Al Gore takes aim at "unsustainable" capitalism

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Atreus21

Lifer
Aug 21, 2007
12,007
572
126
.... no. Short sightedness does not bring misery to the people making the decisions, it brings misery to those with no input into the process. Short sightedness brings great rewards to those actually in charge, hence my original objection.

Who in charge was rewarded by short-sightedness?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
The argument against truly free markets has 3 main points.

1. Somehow people stop acting towards their best interest and accept wages that are below what they could bargain for. Examples would be Foxconn campus, Pullman towns, etc.
2. People will begin hoarding wealth just to hoard wealth, spending it would release the wealth back into the economy, but they simply will hoard without spending, causing deflation and painful price adjustments.
3. Gold - truly free markets cannot have a government imposed currency. Free market currency is bad - see #2 about hoarding.

Absolutely none of those are the actual arguments against truly free markets.

1. People don't suddenly become irrational, but the concentration of wealth and power allows for massive exploitation. The fact that such places that you mentioned have already existed in the past is pretty solid evidence for such things happening.

2. No. Deflation is generally a horrible thing though, yes. That encourages hoarding for entirely rational reasons despite such activity being destructive for the economy.

3. Gold has nothing to do with it. (the gold standard is horrible for totally separate reasons)
 

QuantumPion

Diamond Member
Jun 27, 2005
6,010
1
76
History has shown that capitalism is indeed unsustainable.

Eventually government corruption creeps back in and you're back to a feudal society ruled by man instead of law.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
Yes, seriously. Which managers which ran their companies like idiots were rewarded except by government bailouts?

The entire financial bubble was basically business management acting for short term profits at enormous long term risk. Even if the government hadn't bailed out those institutions, those running them had already reaped enormous profits.
 

Atreus21

Lifer
Aug 21, 2007
12,007
572
126
The entire financial bubble was basically business management acting for short term profits at enormous long term risk. Even if the government hadn't bailed out those institutions, those running them had already reaped enormous profits.

Isn't this because bad loans were guaranteed by the government?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
Isn't this because bad loans were guaranteed by the government?

Nope. It is the overwhelming opinion of economists, policy analysis bodies the world over, etc, etc, that US government intervention in the mortgage market was not the cause of the housing bubble/financial crisis.

Even if that were the case however, these executives still enormously profited from short term actions that eventually made their companies insolvent. It's exactly the evidence you asked for.
 

Atreus21

Lifer
Aug 21, 2007
12,007
572
126
Nope. It is the overwhelming opinion of economists, policy analysis bodies the world over, etc, etc, that US government intervention in the mortgage market was not the cause of the housing bubble/financial crisis.

That's not at all what I've heard.

Even if that were the case however, these executives still enormously profited from short term actions that eventually made their companies insolvent. It's exactly the evidence you asked for.

Yes, because the government provided the incentive to write bad loans with no regard for cost, or rather the disincentive to be prudent with lending standards.

I'm willing to concede that I don't know everything about this topic. But your claim that the "overwhelming opinion of economists, policy analysis bodies the world over" agree to the single cause of the crisis seems awfully bold. There is still ludicrous amount of debate on the topic, just as there is for the depression.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
That's not at all what I've heard.

It's true, check it yourself. There is not a single credible analytic body I am aware of that endorses what you said. I mean it, not one. The idea that the government caused the mortgage meltdown is an opinion held almost exclusively by the right wing in America, and nowhere else.

Yes, because the government provided the incentive to write bad loans with no regard for cost, or rather the disincentive to be prudent with lending standards.

While I feel the need once again to mention that such an analysis is not supported by credible economic bodies, the fact remains that regardless of what the market conditions were like, managers in those companies took actions to gain short term profits at the expense of long term viability. This is hardly the only example of this, but it just shows how short term profits can certainly drive long term destructive action.
 

actuarial

Platinum Member
Jan 22, 2009
2,814
0
71
Yes, because the government provided the incentive to write bad loans with no regard for cost, or rather the disincentive to be prudent with lending standards.

It's not all about mortgages though.

In the current system, manager pay is almost always tied to stock price. In a large portion of those cases, the tie to stock price is relatively short term (less than 5 years).

There are numerous ways in which to increase stock price while hurting the company long term.

Before you asked how we are going to change this behavior. Personally, I believe that much higher taxes on capital gains, and lower taxes on dividends would go a long way towards the markets reevaluating executive pay. Once the incentive for executives has turned, you will see changes in the market.

If we continually reward someone for doing something, they are going to keep doing it. Right now, the greatest rewards go to managers who can pump up stock price at any cost.
 

Atreus21

Lifer
Aug 21, 2007
12,007
572
126
It's true, check it yourself. There is not a single credible analytic body I am aware of that endorses what you said. I mean it, not one. The idea that the government caused the mortgage meltdown is an opinion held almost exclusively by the right wing in America, and nowhere else.

...then you're the first person I've heard make that claim.

While I feel the need once again to mention that such an analysis is not supported by credible economic bodies, the fact remains that regardless of what the market conditions were like, managers in those companies took actions to gain short term profits at the expense of long term viability. This is hardly the only example of this, but it just shows how short term profits can certainly drive long term destructive action.

I guess I'm having a hard time understanding. If I were running a bank, and had any experience running a company, it would be common sense to make prudent loans to trustworthy people, or else go out of business long term. UNLESS someone came along and told me "It's okay, lend as much as you want to anyone you want. We'll cover any losses."

I think I disagree because your assertion defies what I know to be common sense.
 

actuarial

Platinum Member
Jan 22, 2009
2,814
0
71
I guess I'm having a hard time understanding. If I were running a bank, and had any experience running a company, it would be common sense to make prudent loans to trustworthy people, or else go out of business long term. UNLESS someone came along and told me "It's okay, lend as much as you want to anyone you want. We'll cover any losses."

I think I disagree because your assertion defies what I know to be common sense.

You're ignoring a huge part of the mortgage crisis: the banks packaging the loans and selling them off to investors.

There was serious asymmetry of information problems that led the primary seller to be able to sell the loan as prudent when it was anything but. It wasn't about "we'll cover any of the losses" it was about "we'll be able to guarantee our profit before any losses occur". It was basically a game of hot potato.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,708
49,291
136
...then you're the first person I've heard make that claim.

Analysis by the G20, the bipartisan Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, the independent Congressional Research Service, the Federal Reserve, etc, etc. have all concluded as such. (there are lots more)
I guess I'm having a hard time understanding. If I were running a bank, and had any experience running a company, it would be common sense to make prudent loans to trustworthy people, or else go out of business long term. UNLESS someone came along and told me "It's okay, lend as much as you want to anyone you want. We'll cover any losses."

I think I disagree because your assertion defies what I know to be common sense.

That simply wasn't the situation prior to the mortgage crisis, and the idea that banks were making these loans due to the fact that they believed their losses would be picked up by the government later does not have support in the historical record. Furthermore, the compensation of those in the banks making these loans was not tied in any way to the long term performance of their banks.

It might have been foolish for the bank as the whole to engage in this behavior, but it was not foolish at all for the individual members to behave that way, which was pretty much my whole point from the beginning.
 

Atreus21

Lifer
Aug 21, 2007
12,007
572
126
You're ignoring a huge part of the mortgage crisis: the banks packaging the loans and selling them off to investors.

There was serious asymmetry of information problems that led the primary seller to be able to sell the loan as prudent when it was anything but. It wasn't about "we'll cover any of the losses" it was about "we'll be able to guarantee our profit before any losses occur". It was basically a game of hot potato.

Then why did investors buy them if they knew they were garbage?
 

Ninjahedge

Diamond Member
Mar 2, 2005
4,149
1
91
When you bundle it enough, and rebundle it repeatedly on each sale, even the person selling it does not know exactly what they are selling anymore.

Very few knew the ins and outs, and right now most of them are keeping deathly quiet about it.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
349
126
It's true, check it yourself. There is not a single credible analytic body I am aware of that endorses what you said. I mean it, not one. The idea that the government caused the mortgage meltdown is an opinion held almost exclusively by the right wing in America, and nowhere else.



While I feel the need once again to mention that such an analysis is not supported by credible economic bodies, the fact remains that regardless of what the market conditions were like, managers in those companies took actions to gain short term profits at the expense of long term viability. This is hardly the only example of this, but it just shows how short term profits can certainly drive long term destructive action.

There is a crazy ideology against government that blames it from the housing bubble to the little girl being given a carton of milk as tyranny.

It's more complicated than black and white. Fact is, the government is very involved in these things, and can do some harm while doing a lot good crazies deny.

I've seen a good book - I'd go find the title but seems like a waste of time - explaining the history of this, and there was, as one big part, a sort of competition between the head of a leading financial company who created a lot of the damaging derivative housing products, and the head of Fannie or Freddie, who was sort of forced to take a big part in them to keep his agency important - the private company was pretty clearly the one initiating the problem, but the Fannie/Freddie side helped make it a lot worse.

It's interesting to look at how bad it was that these sort of power contests could cause the harm they did - how broken regulation was and is - but right-wing nuts are nuts.

Even the issue of that broken regulation goes from 'more better regulation is needed' to right-wing nuts saying the fix for inadequate regulation is less regulation.

Without the private sector criminally creating incredibly profitable harmful derivatives, there wouldn't have been a problem with Fannie/Freddie doing the wrong they did with them.

But in the hands of a Republican presidential candidate, 'the financial crisis was the government's fault'.

Similarly, the problems caused by bad fed policy, like that of right-wing ideologue Alan Greenspan, are problems - but the right-wing nuts just say 'abolish the fed' as if there weren't constant major financial crises by the lack of government involvement; they are ignorant of how the only stable period was with the FDR-era rules.

They only understand a simple response like 'get rid of the evil governemnt!' that would actually cause big problems.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
349
126
Analysis by the G20, the bipartisan Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, the independent Congressional Research Service, the Federal Reserve, etc, etc. have all concluded as such. (there are lots more)


That simply wasn't the situation prior to the mortgage crisis, and the idea that banks were making these loans due to the fact that they believed their losses would be picked up by the government later does not have support in the historical record. Furthermore, the compensation of those in the banks making these loans was not tied in any way to the long term performance of their banks.

It might have been foolish for the bank as the whole to engage in this behavior, but it was not foolish at all for the individual members to behave that way, which was pretty much my whole point from the beginning.

Some people don't understand the basic issue that when the financial companies found a way to sell billions and billions and billions of crap mortgages very profitably, that this created the demand for the crap mortgages that led them to pay large amounts of money for crap motgages they could resell for a ton of money, leading to the corruption of the mortgage process, where mortgage sellers were paid by transaction to do mortgages with no penalty for their bieng crap - the rules for 'good mortgages' were removed.

That's why there were 'liar loans' and such, that's why there was an industry of mortgage salespeople selling poor buyers on big mortgages promising it'd be ok.

And it was as long as the housing bubble went up.

That's what happened - Wall Street crooks came up with a scheme, a bubble that gave them huge amounts of money and forced a massive crash for society to pay off.

It was made worse by various things, such as the enormous garbage 'credit default swaps' created to give phony 'security' for excessive borrowing, low reserves, etc.

Having the credit rating agencies who said 'these are safe' paid by the people selling the crap derivatives was one more problem making the crash happen.
 
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dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,894
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
When you bundle it enough, and rebundle it repeatedly on each sale, even the person selling it does not know exactly what they are selling anymore.

Very few knew the ins and outs, and right now most of them are keeping deathly quiet about it.

So true, the number one ingredient in sales is being brainwashed to recruit more brainwashed.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
...then you're the first person I've heard make that claim.

You need to get out more.

I guess I'm having a hard time understanding. If I were running a bank, and had any experience running a company, it would be common sense to make prudent loans to trustworthy people, or else go out of business long term. UNLESS someone came along and told me "It's okay, lend as much as you want to anyone you want. We'll cover any losses."

I think I disagree because your assertion defies what I know to be common sense.

Long term doesn't matter when the personal rewards of short term strategies are enormous, and when you're gambling with other people's money. Wall St firms issued enormous bonuses as the speculation reached its peak, tens of millions of dollars, sometimes $100M+.

Figure it out- would you crash the company for a $50M bonus? Wall St execs did exactly that. Would you continue playing when all you were betting was other people's money?
 

SamurAchzar

Platinum Member
Feb 15, 2006
2,422
3
76
Aging population is the only thing worse than overpopulation. Don't believe the bullshit of Earth's resources running out, it can support way more human beings than it does.

If you let the population age, assuming the current social services structure, you won't have anyone to support the elderly and their social benefits.

The problem is poor families that make more children than they can support; making kids that you can't afford educate or take care of, which live no better life themselves, is destructive to society. There should be zero child benefits, certainly not such that encourage people to having children.

There should be a penalty for those making children while on welfare. But the the country needs the population to constantly grow, never contract.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Aging population is the only thing worse than overpopulation. Don't believe the bullshit of Earth's resources running out, it can support way more human beings than it does.

If you let the population age, assuming the current social services structure, you won't have anyone to support the elderly and their social benefits.

The problem is poor families that make more children than they can support; making kids that you can't afford educate or take care of, which live no better life themselves, is destructive to society. There should be zero child benefits, certainly not such that encourage people to having children.

There should be a penalty for those making children while on welfare. But the the country needs the population to constantly grow, never contract.

You contradict yourself in claiming that the population needs to grow and that no incentives should be offered for child rearing. Then you take the usual right wing punishment stance wrt child bearing & public assistance.

If we want middle class people to have children, we need to incentivize that with support mechanisms of all kinds. Larger tax deductions for children, better schools & subsidized day care for working families for starters, along with a bigger share of after tax & transfer share of national income. Middle and upper class families have the economic means to limit family size, and will do so on the basis of economics more than anything else. Contraception is obviously cheaper than raising children.

If we want women receiving assistance to refrain from child bearing, we need to support the means to accomplish that via free contraception services of all kinds & offer positive incentives for successfully avoiding child birth over the time such women receive assistance, up to and including annual cash bonuses.

We need carrots, not sticks, if we want to shape the demographics of childbirth.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,038
36
86
Carrots are no good without sticks though. Without sticks, you run out of carrots (unsustainable).
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Carrots are no good without sticks though. Without sticks, you run out of carrots (unsustainable).

The financial disincentives of child bearing & rearing are already more than adequate to serve as "sticks".
 
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