54-41 for Biden. (46-42 Trump in 2016)
National Results 2020 President exit polls.
See National Results 2020 President exit polls.
www.cnn.com
Non-partisans did side with Clinton in 16 and Biden in 20 but I can't find the margins offhand. Automatic registration has also helped make this figure larger. But it's a huge and growing pool of voters who we don't know with absolute certainly which whey they'll lean in a given cycle though they have AFAIK tended to be mostly younger voters.
The numbers on this page are estimates from exit polls conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool.
54-41 for Biden. (46-42 Trump in 2016)
National Results 2020 President exit polls.
See National Results 2020 President exit polls.www.cnn.com
Trying not to commit election interference, of course.Where the fuck is that waste of life Merrick Garland?
Hello my fellow vermin.
This has to be 100% illegal.
You have to admit it’s a bit weird how you constantly make wrong predictions and they are always wrong in the exact same direction.
Assuming Harris wins I have no doubt that in 2026 you will be here predicting a veto proof Republican supermajority regardless of what the polls say. You will also predict a Republican victory in 2028.
Why do you do this?
Didn't I say before to look at the aggregated polls that also take 3rd party candidates into account? The election is not just between two major parties. Furthermore, restricting it to just two party, the polls will show noise as it is seen in the reference you provided. The aggregated polls with third party candidates in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, are showing Harris leading.Battleground state aggregate polling still not looking too good for Kamala. UH FCKN OH
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My confidence is beginning to waver a bit. I know the aggregated polls are Trump biased to some degree, but I'm starting to worry a lot more.
Take it easy.. it's out of your hands. The only poll that matters is Nov 5th.My confidence is beginning to waver a bit. I know the aggregated polls are Trump biased to some degree, but I'm starting to worry a lot more.
My confidence is beginning to waver a bit. I know the aggregated polls are Trump biased to some degree, but I'm starting to worry a lot more.
Once I saw that Polymarket was funded by Thiel...that's when you know nothing is real anymore. They all have their thumbs on the scale in some way.We have way fewer non-partisan polls being fielded this year down the home stretch than in 2020. Garbage like Activote and AtlasIntel have been recently influencing the averages.
Once I saw that Polymarket was funded by Thiel...that's when you know nothing is real anymore. They all have their thumbs on the scale in some way.
A few anonymous wealthy people with can tilt the betting markets to create certain perceptions and I think thats what's happening.
No laws for the unfathomably rich. Especially after Project 2025 goes into effect.This has to be 100% illegal.
I just want to say again how is completely bullshit that these states get so much power just because they have roughly split electorates. The EC is the stupidest thing left in the constitution.Battleground state aggregate polling still not looking too good for Kamala. UH FCKN OH
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The polls this election have been more biased. So I’m putting way less confidence in them.My confidence is beginning to waver a bit. I know the aggregated polls are Trump biased to some degree, but I'm starting to worry a lot more.
I'm still of the belief the polls are going to be more off than in 2022, but I guess this is all wearing on me. Just the shitty media, the evil that is the Trump party, the idiot far leftist 2024 version of the Bernie Bros.We have way fewer non-partisan polls being fielded this year down the home stretch than in 2020. Garbage like Activote and AtlasIntel have been recently influencing the averages.
Need a hell of a lot more of folks like that.My dad, a previously stalwart Republican white evangelical Philadelphian, will be voting Democrat for the second time in his life this election.
I think also just pointing out that his own VP, Secretary of Defense, National Security advisors, prior Chief of Staffs, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, among others not endorsing him, and furthermore denouncing him it’s important for those people who are swingy. If that doesn’t set off alarm bells and stick, then nothing will. That goes right to the heart of fitness and sound mind to be at the helm of the most powerful economy and military in the world.The polls this election have been more biased. So I’m putting way less confidence in them.
What I do know:
You put together regular liberal voters and pickoffs of conservative leaning women and non maga republicans, along with increased deaths in the elderly in Trump counties and decent engagement of Gen Z and it should be enough.
- Roe has continued to turn out liberal voters
- Broad support for Kamala is evident in the money she’s received both from celebrities/ the liberal and non maga leaning rich and from small regular donations.
- She’s been campaigning everywhere she needs to be
- Where she can’t be we’ve seen other Dems campaigning effectively for her (Walz, the Obamas)
- Trump looks low energy- exhausted and isn’t using his campaign time wisely. Only playing to his base.
- The drag on non MAGA republicans/independents is real - a not insignificant number of formerly potential Trump voters are going to stay home or vote Kamala
If she loses it’s highly likely it will be because of voter suppression and vote counting shenanigans not from receiving fewer votes.