2018 NFL playoff thread

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nOOky

Platinum Member
Aug 17, 2004
2,898
1,918
136
One good lesson players and people in general should learn from all this is DON'T RUN YOUR MOUTH until you've actually won it all. Be humble and act selflessly and you'll usually end up feeling good win or lose, and others will still admire you for your effort. Run your mouth and you invite only more crap towards yourself and you motivate your opposition to beat you.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,810
29,564
146
Yea, agree, as a Pats fan I'll have to say Philly looks damm impressive indeed, if Bortles can hang 300 on the NE defense Foles should find success as well, both Butler + Gilmore gave up chunk plays at home as well. I think a lot depends on which team finds a groove first as well.

For myself, I found that it was all too easy to forget that Philly really was the best team all year, as soon as Wentz went down. I think so many wrote them off and obviously for just nonsense reasons. I guess it's pretty clear that the tools in Philly right now really are so good that as long as you have some real competence back there (Foles did have a really solid 1/2 season with Philly a few years back....so we know he can be pretty damn good), then Philly hasn't suffered much with the loss of Wentz. They pretty much dominated Atlanta, as well, despite the score not looking as lopsided as the Vikes score. I felt that after Ajaya fumbled on that first possession and then on the next drive, they just kept feeding him and he and OL just kept pounding on Atlanta, that the game was over. And it really was.

Same when Minnesota couldn't respond to those first two Philly scores. The Eagles are just goddamn solid all around--not to dismiss Brady and the Pats just doing what they always do--but I feel like Foles and his line has to have one of those days like Manning and the Denver O-Line days did against Seattle a few years ago for the Eagles to lose this one. I don't see that happening.
 

Red Storm

Lifer
Oct 2, 2005
14,233
234
106
I found it really fun 2-3 years ago because everyone said "A jump-shooting team can't win it all". But the effect that they've had on the league and on basketball in general has been terrible... Seeing brick after brick thrown up by lesser teams in the league is just not that much fun to watch. You'd think college would be worse too, but the closer 3-point line stems that issue somewhat. High School and lower has taken a huge hit though...
Well they aren't just a jump shooting team, they also play elite defense. The phrase "defense wins championships" is still true to this day. I don't think a team that's all offense and no defense can win a championship. Maybe in football but only because it's a one and done system so luck is a much bigger factor, but no way in basketball with a 7 game series.
 

purbeast0

No Lifer
Sep 13, 2001
52,931
5,802
126
Well they aren't just a jump shooting team, they also play elite defense. The phrase "defense wins championships" is still true to this day. I don't think a team that's all offense and no defense can win a championship. Maybe in football but only because it's a one and done system so luck is a much bigger factor, but no way in basketball with a 7 game series.
Doesn't matter really matter if their defense is elite or not - they have the highest points per game year in and year out over the past few years, because they just chuck threes and make so many.
 

Majes

Golden Member
Apr 8, 2008
1,164
148
106
I think the defense does matter though. It's part of what allows them to up the tempo and to reach those high scoring numbers. You're correct though in the fact that it's very difficult for other teams to score with them.
If anyone watches them regularly have you noticed that they basically just screw around in the first half of games? They play hard in the 3rd quarter and into the 4th if they need to, but for the most part first halves are zero defense shot chucking affairs.

As for Patriots Eagles I've seen numerous people suggest that teams keep their foot on the gas against the Pats. I seem to remember the Falcons doing just that last year... If I'm the Eagles I'm playing the same way I've played all season offensively, but gambling a bit more than the Jags did on defense. I know the book says you have to get pressure on Brady with 4, but I think I'd like to see them blitz early just to put him on his back a few times. Foles seems plenty capable so I think we're in for a good game.
 

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,361
2,372
136
Doesn't matter really matter if their defense is elite or not - they have the highest points per game year in and year out over the past few years, because they just chuck threes and make so many.
If you were correct, Mike D'Antoni teams would have a few titles by now.
 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
For myself, I found that it was all too easy to forget that Philly really was the best team all year, as soon as Wentz went down. I think so many wrote them off and obviously for just nonsense reasons. I guess it's pretty clear that the tools in Philly right now really are so good that as long as you have some real competence back there (Foles did have a really solid 1/2 season with Philly a few years back....so we know he can be pretty damn good), then Philly hasn't suffered much with the loss of Wentz. They pretty much dominated Atlanta, as well, despite the score not looking as lopsided as the Vikes score. I felt that after Ajaya fumbled on that first possession and then on the next drive, they just kept feeding him and he and OL just kept pounding on Atlanta, that the game was over. And it really was.

Same when Minnesota couldn't respond to those first two Philly scores. The Eagles are just goddamn solid all around--not to dismiss Brady and the Pats just doing what they always do--but I feel like Foles and his line has to have one of those days like Manning and the Denver O-Line days did against Seattle a few years ago for the Eagles to lose this one. I don't see that happening.
Yea, after watching Foles the past 2 games he seems to have his nerve back about him, some of those throws vs the Vikings were just perfect. I't not that the Pats won't score much against the Philly defense, if Gronk's able to play I think they do, but Philly's diverse offense seems a bit to much for this years Pats defense to hold out for long. Of course the "big stage" is always an unknown factor but if Philly scores on their opening 1-2 possessions those "butterfly's" should be gone.
 
Nov 20, 2009
10,051
2,577
136
I don't mind if the Pats lose this year. I just find all the hate out there terribly amusing. Instead of hating your losing team you hate the team that is winning.

We need an Anti Superbowl where the two worse teams, or maybe the losers of two conferences, play each other and can have one of them go home a winner, too! You know, like no child left behind.

Go Pats!
 
Reactions: deustroop

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,289
28,144
136
[QUOTE="Jforce, post: 39275207, member: 375835"]I cannot fathom the aversion to the Pats that I hear in many places. Perhaps the "why" to so many people hating Brady et. al is likely more the subject of a psy analysis than a reasonable athletic one. After all, this is the most talented sports team since the Montreal Canadians (1956-60) yet many can't stand to see it perform another remarkable win. I can only drum up a SWAG : A generalized negative reaction is likely a measure of feelings of self loathing, eh ? Like, see the best and feel the worst ? [/QUOTE]

Really? Being from Philly area it might have something to do with cheating to help them win back in 2005 over Eagles.
 

purbeast0

No Lifer
Sep 13, 2001
52,931
5,802
126
I'll be rooting for the Pats because as a Redskins fan, the only thing I have left to hang over the Eagles fans I know is that they have never won a Super Bowl. I need to be able to go back to that as my only thing to talk trash about, because clearly the Eagles are a better team than the Redskins right now, and probably will be for a long time with Wentz at the helm, and with the Redskins probably fucking up the Cousins thing and having him leave.
 

Perknose

Forum Director & Omnipotent Overlord
Forum Director
Oct 9, 1999
46,276
9,358
146
I'll be rooting for the Pats because as a Redskins fan, the only thing I have left to hang over the Eagles fans I know is that they have never won a Super Bowl. I need to be able to go back to that as my only thing to talk trash about, because clearly the Eagles are a better team than the Redskins right now, and probably will be for a long time with Wentz at the helm, and with the Redskins probably fucking up the Cousins thing and having him leave.
That's a real tale of two different front offices. All hail Howie Roseman, who not only somehow managed to dig the roster out of the 'Chip Kelly as unofficial GM' debacle, but had the vision to trade up twice in order to snag Wentz. I am given to understand that the QB position carries some importance for a NFL team.

And then there's the cautionary tale of the Skins, who let the (really quite) good be the enemy of the perfect. They let both of Cousins' starting WRs leave this year, then saw the OL get ravaged by injury, and Cousins' production still basically held. Even with all their key injuries on both sides of the ball, the Skins still went 7-9. There's a good team remaining under all that carnage, and I fully expect Mark Sanchez to come over in free agency and lead them to glory . . . NOT!
 

purbeast0

No Lifer
Sep 13, 2001
52,931
5,802
126
That's a real tale of two different front offices. All hail Howie Roseman, who not only somehow managed to dig the roster out of the 'Chip Kelly as unofficial GM' debacle, but had the vision to trade up twice in order to snag Wentz. I am given to understand that the QB position carries some importance for a NFL team.

And then there's the cautionary tale of the Skins, who let the (really quite) good be the enemy of the perfect. They let both of Cousins' starting WRs leave this year, then saw the OL get ravaged by injury, and Cousins' production still basically held. Even with all their key injuries on both sides of the ball, the Skins still went 7-9. There's a good team remaining under all that carnage, and I fully expect Mark Sanchez to come over in free agency and lead them to glory . . . NOT!
They are already trying to sell us on Baker Mayfield around here. Or Josh Allen. It's going to be RG3 all over again when they let the best QB they have had in decades walk only to go back into the QB carousel of the past decades.
 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
[QUOTE="Jforce, post: 39275207, member: 375835"]I cannot fathom the aversion to the Pats that I hear in many places. Perhaps the "why" to so many people hating Brady et. al is likely more the subject of a psy analysis than a reasonable athletic one. After all, this is the most talented sports team since the Montreal Canadians (1956-60) yet many can't stand to see it perform another remarkable win. I can only drum up a SWAG : A generalized negative reaction is likely a measure of feelings of self loathing, eh ? Like, see the best and feel the worst ?

Really? Being from Philly area it might have something to do with cheating to help them win back in 2005 over Eagles.[/QUOTE]
Really?, how exactly did they "cheat" that SB away form the Eagles?, FACTS please. What a pathetic fanbase Philly really is, throwing food/beer at Viking's fans, booing Santa, cheering as Micheal Irving lay on the field in a crumpled heap, pummeling Giant's fans with thousands of snowballs to the point security had to make them leave for their own safety. The Eagles deserve a SB victory for their inspired play this year, the scumbag fans do not.
 

dawheat

Diamond Member
Sep 14, 2000
3,132
93
91
Really?, how exactly did they "cheat" that SB away form the Eagles?, FACTS please. What a pathetic fanbase Philly really is, throwing food/beer at Viking's fans, booing Santa, cheering as Micheal Irving lay on the field in a crumpled heap, pummeling Giant's fans with thousands of snowballs to the point security had to make them leave for their own safety. The Eagles deserve a SB victory for their inspired play this year, the scumbag fans do not.

I thought it was established that the Pats were videotaping opposing teams from the sidelines during games until they got caught a few years later. While I'm also doubtful it meaningfully swung the game, I also doubt Belichick did it unless he found some value in it. Arguing the impact is fair, pretending the Pats are scandal free is laughable.

Deflategate IMO was a farce that the league forced through b/c they knew they were too lenient for Spygate.
 

Capt Caveman

Lifer
Jan 30, 2005
34,547
651
126
I thought it was established that the Pats were videotaping opposing teams from the sidelines during games until they got caught a few years later. While I'm also doubtful it meaningfully swung the game, I also doubt Belichick did it unless he found some value in it. Arguing the impact is fair, pretending the Pats are scandal free is laughable.

Deflategate IMO was a farce that the league forced through b/c they knew they were too lenient for Spygate.

http://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2014...dy-tried-to-steal-signals-not-just-belichick/
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Really?, how exactly did they "cheat" that SB away form the Eagles?, FACTS please. What a pathetic fanbase Philly really is, throwing food/beer at Viking's fans, booing Santa, cheering as Micheal Irving lay on the field in a crumpled heap, pummeling Giant's fans with thousands of snowballs to the point security had to make them leave for their own safety. The Eagles deserve a SB victory for their inspired play this year, the scumbag fans do not.

The Pats didn't need to cheat the SB away from the Eagles, Andy Reid's shitty clock management late in the game did that all by itself. Opposing coaches seem to have a knack for gifting mistakes to the Patriots in the SB, witness Pete Carroll calling the game losing INT rather than letting Beast Mode have a crack at it.
 
Last edited:

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,289
28,144
136
Really? Being from Philly area it might have something to do with cheating to help them win back in 2005 over Eagles.
Really?, how exactly did they "cheat" that SB away form the Eagles?, FACTS please. What a pathetic fanbase Philly really is, throwing food/beer at Viking's fans, booing Santa, cheering as Micheal Irving lay on the field in a crumpled heap, pummeling Giant's fans with thousands of snowballs to the point security had to make them leave for their own safety. The Eagles deserve a SB victory for their inspired play this year, the scumbag fans do not.[/QUOTE]
There was evidence. It was so damning Roger Goodell burned the tape so it would never be seen.

I can't defend all the fans in Phila. Some are real assholes. Some of the stuff is way overblown. The Santa thing happened 50 years ago. National media needs to get over it.
 

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
11,361
2,372
136
The Pats didn't need to cheat the SB away from the Eagles, Andy Reid's shitty clock management late in the game did that all by itself. Opposing coaches seem to have a knack for gifting mistakes to the Patriots in the SB, witness Pete Carroll calling the game losing INT rather than letting Beast Mode have a crack at it.
That criticism of the Seahawks blowing the SB has been debunked. Nobody will disagree with the idea that Beast Mode should've or could've scored the game winner. However, the data from that season shows that no QB had thrown a pick from the 2 yard line. And ironically, Beast Mode was not a lock that season on short yardage situations. In an NFL season, sample sizes are relatively small but the data shows Pete Carroll didn't fuck up.

Game theoretically, Carroll explained their play call as giving themselves 2 chances to win. It was simply a GREAT play by Malcolm Butler to read the play pre-snap, and then he still had to make a play on the ball. It was also strategic on Belichick's part to let the clock run, he knew that there wasn't much time left and calling TO just gives the offense more options and time to decide. It's arguable whether this helped NE win but it possibly contributed to SEA calling a pass play, again to have 2 shots at a TD. If NE had called a timeout on 2nd and goal, SEA could've pounded the rock 3 times if necessary.

The strategic concerns are explained here:
http://ftw.usatoday.com/2015/02/bil...ew-england-patriots-brilliant-seattle-sehawks
 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
Really?, how exactly did they "cheat" that SB away form the Eagles?, FACTS please. What a pathetic fanbase Philly really is, throwing food/beer at Viking's fans, booing Santa, cheering as Micheal Irving lay on the field in a crumpled heap, pummeling Giant's fans with thousands of snowballs to the point security had to make them leave for their own safety. The Eagles deserve a SB victory for their inspired play this year, the scumbag fans do not.
There was evidence. It was so damning Roger Goodell burned the tape so it would never be seen.

I can't defend all the fans in Phila. Some are real assholes. Some of the stuff is way overblown. The Santa thing happened 50 years ago. National media needs to get over it.[/QUOTE]
As already pointed out in this thread ALL the teams were trying to "steal" signals and taping was allowed from designated areas. The Pats did get caught + punished for taping from the sidelines. One would have to be naive to not know a pair of $300 digital binoculars used by a paid "fan" in the cheap-seats would be doable by any team and even better than videotape. Coaches with half a brain back then knew this and switched signals often, look at today's games and note when any coach is talking into his head-set he keeps a paper over his mouth, this is to prevent lip-reading by others. Now, back to the upcoming game, if Foles can play at the level shown vs Minnesota I think the Eagles win, many of those long bombs resulted from him extending plays, this is almost impossible for a defense to contend with, lets all hope for a close, great game.
 

Perknose

Forum Director & Omnipotent Overlord
Forum Director
Oct 9, 1999
46,276
9,358
146
Eagles D, already good, peaking at the right time?

From the article:

"The Eagles, Jacksonville Jaguars and Minnesota Vikings were the only teams to hold opponents to 10 or fewer points more than five times during the regular season. Philly has now accomplished that feat in back-to-back playoff games.

The Eagles surrendered only 17 points these playoffs, with seven of those coming on an 18-yard touchdown drive resulting from a muffed punt.

In fact, they haven't surrendered more than 10 points in any of their last four games, which makes them the first team this decade to accomplish that feat. That hasn't happened since the 2009 Denver Broncos opened the season with four consecutive games with 10 or fewer points allowed.

The Eagles are just the fourth team since the turn of the century to give up fewer than 20 points in their first two playoff games, joining the 2008 Baltimore Ravens, the 2006 Super Bowl champion Indianapolis Colts and the 2002 Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

On paper, the Vikings and Jaguars are superior, but it's that hot streak that should terrify the Pats. When the Eagles are at their best defensively, they are dangerous.

Only the Ravens and Detroit Lions have more three-plus-takeaway gamesthis season, and two of Philly's have come during this four-game hot streak.

They don't get a ton of sacks—they ranked in the middle of the pack with 38 during the regular season—but according to Pro Football Focus they generated more pressure this season than any other D in football.

The @Eagles defense finished the year with 41 more total pressures than any other unit.

Only team to generate pressure on more than 40% of passing plays.

This is what can win them playoff games.

Oh, and have I mentioned they had the league's top-ranked run defense during the regular season? The Eagles were the only team in the NFL to surrender fewer than 80 rushing yards per game, and they completely shut down Devonta Freeman and Latavius Murray in their first two postseason outings.

It's no surprise that in DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) at Football Outsiders, only the Eagles and Vikings ranked in the top seven against both the pass and run during the regular season.

The secondary was supposed to be this team's weak spot, but 30-year-old veterans Patrick Robinson (four picks and 18 passes defensed) and Malcolm Jenkins (two picks, 69 tackles and a Pro Bowl nod) had career years. New arrival Ronald Darby has been superb when healthy, and second-year corner Jalen Mills has improved immensely.

Robinson, Jenkins, Darby, Mills and safeties Rodney McLeod and Corey Graham have a combined 19 interceptions this year."

^^^ All this above gives me great, good hope. I think the Eagles are going to win, but I do realize my feelings are wildly home-town subjective. Still, I can't shake the feeling that all the chips are falling into place, that the planets are aligning and that the Birds are a team of destiny.

Nevertheless, triumphing over the Brady/Belichick/Gronkowski death star won't exactly be a walk in the park. As well as the Birds secondary has played of late, Brady has shown he can carve up any secondary. And I do fear Belichick devising a way to get to Foles and turn him into "bad Foles."

What gives me hope on this front is that Foles stood tall and calm in the pocket against Minnesota, with chaos and failure just angry, expolsive inches away, and broke a truly good defense's back with clutch, clutch throws.

I'm psyched. Everyone I know is psyched.

I'm from Philly. We don't get these opportunities all that often.

Fly, Eagles, Fly!



 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
Eagles D, already good, peaking at the right time?

From the article:

"The Eagles, Jacksonville Jaguars and Minnesota Vikings were the only teams to hold opponents to 10 or fewer points more than five times during the regular season. Philly has now accomplished that feat in back-to-back playoff games.

The Eagles surrendered only 17 points these playoffs, with seven of those coming on an 18-yard touchdown drive resulting from a muffed punt.

In fact, they haven't surrendered more than 10 points in any of their last four games, which makes them the first team this decade to accomplish that feat. That hasn't happened since the 2009 Denver Broncos opened the season with four consecutive games with 10 or fewer points allowed.

The Eagles are just the fourth team since the turn of the century to give up fewer than 20 points in their first two playoff games, joining the 2008 Baltimore Ravens, the 2006 Super Bowl champion Indianapolis Colts and the 2002 Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

On paper, the Vikings and Jaguars are superior, but it's that hot streak that should terrify the Pats. When the Eagles are at their best defensively, they are dangerous.

Only the Ravens and Detroit Lions have more three-plus-takeaway gamesthis season, and two of Philly's have come during this four-game hot streak.

They don't get a ton of sacks—they ranked in the middle of the pack with 38 during the regular season—but according to Pro Football Focus they generated more pressure this season than any other D in football.

The @Eagles defense finished the year with 41 more total pressures than any other unit.

Only team to generate pressure on more than 40% of passing plays.

This is what can win them playoff games.

Oh, and have I mentioned they had the league's top-ranked run defense during the regular season? The Eagles were the only team in the NFL to surrender fewer than 80 rushing yards per game, and they completely shut down Devonta Freeman and Latavius Murray in their first two postseason outings.

It's no surprise that in DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) at Football Outsiders, only the Eagles and Vikings ranked in the top seven against both the pass and run during the regular season.

The secondary was supposed to be this team's weak spot, but 30-year-old veterans Patrick Robinson (four picks and 18 passes defensed) and Malcolm Jenkins (two picks, 69 tackles and a Pro Bowl nod) had career years. New arrival Ronald Darby has been superb when healthy, and second-year corner Jalen Mills has improved immensely.

Robinson, Jenkins, Darby, Mills and safeties Rodney McLeod and Corey Graham have a combined 19 interceptions this year."

^^^ All this above gives me great, good hope. I think the Eagles are going to win, but I do realize my feelings are wildly home-town subjective. Still, I can't shake the feeling that all the chips are falling into place, that the planets are aligning and that the Birds are a team of destiny.

Nevertheless, triumphing over the Brady/Belichick/Gronkowski death star won't exactly be a walk in the park. As well as the Birds secondary has played of late, Brady has shown he can carve up any secondary. And I do fear Belichick devising a way to get to Foles and turn him into "bad Foles."

What gives me hope on this front is that Foles stood tall and calm in the pocket against Minnesota, with chaos and failure just angry, expolsive inches away, and broke a truly good defense's back with clutch, clutch throws.

I'm psyched. Everyone I know is psyched.

I'm from Philly. We don't get these opportunities all that often.

Fly, Eagles, Fly!



Yea, I have to agree, as much as I know Brady's a machine the Eagles will take away the run game of the Pat's with relative ease and force a one dimensional attack, play-action only works if you can run the ball a bit and no one really has vs Philly. Moreover Foles is no "one game miracle", he had a season with 27 TD's/2 INT's and he sure looked comfortable hurling those long bombs vs the Vikings. I expect Peterson to get him warm with some simple throws to the backs then turn him loose. Another thing is Philly has a 7 man rotation on defensive front, no one is expected to play 60 snaps so there will be no worn-down D-line like we saw with Atlanta last year. My prediction?, Eagles 31 Pats 20 but I might be wrong, heck no one really knows how these games play out but defense like Philly has usually shows up more often then great offense.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Yea, I have to agree, as much as I know Brady's a machine the Eagles will take away the run game of the Pat's with relative ease and force a one dimensional attack, play-action only works if you can run the ball a bit and no one really has vs Philly. Moreover Foles is no "one game miracle", he had a season with 27 TD's/2 INT's and he sure looked comfortable hurling those long bombs vs the Vikings. I expect Peterson to get him warm with some simple throws to the backs then turn him loose. Another thing is Philly has a 7 man rotation on defensive front, no one is expected to play 60 snaps so there will be no worn-down D-line like we saw with Atlanta last year. My prediction?, Eagles 31 Pats 20 but I might be wrong, heck no one really knows how these games play out but defense like Philly has usually shows up more often then great offense.

Philly better not let up even for a moment because Brady is a freaking terminator.

Also Alex Smith traded to the Skins. Interesting choice of how to structure your team there. Wonder where Cousins is going to go now.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Related note to NFL ... Redskins show how dumb as fuck they are once again.

KC gets a 3rd round draft pick, really good nickle/slot cover guy CB Kendall Fuller, and $17 million in salary cap savings. Great trade for them. Meanwhile Alex Smith gets a downgrade in pretty much every one of his weapons and OL. Cousins gets free agency and his pick of destinations with the Vikings having both a ton of cap space and a natural fit for him; just resign Bridgewater as his backup and you're instant SB contenders (seriously this time). Of course never underestimate someone like the Jets or Bills doing something stupid like giving him $150 million guaranteed so he can have elite talent like Quincy Enunwa and Robby "I'm going to nut in your wife's eye" Anderson to throw to.
 
Mar 11, 2004
23,181
5,645
146
Related note to NFL ... Redskins show how dumb as fuck they are once again.

Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck yeeeeeeeeeeessssssss! Have fun dealing with shitheads like SSSnail and other Alex Smith fans that will come along to follow their messiah.

Also....hahahahaha, holy shit. So they wouldn't pay Cousins but are gonna pay Alex Smith $23.4m per year with $71m guaranteed? Bwahahaha.
 
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