provide a comparable or better return to other investing. Not caring about the massive externalities this inflicts on everybody else is deeply selfish.
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
26,578
24,798
136
They could buy a more modest place, they could rent, they could move somewhere else, etc.

Prop 13 basically works on the concept that the wealthier you are the lower taxes you pay, all while ensuring even if you do want to move out of your house you can't because of the tax penalties. One of the dumbest laws ever passed.
Yeah there is that weird knock on effect of even if they downsized their new property taxes could be higher than their current taxes, again acting as disincentive to move.
 
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brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
26,578
24,798
136
"You can't live in a retirement account."

I can. I do.


"The state doesn't simply decide that and you can appeal their assessment ... "


That is EXACTLY what some states do. Or cities in some cases. And who do you appeal to? The same entity that set the higher rate. Appeals that result in significantly lower rates are rare.
Maybe because the assessment models are based on actual market activity? It’s not them making a guess. They have access to the details of all the properties and how much they are selling for.

Do you deny this?
 

WelshBloke

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
30,937
8,668
136
Yeah but then they have to enter the other side of the market which made their windfall possible in the first place. They don't wanna do that unless they have some kind of new edge.
Ha! I was having this discussion with someone the other day.
House prices in the UK are insane. My current house has doubled in value in the time I've been in it. There's no way your average person starting out in life can get somewhere that's nice.
Someone was saying that they love that their house is increasing in value so much. I pointed out that the only people who would benefit from that is their kids when they sell it after they die!
Like if I sell my house for an inflated price in an inflated market I still need to buy a house in an inflated market! If house prices collapsed then, yeah, my house would be worth less but anything I wanted to buy after selling would be cheaper!
I mean the banks would really suffer but fuck them, they make enough money when things are going well for them without worrying about everyone else.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,678
49,268
136
Ha! I was having this discussion with someone the other day.
House prices in the UK are insane. My current house has doubled in value in the time I've been in it. There's no way your average person starting out in life can get somewhere that's nice.
Someone was saying that they love that their house is increasing in value so much. I pointed out that the only people who would benefit from that is their kids when they sell it after they die!
Like if I sell my house for an inflated price in an inflated market I still need to buy a house in an inflated market! If house prices collapsed then, yeah, my house would be worth less but anything I wanted to buy after selling would be cheaper!
I mean the banks would really suffer but fuck them, they make enough money when things are going well for them without worrying about everyone else.
Yeah I'm not sure why people can't see the problem with house prices going up so quickly. I guess because they personally profit?
 
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JD50

Lifer
Sep 4, 2005
11,685
2,133
126
Ha! I was having this discussion with someone the other day.
House prices in the UK are insane. My current house has doubled in value in the time I've been in it. There's no way your average person starting out in life can get somewhere that's nice.
Someone was saying that they love that their house is increasing in value so much. I pointed out that the only people who would benefit from that is their kids when they sell it after they die!
Like if I sell my house for an inflated price in an inflated market I still need to buy a house in an inflated market! If house prices collapsed then, yeah, my house would be worth less but anything I wanted to buy after selling would be cheaper!
I mean the banks would really suffer but fuck them, they make enough money when things are going well for them without worrying about everyone else.

That's only true if you're buying a similarly sized house, if you're downsizing you still come out way ahead. Let's take that 100k to 1m example. If you're downsizing and buying a house that would have been 70k back when you bought your 100k house, and that house is now 700k (increase 10x), you're still ahead by 230k.
 

WelshBloke

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
30,937
8,668
136
That's only true if you're buying a similarly sized house, if you're downsizing you still come out way ahead. Let's take that 100k to 1m example. If you're downsizing and buying a house that would have been 70k back when you bought your 100k house, and that house is now 700k (increase 10x), you're still ahead by 230k.
Thing is that small "starter homes" have increased in price faster than bigger houses because there's a massive demand for affordable houses.
Plus, as your children probably won't be able to afford to move out, you'll need to keep a bigger house!
 

WelshBloke

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
30,937
8,668
136
Yeah I'm not sure why people can't see the problem with house prices going up so quickly. I guess because they personally profit?
I would find it hard to enjoy profiting from a system that was fucking over my kids this badly.
Never mind the harm to society.
I'm not the biggest supporter of capitalism but if you want it to be successful then you want the majority of the people in society invested in it. Making it so that a high proportion of younger people are excluded from that system is not a winning proposition!
 
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JD50

Lifer
Sep 4, 2005
11,685
2,133
126
Thing is that small "starter homes" have increased in price faster than bigger houses because there's a massive demand for affordable houses.
Plus, as your children probably won't be able to afford to move out, you'll need to keep a bigger house!
Well that's easy, charge your adult kid rent and that pays for your increased property taxes. This is coming from someone who currently has an adult child living at home because he can't afford to move out, I get the struggle.
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
37,816
8,291
136
Would you be willing to give up prop 13 and start paying your fair share of property taxes?
I kinda think I'm paying more than my fair share in property taxes, so I've been told (by a real estate agent).
 
Last edited:
Nov 17, 2019
11,257
6,701
136
Yeah I'm not sure why people can't see the problem with house prices going up so quickly. I guess because they personally profit?
But they don't profit. Other houses in the same area are also over priced, so at best, it's a wash.

Unless as I've said, they are willing to relocate long distances away from urban areas.
 
Reactions: brycejones

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,678
49,268
136
But they don't profit. Other houses in the same area are also over priced, so at best, it's a wash.

Unless as I've said, they are willing to relocate long distances away from urban areas.
They absolutely profit to the tune of $900k. If someone is 65 they could easily rent and live off the proceeds of that for the rest of their life and that's not even taking into account what other retirement vehicles they may have.

Tax advantages based purely on how long you've lived in a place are awful, awful ideas and have created enormous human misery. They have to be abolished.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,678
49,268
136
I would find it hard to enjoy profiting from a system that was fucking over my kids this badly.
Never mind the harm to society.
I'm not the biggest supporter of capitalism but if you want it to be successful then you want the majority of the people in society invested in it. Making it so that a high proportion of younger people are excluded from that system is not a winning proposition!
I'm a big fan of regulated capitalism but sadly that's the problem here - regulations have become so onerous and supply so constrained that prices have gone out of control.
 
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Greenman

Lifer
Oct 15, 1999
20,611
5,306
136
I kinda think I'm paying more than my fair share in property taxes, so I've been told (by a real estate agent).
I didn't see a yes or no in there. Your property tax base was established when you bought your house, or in 1976, and can go up 2% a year since than. How could a real estate agent decide you were over paying?
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,673
6,194
126
Seems like the bigger crime to is to shift the tax burden from the richest people to new homeowners struggling to make ends meet.
When I was young I realized that most people sold their souls to make a living. They were not in the top 2% of IQ with the capacity to innovate and determine the nature of society and that most of that 2% would use their gifts to benefit mainly themselves as that is the motivator in a capitalist society. At the time it was a thing to turn on tune in and drop out. So I did. I took a menial service job in order to eat. I made nothing but rents and food were cheap. I found a spiritual teacher by accident that actually knew things. I had already beaten the crushing weight of existential suffering. I had found my way out of the trap that sacred cows are what give life meaning. Then the rents started to rise and in order to survive at the job I had I would be forced to move farther and farther away wasting even greater portions of a short life in a car on a polluted highway. So I bought a house with a crushing mortgage and lived in basic poverty. But what makes life a struggle is resistance.

So, once I was young and hoped that buying a home would help me to be secure against the rising tide of the cost of having a place to live. Soon people at my income level could not afford to buy in my neighborhood. And taxes kept going up 2% a year, taxes I would often have to put on a credit card to pay owing to having so little to live on after my mortgage payment. And so it has been all my life here in my home.

But one thing seems for sure. I will never be lonely. I get a letter or a phone call almost everyday from some real estate investor who has a fantastic deal for me. I can sell as is and they will take care of everything not even any real estate commissions involved. Lucky me. Around here those hew homeowners struggling to make ends meet will be making more in a month than I could have saved in 30 years.

I love you for your compassion for those who struggle. I would like to help them too but I have no doubt whatsoever that those who succeed will in not too much time become our future NIMBYs as it requires multiple millions a year in income to afford to buy here and the taxes become astronomical as well.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,673
6,194
126
They could buy a more modest place, they could rent, they could move somewhere else, etc.

Prop 13 basically works on the concept that the wealthier you are the lower taxes you pay, all while ensuring even if you do want to move out of your house you can't because of the tax penalties. One of the dumbest laws ever passed.
Prop 13 follows you when you move, I believe Your mistake, in my opinion, is that you have no idea what wealth really is. I am wealthy beyond the bounds of gratitude because I live exactly where I want to. Hidden out of sight from all but enlightened eyes on my property is the Garden of Eden. There is a doorway there that leads out into the infinite universe.

Of course, of course, I know what you are thinking: That door follows me wherever I go. But that's the point. Why go anywhere?
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
37,816
8,291
136
I didn't see a yes or no in there. Your property tax base was established when you bought your house, or in 1976, and can go up 2% a year since than. How could a real estate agent decide you were over paying?
She knows me and helped me through the buying process. She knows my situation.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,673
6,194
126
This is the problem. Housing is a basic need right up there with food. Treating the housing market this way has absolutely fucked over the younger generation if housing prices must go up always and provide a comparable or better return to other investing. Not caring about the massive externalities this inflicts on everybody else is deeply selfish.
It really sucks. When I was the young fuckee I had to pay 25% more than what the person who sold it to me had paid just one year before so to stop such hideous profiteering I decided I would never sell.
 

Greenman

Lifer
Oct 15, 1999
20,611
5,306
136
She knows me and helped me through the buying process. She knows my situation.
Well that's cryptic enough. Sounds like there may have been some shenanigans in that deal.
Lets look at it from the other side, if your taxes were assessed at market value today, based on location and comps, could you afford to stay there?
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
37,816
8,291
136
Well that's cryptic enough. Sounds like there may have been some shenanigans in that deal.
Lets look at it from the other side, if your taxes were assessed at market value today, based on location and comps, could you afford to stay there?
She's my sister's best friend and had nothing to do with my buying my house other than someone not involved whatsoever other than to talk to at times. No shenanigans, WTF are you getting at?
 
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