Discussion Ada/'Lovelace'? Next gen Nvidia gaming architecture speculation

Page 28 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,835
5,452
136
Considering the humongous process advantage this sounds about right. Well, maybe a bit on the high side since these are not AD102 based. They better be close to 2x faster or the perf/w improvements (or "improvements") are disappointing.

You are going to be disappointed. 4080 will definitely not be 2x 3080 12 GB.
 

amenx

Diamond Member
Dec 17, 2004
4,007
2,276
136
I never believed 420w for the 4080 to begin with. Firstly, it would not look good when it shows up as a con in all reviews. Secondly, Nvidia knows ppl may need to factor in a PSU purchase in the overall cost of the GPU. So whatever AMD equivalent to it with lower power draw will have an advantage. Same argument with 4070 at 300w+.
 

swilli89

Golden Member
Mar 23, 2010
1,558
1,181
136
You are going to be disappointed. 4080 will definitely not be 2x 3080 12 GB.
Actually, given the rumored power draw and a full 2 node leap we could see 2x performance and it not be that crazy. Not saying its a sure thing, but going from Samsung's 8nm (rebranded 10nm, itself a half node) all the way to TSMC 5nm is a massive jump. If you go back all the way to 180um in the early 2000s.. we've never seen either NV or AMD/ATi jump two nodes in a single gen.
 

Tup3x

Golden Member
Dec 31, 2016
1,011
1,001
136
Actually, given the rumored power draw and a full 2 node leap we could see 2x performance and it not be that crazy. Not saying its a sure thing, but going from Samsung's 8nm (rebranded 10nm, itself a half node) all the way to TSMC 5nm is a massive jump. If you go back all the way to 180um in the early 2000s.. we've never seen either NV or AMD/ATi jump two nodes in a single gen.
There's that and one would think that architecture improvements would also help. I do expect quite large improvements at same power usage. It's been quite some time when we had this kind of situation. Interesting to see how things turn out...
 

DeathReborn

Platinum Member
Oct 11, 2005
2,755
751
136
To me it looks more like kopite doesn't know what he's talking about anymore. At this point his "monday: 420W, wednesday: we can expect 350W, saturday: another update now we're at 320W for the 4080" is just annoying. And all of this "there's another change" stuff is just bs although he won't admit it.

I can give you 5 different TGP/TBP values right now and I can guarantee you one of them will be correct. And for that I don't need to be some sort of "leaker".

While I do agree about kopite Nvidia are known to change specs right up to the announcement.
 

Tuna-Fish

Golden Member
Mar 4, 2011
1,422
1,759
136
If nothing else, to confuse leakers.

It's not because of that, it's because they won't know what the products are actually capable of until right before launch. While you have some idea, you won't know what the distribution of perf/power curves is until you start getting the products off the line, and nVidia doesn't like collecting huge inventories before they start selling things, so the timeline between knowing where you should actually draw the lines on clocks and start of sales is less than a month.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,835
5,452
136
I never believed 420w for the 4080 to begin with. Firstly, it would not look good when it shows up as a con in all reviews. Secondly, Nvidia knows ppl may need to factor in a PSU purchase in the overall cost of the GPU. So whatever AMD equivalent to it with lower power draw will have an advantage. Same argument with 4070 at 300w+.

Obviously it will be slower at the lower TDP, possibly decently.

Actually, given the rumored power draw and a full 2 node leap we could see 2x performance and it not be that crazy. Not saying its a sure thing, but going from Samsung's 8nm (rebranded 10nm, itself a half node) all the way to TSMC 5nm is a massive jump. If you go back all the way to 180um in the early 2000s.. we've never seen either NV or AMD/ATi jump two nodes in a single gen.

First off, I don't believe GDDR6X is receiving any kind of efficiency improvement and they all are getting higher speeds, which will draw more. How much the memory draws is not trivial.

Secondly, the bulk of the 4070 and 4080 improvement is coming from the increased clock speed, which could wreck efficency if pushed too far.
 

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,428
2,914
136

That would be 40 TF FP32 at the stock boost number. Which is about what the 3090 Ti is. I do think that you can boost to over 3 Ghz, but obviously not at the stock TBP levels. So it has a decent chance of being faster than the 3090 Ti at 1080p at least.
It has 7680 FP32 and separate 3840 INT32, so If TFlops at stock boost is similar then It should be faster than 3090 Ti at 1080p or even at 1440p. Performance at 4k is questionable because of 1/2 bus and possibly lower number of ROPs.
 

swilli89

Golden Member
Mar 23, 2010
1,558
1,181
136
It has 7680 FP32 and separate 3840 INT32, so If TFlops at stock boost is similar then It should be faster than 3090 Ti at 1080p or even at 1440p. Performance at 4k is questionable because of 1/2 bus and possibly lower number of ROPs.

Yep my thoughts exactly and don't forget nvidia is effectively doing their own version of infinity cache. The 4070 has 12x the cache of the 3070 so that smaller memory interface likely won't matter too much sub 4k.
 

moonbogg

Lifer
Jan 8, 2011
10,637
3,095
136
That 4070 needs to be $400 with 12GB of ram and amazing performance or the used market will simply be better. If they don't give it enough price/performance then it starts to look basically like a 3080 for about the price of a 3080 and no one is buying that with 3080s on ebay for $300 after the crash AND announcement of 4000 series. The flood will be epic. I hope the card is 10GB and performs like a 3080 with an msrp of $600 so I can have a great laugh.
 

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,428
2,914
136
Yep my thoughts exactly and don't forget nvidia is effectively doing their own version of infinity cache. The 4070 has 12x the cache of the 3070 so that smaller memory interface likely won't matter too much sub 4k.
I know It has more cache, just didn't mention It in my previous post.
4070 should have 48MB L2 cache.
If the hitrate is comparable between this L2 cache and Infinity cache, then hitrate for 48MB is ~65% at 1080p, ~48% for 1440p and 34% for 4k.
I think even 1440p should be OK.

edit: This L2 cache should also be faster than infinity cache in RDNA2 models.
 
Last edited:
Reactions: Mopetar

CakeMonster

Golden Member
Nov 22, 2012
1,428
535
136
One of the most interesting things about this generation is going to be just how the cache impacts performance. It seems like the rest of the design is similar to Ampere and Turing (I hope I'm wrong though), so just what kind of difference the cache makes will be an interesting case study. Even at 4K, the advantage will surely not be zero, although the resolution is above the 'sweet spot' that accelerates 1080 and 1440 that we saw on RDNA3.
 

GodisanAtheist

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2006
7,062
7,487
136
One of the most interesting things about this generation is going to be just how the cache impacts performance. It seems like the rest of the design is similar to Ampere and Turing (I hope I'm wrong though), so just what kind of difference the cache makes will be an interesting case study. Even at 4K, the advantage will surely not be zero, although the resolution is above the 'sweet spot' that accelerates 1080 and 1440 that we saw on RDNA3.

-I think the arch and shader power gains have started really outstripping bandwidth gains from memory speeds.

Without new memory with substantially increased bandwidth, cached instructions are really the only avenue for increased performance.
 

Kaluan

Senior member
Jan 4, 2022
503
1,074
106
Actually, given the rumored power draw and a full 2 node leap we could see 2x performance and it not be that crazy. Not saying its a sure thing, but going from Samsung's 8nm (rebranded 10nm, itself a half node) all the way to TSMC 5nm is a massive jump. If you go back all the way to 180um in the early 2000s.. we've never seen either NV or AMD/ATi jump two nodes in a single gen.
Samsung 8nm ain't just "rebranded 10nm", it's also very serviceable node. nVidia choose out of pure chase for higher margins, TSMC didn't want to budge on giving them a better deal on N7, nVidia/TSMC are not exactly the best buds in the industry anyway.

And it's '2 nodes' because they basically choose to stay slightly behind, not because they couldn't. There's a reason their HPC Ampere designs are on TSMC N7 and not Samsung 8nm. So that's a weird framing of the whole thing IMHO.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,005
6,449
136
All of that extra cache is going to take a load off the memory system, so the total bandwidth doesn't need to be as high. It also makes the card less attractive to most miners.

The TDP numbers are also looking far more sane. I don't know what the prices end up looking like at launch, but it's definitely shaping up to be another solid xx80 card from NVidia.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,835
5,452
136
All of that extra cache is going to take a load off the memory system, so the total bandwidth doesn't need to be as high.

I suspect memory bandwidth is still going to be an issue.

Worth reminding that the 4080 (as it stands) is only 8% more SMs than the 3080 12 GB.
 
Reactions: Saylick

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
2,428
2,914
136
I suspect memory bandwidth is still going to be an issue.

Worth reminding that the 4080 (as it stands) is only 8% more SMs than the 3080 12 GB.
76 SM vs 70 SM is not a lot, true, but these SM are more powerful and clockspeed will be also significantly higher.
 
Reactions: Mopetar
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |