AMD Polaris Thread: Radeon RX 480, RX 470 & RX 460 launching June 29th

Page 139 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.
Status
Not open for further replies.

monstercameron

Diamond Member
Feb 12, 2013
3,818
1
0
Revenue is kind of a useless metric considering there are many companies that have a huge revenue but barely any profit to show for it. Even though AMD is going to sell more cards over the next few months, Nvidia is going to make more money. Even without the FE markup, they'd take in more per card but with the FE pricing it's not even going to be close.

you assume right? what is the cost structure of amds small die polaris chips?
 

Yakk

Golden Member
May 28, 2016
1,574
275
81
Revenue is kind of a useless metric considering there are many companies that have a huge revenue but barely any profit to show for it. Even though AMD is going to sell more cards over the next few months, Nvidia is going to make more money. Even without the FE markup, they'd take in more per card but with the FE pricing it's not even going to be close.

Actually AMD just using the 480 to increase their user base is probably I good idea. As Polaris will also be in Apple products and a version in consoles it creates a nice baseline.

Follow all that up with an enthusiast part with Vega for profits.
 

Stuka87

Diamond Member
Dec 10, 2010
6,240
2,559
136
Revenue is kind of a useless metric considering there are many companies that have a huge revenue but barely any profit to show for it. Even though AMD is going to sell more cards over the next few months, Nvidia is going to make more money. Even without the FE markup, they'd take in more per card but with the FE pricing it's not even going to be close.

How do you figure? Do you know the gross margins for either card? Do you know the sales numbers for each?

We all know that there are WAY more 480's out there than Pascal cards (By a factor of 5:1 by most accounts), so unless nVidia is making more than 5x profit per card, they aren't going to make more over the same time period.

This of course assumes availability stays the same for each, and sales for both are good.
 

maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
4,787
4,771
136
Revenue is kind of a useless metric considering there are many companies that have a huge revenue but barely any profit to show for it. Even though AMD is going to sell more cards over the next few months, Nvidia is going to make more money. Even without the FE markup, they'd take in more per card but with the FE pricing it's not even going to be close.
All I meant was 2.5X unit sales means equal revenue. What would have to be the sale ratio for equal profit? 5:1, 7:1, 9:1? I'm not so certain it's a clear nvidia win. It might be close.

There is a possibility of close to equal profits at least until the 1060 releases. Even then, I'm thinking that margins for that card [1060] will be lower than wanted, due to the Polaris effect.

Interesting times ahead.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,004
6,446
136
you assume right? what is the cost structure of amds small die polaris chips?

How do you figure? Do you know the gross margins for either card? Do you know the sales numbers for each?

It's just a matter of simple math. Given a die size you can figure how many you can get per wafer. Given the relative size of Polaris 10 and GP104, Nvidia would make approximately as much profit at $300 per die as AMD would make at $200, although in reality it wouldn't be quite as good due to lower expected yields for the bigger NV die. There's a lot of other factors involved, but it's a rough approximation.

However, Nvidia isn't selling for $300, but for $450+ (you can't buy a 1070 at MSRP so why bother counting it?) so AMD would have to outsell Nvidia by far more than 2.5:1 to match their gains. The 1080 is selling for ~$700 right now. Even if AMD has 10 times as much stock, I wouldn't be surprised if Nvidia still ended up with a greater profit because of what they can charge for their cards.

It's the same thing with Apple who sells phones and computers at much higher prices compared to the rest of the market. They don't sell anywhere near as many phones/notebooks as the rest of the market, but they pull in the vast majority of the profit because their net from every sale is much larger than the competition.
 

itsmydamnation

Platinum Member
Feb 6, 2011
2,863
3,413
136
We will have to wait and see what a GP106 brings, but if 1060 is what is needed to compete with Polaris then thats alot of GP104 dies needed and there is no way that they would all come from harvesting alone so that means perfectly good dies locked to 1060 spec and that would hurt the overall margin of GP104.

Fury/AMD suffered in many ways by going HBM gen 1 could GP106 suffer from a memory availability perspective if its reliant on GDRR5x on a 128 or 192 bit bus to compete with a 256bit Polaris?
 

monstercameron

Diamond Member
Feb 12, 2013
3,818
1
0
It's just a matter of simple math. Given a die size you can figure how many you can get per wafer. Given the relative size of Polaris 10 and GP104, Nvidia would make approximately as much profit at $300 per die as AMD would make at $200, although in reality it wouldn't be quite as good due to lower expected yields for the bigger NV die. There's a lot of other factors involved, but it's a rough approximation.

However, Nvidia isn't selling for $300, but for $450+ (you can't buy a 1070 at MSRP so why bother counting it?) so AMD would have to outsell Nvidia by far more than 2.5:1 to match their gains. The 1080 is selling for ~$700 right now. Even if AMD has 10 times as much stock, I wouldn't be surprised if Nvidia still ended up with a greater profit because of what they can charge for their cards.

It's the same thing with Apple who sells phones and computers at much higher prices compared to the rest of the market. They don't sell anywhere near as many phones/notebooks as the rest of the market, but they pull in the vast majority of the profit because their net from every sale is much larger than the competition.


doesnt seem like sound math...simple math with alot of factors involved, that sir is cognitive dissonance.
 

Elixer

Lifer
May 7, 2002
10,376
762
126
It's just a matter of simple math. Given a die size you can figure how many you can get per wafer. Given the relative size of Polaris 10 and GP104, Nvidia would make approximately as much profit at $300 per die as AMD would make at $200, although in reality it wouldn't be quite as good due to lower expected yields for the bigger NV die. There's a lot of other factors involved, but it's a rough approximation.
We have no idea what it costs to make something at TSMC vs GloFlo, R&D spent, and a crap load of other information, so it is impossible to guess how much profit is being made.
Nvidia could be doing a loss leader for all you know, and make it up by selling the next gen titans.
Heck, a little birdie told me that the higher than MSRP $ isn't going directly back to nvidia anyway, and the AIBs and dealers are getting the extra $$$.
 
Feb 19, 2009
10,457
10
76
It's just a matter of simple math. Given a die size you can figure how many you can get per wafer.

Ofc, lower volume higher margin products are naturally... higher profits per sold. Everybody can figure that out.

If we go on published stats, cards below $300 make up ~84% of the market.

AIBs have often said the remaining 15% or so, for >$300 market, 80% of that is between $300 to $450.

This means only 20% of 15% is >$450 for graphics card.

This is why I think people who claim or believe that 1070 and 1080 are more popular and sell better than $199 mainstream cards are delusional.

No doubts that NV makes a lot more money because for the past 6 quarters or so, they've dominated sales at every segment, including the important <$300 range. GPUs like the 750Ti, 950 and 960 really ruined AMD. Then for the ~$330 mark, the 970 did the rest of the damage. I'm sure you guys have seen the 970 figures, 10x the 980/Ti.
 

topmounter

Member
Aug 3, 2010
194
18
81
It's just a matter of simple math. Given a die size you can figure how many you can get per wafer. Given the relative size of Polaris 10 and GP104, Nvidia would make approximately as much profit at $300 per die as AMD would make at $200, although in reality it wouldn't be quite as good due to lower expected yields for the bigger NV die. There's a lot of other factors involved, but it's a rough approximation.

However, Nvidia isn't selling for $300, but for $450+ (you can't buy a 1070 at MSRP so why bother counting it?) so AMD would have to outsell Nvidia by far more than 2.5:1 to match their gains. The 1080 is selling for ~$700 right now. Even if AMD has 10 times as much stock, I wouldn't be surprised if Nvidia still ended up with a greater profit because of what they can charge for their cards.

It's the same thing with Apple who sells phones and computers at much higher prices compared to the rest of the market. They don't sell anywhere near as many phones/notebooks as the rest of the market, but they pull in the vast majority of the profit because their net from every sale is much larger than the competition.

Both companies need a full range of cards. nVidia isn't going to forgo the 1060 because the 1080 has higher margins. The 1060 will make less money on a per card basis, but it will do far higher volume and they hope it will help develop a loyal customer base. Look at the automobile industry, why does Ford keep making a low margin Fiesta when they have a high margin Expedition? The Fiesta sells in high volumes and develops brand loyalty, while the market for $50k+ SUV's is relatively limited albeit far more profitable on a per unit basis.
 

trane

Member
May 26, 2016
92
1
11
Nvidia has huge R&D costs this generation. We know of at least 6 chips - GP100/2/4/6/7/8. It takes a lot of money to design and tape out a GPU die, especially on this brand new Finfet process. They are integrating three different memory standards, two of which are brand new - G5X and HBM2. Granted, they have some pretty high margin products in Tesla P100 and 1080 FE, but they are going to need it.

AMD, on the other hand, have a very streamlined approach. Just two dies, and both are pretty small. P11 is similarly sized to SoCs, for which 14LPP is already pretty mature. Moreover, they will be re-using this tech for the console wins. PS4 Neo is 36 CU as well, it almost seems like a copy-paste of P10. I bet millions of P11s have been snapped up by the likes of Apple and Dell to go into their laptops. P11 simply has no competition and won't till at least the end of the year.

All of this means that desktop gaming GPUs are going to be much more affordable. AMD can afford to make less profit per unit because there's far less R&D costs to recover. And going for a high volume market, even that is spread over a large quantity - so each GPU has a much lower R&D cost attached.
 

Stuka87

Diamond Member
Dec 10, 2010
6,240
2,559
136
Nvidia has huge R&D costs this generation. We know of at least 6 chips - GP100/2/4/6/7/8. It takes a lot of money to design and tape out a GPU die, especially on this brand new Finfet process. They are integrating three different memory standards, two of which are brand new - G5X and HBM2. Granted, they have some pretty high margin products in Tesla P100 and 1080 FE, but they are going to need it.

AMD, on the other hand, have a very streamlined approach. Just two dies, and both are pretty small. P11 is similarly sized to SoCs, for which 14LPP is already pretty mature. Moreover, they will be re-using this tech for the console wins. PS4 Neo is 36 CU as well, it almost seems like a copy-paste of P10. I bet millions of P11s have been snapped up by the likes of Apple and Dell to go into their laptops. P11 simply has no competition and won't till at least the end of the year.

All of this means that desktop gaming GPUs are going to be much more affordable. AMD can afford to make less profit per unit because there's far less R&D costs to recover. And going for a high volume market, even that is spread over a large quantity - so each GPU has a much lower R&D cost attached.

AMD has four chips, not two. They have Polaris 10 and 11, and Vega 10 and 11.
 
Aug 11, 2008
10,451
642
126
Both companies need a full range of cards. nVidia isn't going to forgo the 1060 because the 1080 has higher margins. The 1060 will make less money on a per card basis, but it will do far higher volume and they hope it will help develop a loyal customer base. Look at the automobile industry, why does Ford keep making a low margin Fiesta when they have a high margin Expedition? The Fiesta sells in high volumes and develops brand loyalty, while the market for $50k+ SUV's is relatively limited albeit far more profitable on a per unit basis.

You must not be in the US, right? No offense, but in the US, I dont think Fiesta contributes very much to Ford's profits *or* brand loyalty.

Back on topic, if the 480 delivers the performance/price that is anticipated, it is an interesting question as to whether they are pursuing the right strategy with the very aggressive pricing, or if they are simply losing revenue and remaining the "bargain brand". No argument that it is good for consumers however.
 

sirmo

Golden Member
Oct 10, 2011
1,014
391
136
You must not be in the US, right? No offense, but in the US, I dont think Fiesta contributes very much to Ford's profits *or* brand loyalty.

Back on topic, if the 480 delivers the performance/price that is anticipated, it is an interesting question as to whether they are pursuing the right strategy with the very aggressive pricing, or if they are simply losing revenue and remaining the "bargain brand". No argument that it is good for consumers however.
Well the equivalent in the US would be F150 probably.. but car analogies suck anyways.

We don't know how big the margins are for rx480 or gtx1080.. margins aren't the only factors at play. There are things like having to order a minimum number of finished wafers from GloFo to satisfy their WSA, or needing a certain volume to keep their AIB's happy, which also helps lower the cost of other components (ordering 10m VRM chips I am sure is cheaper than 1m of the same chip per unit).

AMD and Nvidia are getting their chips fabbed from different companies now, and I would not at all be surprised if with GloFo, AMD has better terms than TSMC. For one AMD has finally consolidated their production to one fab process, and getting all their chips from a single supplier must have its benefits. There is also a little matter of the owners of GloFo having a stake in AMD, I am sure AMD gets a better deal than other companies would.

AMD expects to return to profitability in the 2nd part of the year, based on the investor calls, so they are certainly not making them at a loss.

But determining how much that is, without actually looking at the documents is impossible. We can only guess.
 

Sweepr

Diamond Member
May 12, 2006
5,148
1,142
131
GFXBench - Radeon RX 480 vs Radeon R9 390/390X

Manhattan 3.1 Offscreen (Windows OpenGL)

Radeon RX 480: 225.7 FPS

Radeon R9 390:
- Median Score: 175.7 FPS
- Top Score: 260.3 FPS

Radeon R9 390X:
- Median Score: 215.7 FPS
- Top Score: 256.4 FPS

T-Rex Compute/Graphics (Windows OpenCL)

Radeon RX 480: 10.611 Frames/s

Radeon R9 390:
- Median Score: 11.034 Frames/s
- Top Score: 12.91 Frames/s

Radeon R9 390X:
- Median Score: 10.947 Frames/s
- Top Score: 11.632 Frames/s

Graphics score here: https://gfxbench.com/device.jsp?D=AMD+Radeon+(TM)+RX+480+Graphics&testgroup=overall
Compute scores here: https://compubench.com/device.jsp?D=AMD+Radeon+(TM)+RX+480+Graphics&testgroup=overall


Sapphire's product page:




Newegg has listed a 4GB model (Sapphire):

www.newegg.com/Product/Product.aspx?Item=N82E16814202222
 
Last edited:

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
That is some freaking impressive results result if its a reference card but do we know that?
 

IEC

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Jun 10, 2004
14,354
5,012
136
That is some freaking impressive results result if its a reference card but do we know that?

What we do know:
Launch is expected to be on 6/29
Per retailers and retail employees, expected to be a hard launch
Launch BIOS/drivers have not been seeded to reviewers yet
NDA still applies until 6/29

So... anything that leaks prior to that should be taken with anywhere from a sprinkle of salt to a shaker full of it.
 

topmounter

Member
Aug 3, 2010
194
18
81
You must not be in the US, right? No offense, but in the US, I dont think Fiesta contributes very much to Ford's profits *or* brand loyalty.

Back on topic, if the 480 delivers the performance/price that is anticipated, it is an interesting question as to whether they are pursuing the right strategy with the very aggressive pricing, or if they are simply losing revenue and remaining the "bargain brand". No argument that it is good for consumers however.

That's my point, the Fiesta DOES NOT contribute to their profitability with regards to margins like their more expensive offerings. And it absolutely does put people in a Ford that wouldn't be able to afford it otherwise, which keeps them coming back to the dealership and seeing new, higher-end models that they may be able to afford in the future.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |