Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

Jaskalas · Saturday at 2:04 AM

Zorba said:
@Greenman you cool with Trump jailing people for donating to Harris?

Whatever the Master says.
Cheeto Jesus wouldn't harm true Americans.

BoomerD · Saturday at 2:13 AM

jdubs03 said:
The master of projection. This shit is getting old. He’s such a little bitch.

Unfortunately, he's got a very good chance of winning.

jdubs03 · Saturday at 2:19 AM

Wow. Megan Kelly was on Real Time and sheesh that was a trip.

trenchfoot · Saturday at 3:24 AM

Zorba said:
Insane Truth by Trump. So much for the party of free speech. I really can't believe JD Vance had the gal to whine about censorship at the debate. @Greenman you cool with Trump jailing people for donating to Harris?

View attachment 110336

Well wad'da ya know, sounds a lot like what Trump, his fake electors and the people who ran that travesty of justice got handed and now Trump's scheme is to get payback for something that's not going to happen except in his head. Add to that how even as he tries to accuse his enemies of the same crimes that he and his cronies committed, his operatives across the nation are planning to sow chaos, discontent and confusion as a precursor for deploying The Big Lie v. 2.0.

It would make for a really cool SNL skit that didn't need to re-write a single thing about it, yet what Trump and the Republican party is scheming is defeating what has been America's successful system of gov't. since it's inception and replacing it with himself as The Omnipotent Transcendent One.

And seeing as if Trump's minions have already been conditioned to ignore his vile words and deeds, they'll fit right in and offer praises and their life savings to Trump when screws them over by taxing the living shit out of them and the rest of us while reneging on his hollow promises to them (again) and dutifully kowtowing to his master sensei in the Kremlin.

How millions of working class conservatives can be so clueless as to how they are going to be fucked over so bad once Trump gets his return to the White House and won't need their votes anymore.

jdubs03 · Saturday at 3:31 AM

And after all of that, they’d still vote for him again.

I honestly don’t know what it would take for these people not to vote for him, other than him not existing anymore. I was thinking something to akin to the Great Depression but even then they probably would just blame the Democrats.

brycejones · Saturday at 6:16 AM

MrPickins said:
I mean, of course that's true. But TX still had 46.5% for Biden.

I'm just saying that people treat Texas like it's Utah or Oklahoma. It's not.

We have a huge Dem base here, there is potential, and the winds seem to be shifting.

How much do dems need to win by to take the legislature away? I assume the partisan gerrymander is brutal.

Indus · Saturday at 7:29 AM

If he is not happy about his own internal polls that he has to pay for:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1850031454442418303

trenchfoot · Saturday at 7:55 AM

jdubs03 said:
And after all of that, they’d still vote for him again.

I honestly don’t know what it would take for these people not to vote for him, other than him not existing anymore. I was thinking something to akin to the Great Depression but even then they probably would just blame the Democrats.

They're the eternal victimized class of America. In that role, they can blame their tormenters (that's us, their fellow Americans believe it or not) for every stupid nonsensical thing they do like voting for a convicted felon, tax cheat and adulterating thief of top secret gov't documents.

In that role, he and they are supposed to be able to defend themselves by gerrymandering themselves into safety and suppressing their enemy's ability to vote against them. Yet due to these ploys not being effective enough to ensure their ability to dictate terms to their "enemies from within", they've gone one step further and decided that the Constitution and the Rule of Law is not working in their favor so that needs to be thrown out along with the trash that's poisoning the blood of the nation.

Ergo, what better way than to finish the coup they started back in 2020 so they can prop up that narcissistic convicted felon of theirs as their Dictator-in-Chief.

cytg111 · Saturday at 7:57 AM

hal2kilo said:
Just cancelled my Prime membership. FU Bezos.

It should ring alarm bells that the money people is projecting what a Trump win will look like for them personally if they're not in line.

It sure as fuck smells like Russia.

Lost_in_the_HTTP · Saturday at 8:05 AM

^^^ I think they're afraid of what Kam's FTC and SEC might do. Many of them are already facing various federal actions.

MrSquished · Saturday at 8:35 AM

Not good news in AZ

Yashar Ali 🐘 (@yasharali) on Threads

NEW Registration numbers for Arizona are out. Republicans lead by 6.8 points. Republicans haven’t had this big of a registration advantage since 2006. Republican voter registration advantages last two general elections: 2020: R +3 2016: R +4.1 (Per Garrett Archer)

www.threads.net

Indus · Saturday at 8:40 AM

MrSquished said:
Not good news in AZ

Yashar Ali 🐘 (@yasharali) on Threads

NEW Registration numbers for Arizona are out. Republicans lead by 6.8 points. Republicans haven’t had this big of a registration advantage since 2006. Republican voter registration advantages last two general elections: 2020: R +3 2016: R +4.1 (Per Garrett Archer)

www.threads.net

Yeah that would explain why Trump's not bothering going to AZ.

gothuevos · Saturday at 8:55 AM

MrSquished said:
Not good news in AZ

Yashar Ali 🐘 (@yasharali) on Threads

NEW Registration numbers for Arizona are out. Republicans lead by 6.8 points. Republicans haven’t had this big of a registration advantage since 2006. Republican voter registration advantages last two general elections: 2020: R +3 2016: R +4.1 (Per Garrett Archer)

www.threads.net

Foolish to think that BOTH Arizona and GA would go blue two cycles in a row. Pick one. Doesn't look like it will be AZ.

MrSquished · Saturday at 9:10 AM

gothuevos said:
Foolish to think that BOTH Arizona and GA would go blue two cycles in a row. Pick one. Doesn't look like it will be AZ.

Yes I don't think she's in trouble electorally but this win needs to be as decisive as possible due to the fact that we know the Republicans will try to overthrow the election.

[DHT]Osiris · Saturday at 9:24 AM

MrSquished said:
Yes I don't think she's in trouble electorally but this win needs to be as decisive as possible due to the fact that we know the Republicans will try to overthrow the election.

If there's a presumption that Republicans will attempt to bypass the election, I'm not sure how winning harder electorally will help that.

outriding · Saturday at 9:43 AM

Amused said:
My regular weekday ride loop

https://strava.app.link/d7L9BMR2ZNb

My every other week Saturday ride.

https://strava.app.link/RLyfCIX2ZNb

The other Saturdays we travel to do 50 or so miles elsewhere.

lol. I checked it like a year ago

Mine has been lame for the last 3 years. Dealing with a parathyroid issue and got that fixed now this year 2 broken bones

https://strava.app.link/AZ2EuXKH0Nb

K1052 · Saturday at 9:57 AM

MrSquished said:
Not good news in AZ

Yashar Ali 🐘 (@yasharali) on Threads

NEW Registration numbers for Arizona are out. Republicans lead by 6.8 points. Republicans haven’t had this big of a registration advantage since 2006. Republican voter registration advantages last two general elections: 2020: R +3 2016: R +4.1 (Per Garrett Archer)

www.threads.net

The explosion of non-partisan voter registration in AZ and NV has dramatically increased the difficulty in reading the D-R voter registration gap and accurately intuiting its impact on an election.

However NP registration is roaring in younger voters and we do know which way most of them are inclined.

Dave_5k · Saturday at 9:59 AM

brycejones said:
How much do dems need to win by to take the legislature away? I assume the partisan gerrymander is brutal.

2022 TX voting: 52% R - 46% D, to gain the R's 57% of TX legislature seats (86 of the 150). So Dems would need to pick up 12 seats to take control.
- Only 3 Republican seats were within 10%
- Another 3 were within 12%
- To get to 12 seats would require a 17% swing (or +8.5 D / -8.5 R)

Texas isn't nearly as badly gerrymandered as many other states. Instead, they heavily rig who is allowed to vote via the voter registration process...

2022 Texas House of Representatives election - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

MrSquished · Saturday at 10:02 AM

[DHT]Osiris said:
If there's a presumption that Republicans will attempt to bypass the election, I'm not sure how winning harder electorally will help that.

Why not? They would potentially have to try to overthrow the election on more fronts. And overall, it absolutely makes more sense for the bigger and more dramatic Kamala win we have, the better. I have zero idea why you think a narrow win is the same difference.

Amused · Saturday at 10:06 AM

outriding said:
lol. I checked it like a year ago

Mine has been lame for the last 3 years. Dealing with a parathyroid issue and got that fixed now this year 2 broken bones

https://strava.app.link/AZ2EuXKH0Nb

Oh man, that sucks! I know how that is, I had a bad couple of years with foot surgeries and vision problems. Osteoarthritis is a bitch. I had one winter where my ski boots were the only comfortable shoes because I had them fitted/formed to relieve the pressure on the bone spurs on the tops of my big toe knuckles. That spring I had surgery to remove them and was out for the summer.

Looks like you fell on your hands and elbows? OUCH!!! That's a LOT of hardware! Is it healing well?

I laid off for a bit. And when I got back into it I just didn't use Strava. Started on Strava again in July. My first ride on Strava in July was kinda hilarious because I was already in shape again and broke about 40 of my previous segment records on my route.

One of the reasons I love CA is because of hills AND the coastal Mediterranean weather. It's cycling heaven here. The downside is I'm heavy (200lbs), and hills grind chains like crazy. I'm only getting about 1000-1500 miles on Ultegra chains.

Side note: Being a cyclist has made me appreciate EV cars so much more. It's nice to not inhale exhaust fumes on the road.

[DHT]Osiris · Saturday at 10:11 AM

MrSquished said:
Why not? They would potentially have to try to overthrow the election on more fronts. And overall, it absolutely makes more sense for the bigger and more dramatic Kamala win we have, the better. I have zero idea why you think a narrow win is the same difference.

Right, but if they've found an angle to bypass a democratic win in one place, I don't know why that wouldn't work everywhere at once.

Lost_in_the_HTTP · Saturday at 10:59 AM

Why are AZ (D)s going (I)?

And is it happening in other states?

K1052 · Saturday at 11:05 AM

Lost_in_the_HTTP said:
Why are AZ (D)s going (I)?

Younger/new voters more likely to identity as independents. Though we know how those cohorts tend to or are likely vote.

Lost_in_the_HTTP said:
And is it happening in other states?

Yes. Especially adjacent Nevada where automatic registration defaults new people to non-partisan.

Lost_in_the_HTTP · Saturday at 11:11 AM

That would be an increase in (I)s without the notable decrease in (D)s.

K1052 · Saturday at 11:24 AM

Lost_in_the_HTTP said:
That would be an increase in (I)s without the notable decrease in (D)s.

There is some switching happening also but kind of pales in comparison to the organic rise in NP. People also attrit from the rolls also due to moving, deaths, etc. Voters switching partisan registration is also usually a lagging indicator from how they have been already voting. D's flipping R have probably already voted for Rs a cycle or two and vice versa.

Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

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