Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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StefanR5R

Elite Member
Dec 10, 2016
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And do you have any idea why its so hard to find a Turin motherboard ?
mainboard maker — — — — — — — — — > distributor — — — — — — — — — > retail

This process takes a while. But more importantly, we don't know when the mainboard makers started the process of receiving the specs, designing, receiving CPU engineering samples, prototyping, receiving qualification samples, producing initial batches and testing internally and at ODMs, going through the back and forth of various beta BIOSes..., starting to actually fulfill various contracts with ODMs and distributors. Granted, the fact that Turin is still on SP5 makes this all quicker than if a new socket was involved.

Just because AMD "launched" Turin doesn't mean that retail has got stock of CPUs and ready mainboards the day/ the week/ the month after. The delay should be at the order of months rather. OTOH, some priority customers may already have finished going through the above mentioned motions months before the "launch", but these customers don't produce retail hardware.
 
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Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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absolutely massive backorders by huge cloud providers

same for other new #1 performing hardware getting released i.e. nvidia Blackwell, huge B2B supply before releasing client/retail

this is the reality today

What is the new Blackwell platform? The old Hopper platform with Sapphire rapids is probably a little too old.
 

Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
4,701
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I watched the Chips and Cheese video where they interview the AMD chief architect. I find it really interesting and smart that Zen 5 is basically a wider "reset" of Zen. Now they will begin to integrate some of the smarter features of Zen 2-4 into Zen 6 and beyond. They really seem to have their house in order.
 
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Joe NYC

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Jun 26, 2021
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I watched the Chips and Cheese video where they interview the AMD chief architect. I find it really interesting and smart that Zen 5 is basically a wider "reset" of Zen. Now they will being to integrate some of the smarter features of Zen 2-4 into Zen 6 and beyond. They really seem to have their house in order.

I think so. So does the Intel E-Core team.

But Intel P-Core team seems to be lost. Probably overwhelmed by its complexity, unable to complete a similar re-vamp.
 

Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
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I think so. So does the Intel E-Core team.

But Intel P-Core team seems to be lost. Probably overwhelmed by its complexity, unable to complete a similar re-vamp.
There are obviously advantages to having one "core" architecture. Less, more focused resources and a unified direction and goal for the team.

I was under the impression that Intel is large enough to develop two architectures simultaneously, and they are, but they don't seem to be able to coordinate the teams.

I wonder how many people at the end of the day are actually the ones making the big decisions regarding this CPU's? I'm sure you've heard of the Pareto distribution, which essentially claims that the square root of the number of workers do half the work. So if you have 100 engineers on a project, 10 are doing 50% of the work.
 

OneEng2

Senior member
Sep 19, 2022
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There are obviously advantages to having one "core" architecture. Less, more focused resources and a unified direction and goal for the team.

I was under the impression that Intel is large enough to develop two architectures simultaneously, and they are, but they don't seem to be able to coordinate the teams.

I wonder how many people at the end of the day are actually the ones making the big decisions regarding this CPU's? I'm sure you've heard of the Pareto distribution, which essentially claims that the square root of the number of workers do half the work. So if you have 100 engineers on a project, 10 are doing 50% of the work.
I have personally seen this to be true over my decades of engineering management.

Additionally, more is not always better. It slows things down when you have to continuously keep 100 engineers on track.

As for multiple core designs, I believe that it is getting increasingly difficult to validate a design on an advanced node. Efficiency is important in design teams as well as the design itself.
 

fastandfurious6

Senior member
Jun 1, 2024
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It's a Culture problem. HR is the cancer of the 'modern' workplace, companies controlled by HR and/or MBAs are terminally-ill and on their way to the graveyard without any saving grace. American HR is the strongest form of this cancer.


AMD always had strong engineering culture, before "true dual core" days. "AMD fine wine" is because of that. Before Lisa Su, the company was heavily American HR/MBA controlled, wouldn't let Engineering breathe. Lisa Su fixed that - the holy grail of Phd electrical engineer + proper stakeholder management, in other words the top head literally knowing ins and outs of chips and process - hence Zen - she enabled engineers to establish their channels and good work just keeps growing. That being said, AMD unfortunately still has a lot of 'warts' in many areas i.e. software, channels sales, laptop partnerships etc


Intel always was and always will be a manifestation of American HR/greedy management. Aggressive sales to the maximum with #1 tactic defaming their opponent, slicing to pieces. The core reason why they went to hell during the last decade with 10nm+++++++++ and now literally struggling to keep the company afloat, lies upon lies upon lies. I don't think Pat Gelsinger has changed much - but he seems to aggressively give 300% effort to keep the thing afloat by trying to push hard for architects and chips


Technology companies, whether hardware or software or both, NEED to have technical leadership taking the shots Full Stop
 
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Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
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I have personally seen this to be true over my decades of engineering management.

Additionally, more is not always better. It slows things down when you have to continuously keep 100 engineers on track.

As for multiple core designs, I believe that it is getting increasingly difficult to validate a design on an advanced node. Efficiency is important in design teams as well as the design itself.
Yes, as much as we want more and better engineers at these companies, good management is very important as well.

Do a little scouting, find the best path and send the whole team down it. AMD.
Do a little scouting, can't find the best path but instead 2 or 3 that look promising, split up the teams and send them. Intel.

But how many scouts do you send, how far do they go before they turn around, and how much of the team should follow? Those are important management decisions.

AMD seems to have found a good path and went all in on it. Intel seems to be a little lost currently.
 

OneEng2

Senior member
Sep 19, 2022
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Yes, as much as we want more and better engineers at these companies, good management is very important as well.

Do a little scouting, find the best path and send the whole team down it. AMD.
Do a little scouting, can't find the best path but instead 2 or 3 that look promising, split up the teams and send them. Intel.

But how many scouts do you send, how far do they go before they turn around, and how much of the team should follow? Those are important management decisions.

AMD seems to have found a good path and went all in on it. Intel seems to be a little lost currently.
What you do if you have the resources:

1) Research the most advantageous approaches
2) Narrow it down with a DAR process to the "best n approaches". Lets say 2 for arguments sake
3) Perform a POC on each approach and evaluate from an engineering perspective
4) Perform a detailed business case on each approach
5) Pick the best approach to meet the business needs of the company.

AMD seems to have found a nice approach indeed. They have groomed the approach of being fabless and implementing their single core design and its variants on multiple vendor nodes using toolsets that allow this from that vendor. They have succeeded in having their vendor supply scaling of that process as volumes increase.

Intel is not in the same place. They are stuck with an internal process that has not been working for many years. As a result, they have dipped their toe into the waters of an external vendor .... but I suspect that they are really bad at this model as it flies in the face of "Intel Inside" philosophy. Everyone on this forum seems to believe that the CPU architecture is Intel's biggest problem. I tend to believe it is their failed internal process and their inability to change to a different business model that is killing them. I tend to agree with their concept of change, but find it hard to believe that they can so radically change the entire company in the time window given.

Look how long it took AMD to make a similar change.... and that was a much smaller train to turn around.
 

moinmoin

Diamond Member
Jun 1, 2017
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Starting with Zen AMD tried to design dies that are reusable across the whole product range for biggest possible TAMs, from high end server, through client, to low end embedded. This gave AMD a lot of flexibility in what products to release to what markets. Aside mobile AMD only with Zen 4 started to diversify their die designs, introducing the dense core, and with Zen 5 different approaches to 512bit AVX.

Intel somehow is great at hampering their own flexibility from the get go. Every market gets their own designs at their own timeline, making TTM a major issue. Flexibility is further being diminished even in cases where the opportunity was offered on a silver platter, like the move to tiles.
 

eek2121

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2005
3,135
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Everybody gets excited... it's actually released... twelve CCDs... one of them has V-cache.
Everyone (including me) gets excited because we want a proper HEDT part. Threadripper addresses a small market because AMD treats it like an enterprise or workstation part. If they released a proper 24+ core part that hit 5.7+ ghz (+X3D) at a somewhat reasonable price without exotic $1,000+ motherboard prices, and if it were unlocked, they’d sell the parts. I’d definitely pay $1,200 for a 32 core 5.7ghz (peak) chip with quad channel memory and say 32 lanes of PCIE 5.

I have actually done a bit of research on this. Many AI folks are also into gaming, as an example. I even know some VC folks that would love to have such a rig before they invest in certain companies.

Neither AMD nor Intel is investing in the middle market, and I suspect ARM companies may beat them up there as a result.

Every part AMD has released has a compromise. Many of us want no compromises. We want chips that perform the best regardless of the scenario, and this is an area where AMD has struggled since X399.


EDIT: If you doubt my words, look at how much NVIDIA’s 4090 costs, it was among their top selling parts.
 

LightningZ71

Golden Member
Mar 10, 2017
1,910
2,260
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The ARM market isn't going to go anywhere near the Thread ripper/HEDT market any time soon. They barely have a handful of socketed motherboards or even embedded atx compliant motherboards out there. They toyed with a micro-desktop with the X Elite dev kit and canned that in the crib.

If you can afford a HEDT for your workspace, you can afford a modest gaming laptop that won't put your main work/business/hobby rig in jeopardy of getting messed with by game updates and anticheating software.

That being said, I am still firmly in the camp of there being a profitable market for the SP6 socket derived threadrippers if properly priced and marketed. I also understand that every CCD that goes in that product could earn more profit in DC sales.
 
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