BTW in my original map.. I put MI as red because of Gaza and because of clowns like these:
Did they forget Rick Snyder?
Oh darn, I did flub Ohio.0 chance Kamala takes Ohio.
Sort of throwing darts at the board with this topic. So let's not read too much into it.It was awfully prescient that Pennsylvania was called the Keystone state.
Holy shit on a stick.
I was watching football yesterday and an ad said that Kamala was going to pay for prisoners to get transgender surgeries. The republican party is a total loss at this point. There is no truth and no one holding them accountable for what they say or do.I can't fucking believe this election. I just saw Ted Cruz's ad while turning the Yankees-Guardians game on and it literally said his opponent was going to sterilize children and force sex changes on them in the schools if elected to the senate. I'm dead serious, this isn't something from The Onion. And of course Cruz will win because fucking Texas.
Key Points:
- In 2019, Vice President Kamala Harris did express support for a policy that would give access to trans people who depend on state-funded health care — including inmates and detained immigrants — to gender-affirming care, which includes surgery.
- Harris and her campaign have declined to say whether she still supported it in 2024.
- However, it has been the policy in federal prisons since at least 2016, according to Bureau of Federal Prisons' guidance issued in 2016 and updated in 2022. Both President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden have maintained it. The policy follows the medical recommendations of every major medical association in the U.S.
- In 2022, a court ordered the first gender-affirming surgery for a trans federal inmate, affirming this long-standing policy. In 2023, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed an appeal to stand that ruled gender dysphoria could be included in the Americans with Disabilities Act.
Look at the scary brown people. Look at the scary trans person. Don’t look at the completely predictable results of our deregulation, tax, and tariff policies.I was watching football yesterday and an ad said that Kamala was going to pay for prisoners to get transgender surgeries. The republican party is a total loss at this point. There is no truth and no one holding them accountable for what they say or do.
Harris Supported Gender-Affirming Surgeries for Undocumented Immigrants in Custody?
"Even the liberal media was shocked," an ad for the Trump campaign said.www.snopes.com
I really don't want to make a prediction this year ... but, gun to my head, I would guess that the polls are wrong (like most of them since '20) and are probably favoring Trump incorrectly by 3-4pts. I'd say give Kamala all of MI/WI/PA/NV/AZ and one of GA/NC. TX and FL end up being closer than '20, but not yet blue/purple. D's regain house and keep Senate at either 50/50 or 51/49.
Does this scenario have a sudden death round where the first candidate that comes out with an incoherent sentence loses?
I setup my electoral college map based on how I see things playing out right now. On election day, things can change because of corruption. If the electoral college is tied. They go to house election results and whichever party controls the house chooses the President.Does this scenario have a sudden death round where the first candidate that comes out with an incoherent sentence loses?
That's not accurate. The party that controls the house does not chose the President if it's a tie. Each state only gets 1 vote. Majority (26 votes) wins.I setup my electoral college map based on how I see things playing out right now. On election day, things can change because of corruption. If the electoral college is tied. They go to house election results and whichever party controls the house chooses the President.
It is accurate. I will add the Senate decides the Vice President if there is a tie in the electoral election.That's not accurate. The party that controls the house does not chose the President if it's a tie. Each state only gets 1 vote. Majority (26 votes) wins.
Trump admin was perfectly fine implementing the law.I was watching football yesterday and an ad said that Kamala was going to pay for prisoners to get transgender surgeries. The republican party is a total loss at this point. There is no truth and no one holding them accountable for what they say or do.
Harris Supported Gender-Affirming Surgeries for Undocumented Immigrants in Custody?
"Even the liberal media was shocked," an ad for the Trump campaign said.www.snopes.com
You do realize it’s possible for a party to have a majority in a majority of state delegations in the house and not actually be the party that has the votes to elect the speaker right? The minority party can elect the President if it goes to a vote in the house.It is accurate. I will add the Senate decides the Vice President if there is a tie in the electoral election.
I would scream down the street in joy with this map. Then get drunk, and wail against the side of the house like the Jews at the Wailing Wall.Here is actually the most realistic map, if one were to take the average, of aggregated polls in each state, and no leanings.
View attachment 109681
There are 435 house votes/seats. After the election the new congress is sworn in on or around January 3rd 2025. Right now the Republicans hold a 10 seat majority in the house. I do not understand what you are saying. It's possible that a few members of congress could vote for the other candidate outside their party affiliation. If there were a tie in the electoral college. It would go to the congress which is known as the house. If the democrats flip enough seats in November to gain a majority of congressional seats. Harris would be elected President. They vote by party lines. The minority party cannot elect the President unless they can convince the other party to change their party line vote.You do realize it’s possible for a party to have a majority in a majority of state delegations in the house and not actually be the party that has the votes to elect the speaker right? The minority party can elect the President if it goes to a vote in the house.
You haven't actually read the Constitution have you?There are 435 house votes/seats. After the election the new congress is sworn in on or around January 3rd 2025. Right now the Republicans hold a 10 seat majority in the house. I do not understand what you are saying. It's possible that a few members of congress could vote for the other candidate outside their party affiliation. If there were a tie in the electoral college. It would go to the congress which is known as the house. If the democrats flip enough seats in November to gain a majority of congressional seats. Harris would be elected President. They vote by party lines. The minority party cannot elect the President unless they can convince the other party to change their party line vote.
There are 435 house votes/seats. After the election the new congress is sworn in on or around January 3rd 2025. Right now the Republicans hold a 10 seat majority in the house. I do not understand what you are saying. It's possible that a few members of congress could vote for the other candidate outside their party affiliation. If there were a tie in the electoral college. It would go to the congress which is known as the house. If the democrats flip enough seats in November to gain a majority of congressional seats. Harris would be elected President. They vote by party lines. The minority party cannot elect the President unless they can convince the other party to change their party line vote.
To be clear:Amendment XII (1804)
The Electors shall meet in their respective states and vote by ballot for President and Vice-President, one of whom, at least, shall not be an inhabitant of the same state with themselves; they shall name in their ballots the person voted for as President, and in distinct ballots the person voted for as Vice-President, and they shall make distinct lists of all persons voted for as President, and of all persons voted for as Vice-President, and of the number of votes for each, which lists they shall sign and certify, and transmit sealed to the seat of the government of the United States, directed to the President of the Senate;—The President of the Senate shall, in the presence of the Senate and House of Representatives, open all the certificates and the votes shall then be counted;—The person having the greatest Number of votes for President, shall be the President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed; and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice. And if the House of Representatives shall not choose a President whenever the right of choice shall devolve upon them, before the fourth day of March next following, then the Vice-President shall act as President, as in the case of the death or other constitutional disability of the President—The person having the greatest number of votes as Vice-President, shall be the Vice-President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed, and if no person have a majority, then from the two highest numbers on the list, the Senate shall choose the Vice-President; a quorum for the purpose shall consist of two-thirds of the whole number of Senators, and a majority of the whole number shall be necessary to a choice. But no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President of the United States.