News Intel 3Q24 Earnings Results

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poke01

Platinum Member
Mar 8, 2022
2,352
3,074
106
Intel is lowering the Gaudi sales estimate for the year, it won't achieve the previous forecast of $500M. No new forecast given, unless I missed it. This pretty much means Gaudi is already dead since no successor is planned.
No one thought otherwise and those that did don’t know Intel very well
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
6,330
11,156
136
$16 billion loss? Pat is cooked.

Huge chunks of that are from one time charges (severance packages / reorgs) and accounting charges but not actual money spent (accelerated depreciation accounting of fab equipment, goodwill impairment). Not that those things aren't bad, but it should only be a one time "charge". With that said, even when excluding those things, it's still rough.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
6,330
11,156
136
CFO said they paid down $2.8B in debt in Q3. They must tapped into their cash reserves and have paid off either higher interest debt or some kind of loan that was coming due because they haven't been making any money to use for debt payments.

Edit: Looking at the earnings release, it was $2.28B in debt pay down, but they also took on new debt, so? Looks like they sold some investments to help with cash this quarter as well. Cash and cash equivalents is down to $8.8B. It was around $40B just a couple of years ago. Debt is $46.5B and is now a hair higher than total liquid assets (cash, inventories, etc., not all assets like fabs and equipment).
 
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Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
26,258
15,391
136
Those charts say "granit rapids increasing competitive" when a review just came out that said that Turin was 20-40% higher in performance and lower in power usage. I don't think those statements by Intel are correct.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
6,330
11,156
136
I'm not sure that's accurate as Pat just said on the call that the >15% headcount reduction mostly completed in Q3.

The earnings report shows what Ian said so I'm not sure how to make that work with Pat's statement. My guess is that if an employee is fired/quits mid-quarter, they are still counted as an employee for that quarter in these reports and the reduction won't be counted until the following quarter. So, a very large headcount reduction happened in Q3, but since they all worked at least 1 day in that quarter, the reduction won't be reflected until the Q4 report.
 

gdansk

Diamond Member
Feb 8, 2011
3,110
4,834
136
Those charts say "granit rapids increasing competitive" when a review just came out that said that Turin was 20-40% higher in performance and lower in power usage. I don't think those statements by Intel are correct.
Nah, it is more competitive. They were very far behind before. Now they have core count parity and are only 1 zen behind.
 

controlflow

Member
Feb 17, 2015
186
314
136
Those charts say "granit rapids increasing competitive" when a review just came out that said that Turin was 20-40% higher in performance and lower in power usage. I don't think those statements by Intel are correct.
From Phoronix:

Epyc 9755
Geo Mean of all Test Results: 992.91
Average Power: 324.1W

Xeon 6980P
Geo Mean of all Test Results: 838.83
Average Power: 331.79 W

I'm not seeing the 20-40% higher performance you are talking about.

This figure also includes the bugged NAMD test where GNR was nearly 5-10x slower than SPR and Genoa. If you exclude that they would be even closer. GNR looks pretty competitive and certainly MUCH closer than SPR and EMR were to Genoa.

It does look like GNR launched with a bunch of bugs though as it doesn't appear to really scale at all when going to 2P.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
26,258
15,391
136
From Phoronix:

Epyc 9755
Geo Mean of all Test Results: 992.91
Average Power: 324.1W

Xeon 6980P
Geo Mean of all Test Results: 838.83
Average Power: 331.79 W

I'm not seeing the 20-40% higher performance you are talking about.

This figure also includes the bugged NAMD test where GNR was nearly 5-10x slower than SPR and Genoa. If you exclude that they would be even closer. GNR looks pretty competitive and certainly MUCH closer than SPR and EMR were to Genoa.

It does look like GNR launched with a bunch of bugs though as it doesn't appear to really scale at all when going to 2P.
I could not find those numbers, I guess I was reading other pages or possibly a different review. BUT,,, even by those numbers they lost in performance and power.

And as far as intestors... They had the worst EVER results vs AMD in data center, and now AMD has done more business in DEC than intel for the first time ever.

And the stock goes up ?? Investors are actual idiots, even from just a financial point of view.
 

controlflow

Member
Feb 17, 2015
186
314
136
I could not find those numbers, I guess I was reading other pages or possibly a different review. BUT,,, even by those numbers they lost in performance and power.
Yes Turin is better than GNR overall but unlike the past with SPR/EMR, GNR is at least competitive and has pretty decent performance/watt.

And as far as intestors... They had the worst EVER results vs AMD in data center, and now AMD has done more business in DEC than intel for the first time ever.

And the stock goes up ?? Investors are actual idiots, even from just a financial point of view.

Whether a stock goes up or down is also a function of the current stock valuation.

Intel stock went up because its previous price was well below book value/liquidation value. The market had priced in a much more negative scenario for Intel relative to the guidance Intel is giving. The market sees the positive EPS forecast for Q4 and is reasonably happy with it because they expected quite a bit worse.

On the contrary, AMD had a good quarter and issued pretty good guidance but the stock still tanked because it was priced for perfection. The expectations were much higher for AMD. Good enough ain't good enough when the stock is already trading at a huge premium.
 
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desrever

Senior member
Nov 6, 2021
208
538
106
Intel is trying to present that this is the bottom and its all up from here and the investors are buying it. They will learn about their costly mistake eventually. Wouldn't be surprised if Q1 2025 is a blood bath again like last Q.
 
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Saylick

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2012
3,605
8,076
136
Intel is trying to present that this is the bottom and its all up from here and the investors are buying it. They will learn about their costly mistake eventually. Wouldn't be surprised if Q1 2025 is a blood bath again like last Q.
I've lost count how many times I've heard that come out of Pat's mouth before...
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
15,292
5,807
136
Very curious what these cost of sales impairment charges were for. Also, why did Intel first lengthen their depreciation schedule for foundries and then this quarter decided to charge according to an accelerated depreciation schedule for the Intel 7 node assets?

Apparently from the "prepared remarks" it's due to Intel 7 equipment they bought too much of and decided now is the time to recognize the loss because of course it is.

$3.1 billion dollars down the drain.

Related to our cost and efficiency actions, the restructuring charges we took in Q3 were
significant and necessary to right-size the company as we reduce spending by over $10 billion in
2025. There was also a sizeable impairment mostly related to Intel 7 equipment and space,
reflecting excess COVID-era spending that we have concluded cannot migrate to more advanced
nodes now that we have fully transitioned to EUV processing

Almost $700M reduction in desktop revenue is nothing to sneeze either.
 

desrever

Senior member
Nov 6, 2021
208
538
106
Apparently from the "prepared remarks" it's due to Intel 7 equipment they bought too much of and decided now is the time to recognize the loss because of course it is.

$3.1 billion dollars down the drain.



Almost $700M reduction in desktop revenue is nothing to sneeze either.
My guess is Intel tried to amortize their equipment depreciation like TSMC and then nobody is going to use their older nodes so they can't keep them on the books so now they are doing a write off. Expect the same thing to happen with Intel 4/3. 🤣
 

DavidC1

Golden Member
Dec 29, 2023
1,084
1,730
96
So...

CCG is down, NEX is down, Foundry is down, Altera is down, and Mobileye is down.

I think all the arrows point toward one culprit - Intel management.
 
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