A Big "I Told You So" from Me to You

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Sinsear

Diamond Member
Jan 13, 2007
6,439
80
91
Originally posted by: yllus
The protests seem to be dwindling quickly. At least Ms. Rahnavard is remaining defiant - her husband seems to have already been cowed.

Iran's Crisis: The Opposition Weighs Its Options

Iran's political crisis would end pretty quickly if the opposition went toe-to-toe with the security forces ? and no matter how courageous and determined the demonstrators are, the likelihood of them toppling the regime on the streets right now is pretty remote.

Although at least 17 and perhaps many more opposition supporters have been killed and hundreds have been arrested, the regime has used only a fraction of its capacity for violent suppression, and its security forces show no sign of wavering or splintering.

The authorities have warned that defiance of bans on demonstration will no longer be tolerated, and reports out of Iran on June 23 suggested that the regime may be moving to arrest opposition presidential candidate Mir-Hossein Mousavi.

The days following the election saw more than a million people protesting in Tehran, but by June 20 that number had reportedly been reduced to 3,000, and on June 22 just 1,000 were said to have made it to the demonstration. But the dwindling crowds on the streets doesn't mean the opposition is beaten.

...

The regime appears to have adopted crowd-control measures that are at once smarter and more brutal. Security forces and allied militia simply take control of the streets before demonstrators do, and prevent opposition protests from achieving a critical mass by beating, teargassing and in some instances shooting at those who are trying to congregate.


Was only a matter of time. There will be no great uprising and overthrow of the ruling religious leaders. Going to be alot of OP ownage in this thread.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: eits
like i've said many, many times before to the conservatives and neocons in this forum who kept talking about us invading iran over the development of nukes or the threat to israel or getting ahmadinejad out of power, etc, the iranian people will fix their own country. it isn't our place to interfere. iirc, about a year or two ago, i gave it about four or five years for there to be a revolt against the government.

no one believed me at the time, but here we are.

i just wanted to toot my own horn
Why don't you toot it after they've actually taken over the government. They are NOWHERE CLOSE. Riots with tear gas police does not a new government make. I hope you aren't this premature in bed...
/win

 

Sinsear

Diamond Member
Jan 13, 2007
6,439
80
91
OP = FAIL


But that's what you get when you call out a whole messageboard to "toot yout own horn"
 

spacejamz

Lifer
Mar 31, 2003
10,846
1,492
126
Originally posted by: Sinsear
OP = FAIL


But that's what you get when you call out a whole messageboard to "toot yout own horn"

Toot Toot!!!!!!! oh wait....
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: eits
give it a couple years or so... this is just the beginning.
Before or after $10/gallon gas and 3600 DOW?? Just laugh, it's ok, nobody is going to hold it against you.

 

ElFenix

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Mar 20, 2000
102,425
8,388
126
Originally posted by: eits
give it a couple years or so... this is just the beginning.

seriously. the shah faced more than a year of protests before he fled. and i'll bet that khamenei is not as much of a wimp as the shah always was.
 
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