Question Zen 6 Speculation Thread

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desrever

Senior member
Nov 6, 2021
290
766
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Whoa, a Zen Interview with Mike Clark by Casey Muratori (who is a really badass well informed developer btw )


Lot's of nice detail. Among other things:



AMD's own Phil Park also recommends it:



CASEY: Similar question, but moving to the OS side of things: does the 4k page size on x64 create problems for you architecturally by limiting the L1 cache size due to how tagging works? Would architectures like Zen benefit if x64 operating systems moved to 2mb pages as the smallest page size, or perhaps a 16k or 64k page size if you were to introduce that in a future architecture?

MIKE: Definitely. We always encourage developers to use larger page sizes if they can, because it gives us a lot more capacity in our TLBs and therefore less TLB pressure overall. But we have the ability to combine 4k pages into larger pages in our TLB if the OS allocates them sequentially. We can turn four 4k pages into a 16k page if they are virtually and physically sequential. That's been a technique we've used even since the original Zen to help software get the benefits of larger page sizes without moving away from 4k pages.
This can limit the performance of x86 vs Apple silicon and there won't be a real solution for a long time. The fact x86 needs to run Windows and Linux and both is still 4k pages default means it will be limited by design. This is just 1 major issue that can fixed if theres no need to support legacy. Apple has moved past 4k pages because they can control the software side as well as hardware, might be where some of their performance/efficiency gains are coming from.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,722
4,643
136
oh...... what a terrible misleading graph 😂

still graph implies +14% MT perf 45w vs 45w (gorgon vs strix)
That s rather 6.55% MT uplift at 45W, this amount to a N4 to N4P shrink.
Anyway if this is for 2026 it means that Zen 6 APUs will be released in Q4 2026
at the earliest.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,301
7,312
136
How has the 5nm node held back Zen 5 performance?

I think that was more in reference to the IO die. I don't know if that's necessarily the node (6nm) so much as design choices by AMD to keep the power use down, particularly at idle.

More specifically it was about the IO die not being able to leverage faster RAM speeds leading to the cores being bandwidth starved for anything that could use all 16 of them on the top-end models.

It also meant slightly worse latency, but there's X3D models can eliminate that to some degree unless it's essentially random memory accesses.

Personally I think AMD should design the IO to prioritize performance more. Laptops are using APUs that can be designed to prioritize power and server chips want to be always in use, so idle state is rarely reached. Most desktop users don't care and AMD could design a low power mode where at idle the memory controller operates at a smaller fraction of actual memory speed, something like a hypothetical gear 4 or even gear 8 in an Intel CPU. Even if they don't and the IO die is drawing more power and dissipating more heat I don't think it breaks the bank on power limits or presents any hotspot issues as far as cooling is concerned.
 
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Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
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I think that was more in reference to the IO die. I don't know if that's necessarily the node (6nm) so much as design choices by AMD to keep the power use down, particularly at idle.

More specifically it was about the IO die not being able to leverage faster RAM speeds leading to the cores being bandwidth starved for anything that could use all 16 of them on the top-end models.

It also meant slightly worse latency, but there's X3D models can eliminate that to some degree unless it's essentially random memory accesses.

Personally I think AMD should design the IO to prioritize performance more. Laptops are using APUs that can be designed to prioritize power and server chips want to be always in use, so idle state is rarely reached. Most desktop users don't care and AMD could design a low power mode where at idle the memory controller operates at a smaller fraction of actual memory speed, something like a hypothetical gear 4 or even gear 8 in an Intel CPU. Even if they don't and the IO die is drawing more power and dissipating more heat I don't think it breaks the bank on power limits or presents any hotspot issues as far as cooling is concerned.
Good info/speculation. Thank you for your insight.
 

OneEng2

Senior member
Sep 19, 2022
462
695
106
Whoa, a Zen Interview with Mike Clark by Casey Muratori (who is a really badass well informed developer btw )


Lot's of nice detail. Among other things:



AMD's own Phil Park also recommends it:



Thanks Gideon.

That is how I see it as well. ARM is good at low power because that was the design goals for its use.

Fundamentally, there is no inherent advantage that I can see of one ISA over the other... at least I have yet to have anyone convince me otherwise.
 
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OneEng2

Senior member
Sep 19, 2022
462
695
106
That s rather 6.55% MT uplift at 45W, this amount to a N4 to N4P shrink.
Anyway if this is for 2026 it means that Zen 6 APUs will be released in Q4 2026
at the earliest.
I don't think the refresh is Zen 6. It is a Zen 5 Strix Point refresh AFAIK. Likely just a stepping that improved yields and clock speeds a bit with perhaps a tiny improvement in the memory controller interface giving MT a little more air to breath.

if 12 cores gets you just a 6% increase, then each core is only improving by 1/2%. Easily achievable with a little tweak or a little bump in clock speed.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,722
4,643
136
I don't think the refresh is Zen 6. It is a Zen 5 Strix Point refresh AFAIK. Likely just a stepping that improved yields and clock speeds a bit with perhaps a tiny improvement in the memory controller interface giving MT a little more air to breath.

if 12 cores gets you just a 6% increase, then each core is only improving by 1/2%. Easily achievable with a little tweak or a little bump in clock speed.
I didnt imply that it was Zen 6, beside 6% MT improvement imply 6% higher perf for all cores, dunno from where you did extract your quirky maths.
 
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Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,931
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well yeah it says it right there.
Zen5 n stuff.

It reminds me of Hawk Point refresh (from Phoenix) at 2024 CES, while the main act of 2024 being Zen 5 release.

Hopefully, 2026 will follow 2024 pattern, and we get some of the Zen 6 being released by mid-year 2026 (as MLID seems to think is the case while Kepler disagrees).

Because, I wonder, what would cause the cadence to slow down from Zen 5 -> Zen 6, if Zen 6 is an incremental upgrade (unlike Zen 5), and AMD already is well on the way (from the work put into Strix Halo) with the new IO dies.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
2,931
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N2 volume probably. Zen2 had a similar schedule when it got moved from N10 to N7.

N2 is on schedule, no hick ups. Risk production in H2 2025, volume production starting in 2026. There were some rumors / leaks that AMD is participating in the N2 risk production (Zen 6 and Mi400).

One thing that is unknown (to the public) is if Apple decided to go with N2 for their mainstream 2026 iPhone models, which would limit the volumes to other customers.

The conventional wisdom was no volume N2 iPhones in 2026, but N2 is apparently so healthy that Apple is tempted. The decision was almost certainly made already, we just don't know what it is. Apple's decision may impact Zen 6. schedule.

If Apple's use of N2 is limited to low volume products, then there will be plentiful capacity for AMD to release Zen 6 at ~ mid year 2026.
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
5,365
7,547
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which would limit the volumes to other customers.
nope.
The conventional wisdom was no volume N2 iPhones in 2026, but N2 is apparently so healthy that Apple is tempted
no.
Apple's decision may impact Zen 6. schedule.
it doesn't.
If Apple's use of N2 is limited to low volume products, then there will be plentiful capacity for AMD to release Zen 6 at ~ mid year 2026.
no it's purely a cost thing.
Apple loves winning so costs are somewhat secondary.
But N2 is so good everyone gets to win iso price.
 

Doug S

Diamond Member
Feb 8, 2020
3,083
5,316
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N2 is on schedule, no hick ups. Risk production in H2 2025, volume production starting in 2026. There were some rumors / leaks that AMD is participating in the N2 risk production (Zen 6 and Mi400).

One thing that is unknown (to the public) is if Apple decided to go with N2 for their mainstream 2026 iPhone models, which would limit the volumes to other customers.

The conventional wisdom was no volume N2 iPhones in 2026, but N2 is apparently so healthy that Apple is tempted. The decision was almost certainly made already, we just don't know what it is. Apple's decision may impact Zen 6. schedule.

If Apple's use of N2 is limited to low volume products, then there will be plentiful capacity for AMD to release Zen 6 at ~ mid year 2026.

N2 risk production started last July. Mass production will be starting in H2 2025, not risk. China Times had an article (referenced by wccftech) that seemed to be claiming (automated translation is always a big unknown with such things) that mass production of N2 will begin around the end of April. If so, the first chips would be delivered to customers in Q4. We'll have to see if TSMC makes any statements about recognizing any N2 revenue in this fiscal year in their next quarterly call. The article (or translation) could be wrong though and the first deliveries won't happen until H1 2026.

Apple moved M4 production forward by months to soak up excess production capacity until it was needed for iPhone SoCs, I expect they would do something similar to insure they are consuming all the N2 they've prepaid to get early access to. There is now the additional wild card of internal production of chips for their internal server needs, which could soak up a ton of capacity and isn't dependent on a calendar like iPhone chip production.
 
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