Iowa is more politically elastic than Texas. It is also one of the most politically engaged populaces. It’s going to flip back to blue before Texas does. But it’s not always going to stay blue. It’s going to follow the tea leaves.North Carolina and even Florida should be much easier to flip than Iowa. And also the Texas margin in 2020 (R+5.5) was narrower than Iowa (R+8), just for 3 big states. An 11 point swing is still quite hard to believe. That is for Iowa to be Harris+3 in that poll, vs. Trump+8 in 2020.