2022 US midterms election watch party/thread

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Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
37,832
8,302
136
I'll be interested how abortion issue helped Dems. I heard in every state that had a referendum vote it was 4-0 with one too early to call to preserve rights
ABC analysis was that abortion was playing larger than anticipated, depending on the area. Under 30 voters, very especially.
 
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emperus

Diamond Member
Apr 6, 2012
7,782
1,540
126
I don't know, that looks pretty positive for Democrats to me. Most outstanding ballots are early votes from democratic areas. He seems to be saying Republicans will win if those remaining votes resemble election day votes but I don't see why they would.

His logic seems off. I got a mail in ballot, and ended up attempting to drop it off at the polling place (couldn't in my state, which is kinds stupid), but ended up putting it in a drop box. It would seem that those early ballots would be heavily D.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,805
34,731
136
I don't know, that looks pretty positive for Democrats to me. Most outstanding ballots are early votes from democratic areas. He seems to be saying Republicans will win if those remaining votes resemble election day votes but I don't see why they would.

My understanding of how AZ counts is that mail ballots received substantially before E-Day are counted first, then E-Day, then remaining mail.

Nevada will count mail until Saturday and won't be done processing the dropped ballots from E-day (of which they're are reportedly many) till at least Thursday.
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
37,832
8,302
136
Came so close in Wisconsin. Ron Johnson is such a piece of shit too.
Interviewed a Democrat in the ABC coverage studio last night, she was lamenting that there wasn't sufficient support for Johnson's opponent and figures they'll fix that going forward.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,884
20,193
136
Interviewed a Democrat in the ABC coverage studio last night, she was lamenting that there wasn't sufficient support for Johnson's opponent and figures they'll fix that going forward.

Yeah that seems to have been the case in a few races - they did not focus money on the right races. If they invested in the ground game more in WI, we'd have flipped that. NC would have been even closer.
 
Reactions: Muse
Dec 10, 2005
24,406
7,318
136


Nice to see the libertarians out there voting for the "best" candidate instead of one of the most likely win candidates, so that GA gets to have the fun of a run-off election when no one gets more than 50%.
 

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,282
28,141
136
Interviewed a Democrat in the ABC coverage studio last night, she was lamenting that there wasn't sufficient support for Johnson's opponent and figures they'll fix that going forward.

Going forward?? I watched the first Barnes Johnson debate and that should perked up the ears of the WI Democratic Party

Johnson fell on his face and was laughed at. We’re they sleep at the switch??
 
Reactions: Thump553

Zor Prime

Golden Member
Nov 7, 1999
1,023
588
136
View attachment 70649

Nice to see the libertarians out there voting for the "best" candidate instead of one of the most likely win candidates, so that GA gets to have the fun of a run-off election when no one gets more than 50%.
They just wanted to legally vote for two candidates. First for Oliver, then later for Walker in the runoff.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,765
49,419
136
They just wanted to legally vote for two candidates. First for Oliver, then later for Walker in the runoff.
I thought the election yesterday was going to be close but Warnock had a slight advantage. I would say Warnock has a large advantage now.
 

Dave_5k

Golden Member
May 23, 2017
1,656
3,209
136
I thought the election yesterday was going to be close but Warnock had a slight advantage. I would say Warnock has a large advantage now.
Not having to fight against the overhead of all the Georgia straight-ticket republican votes should help Warnock far more than the reverse helps Walker, but it will all be about turn out for the special election.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,765
49,419
136
Not having to fight against the overhead of all the Georgia straight-ticket republican votes should help Warnock far more than the reverse helps Walker, but it will all be about turn out for the special election.
That was my thought. I’m sure Kemp had at least some coattails and without them Walker is in trouble. I have not gotten the sense Walker generates a lot of enthusiasm as he’s so obviously insane.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,805
34,731
136
That was my thought. I’m sure Kemp had at least some coattails and without them Walker is in trouble. I have not gotten the sense Walker generates a lot of enthusiasm as he’s so obviously insane.

If the Dems manage to lock up senate control out west what's going to be the motivating factor for R voters in GA to turn out for somebody they don't even like in the special? They might but the answer is not at all obvious to me right now. Warnock's voters actually like him and think he does a good job.
 
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Aikouka

Lifer
Nov 27, 2001
30,383
912
126
Online MAGA world is really having a tough one with this. It's all "Well I guess you love crime and immigrants then".

Yesterday, I had lunch with some folks that I know, and I'm pretty sure a good chunk of them are Republican or at least identified as right-leaning. At one point, after someone had brought up the election, I'm pretty sure I heard, "It doesn't matter. They're going to try to steal it anyway."

My mom also asked me some odd questions about "how many illegals we've let in". So, I guess she's part of the whole "dem illegals" camp too. I could attempt to go on about things such as asylum seekers and how that process works, but it doesn't really seem to matter much.
 

alien42

Lifer
Nov 28, 2004
12,668
3,067
136
If the Dems manage to lock up senate control out west what's going to be the motivating factor for R voters in GA to turn out for somebody they don't even like in the special? They might but the answer is not at all obvious to me right now. Warnock's voters actually like him and think he does a good job.

Warnock will win the runoff either way.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,805
34,731
136
Yesterday, I had lunch with some folks that I know, and I'm pretty sure a good chunk of them are Republican or at least identified as right-leaning. At one point, after someone had brought up the election, I'm pretty sure I heard, "It doesn't matter. They're going to try to steal it anyway."

My mom also asked me some odd questions about "how many illegals we've let in". So, I guess she's part of the whole "dem illegals" camp too. I could attempt to go on about things such as asylum seekers and how that process works, but it doesn't really seem to matter much.

I think the party's problem is that it has willfully degenerated into a series of crazy/mean soundbites that reverberate endlessly in their own Information sphere. What policy there is sucks and is unpopular. Were I them I'd be pretty concerned that the messaging imploded with independent and younger voters. If Trump secures the nom for 24 the consequences could be really disastrous electorally.
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
10,397
7,036
136
Maloney is going to lose his NY congressional seat.
Also a CT seat looks like its going to flip to red.

So GOP house looking more likely.
 
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