Sinsear
Diamond Member
- Jan 13, 2007
- 6,439
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Originally posted by: yllus
The protests seem to be dwindling quickly. At least Ms. Rahnavard is remaining defiant - her husband seems to have already been cowed.
Iran's Crisis: The Opposition Weighs Its Options
Iran's political crisis would end pretty quickly if the opposition went toe-to-toe with the security forces ? and no matter how courageous and determined the demonstrators are, the likelihood of them toppling the regime on the streets right now is pretty remote.
Although at least 17 and perhaps many more opposition supporters have been killed and hundreds have been arrested, the regime has used only a fraction of its capacity for violent suppression, and its security forces show no sign of wavering or splintering.
The authorities have warned that defiance of bans on demonstration will no longer be tolerated, and reports out of Iran on June 23 suggested that the regime may be moving to arrest opposition presidential candidate Mir-Hossein Mousavi.
The days following the election saw more than a million people protesting in Tehran, but by June 20 that number had reportedly been reduced to 3,000, and on June 22 just 1,000 were said to have made it to the demonstration. But the dwindling crowds on the streets doesn't mean the opposition is beaten.
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The regime appears to have adopted crowd-control measures that are at once smarter and more brutal. Security forces and allied militia simply take control of the streets before demonstrators do, and prevent opposition protests from achieving a critical mass by beating, teargassing and in some instances shooting at those who are trying to congregate.
Was only a matter of time. There will be no great uprising and overthrow of the ruling religious leaders. Going to be alot of OP ownage in this thread.