Only 31% of Americans want an EV or PHEV. What about you?

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Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
68,438
12,605
126
www.anyf.ca
Nothing is complicated about it, it just shows a frankly hard to believe lack of understanding of basic physics and common sense. Air mixes. There’s no magic keeping airplane pollution at 35000 feet.

How fast do you think the CO2 moves to surface from 35,000 feet vs at the rate at which it's being pumped out? It's not instant, or even close to instant and as long as more is being pumped out, no amount of CO2 capture at surface is going to fix the greenhouse effect. It's like trying to clean plastic out of the ocean by focusing only at the shore lines. Every little bit helps but it will never come close to fixing the problem.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
70,196
28,890
136
How fast do you think the CO2 moves to surface from 35,000 feet vs at the rate at which it's being pumped out? It's not instant, or even close to instant and as long as more is being pumped out, no amount of CO2 capture at surface is going to fix the greenhouse effect. It's like trying to clean plastic out of the ocean by focusing only at the shore lines. Every little bit helps but it will never come close to fixing the problem.
It takes less than six minutes for a thunderstorm outflow to move air, including CO2, from 35,000 feet to sea level.
 

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
4,701
3,727
136
How fast do you think the CO2 moves to surface from 35,000 feet vs at the rate at which it's being pumped out? It's not instant, or even close to instant and as long as more is being pumped out, no amount of CO2 capture at surface is going to fix the greenhouse effect. It's like trying to clean plastic out of the ocean by focusing only at the shore lines. Every little bit helps but it will never come close to fixing the problem.
It doesn’t matter how fast the air mixes. It could be measured in minutes, weeks or years and it wouldn’t make a difference. The mixing is far, far faster than any individual source is contributing.

Don’t take my word for it though, look at the data.

 

sdifox

No Lifer
Sep 30, 2005
96,939
16,201
126
I don't know what's hard or complicated about that statement. Airplanes pollute high up, that's where the greenhouse effect is the most present.

Trees and land based carbon capture take care of CO2 at lower levels but no tree is tall enough to capture CO2 at air traffic heights.

You should definitely build a giant catapult and fling your trees up into the stratosphere to capture the CO2.
 

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
4,701
3,727
136
How about flying jet engine powered carbon capture plants. They’ll scrub the stratosphere clean and rain down the CO2 as rocks.
 
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manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,838
2,797
136
Well, the long and short of it for me is the percentage of carbon pollution.

There's no certainty that the technology will become exclusively electric. They're experimenting with hydrogen.. We speculate about the prevalence of electric in our investment decision of vehicle purchase.

Meanwhile, the push to EV is only addressing 7% of the climate carbon pollution problem. 7% won't mitigate anything. The other 21% would, if there were a fix.

I can't think of any other avenues for replacing carbon. They'd have to resurrect nuclear power.

Personally, I think civilization is doomed, unless they can scrub atmospheric air and turn the CO2 into limestone or cement. Then we can worry about when fossil fuel -- particularly oil of any kind -- runs out.
I haven't checked in a while, but I'm fairly certain it's higher than 7% in the U.S. (A source in the forums claims it's about 16% for passenger cars, still think that's not worth fixing?)

Nobody is forcing consumers to buy BEVs in the U.S., at least not anytime soon. We let the free market do its work, although yes there are some tax incentives to encourage things along.

No offense but easy for you, as a retiree, to say humanity is doomed and you DGAF. I'd imagine the babies being born today will have a different opinion of things when they're old enough to learn that collectively, we let the GHG emissions problem drag on for years/decades too long because Republicans had to protect corporate profits.

Just FYI, if the Red Squirrel is agreeing with you, then something is very fishy.
 
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iRONic

Diamond Member
Jan 28, 2006
7,461
2,729
136
Dayum… this retired old ass has a 14 year-old, & two year-old grandchildren. Plus their mother and my other older kid. Bet your ass I'm concerned about it.

Shake your head twice if you find yourself agreeing with that red 🐿️ dude.
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
68,438
12,605
126
www.anyf.ca
I agree CO2 is an problem, but trying to reduce it at surface without doing anything about atmospheric emissions is going to be futile.

Don't get me wrong any reduction we can do we should do, but let's not pat ourselves on the back even once every single car is an EV, as it's still not going to be close to enough to making a dent. CO2 stays in the atmosphere for around 300 to 1,000 years. This is straight from NASA.

 
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Fenixgoon

Lifer
Jun 30, 2003
32,097
10,902
136
I agree CO2 is an problem, but trying to reduce it at surface without doing anything about atmospheric emissions is going to be futile.

Don't get me wrong any reduction we can do we should do, but let's not pat ourselves on the back even once every single car is an EV, as it's still not going to be close to enough to making a dent. CO2 stays in the atmosphere for around 300 to 1,000 years. This is straight from NASA.

yeah, so the less we emit now, the better it will be.

to start reducing the CO2 content, you first have to stop increasing it in the first place.
 
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linkgoron

Platinum Member
Mar 9, 2005
2,399
976
136
I've been using a Chinese BEV (BYD atto3) for a few months now, and I've been pretty happy with it. It's got more than enough room for my family, it's fun to drive, and Android Auto/Carplay work well. I also really like how silent and how smooth driving it is, as there's no gearbox. The only thing that I dislike is the distance between charges (around 220-230 miles effectively, I drive around ~80-100 on an average week, so I basically charge it once a week at work with about 60% left. I could probably push it a bit more, but I prefer charging it while at work), however I knew this when I leased it.

Is it better than a Tesla, or maybe even a KIA EV6(/3) or Ionic 5/6? I'd assume not (never drove any), but it does its job for me.

Meanwhile, the push to EV is only addressing 7% of the climate carbon pollution problem. 7% won't mitigate anything. The other 21% would, if there were a fix.
EVs have tons of benefits IMO. They really reduce a lot of pollution in cities in the air and also reduce a lot of noise pollution.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
70,196
28,890
136
I agree CO2 is an problem, but trying to reduce it at surface without doing anything about atmospheric emissions is going to be futile.

Don't get me wrong any reduction we can do we should do, but let's not pat ourselves on the back even once every single car is an EV, as it's still not going to be close to enough to making a dent. CO2 stays in the atmosphere for around 300 to 1,000 years. This is straight from NASA.

Your understanding of atmospheric mixing is completely wrong so I'm not going to worry too much about a perceived lack of solutions to the problem you envision.
 

BonzaiDuck

Lifer
Jun 30, 2004
15,880
1,550
126
I haven't checked in a while, but I'm fairly certain it's higher than 7% in the U.S. (A source in the forums claims it's about 16% for passenger cars, still think that's not worth fixing?)

Nobody is forcing consumers to buy BEVs in the U.S., at least not anytime soon. We let the free market do its work, although yes there are some tax incentives to encourage things along.

No offense but easy for you, as a retiree, to say humanity is doomed and you DGAF. I'd imagine the babies being born today will have a different opinion of things when they're old enough to learn that collectively, we let the GHG emissions problem drag on for years/decades too long because Republicans had to protect corporate profits.

Just FYI, if the Red Squirrel is agreeing with you, then something is very fishy.
Yes, I took another stab at it today, and it was over 16% of the total in the US. That has to alter my perspective. But all the senior citizens I know who are still capable of renewing their driver license are sticking with their old ICE vehicles. Some of them can much better afford a new BEV, HEV or PHEV than I. I'm just not going to be in a hurry at the moment.

Otherwise I think my choice is essentially the same: a Toyota RAV4 Hybrid "Prime" PHEV. And if I can afford the XLE, that, too . . .
 

JulesMaximus

No Lifer
Jul 3, 2003
74,534
911
126
I had a reservation for a Rivian R1S but there were a couple things that turned me off to it. Main thing was the lack of satellite radio, two was the price. Cost was $90k for a vehicle that isn’t really all that luxurious at a price where it really should be. I cancelled my reservation after buying my 2022 Lexus GX. It cost $30k less and had all those features. Yeah, it isn’t fuel efficient but I don’t drive much and $30k buys a lot of fuel.

So, no. I’m and not interested in buying an EV. I’m not opposed to it, it just didn’t fit my needs at the time.
 

BonzaiDuck

Lifer
Jun 30, 2004
15,880
1,550
126
I had a reservation for a Rivian R1S but there were a couple things that turned me off to it. Main thing was the lack of satellite radio, two was the price. Cost was $90k for a vehicle that isn’t really all that luxurious at a price where it really should be. I cancelled my reservation after buying my 2022 Lexus GX. It cost $30k less and had all those features. Yeah, it isn’t fuel efficient but I don’t drive much and $30k buys a lot of fuel.

So, no. I’m and not interested in buying an EV. I’m not opposed to it, it just didn’t fit my needs at the time.
I had just made a "rule" for myself ten or fifteen years prior: "Avoid investing very much in any complete ICE-vehicle purchase." But my restorations and maintenance on my old SUV are still a kind of "investment" -- but only a mere fraction of dollars.
 

nOOky

Diamond Member
Aug 17, 2004
3,004
2,023
136
I was really interested in a PHEV. But I'm at the point where I expect decent range out of it, and I want excellent power. The only two that interested me were the BMW X5 PHEV and the Volvo XC-90 variant. I'm a mid 50's mid life crisis guy right now and I give two shits about fuel mileage despite driving about 50 miles a day. So I'm going for an ICE vehicle again. Perhaps in 4-5 years when I'm looking the EV landscape will have settled down.

My employer is going to put limited charging stations in for employees, but I suspect the same people to hog them all of the time and there will be no way to manage moving vehicles during the day, especially in the winter. It would almost take a dedicated person to monitor who's been charging for how long as I don't expect them to actually use or maintain a charging app. Basically it will be first come first served.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
48,046
37,244
136
I was really interested in a PHEV. But I'm at the point where I expect decent range out of it, and I want excellent power. The only two that interested me were the BMW X5 PHEV and the Volvo XC-90 variant. I'm a mid 50's mid life crisis guy right now and I give two shits about fuel mileage despite driving about 50 miles a day. So I'm going for an ICE vehicle again. Perhaps in 4-5 years when I'm looking the EV landscape will have settled down.

My employer is going to put limited charging stations in for employees, but I suspect the same people to hog them all of the time and there will be no way to manage moving vehicles during the day, especially in the winter. It would almost take a dedicated person to monitor who's been charging for how long as I don't expect them to actually use or maintain a charging app. Basically it will be first come first served.

The 2024 X5 50e has a 4 second 0-60 time. It is very quick.
 

nOOky

Diamond Member
Aug 17, 2004
3,004
2,023
136
The 2024 X5 50e has a 4 second 0-60 time. It is very quick.
Closer to 3.9, but it has been having some issues with the battery that are well documented and are keeping me away from it.
 

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,838
2,797
136
Yes, I took another stab at it today, and it was over 16% of the total in the US. That has to alter my perspective. But all the senior citizens I know who are still capable of renewing their driver license are sticking with their old ICE vehicles. Some of them can much better afford a new BEV, HEV or PHEV than I. I'm just not going to be in a hurry at the moment.

Otherwise I think my choice is essentially the same: a Toyota RAV4 Hybrid "Prime" PHEV. And if I can afford the XLE, that, too . . .
There are 8 billion humans on earth. Any one person's consumption habits isn't going to move the needle, unless you're globetrotting on your own large jet plane. It's a lot like voting; my individual vote won't do anything but when millions of people all march in the same direction, it matters.

But I'm not encouraging you to make a decision that makes little financial sense (if anything, I would discourage that). My point is that it's wrong to say only 7% of the problem is too marginal to try to fix; and because the problem is too "big" or now too "expensive" to fix, humanity just has to accept its pending doom.

I'll be dead before severe climate change will come home to roost, but it doesn't mean I shouldn't care about the future generations that will get left holding the bag.

We need affordable BEVs, and from a public policy standpoint, I think it will one day make sense to allow the Chinese to enter western markets IF they aren't cheating.* Autos are expensive enough already and the only thing that restrains prices in a market system is healthy competition. We're still in the early days where the legacy manufacturers aren't really serious about BEVs, and still consider them luxury products that demand higher prices.

* I don't believe banning them "forever" would be prudent, nor do I support their "dumping below cost" or IP theft business models. I haven't read it yet, but the NYT recently had an article about where China is going:

 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
68,438
12,605
126
www.anyf.ca
They definitely need to bring the costs down. If that means opening the market to china, then do it. I do feel good that most of my yard tools are electric now, but it was also a financial decision. A battery snow blower, lawn mower etc were actually not that much more expensive than a gas one, and they are simple enough machines that if something goes wrong I should be able to figure it out so I'm not that worried about the long term cost either. And of course I'm not buying gas for them. But EVs are still way too expensive while being very hard and expensive to service so even if it gives me a feel good factor and I don't need to buy gas, I can't justify it financially.
 
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BonzaiDuck

Lifer
Jun 30, 2004
15,880
1,550
126
There are 8 billion humans on earth. Any one person's consumption habits isn't going to move the needle, unless you're globetrotting on your own large jet plane. It's a lot like voting; my individual vote won't do anything but when millions of people all march in the same direction, it matters.

But I'm not encouraging you to make a decision that makes little financial sense (if anything, I would discourage that). My point is that it's wrong to say only 7% of the problem is too marginal to try to fix; and because the problem is too "big" or now too "expensive" to fix, humanity just has to accept its pending doom.

I'll be dead before severe climate change will come home to roost, but it doesn't mean I shouldn't care about the future generations that will get left holding the bag.

We need affordable BEVs, and from a public policy standpoint, I think it will one day make sense to allow the Chinese to enter western markets IF they aren't cheating.* Autos are expensive enough already and the only thing that restrains prices in a market system is healthy competition. We're still in the early days where the legacy manufacturers aren't really serious about BEVs, and still consider them luxury products that demand higher prices.

* I don't believe banning them "forever" would be prudent, nor do I support their "dumping below cost" or IP theft business models. I haven't read it yet, but the NYT recently had an article about where China is going:

I agree with everything you say.

I live with circumstances which have changed. Two family members in the house died over the last three years -- a big loss. I'm left with two vehicles: my Trooper, and the Nissan Truck I had bought for my brother when he needed 4-wheel-drive in 2009 -- both running tip-top and not likely anymore to need any serious repair for several years. I'd cashed out a rental property I owned, and long before that I'd been saving for a long time with a first-purpose of getting a newer vehicle. But now, I see that it's not necessary. Not at the moment.

My big plan for summer's end is to get the repair shop to inspect the Trooper and give a blessing. Then I'm going to drive north 400 miles to visit my brother, then drop over the Sierras past Lake Tahoe to see a friend in Grass Valley, and return home. I expect I'm going to enjoy all of this.

But another local friend insists I must buy a new car because it impresses chicks. Nobody else is pushing my buttons like that. It was just something that long ago I thought inevitable. But it's not immediately inevitable. I'll just keep the money, watch my investment accounts grow. and find something else to worry about.

Lee Iacocca publicly charged in the late '70s that the Japanese were "dumping" on the US market. I can only speculate about which makes and models. But I eventually had a fleet of four Honda Civics: a 1200 that I bought new in 1979; a 1978 1200 I bought from a friend for $200; a 1979 CVCC 1500; and a CVCC 1500 station wagon. I should've kept the CVCC hatchback and brought it back to CA when I retired, but I sold it. And then, I got the SUV bug, and -- here I am.
 

RPD

Diamond Member
Jul 22, 2009
5,045
547
126
I had a reservation for a Rivian R1S but there were a couple things that turned me off to it. Main thing was the lack of satellite radio, two was the price. Cost was $90k for a vehicle that isn’t really all that luxurious at a price where it really should be. I cancelled my reservation after buying my 2022 Lexus GX. It cost $30k less and had all those features. Yeah, it isn’t fuel efficient but I don’t drive much and $30k buys a lot of fuel.

So, no. I’m and not interested in buying an EV. I’m not opposed to it, it just didn’t fit my needs at the time.
How do you like the GX, did you look at any other models before pulling the trigger? I need to eventually replace wife's Sequoia platinum.
 

JulesMaximus

No Lifer
Jul 3, 2003
74,534
911
126
How do you like the GX, did you look at any other models before pulling the trigger? I need to eventually replace wife's Sequoia platinum.

I like it. It could have a little more power but it is comfortable and very capable off road. I wanted something I could take out to the desert and do some off roading/overlanding/shooting. I rented a new Bronco before buying the Lexus but it was too compromised on road and I had zero interest in taking the top off so that combined with all the top issues turned me off to the Bronco. The Land Rover Defender would have been a good alternative but all the dealers near me were asking ridiculous markups on them when I bought my GX so that was out.

The new GX looks great, I would totally rock one of those. The GX is smaller than the Sequoia but it is perfect for me, my wife and our dog.

 
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