- Nov 1, 2011
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I read this some time ago and in light of the upcoming election I thought I post this to give people some information about their choices and start a discussion.
As it seems, going back until WW2, under Democratic administrations the economy fares much better than under Republican ones. I find it remarkable, especially since even accounting for external effects and long-term policies, this holds true. The authors of the article cannot find any explanation, so your guess is as good as mine or theirs.
What do you think?
As it seems, going back until WW2, under Democratic administrations the economy fares much better than under Republican ones. I find it remarkable, especially since even accounting for external effects and long-term policies, this holds true. The authors of the article cannot find any explanation, so your guess is as good as mine or theirs.
What do you think?
Since World War II, Democrats have seen job creation average 1.7 % per year when in office, versus 1.0 % under the GOP. US GDP has averaged a rate of growth of 4.23 percent per annum during Democratic administrations, versus 2.36 per cent under Republicans, a remarkable difference of 1.87 percentage points. This is postwar data, covering 19 presidential terms—from Truman through Biden. If one goes back further, to the Great Depression, to include Herbert Hoover and Franklin Roosevelt, the difference in growth rates is even larger.
The results are similar regardless whether one assigns responsibility for the first quarter of a president’s term to him or to his predecessor. Relatedly, the average Democratic presidential term has been in recession for 1 of its 16 quarters, whereas the average for the Republican terms has been 5 quarters, a startlingly big difference.
The Historical Puzzle of US Economic Performance under Democrats vs. Republicans
We have heard much about the puzzle that US economic performance under President Joe Biden has been much stronger than voters perceive it to be. But the current episode is just one instance of a bigger historical puzzle: the US economy has since World War II consistently done better under...
www.belfercenter.org