Discussion ***Official*** 2024 Stock Market Thread 💰

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dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
25,554
4,050
126
I don't see how that changes any of what I said. One could make $100k a year on CD's or govt bonds, assuming you buy enough of them.
You said "effectively a meaningless drop". It isn't meaningless, even if you own a little tiny fraction. Small yes, meaningless no. Repoman0's post addressed that flaw of your statement. He isn't Warren Buffet, yet he got a meaningful amount of money.
 

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
4,772
3,852
136
You said "effectively a meaningless drop". It isn't meaningless, even if you own a little tiny fraction. Small yes, meaningless no. Repoman0's post addressed that flaw of your statement. He isn't Warren Buffet, yet he got a meaningful amount of money.
Right. It’s not just betting on share prices like crypto. He selectively ignored the part about dividends — real cash paid to “part owners.”
 

Train

Lifer
Jun 22, 2000
13,576
72
91
www.bing.com
Funny you mention dividends as I am more pro-dividend than most investors. Yet every investing forum shits on dividend investing saying the dividend is priced in or the stock will drop by the same amount, ad nauseum. My guess is I could find the same oft repeated comments in this thread and previous years threads. I make a sizeable income on stock dividends, though not enough to quit my day job any time soon. But those numbers are meaningless without considering the annualized return versus both cost basis and current price. (thus my comparison to CD's and Bonds)

If you own stocks, you own bitcoin. A growing number of corps are diversifying cash holdings into BTC. Microsoft is considering moving just 1% of their cash reserve into BTC.
 
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biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
18,846
5,706
136
If anything bitcoin is probably more like investing in valuables like art, fine wine, expensive watches etc.

Artifacts which are favorable when you want to do money laundering, avoid paying taxes and circumvent tariffs etc. Just like bitcoins, which coincidentally is turning popular now....
 
Dec 10, 2005
25,509
8,928
136
If anything bitcoin is probably more like investing in valuables like art, fine wine, expensive watches etc.

Artifacts which are favorable when you want to do money laundering, avoid paying taxes and circumvent tariffs etc. Just like bitcoins, which coincidentally is turning popular now....
At least if you buy a piece of art or jewelry, you have something tangible and real.
 
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linkgoron

Platinum Member
Mar 9, 2005
2,459
1,035
136
Gambling with an underlaying basis of economic activity. Crypto has no underlaying basis of value.
How is buying bitcoin any different than buying gold, or silver - or maybe let's compare something like IBIT or FBTC to GLDM...

I agree that in reality it's mostly waiting for bag holders. I've put some small amount of money on MSTR. Only question is when to exit...
 
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repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
4,772
3,852
136
How is buying bitcoin any different than buying gold, or silver - or maybe let's compare something like IBIT or FBTC to GLDW...

I agree that in reality it's mostly waiting for bag holders. I've put some small amount of money on MSTR. Only question is when to exit...
Gold and silver are hedges for the paranoid. They both have thousands of years of history of people directly trading them for food and goods. Bitcoin depends on the modern world continuing to function and society allowing it to continue to burn 1% of the world’s electricity budget.

I have considered holding some physical gold and it wouldn’t have been a terrible idea (I was looking when it was $1800 and even bought a cool gold eagle, but sold it back). But if that physical part of my portfolio ever becomes important we’re in trouble and I’d probably rather have guns and ammo and canned food.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
70,732
29,883
136
How is buying bitcoin any different than buying gold, or silver - or maybe let's compare something like IBIT or FBTC to GLDW...

I agree that in reality it's mostly waiting for bag holders. I've put some small amount of money on MSTR. Only question is when to exit...
Don't look to me as someone to defend hoarding gold or silver. High school me tried silver in the 80s and it is lower today in inflation adjusted dollars than when I bought.
 
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Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
12,764
8,959
136
At least if you buy a piece of art or jewelry, you have something tangible and real.

It's like a gentleman's club with bouncers designed to take your money like some sort of exclusive club!

But who can you sell crypto to? big firms??

And if you say it's a ponzi scheme.. you're looked upon like a troll and laughed at.. and still they find suckers to buy into it.
 
Dec 10, 2005
25,509
8,928
136
It's like a gentleman's club with bouncers designed to take your money like some sort of exclusive club!

But who can you sell crypto to? big firms??

And if you say it's a ponzi scheme.. you're looked upon like a troll and laughed at.. and still they find suckers to buy into it.
Yeah, crypto is kind of scamy, with the "good uses" seemingly limited to gambling and doing illegal things. Going to simply stay away from "investing" in such a product and stick with my boring index funds.
 
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dullard

Elite Member
May 21, 2001
25,554
4,050
126
How is buying bitcoin any different than buying gold, or silver - or maybe let's compare something like IBIT or FBTC to GLDM...

I agree that in reality it's mostly waiting for bag holders. I've put some small amount of money on MSTR. Only question is when to exit...
When there is major turmoil in your part of the world, gold and silver don't do a whole lot (food and shelter are way more important). But at least you can trade them for food and shelter. Try trading crypto for food and shelter when there is no electricity or no internet because of that major turmoil. On average, about 1 in 25 people in the world are in that situation of a long term blackout.

Really think about trading crypto for what is important when you have no power and/or no internet. That is how they are different.
 
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Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
68,788
12,783
126
www.anyf.ca
I think it's good to diversify. Stable stuff like index funds lets smart people do the gambling for you. Kind of like hiring someone to go play poker at the casino and you take a cut of proceeds. Buy stocks directly if you're confident, that's like going to the casino yourself and playing a game you're good at, or you think you're good at. Then if you really want to be risky, there's crypto.

The problem I have with crypto is our government taxes it, and since crypto is not really an official financial instrument, you're on the hook to do all the tax stuff yourself. I have no idea how to even do that, so I stay away from it to avoid jail time. With stocks, index funds etc, I just have it setup in a TFSA, so there's no taxes at all but even if there was, I would get a form in the mail that I can just give to my accountant at tax time. I'm not aware of a way to do that with crypto.

I have silver too, but that's more like a super long term investment. Like if it goes up to $1,000 at some point I will make bank with it. Otherwise it's just something shiny to look at and know that it's in 100% my control. Right now if I sold everything I would make close to a grand. It has shot up in the past year or so.
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
12,764
8,959
136
When there is major turmoil in your part of the world, gold and silver don't do a whole lot (food and shelter are way more important). But at least you can trade them for food and shelter. Try trading crypto for food and shelter when there is no electricity or no internet because of that major turmoil. On average, about 1 in 25 people in the world are in that situation of a long term blackout.

Really think about trading crypto for what is important when you have no power and/or no internet. That is how they are different.

Yeah seriously.. if there were 21 million platinum boxes.. I'd be trying hard to acquire one.. because that platinum box actually has value.

I maybe "stupid" for not getting into crypto but I have no desire to look "galactically stupid" by getting played like a fool.
 
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FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
29,773
2,326
126
SMCI up 40% from 18.58 to 30.00 after plan submitted to Nasdaq to remain listed and appointment of new auditor.

I have one call at 21.00 for $3.50.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
70,732
29,883
136
Nvidia doubles revenue and the stock tanks. Irrational exuberance and irrational expectations are the times we're in. A 3 trillion dollar plus company doubling revenue is damn near impossible and the market pouts.
 

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
4,772
3,852
136
After hours trading is weird .. doesn’t necessarily represent what’s going to happen tomorrow. Also it’s only down 1% now.
 

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
4,772
3,852
136
I shifted 100% of my and my wife’s 401k+mega backdoor roth contributions to total bond market funds. Don’t want to do any selling or rebalancing really but we’re pretty overweight equities and I couldn’t trust the incoming admin less to keep the ship afloat. It’ll still take years to even get down to 80% stocks assuming the market doesn’t tank. Plus we buy plenty of VTI after tax.
 
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