Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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ikjadoon

Senior member
Sep 4, 2006
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513
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What's points per GHz got to do with it? Different architectures have different ways to get the same answer. Points per watt I'd understand. Otherwise just rank by performance.

As others have rightly noted, AMD / Intel / Arm calculate generational IPC uplift with Geekbench 1T. Basically every "IPC" relative uplift claim includes either or both GB5 and GB6. That different CPUs use different frequencies is an orthogonal discussion.

Overall perf is still critical and I always keep it in the chart. Ranking by Pts / GHz is not a serious choice; it simply makes the chart easier to read (e.g., newer CPUs are near the top, by a given firm). Notebookcheck doesn't always test the highest-end SKU, either, so it's less helpful to rank by perf alone.

But it might make sense to only share AMD CPUs in the AMD thread.

Sources that GB is an important "IPC" data source for basically the entire industry:


(of course, we'd all object to cherry-picked sub-tests, like the GB5 crypto tests)





Anyways,
 

DaaQ

Golden Member
Dec 8, 2018
1,568
1,139
136
This guy from Canada keeps selling 9900Xs for under $400 US. I was tempted, but looks sus as hell. What do yall think?

Someone binning?
But yea my 860 7900xtx never showed up. Got refund from amazon but still.
 

Jan Olšan

Senior member
Jan 12, 2017
427
776
136
The difference to previous gen is still small after all all those updates, 5-6%. That's equivalent to like, 230 MHz clock increase on some 5.5 GHz part. Worth something like 30-40 extra dollars, but not much more. Currenly 9700X is 80 dollars more expensive than 7700X.
No, it's +7-9 % over Zen 4 (talking only about games).

The lowest the article gives is +6 to +8 % at equal memory speed, but that is before the Windows update, and if you are strict and only select the lowest numbers in the article (which are for manual benchmark scenes games only). Counting in game tests with built-in benchmarks, it goes up another percentage point.

However, the Windows Update which they test in the last part of article increases the gap between Zen 4 and Zen 5, adding roughly another percentage point above the 6-8 value, so 7-9 % it is. They should be updating the article with more details later I think?

At this point I wonder, people seem to actually *want* the uplift to be as small as possible?
If someone wants to rationalize buying Zen 4 instead, come on you don't need to do this. Just point to the discounts and the bang/buck ratio resulting from them, that's all the argument that is needed, shopping for best bang/buck has always been the smart thing to do. And has been that way since Ryzen 3000 launch (and probably Ryzen 2000 too).

But let's not actively deny the new architecture has its merits in exchange for the extra price premium. That's not "the smart thing" anymore, IMHO.
 
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SteinFG

Senior member
Dec 29, 2021
684
804
106
Arguing whether it's +5% or +8% is actually hilarious.

There can be a different selesction of games resulting in some % difference; windows update can suddenly change something by 2-3%; error margin when running games is not that tight;

If I said to myself in 2018 that we're now arguing whether the new processor was 1.05x faster or 1.08x faster, I'd just laugh.
 
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MS_AT

Senior member
Jul 15, 2024
365
798
96
Arguing whether it's +5% or +8% is actually hilarious.

There can be a different selesction of games resulting in some % difference; windows update can suddenly change something by 2-3%; error margin when running games is not that tight;

If I said to myself in 2018 that we're now arguing whether the new processor was 1.05x faster or 1.08x faster, I'd just laugh.
But weren't people already doing that when comparing IvyBridge to Skylake?
 
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Josh128

Senior member
Oct 14, 2022
511
865
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lol I called it. Turns out Win 10 is second from the top. All this hoopla about Win 11, even when totally done right, only nets you a whopping +2% over good old Windows 10. If and when I upgrade, I'll certainly stay on Win 10 and be very happy with my -2%.
 
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StefanR5R

Elite Member
Dec 10, 2016
6,057
9,106
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[...] AMD / Intel / Arm calculate generational IPC uplift [...]
In the instance which you referred to, AMD actually measured iso-clock performance. That is, the two chips which they put into this comparison were operating at a fixed clock rate, the same for both chips.

That's not exactly "IPC", but it is still better than
  • clock-normalized performance from chips which ran at fixed but different clock rates,
  • or worse, clock-"normalized" performance from chips which ran at variable clock rates, normalizing from a measured characteristic clock rate, e.g. the time-averaged clock rate during the test run,
  • or worst and outright hilarious, clock-"normalized" performance from chips which ran at variable clock rates, normalized from a completely randomly picked clock rate which has little connection with the clock rates that actually happened during the test.

Truly measuring IPC involves counting both the actual instructions and the actual cycles. Which is possible to do but somehow hardly anybody does.
 

MS_AT

Senior member
Jul 15, 2024
365
798
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Truly measuring IPC involves counting both the actual instructions and the actual cycles. Which is possible to do but somehow hardly anybody does.
The issue is that IPC might be misleading and not exactly what people are looking for. For example in Zen4 case, and avx512 vs avx2, you would have the same throughput, but AVX512 code would retire only half of the instructions the avx2 loop would do, and maybe shave off few cycles saved on the front-end. So for AVX2 code path, the IPC figure would look better while the performance could be actually the same or worse.
 

Jan Olšan

Senior member
Jan 12, 2017
427
776
136
Arguing whether it's +5% or +8% is actually hilarious.
That's no reason to quote their results incorrectly.
There can be a different selesction of games resulting in some % difference; windows update can suddenly change something by 2-3%; error margin when running games is not that tight;
It's a range, there were multiple games tested... Also, that value (Zen4->Zen5) only changed by 1 percentage point.
If I said to myself in 2018 that we're now arguing whether the new processor was 1.05x faster or 1.08x faster, I'd just laugh.
 

ikjadoon

Senior member
Sep 4, 2006
235
513
146
In the instance which you referred to, AMD actually measured iso-clock performance. That is, the two chips which they put into this comparison were operating at a fixed clock rate, the same for both chips.

That's not exactly "IPC", but it is still better than
  • clock-normalized performance from chips which ran at fixed but different clock rates,
  • or worse, clock-"normalized" performance from chips which ran at variable clock rates, normalizing from a measured characteristic clock rate, e.g. the time-averaged clock rate during the test run,
  • or worst and outright hilarious, clock-"normalized" performance from chips which ran at variable clock rates, normalized from a completely randomly picked clock rate which has little connection with the clock rates that actually happened during the test.

Truly measuring IPC involves counting both the actual instructions and the actual cycles. Which is possible to do but somehow hardly anybody does.

That is AMD's chart; I explicitly refused headings like "uArch" and "IPC" for these very reasons in my chart. 😀

My headings are specific: a specific CPU (not a uArch) with a specific cache + cooling + frequency → its advertised peak frequency → its highest-measured GB6.2 1T perf (per Notebookcheck).

Notebookcheck's data is not only not clock normalized, it's also not cache normalized nor cooling normalized nor memory normalized (as I've shared and noted). I'd love to get the average clocks per GB6 subtest with iso-cooling and iso-cache. It's simply hard data to get; that is, I hope I'm not inadvertently neglecting some great data sources that you might suggest? Anyone who's seen a clocks over time chart during a Geekbench run knows it's a mess.

The chart is what it says on the tin: "This CPU offers ~X perf at ~Y advertised peak frequency"; the perf / GHz is also just that. For each 1 GHz of peak frequency, what perf can be achieved with similar CPUs?

It's also why desktop and laptop parts of the same uArch are included. My chart is not offering uArch-specific numbers.

EDIT: nor iso-memory nor iso-platform and so on...
 
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Jan Olšan

Senior member
Jan 12, 2017
427
776
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But weren't people already doing that when comparing IvyBridge to Skylake?
Are you sure you remember that correctly? Ivy to Skylake is a cumulative effect of two tocks, Haswell and Skylake.

And IMHO, both Skylake and Haswell were good architectures. Ivy Bridge was obviously just minor couple percent boost above Sandy Bridge because it was a tick (dieshrink + tuning, not a new core). Although certain people on this forum liked to post a chart that was rounding that up to 5%, which was probably misleading.

Anyway, the relevant scale/range when discussing gen-on-gen IPC gains is usually just 0-20 %, so I would argue that yeah, single percent differences withing that do kinda matter, you want to be relatively precise. Particularly if you want to compare or combine that with other effects that have similar scale of differences.

If you think give or take 5 percentage points doesn't matter here, anything you'll do with those numbers will have enough of an error margin to make any further "calculations" with that number meaningless.
 
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MS_AT

Senior member
Jul 15, 2024
365
798
96
Are you sure you remember that correctly? Ivy to Skylake is a cumulative effect of two tocks, Haswell and Skylake.
I was looking up AT review of Skylake before posting Haven't calculated the percentage but the bars looked within 5% range. Anyway my point was, that 5% gaming improvements weren't something unheard of before even across 2 generations. The whole media coverage of Zen5 sounds like it is an utter failure of a chip. Just going by the titles of some videos one could think it's actually worse than Bulldozer for gaming... It's a bit tiring. That's all.
If you think give or take 5 percentage points doesn't matter here, anything you'll do with those numbers will have enough of an error margin to make any further "calculations" with that number meaningless.
My intention wasn't to say 5% is meaningless, but tunnel vision on gaming when deciding Zen5 merits is underselling the arch.
 

Jan Olšan

Senior member
Jan 12, 2017
427
776
136
I was looking up AT review of Skylake before posting Haven't calculated the percentage but the bars looked within 5% range. Anyway my point was, that 5% gaming improvements weren't something unheard of before even across 2 generations. The whole media coverage of Zen5 sounds like it is an utter failure of a chip. Just going by the titles of some videos one could think it's actually worse than Bulldozer for gaming... It's a bit tiring. That's all.

Agreed.
My intention wasn't to say 5% is meaningless, but tunnel vision on gaming when deciding Zen5 merits is underselling the arch.
Oh, that wasn't reacting to you, but to the previous posts, my bad.
 

Josh128

Senior member
Oct 14, 2022
511
865
106
I wonder when we will start to see prices drop on some of these Zen 5 SKU's? When Arrow Lake launches perhaps?? IMO they need to do it soon as these launch prices are just too expensive compared to Zen 4.
 
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Hail The Brain Slug

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 2005
3,557
2,546
136
I wonder when we will start to see prices drop on some of these Zen 5 SKU's? When Arrow Lake launches perhaps?? IMO they need to do it soon.
They already dropped the 9950X slightly. With how hard they are hammering on Zen 4 sales at the moment, they should move through the rest of their Zen 4 inventory pretty quickly I'd think and hopefully move on to price dropping Zen 5.
 

Josh128

Senior member
Oct 14, 2022
511
865
106
They already dropped the 9950X slightly. With how hard they are hammering on Zen 4 sales at the moment, they should move through the rest of their Zen 4 inventory pretty quickly I'd think and hopefully move on to price dropping Zen 5.
I hope they do quite soon. As you can tell, Im looking for any good deals, lol.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
26,389
15,513
136
I wonder when we will start to see prices drop on some of these Zen 5 SKU's? When Arrow Lake launches perhaps?? IMO they need to do it soon as these launch prices are just too expensive compared to Zen 4.
My 2nd 9950x came from Amazon. It dropped from $649 to $623 before I even got it installed. I sent it back to Amazon saying I got a better price (from them no less) but I still do not have my refund until Sept 14th !

As for more drops, after all the raptor lake verification that they degrade and fail, I am not sure that Zen 5 will drop as quickly as people think, since Raptor lake has given people only one choice for high end CPUs now.
 

Schmide

Diamond Member
Mar 7, 2002
5,596
733
126
My 2nd 9950x came from Amazon. It dropped from $649 to $623 before I even got it installed. I sent it back to Amazon saying I got a better price (from them no less) but I still do not have my refund until Sept 14th !
Chat with amazon. I'm a big spender but prob not near your league. I bet if you complained about the price drop, they'd give you like $50 just to make you happy. I got like $100 for stuff they didn't send in a reasonable window. Amazon if you're reading this, it didn't happen. Go blue origin.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,612
4,469
136
I find this absolutely perplexing. Would think after enough time they'd get their heads together and sort this out. One are where they definitely can learn from Intel's example. Billions on the table, yeesh.

That s excuses from those big OEMs, if it was that difficult to order those chips then the Minisforum, Geekom and other Ayaneo wouldnt even get a single chip.

Beside they cant be fabbed overnight, so if they dont order them early enough in vast numbers for sure that they will lack the necessary inventories if there s a big demand, and AMD doesnt want to shed money in fabbing random quantities and be left with unsold chips that they would be forced to sell at razor margins.
 
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