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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Kamala is just not pulling ahead enough. The more it's tied or close, the worse off she really is. Seems our fates may be sealed.
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    Has the Republican Party sowed the seeds of its own complete destruction?

    What did I say that was incorrect? Hell, I didn't even mention the 6-3 SCOTUS, which is currently the most runaway powerful institution in the country. Who's the one getting destroyed here?
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    Has the Republican Party sowed the seeds of its own complete destruction?

    Destroying the party? They are in a decent spot to win the presidency and Senate, and already control most state legislatures and governor's mansions. Gingrich's long game paying off for them
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    MAGA: To end wokeness - Everyone pays more via tarriffs/ greedflation

    You forget about the soy farmers that went bankrupt during Trump's last round of tariffs that gleefully accepted their fate as part of their patriotic duty. And then proceeded to vote for him again.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    It didn't seem to change the numbers the first time, but unclear how a second "attempt" in two months changes things, or not. Uncharted waters, all of it.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Let's hope polling methodology has improved from 2016 and 2020 because this poll was Clinton +10 and Biden +8 last time around, respectively. The trend since Biden is in the right direction, but some of these numbers aren't super encouraging. Also this poll was before the second assassination...
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    2032?

    Wes Moore
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    I doubt this person ever wants to be in the spotlight again, but if your scenario ever happened, I think it would be more powerful for Harris and other community leaders to extend an olive branch to this individual as a way for the town to try to turn the page and move on. Would provide a...
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    Ze First Debate

    They'll just say it's a psyops by "The Feds." It's Ohio, you don't understand - Trump and Vance can do wrong here.
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    Ze First Debate

    The internet was a mistake. Worse than Skynet.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Harris should visit Springfield. They still won't vote for here there but it would be the Presidential thing to do.
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    How will the presidential election winner be determined?

    How do you combat this? https://www.exposedbycmd.org/2024/09/13/new-cmd-report-hundreds-of-public-and-gop-officials-in-eight-battleground-states-stand-ready-to-subvert-the-2024-election-results/
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    Trump’s new squeeze - Laura Loomer!

    When you can demonize and "subhuman" a group, you can convince people to do anything to them. I didn't think we'd get there in a matter of weeks, but here we are. And they can just copy/paste this tactic against the next group of people they don't like. Dangerous, dangerous times.
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    Ze First Debate

    This is how competent leaders do things, yes. But it's not a "sexy" enough answer for much of the electorate, unfortunately. And like @Jaskalas said, it needs to be a message delivered quickly and probably at like an 8th grade reading level to make much of a difference.
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    Trump’s new squeeze - Laura Loomer!

    Everyone has a type.
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    How will the presidential election winner be determined?

    So what's even the point of elections anymore? Surprised at how many people in this thread are resigned to the notion that either SCOTUS or a House vote will install Trump. And you called me a bedwetter.
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    How will the presidential election winner be determined?

    So this would rip the country apart.
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    Ze First Debate

    Huh? I'm not disagreeing with you on this.
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    Ze First Debate

  20. G

    Ze First Debate

    This never happens. In these situations, the baby is simply delivered and the medical complications dealt with (mother or baby).
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    That's encouraging to see but then there's this: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4872379-democrats-frustrated-polling-trump/ Our electorate is simply too bipolar to make any sense of.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Then you're really not going to like the gains Trump has made with Latino voters.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Oof "The New York Times-Siena College poll released over the weekend found Trump with a 1-point lead nationally. That’s within the margin of error, but it’s a bad poll for Democrats and confirms several weeks worth of erosion for Harris. Trump has a 46 percent approval rating in the poll, which...
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    This is a reasonable take and probably gives Democrats a decent chance at still flipping the House. Which was my original prediction, GOP takes presidency and senate, Dems take House. Pivoting to Harris probably at least prevented them from controlling all three.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Exactly. A blow-out Trump win over Biden has turned into a comfortable/close Trump win over Harris.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    And for context, the same Pew Poll the last few cycles at this point in time: September 2024 Trump: 49 Harris: 49 September 2020 Trump: 42 Biden: 52 September 2016 Trump: 39 Clinton: 46 I thought the post-Biden bump would at least give Harris a chance...if not to win but to at...
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Vibes election coming back to reality. The more pools that show them tied or Harris with only a ~1% lead, the more likely a Trump win. Polls like this continue to be awful for Harris.
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    Russian money was funneled to MAJOR right-wing creators through a pro-Trump media outlet.

    Nothing says "America First" more than taking foreign money to then spew hate towards half of your fellow countrymen. Wonder how many more there are.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Everyone making the same mistakes as in 2016 and 2020 and underestimating Trump's support. Harris up only 1 or 2 points in ANY poll is fool's gold IMO. Seeing people predict an Obama-type wave based on these current numbers is beyond unrealistic.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Harris has certainly given herself a better chance than Biden would have had, but she's not polling ahead in large enough margins to really secure the EC. Still lagging with indies too. All that's changed is a Biden blow out loss is looking more like a narrow Harris loss...
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Bad poll for Kamala...Biden was consistently up much higher at this point last year. These +2% margins are still an EC loss for her, especially if you believe that as in 2016 and 2020, polls continue to underestimate Trump's support.
  32. G

    The Fermi Paradox

    They're just waiting until they see us develop our first warp drive.
  33. G

    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    It's going to be close, as it always was. I still think Trump is probably ever so slightly favored as all polls historically have underestimated his support. The RFK thing is hard to determine but likely helps him.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    Took a break from politics for the past month or so. My timing sucks I guess.
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    Kamala vs the Orange Felon - Presidential Race 2024 - Polls, News, Etc...

    So I guess the October surprise is coming early with RFK allegedly to endorse Trump soon. Those few % points will probably be enough to push Trump over the finish line.
  36. G

    Democratic Convention - who is watching?

    I realize I'm late to the party but man, Obama was a once in a lifetime speaker.
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