According to the The Arab American Institute there are nearly 3.5 million Arab Americans in the United States. Even if they voted as a block would that be enough to change an election?
Which is why right wing media is awash in blaming everything, including the sun and the moon, on Biden.Agreed. Not saying the Dems will make it perfect by any means, but if they had more control of the government, we would definitely see these things change for the better.
Incumbency is a major advantage in basically all American elections.Which is why right wing media is awash in blaming everything, including the sun and the moon, on Biden.
The message is a sound one. Democrats have control of the government. We have a President and can cast blame directly at "power".
Incumbency is not a good look. It wasn't for Trump, it will not be for Biden.
Nuances such as, "well you won the election, but you don't have power" in America WILL NOT sell among the psyches of our people.
Humans do not do nuance. Soundbites exist for a reason, they are effective. Why are they effective?.... yeah......
Hopefully COVID did its job, and we can prevail regardless of ongoing troubles. And regardless of the sheer stupidity of not having a primary against someone so frail and un-charismatic.
Democrats don't have control of the government.Which is why right wing media is awash in blaming everything, including the sun and the moon, on Biden.
The message is a sound one. Democrats have control of the government. We have a President and can cast blame directly at "power".
Incumbency is not a good look. It wasn't for Trump, it will not be for Biden.
Nuances such as, "well you won the election, but you don't have power" in America WILL NOT sell among the psyches of our people.
Humans do not do nuance. Soundbites exist for a reason, they are effective. Why are they effective?.... yeah......
Hopefully COVID did its job, and we can prevail regardless of ongoing troubles. And regardless of the sheer stupidity of not having a primary against someone so frail and un-charismatic.
Those who can't adjust to situations that fall outside historical norms are a problem.
I'm talking about historical incumbency advantages in regards to this rapidly changing American political environment that we have not encountered in a century. Things like that can't just be taken for granted at this point with what is going on.What you are proposing is the continuation of the dumbing down of American politics. Yes it’s easy to do and to take advantage of but an ignorant population is never good for democracy no matter who is in power.
Messaging is important but if the people who need to hear it aren’t listening or refuse to listen then it’s just a waste of resources.
Looking at the Arab American Institute's demographics page, I think Arab Americans could swing an election in Michigan if they voted as a block. In other states, they don't make a big enough percentage of the population to have a major impact. However, I don't think Arab Americans vote as a block any more than other ethnic groups do.According to the The Arab American Institute there are nearly 3.5 million Arab Americans in the United States. Even if they voted as a block would that be enough to change an election?
I think the form of government our forefathers left us with was designed in such a way that the philosophical understandings of those who founded it, their grounding in the explosion of enlightened thinking that was taking place here in Europe, their understanding of burgeoning of the scientific revolution, reason as a product of enlightened education, etc would be best preserved and at the rate of change that was taking place at their time, could best be preserved by a government that was not easily subject to change quick changing mass hysteria or irrational fads, that the people are dangerous to themselves and any alterations in law based on reactions to sudden events would not be able to overwhelm the whole system. We have a government that is hard and thus slow to change. Unfortunately, since Reagan, there has been a concerted effort to make flash in the pan stupidities like modern conservatism a permanent feature of US voter mentality and what took so long to change for the worse is now impossible to quickly reverse.I'm talking about historical incumbency advantages in regards to this rapidly changing American political environment that we have not encountered in a century. Things like that can't just be taken for granted at this point with what is going on.
Probably not but one thing has definitely changed from when I was a kid. I am now far far more aware of the Palestinian story and I believe the rest of the country and the world is too. I think a two sided issue causes many people to reconsider their beliefs.Looking at the Arab American Institute's demographics page, I think Arab Americans could swing an election in Michigan if they voted as a block. In other states, they don't make a big enough percentage of the population to have a major impact. However, I don't think Arab Americans vote as a block any more than other ethnic groups do.
Michigan is 2% Muslim, which BTW is only the 5th highest per capita, but the ones with more (NY, CA, IL) are not swing states.
Anyway, take that 2%. Take away the non-voters, which BTW includes everyone with green cards or visas, and everyone not inclined to vote. Take away those who already vote republican. As for the rest, assume half change their voting pattern from D to R, D to third party, or D to non-voting, what's left isn't that much.
And must be weighed against persuadable voters in that state who are pro-Israel. For example, a center-right conservative who is waffling on Trump but is very pro-Israel. Some Jews who are swing voters, etc.
Opinion polling nationally strongly favors Israel right now. I highly doubt Biden is jeopardizing his chances in the general election next year.
I know that.Democrats don't have control of the government.
Instead of your nonsensical complete out of the blue sky speculation, let's look at numbers.
Higher Arab American turnout in 2020 could have helped Biden win Michigan, while Black voters and other young voters of color led the way in the battleground state
Arab American voters may have helped push Joe Biden over the edge in key Michigan counties, with help from Detroit's Black vote.www.businessinsider.com
Just an early voting and mail-in balloting there was at least 80,000 Arab Americans who voted in 2020. By the way Joe Biden won by $150,000 votes.
So if you think losing a solid chunk of what it's likely over 100k Arab American voters in that election is not an issue, then you're a fool.
It's not like Joe biden's negatives aren't a record highs with a ton of other voting demographics who he needed in 2020. The Arab Americans are just a noticeable part of the puzzle.
But when you want to be pro Zionist you must diminish the significance of Arab American voters because it goes along with your narrative.
That's just early voting and mail in, that doesn't count any 'day of' votes. It's over 100K for sure.Biden isn't going to lose all 80K of those. All 80K didn't vote for him in the last election. And he won't lose all the ones who did.
And you're ignoring my other point. Opinion polling nationally leans very pro-Israel, and there are undoubtedly persuadable voters who are pro-Israel.
I agree Joe Biden has other negatives and is no lock to win, but not because of this. .He's not going to hurt himself in a national election by taking a stance which is nationally popular. I guaranty you if Biden loses Michigan, he will also lose other swing states he won in 2020, swing states with very few Muslims in them. And this won't be the reason.
they are just going to not vote. They are not stupid, they know the other side would be supporting Israel also.That's just early voting and mail in, that doesn't count any 'day of' votes. It's over 100K for sure.
Also, the genocide is being shown on TV, Israel's desire to bomb the Palestinians back to the stone age and kick them out is on full display and admitted, everyone knows it, except extremist pro-Israel supporters like yourself. You don't understand that insane raw impact on these people because to you it's justified.
they are just going to not vote.
its lose lose.
Biden has far more to lose by not supporting Israel. Everyone knows this.
The dem base is going to take one look at Trump and our new speaker of the house. Don't have to like Biden to vote for him.it's a large part of the Dem base.
Chaos, then fascism. There's a very predictable order to them.The dem base is going to take one look at Trump and our new speaker of the house. Don't have to like Biden to vote for him.
The alternative is the republicans do their own gaza here. Listen to their rhetoric and who they have been hanging out with. Did you already forget Portland and the unmarked vans abducting people?
Did you already forget Trump holding the bible upside down to invoke God's name to beat down the protestors?
Do you really think that Jan 6th round 2 is going to fail?
Do you really think the average Dem voter is going to sacrifice whats left of democracy in this country for some town on the other side of the planet?
Are you prepared to do that? Are you prepared to let Trump win and reap the whirlwind?
The USA will not fall to chaos, it will fall to fascism, and do you think anyone can stop us when we start enslaving the world? Do you think anyone will even want to?
Hot take: employee wages aren't labor costs. They are investments in a company's human infrastructure.
Good luck getting people to buy into that though.
That's just early voting and mail in, that doesn't count any 'day of' votes. It's over 100K for sure.
Also, the genocide is being shown on TV, Israel's desire to bomb the Palestinians back to the stone age and kick them out is on full display and admitted, everyone knows it, except extremist pro-Israel supporters like yourself. You don't understand that insane raw impact on these people because to you it's justified.
People often mistake the ‘popular’ position to be ‘the position I personally hold’. If anything, polling indicates Americans want Biden to be more pro-Israel, not less.You are dead wrong in everything you just said. But more importantly, you seem to have this warped notion that the majority of the people in this country see this as you do.
Operating under norms you are correct. Those same norms would have disqualified any candidate criticizing a POW for being captured but here we are.Even if you just go by historical standards, without taking anything about our massively changing political landscape into account, Biden is poised to lose reelection.
Historically, a 50% approval rating or up is a safe reelection bet. Not too far under 50% it starts to get iffier fast. Historically, under 40% you are in deep doodoo and will lose.
Biden's approval rating just hit a low of 37%
All these people saying Biden is the smart safe choice are just wrong and they are harming the Dem party. And a big chunk of his own party's voters DON'T EVEN WANT TO SEE HIM RUNNING AGAIN!
Presidential Job Approval Related to Reelection Historically
Presidential job approval ratings have historically been a reliable predictor of reelection for presidents, as all those with ratings of 48% or higher have won a second term.news.gallup.com
Democrats' Rating of Biden Slips; Overall Approval at 37%
Democrats' less positive appraisal of Biden's presidency has sent his overall job approval rating down to 37%, tied for his lowest to date.news.gallup.com