Great post.
You just reminded me of something else.
Recent shortcomings have come from AMD lacking volume for OEMs to put their chips in laptops. Not the first time nor the last.
But what's interesting about it is how the forces are slowly playing out. Intel at this point sells laptops not because they're good (might change with LNL ofc but still not out yet), but because they have a reliable, ready-to-go volume of chips that AMD doesn't have. Considering AMD's culture, I don't really picture them pressing TSMC much harder for more wafers. They're penny pinchers not large volume investors, and TSMC is famously busy with many clients.
Because of that situation, rumours have sprung up that Kraken, the low tier Zen 5, will be done at Samsung Foundry. Past the performance questions, it's well known that Samsung has broadly meh nodes, but it is more production volume for pretty cheap, even if they were to order a lot.
Now holding that thought about SSF, what happens if in say, Zen 6 or later time, AMD still has insufficient volume for everyone even with Samsung, or they have sufficient low tier chip volume but terrible volume for high tier chips? They'd need a foundry with volume capacity that isn't too pressured, and can still provide a somewhat high tier performance.
All at the same time, Intel keeps digging down. Yes LNL may save them somewhat, but if they lose server (and they are), it's a very severe hole in their finances. Client will also keep suffering on the P cores, and let's add the RPL early failures on top of it. Intel may be seriously searching for money.
We may end up with the unthinkable.
Intel, needing money and customers for IFS badly, will accept business from AMD. AMD needs more volume, while Intel needs to fix their finances before they can get a strong CPU out again. It's a net loss for Intel in the long run, and they'd probably not work for it at any point if they weren't bleeding out. But they are bleeding out.
We may yet see IFS accept to build volume for Ryzen, cannibalizing their own sales of CPUs, but making money as Intel really really needs to show IFS' viability to investors. And we may see AMD's volume problem get diminished and gain even more CPU market share from Intel. It's a terrible deal for Intel, so they'd never accept it, but when you're bleeding out, any bandage helps. I could envision a pitch where whoever leads Intel then says that they need to accept to build Ryzen volume and cannibalize their sales for a year or two, and survive financially until whatever next Saviour Lake comes.