AMD Bulldozer and Llano going to be delayed? GF 32nm troubles?

khon

Golden Member
Jun 8, 2010
1,319
124
106
Really bad news for AMD, especially since it comes just days after Intel said Sandy Bridge production was accelerated.

Llano was already going to be slower than SB, and now its going to lauch later as well, that's not a winning combination. They'd better hope the IGP is much better than the one on SB, or they've got a disaster on their hands.

Similarly if Bulldozer comes out after Sandy Bridge-B2 they could find themselves relegated to lower price segments while trying to catch up, just as they are now. Meanwhile Intel is laughing all the way to the bank.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,118
59
91
I'll ask around, last time I did the word was that glofo's beol dielectric had serious cracking and tddb issues after packaging. To my knowledge, based on people who work in that area, this issue has yet to be resolved but I freely admit I have not broached the subject with the right people for a couple months now.
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
I'll ask around, last time I did the word was that glofo's beol dielectric had serious cracking and tddb issues after packaging. To my knowledge, based on people who work in that area, this issue has yet to be resolved but I freely admit I have not broached the subject with the right people for a couple months now.

Charlie Demerjian from Semiaccurate had hinted about process issues, but from what I concluded, it didn't seem to be a big thing.

Anyway, let's not make too much out of this. Delay? I don't think so. It was known for quite a long time Bulldozer release would be Q2/Q3, while Llano was always "H1". I'm thinking April-May for Llano, similar time next year as Thuban did this year.
 

khon

Golden Member
Jun 8, 2010
1,319
124
106
Makes you wonder if AMD will ever catch up with Intel of process technology. Seems like they been behind by about a year for a while now (65nm, 45nm and now 32nm).
 

Meghan54

Lifer
Oct 18, 2009
11,573
5,095
136
Makes you wonder if AMD will ever catch up with Intel of process technology. Seems like they been behind by about a year for a while now (65nm, 45nm and now 32nm).


Really, outside the couple of years during the Athlon 64 period, AMD's pretty much always been a step behind Intel in process. (AMD produces world's fastest 386 cpu....while Intel is already well into 486 production. AMD produces the world's fastest 486, but again is upstaged by the Pentium processor that's in full production. And on and on......)
 

Nemesis 1

Lifer
Dec 30, 2006
11,366
2
0
This is really bad no matter how you try to brighten the picture. So BD will be going against Intels IVY Bridge on 22nm . By that time AMD will have hardly any server share.

FOR servers It takes over a year to validate
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
Really, outside the couple of years during the Athlon 64 period, AMD's pretty much always been a step behind Intel in process. (AMD produces world's fastest 386 cpu....while Intel is already well into 486 production. AMD produces the world's fastest 486, but again is upstaged by the Pentium processor that's in full production. And on and on......)

Uhh, I think you are confusing process tech with "design".
 

JFAMD

Senior member
May 16, 2009
565
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Why is it that nobody picked up "Bulldozer remains on track" from the call?
 

ModestGamer

Banned
Jun 30, 2010
1,140
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Makes you wonder if AMD will ever catch up with Intel of process technology. Seems like they been behind by about a year for a while now (65nm, 45nm and now 32nm).


If the way the bulldzoer cpu operated add significant improvements in how the CPU does its job. It could be a moot point.
 

ModestGamer

Banned
Jun 30, 2010
1,140
0
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Considering how important and how much resources they are pumping into bulldozer yes it's newsworthy.


If AMD feels that bulldozer is the horse in the race that will win. that would make sense. Nobody backs a bad bet unless they are retarded. AMD has survived this long and will keep doing so.
 

extra

Golden Member
Dec 18, 1999
1,947
7
81
Amd will be fine...The meeting also said bulldozer was on track. Dirk said that the delays weren't anything bad and that they wer just normal learning delays. It also said Ontario will be shipping before the end of the year and available for purchase quarter 1 next year. Which is good, because that's probably the chip that stands to really make AMD the most money, imho. They also look like they had all around a great quarter. So basically Llano gets pushed back 2-3 months. Oh no! (Good for Intel though, and in a way it's good for those of us who live in Oregon, whistles innocently, going to push SB demand up I bet!)

I fail to see the doom and gloom, I do find it funny how everyone is like "zomg intel r0x0rs lol amd is not goin to be able to compete they aren't big enough lololol" (basically...and yes, I like Intel as well, and have Intel box, so does my gf)...

I remember people saying that back in the friggin K6 days... Yeah. AMD is still around. They've made some great products and some mediocre ones. Just like Intel. Goes back and forth. I predict that that will continue.

Right now we're at a bit of a lull, where AMD isn't competitive on the high end. Sort of like Intel wasn't back in the K8 / P4 days (and I'd argue, before that for a while as well). Intel came back and made some of the most kickass chips we've ever seen.
 

ModestGamer

Banned
Jun 30, 2010
1,140
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I have a feeling bulldozer is going to be pretty badass.

Amd will be fine...The meeting also said bulldozer was on track. Dirk said that the delays weren't anything bad and that they wer just normal learning delays. It also said Ontario will be shipping before the end of the year and available for purchase quarter 1 next year. Which is good, because that's probably the chip that stands to really make AMD the most money, imho. They also look like they had all around a great quarter. So basically Llano gets pushed back 2-3 months. Oh no! (Good for Intel though, and in a way it's good for those of us who live in Oregon, whistles innocently, going to push SB demand up I bet!)

I fail to see the doom and gloom, I do find it funny how everyone is like "zomg intel r0x0rs lol amd is not goin to be able to compete they aren't big enough lololol" (basically...and yes, I like Intel as well, and have Intel box, so does my gf)...

I remember people saying that back in the friggin K6 days... Yeah. AMD is still around. They've made some great products and some mediocre ones. Just like Intel. Goes back and forth. I predict that that will continue.

Right now we're at a bit of a lull, where AMD isn't competitive on the high end. Sort of like Intel wasn't back in the K8 / P4 days (and I'd argue, before that for a while as well). Intel came back and made some of the most kickass chips we've ever seen.
 

nyker96

Diamond Member
Apr 19, 2005
5,630
2
81

well crap for us if true. it means the current cpu prices will persist. I heard a rumor GF is going for some type of new litho called UVF I think which is very risky and amd gpu might be delayed because of it. all this from separate sources points to GF having some type of trouble. This cannot be good news for amd. I just hope all this just rumors. but this pattern is disturbing.
 

bryanW1995

Lifer
May 22, 2007
11,144
32
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I remember reading Gary Key's comment that bulldozer was going to be HUGELY important for AMD. They seem to have recovered slightly from the core 2/nehalem obliteration, but if bulldozer ends up going against ivy bridge...

Something tells me that I should buy intel stock.
 

ModestGamer

Banned
Jun 30, 2010
1,140
0
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I think you are vastly missing the point behind bulldozer. Intel is going to have to play catchup.

I remember reading Gary Key's comment that bulldozer was going to be HUGELY important for AMD. They seem to have recovered slightly from the core 2/nehalem obliteration, but if bulldozer ends up going against ivy bridge...

Something tells me that I should buy intel stock.
 

extra

Golden Member
Dec 18, 1999
1,947
7
81
I'd bet on bulldozer being pretty good. My prediction is that it won't (probably) take the absolute speed record from Intel for single threaded apps but will be very close...but might be the fastest thing available for multi threaded apps. Just a hunch though, I bet Intel's chips will be more power efficient...just a hunch. Could be completely backwards, though . I do think that the most important chip AMD is releasing in the next year is Ontario, though. I think the market for little laptops, tablets, etc, is huge, growing fast, with more laptops shipping than desktops.... I mean that demo they showed was Ontario...

That in a netbook weight form factor... yes please (also excited about Sandy bridge)? If they can execute on it, it'll be a winner. And I think they can, they've been doing very well lately...I think if Dirk was in charge back in the day instead of Hector, AMD would be in a lot better shape today as well...but meh. ^_^
 

bryanW1995

Lifer
May 22, 2007
11,144
32
91
I think you are vastly missing the point behind bulldozer. Intel is going to have to play catchup.

maybe they will if bulldozer goes up against sb, but what if it drags out into 1h 2012? 2013? intel is not slowing down for anybody, amd will at best have a short term advantage but, honestly, I don't see that happening. they can have the best design in the world but poor execution could easily delay it until it's only the 2nd best cpu design on the market...

edit: remember, bulldozer was originally supposed to go up against nehalem. maybe it will beat nehalem, and maybe it will even be so good that it beats sb as well, but what will happen if it takes 50% more power to achieve its victory? ask nvidia how well that worked with gf100.
 

ModestGamer

Banned
Jun 30, 2010
1,140
0
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maybe they will if bulldozer goes up against sb, but what if it drags out into 1h 2012? 2013? intel is not slowing down for anybody, amd will at best have a short term advantage but, honestly, I don't see that happening. they can have the best design in the world but poor execution could easily delay it until it's only the 2nd best cpu design on the market...

edit: remember, bulldozer was originally supposed to go up against nehalem. maybe it will beat nehalem, and maybe it will even be so good that it beats sb as well, but what will happen if it takes 50% more power to achieve its victory? ask nvidia how well that worked with gf100.


It sounds like AMD made Intel hedge a bet. 32nm is fiarly mature now and nehlam while a fast executer doesn't work the same way as bulldozer.bulldozer is a parrellel processor. In fact if you look at the block diagrams it has a instruction core and a math co proccessor "GPU " built into each module.

This was sheerly briliant. It is going to eat intel alive.
 

veri745

Golden Member
Oct 11, 2007
1,163
4
81
It sounds like AMD made Intel hedge a bet. 32nm is fiarly mature now and nehlam while a fast executer doesn't work the same way as bulldozer.bulldozer is a parrellel processor. In fact if you look at the block diagrams it has a instruction core and a math co proccessor "GPU " built into each module.

This was sheerly briliant. It is going to eat intel alive.

BD has no GPU, I don't know where you heard this. The only block diagrams I've seen show a shared 256b FP unit between core pairs.

I'm all for BD being good and AMD producing a good product, but you're sounding like a thoughtless fanboi.
 
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