AMD Q313 Results

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wlee15

Senior member
Jan 7, 2009
313
31
91
Remember AMD also sold there Singapore facility this quarter. It added $46 Million to there books this quarter. Take that out of the equation and the quarter was pretty much nonprofitable. They did the same thing previous quarter when they sold the Texas facility. It's not sustainable to sell off assets for immediate revenue because you'll eventually run out of assets to sell and your operating expense goes up in the long term from having to lease the facility back.

The gain was worth $22 million to the bottom line.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,166
3,862
136
Notice how he corrected me without being insulting?

You could learn from him.

Right but you should admit that i gave you the good answer
without even spoting the numbers but still you responded
arrogantly that i was wrong , that said i ve nothing against
you , sorry if this was understood as insulting but it was
in no case my intention.

I guess that in that you are much more cautious in your professional environment when it comes to such assumptions with your associates...
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
If this results show anything its that the consoles is a saving grace for amd. Its tons of profit where the traditional pc devision is losing all over and money goes to gf for not using their bad product.

What is striking of the resuls is how quickly its obvious this strategy was needed. And beat me if thats not what eg mrmt is thinking too. It shouldnt be so difficult to say out loud.

All the bs about low margins on consoles should stop excactly now. Business is about profit not margins. Those results is a prime example of that. How could you have better proof than this?
 
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krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
Its not that surpricing.

Amd entire server line is junk. Desktop is very bad. Midrange and up mobile is bad. Discrete gfx is a little under average. Gf is expensive junk.

Lowend mobile is good. Consoles is very good. Mantle is brilliant.

The results fit that. For the first time in years amd have a strategy not going straight to hell but leverages on the strenght.
 

MisterMac

Senior member
Sep 16, 2011
777
0
0
Its not that surpricing.

Amd entire server line is junk. Desktop is very bad. Midrange and up mobile is bad. Discrete gfx is a little under average. Gf is expensive junk.

Lowend mobile is good. Consoles is very good. Mantle is brilliant.

The results fit that. For the first time in years amd have a strategy not going straight to hell but leverages on the strenght.


...and could you go as far as to say - AMD is betting on what it can just like NVidia is trying to do with building a mobile division?


Both of them seem to not give much credence to a 300w dGPU Solution on a future outlook (5-10 years) for revenue.


This however makes me worried - how they are going to make enough money to do their traditional core businesses.
(You could argue AMD is all but out the door in that, i geuss).

Only Intel can keep doing that because of high margin servers that will probably grow ever slightly with more mobile devices requiring compute in the cloud.
 

caswow

Senior member
Sep 18, 2013
525
136
116
...and could you go as far as to say - AMD is betting on what it can just like NVidia is trying to do with building a mobile division?


Both of them seem to not give much credence to a 300w dGPU Solution on a future outlook (5-10 years) for revenue.


This however makes me worried - how they are going to make enough money to do their traditional core businesses.
(You could argue AMD is all but out the door in that, i geuss).

Only Intel can keep doing that because of high margin servers that will probably grow ever slightly with more mobile devices requiring compute in the cloud.

its too late for nvidia they wont come back in mobile division
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
...and could you go as far as to say - AMD is betting on what it can just like NVidia is trying to do with building a mobile division?


Both of them seem to not give much credence to a 300w dGPU Solution on a future outlook (5-10 years) for revenue.


This however makes me worried - how they are going to make enough money to do their traditional core businesses.
(You could argue AMD is all but out the door in that, i geuss).

Only Intel can keep doing that because of high margin servers that will probably grow ever slightly with more mobile devices requiring compute in the cloud.

Yeaa. But nv core business is in another league than amd. They are profitable and knows how to run a business, not just invent tech.

I have high regards for nv trying to get into mobile. They were years in front of intel and especially amd here. The execution just failed and they are losing a lot here. But they have cash and years to get it right.

Amd just dont have the cash or time to change. If i were rr i would speed up the current trend. Liquidate the serverline and desktop regardless of what mubadala fairy tale owners says. They are mentally stuck. And stuck the wrong place. They need a wake up call. Later when 64b arm cores are ready for servers, and if they make a big difference, then they can introduce the line again. No need for all that junk confucing customers. It pathetic to look at. Its a 6b company trying to be 20b.
 

SiliconWars

Platinum Member
Dec 29, 2012
2,346
0
0
Is that a joke? You, complaining about someone else's knowledge in finance, and just below a post exposing another one of your bluffs/mispredictions? Or did you conveniently forget what you were saying about console margins?

Lol did I forget? What were you saying, 15% console margin or so?

Read and learn something for a change - http://seekingalpha.com/article/175...-q3-earnings?source=email_rt_article_readmore

David Wong of Wells Fargo noted that console margins came in "better than expected."

edit woops got cpu revenue mixed up.
 
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krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
Lol did I forget? What were you saying, 15% console margin or so?

Read and learn something for a change - http://seekingalpha.com/article/175...-q3-earnings?source=email_rt_article_readmore

And in case you didn't realise yet, AMD's CPU division revenue was up by 12% on Q2.

I dont care much about the margins, i can not eat that. But if anything they looks to be 50% more than i personally expected. They are damn good for the nature of the product. That is just prime example of solid business.

All the pages of talk about low earning on consoles. All the bs. Today it is burried.

From here on kneel down a say: "sorry i was wrong and will never ever repeat my mistake again. I have been a bad boy. Good father will you forgive me?"
 

SiliconWars

Platinum Member
Dec 29, 2012
2,346
0
0
The operating margin on the consoles is "mid teens", so basically what mrmt thought the gross margins were going to be. "Mid teens" operating margins are what Intel is on for most of their lineup.

The cpu drop is disappointing and graphics was poor, but that will change in Q4. They also have (at least) one other big server win that they can't talk about yet. Paying globalfoundries is no problem at all even with dropping cpu sales.

It's all set up for Kaveri to complete the turnaround.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
Rory Read is a machine btw. He hit every single target he said he would a year ago.

Agree. No matter what happens for amd and this strategy goes or not, he is in for a top job next time.

I absolutely dont like his style and he came a bit clumsy from the start eg keeping 7 series gfx prices way to high at 680 launch.

But business is about results and he have just delivered on the target set.
 

guskline

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2006
5,338
476
126
I'm glad for AMD that they made a profit and I'm glad for Intel when they make a profit. May I humbly suggest that we posters who love our PCs and our Overclocking etc should cheer every time AMD OR Intel posts a profit. We win because the companies who make our cpus are viable.

I understand the venom that sometime invades this forum between the AMD crowd and the Intel crowd ( I own a 3930k. 3770k 8350, 8320 etc so I like both companies). HOWEVER we need to realize that if we want to continue using PCs for gaming etc we need to have both companies viable AND willing to forge ahead with new cpus/apus.

Thus, I'm truly happy for AMD and this report of positive news.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
All the pages of talk about low earning on consoles. All the bs. Today it is burried.

How so, Krumme? Console sales are around 360MM per quarter, with a 15% gross margins. Let's say that they spend 1% in SG&A for consoles. That leaves them with some 50MM per quarter, or roughly 11% of their OPEX. I don't think this is high earnings and I don't think this is something that will save AMD. It's good money, and it's far better than no money at all. But 11% of their OPEX is not enough to offset the budget losses they had since RR came, and surely is not enough to develop anything other than another cheap, embedded/semi custom chip.

In the mean time their CPU business is dying, and regardless of how bad are the products they current sell, the bulk of their R&D bill is paid by this line up. They are expecting further contraction on that business and that means further operating losses, personnel cuts or a further shift to the embedded division, plus a worst negotiation position in the WSA discussions next month.

I haven't much to add to what I have been saying in the last few months. Their CPU business started to feel Haswell impact, and you can bet that with the bottom of the Haswell line up arriving in the next months and bay trail flooding the bottom PC market, things will get even worse. Consoles and embedded are generating peanuts cash, and they are not enough to sustain the kind of bleeding edge engineering we were used to see in AMD. And I don't expect AMD manufacturing consumer bleeding edge products a few years down the road.

On the upside, this is going to keep the company alive. It's a strategy that they are being able to execute, and that's a good thing, especially when you factor in the amount of constraints AMD has. As much as it will make AMD in a 2nd tier MPU designer, that's better than bankruptcy.
 
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mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
The operating margin on the consoles is "mid teens", so basically what mrmt thought the gross margins were going to be. "Mid teens" operating margins are what Intel is on for most of their lineup.

Enlighten us please. That's another one pulled from the same place of your console margins estimates or do you actually have a scenario to back that number?
 
Last edited:
Aug 11, 2008
10,451
642
126
The operating margin on the consoles is "mid teens", so basically what mrmt thought the gross margins were going to be. "Mid teens" operating margins are what Intel is on for most of their lineup.

The cpu drop is disappointing and graphics was poor, but that will change in Q4. They also have (at least) one other big server win that they can't talk about yet. Paying globalfoundries is no problem at all even with dropping cpu sales.

It's all set up for Kaveri to complete the turnaround.

You mean the turnaround from going bankrupt to barely surviving? And is that "big win" going to turn out like the "big win" we were supposed to hear about yesterday?
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
I'm glad for AMD that they made a profit and I'm glad for Intel when they make a profit. May I humbly suggest that we posters who love our PCs and our Overclocking etc should cheer every time AMD OR Intel posts a profit. We win because the companies who make our cpus are viable.

There isn't much to cheer, gus, at least not if you are a PC fan:

Vivek Arya - Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Rory, maybe one more on the PC business, now that Intel is starting to become more aggressive in the lower priced segment of the market, also in the tablet category with Bay Trail. And these are segments where you have traditionally held a larger market share on a relative basis. So if you are expecting the PC market to decline 10% next year and Intel continues to be aggressive in that lower priced segment of the market, how do you think your PC sales will trend next year? Just conceptually, I understand it’s too early to make a specific prediction.

Rory Read - President and CEO
From my perspective, Vivek, I think that we’ve created a very interesting product set, with the current products and the feedback I'm getting from our customers in terms of the design wins and the ramp. They look solid. Our volume is solid in that space. And the next-generation products, the silicon’s already in shops. So that’s positioning us well to continue to compete in the segment. But make no mistake about it. The PC industry is clearly in transition and will continue to be in transition, as tablet continues to attack particularly in the consumer segment. We think we can compete well and it will make a significant portion to our business moving forward.

But think about it. Two years ago we were 90% to 95% of our business centered over PCs and we’ve launched the clear strategy to diversify our portfolio taking our IT-- leadership IT and Graphics and CPU and taking it into adjacent segment where there is high growth for three, five, seven years and stickier opportunities.

We see that as an opportunity to drive 50% or more of our business over that time horizon.
And if you look at the results in the third quarter, we are already seeing the benefits of that opportunity with over 30% of our revenue now coming from semi-custom and our embedded businesses.

We see it is an important business in PC, but its time is changing and the go-go era is over. We need to move and attack the new opportunities where the market is going, and that’s what we are doing.
 

SiliconWars

Platinum Member
Dec 29, 2012
2,346
0
0
Enlighten us please. That's another one pulled from the same place of your console margins estimates or do you actually have a scenario to back that number?

If operating margins are "mid teens", how can your estimate of 15% gross be correct? Don't you think it's a lot more likely that my estimate of 22% is nearer the mark?
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
How so, Krumme? Console sales are around 360MM per quarter, with a 15% gross margins. Let's say that they spend 1% in SG&A for consoles. That leaves them with some 50MM per quarter, or roughly 11% of their OPEX. I don't think this is high earnings and I don't think this is something that will save AMD. It's good money, and it's far better than no money at all. But 11% of their OPEX is not enough to offset the budget losses they had since RR came, and surely is not enough to develop anything other than another cheap, embedded/semi custom chip.

In the mean time their CPU business is dying, and regardless of how bad are the products they current sell, the bulk of their R&D bill is paid by this line up. They are expecting further contraction on that business and that means further operating losses, personnel cuts or a further shift to the embedded division, plus a worst negotiation position in the WSA discussions next month.

I haven't much to add to what I have been saying in the last few months. Their CPU business started to feel Haswell impact, and you can bet that with the bottom of the Haswell line up arriving in the next months and bay trail flooding the bottom PC market, things will get even worse. Consoles and embedded are generating peanuts cash, and they are not enough to sustain the kind of bleeding edge engineering we were used to see in AMD. And I don't expect AMD manufacturing consumer bleeding edge products a few years down the road.

On the upside, this is going to keep the company alive. It's a strategy that they are being able to execute, and that's a good thing, especially when you factor in the amount of constraints AMD has. As much as it will make AMD in a 2nd tier MPU designer, that's better than bankruptcy.

50mm per quarter is super fine in AMD world, and safe money on top of it. I dont know why people have those high expectations for AMD. A business not turning profit is meaningless and it doesnt matter if its highend cpu or plastic bags. Amd was only seriously compettitive from 2000 to 2006, and for the rest of its lifetime it was not. And prior to 1995 it was nothing. If fact the last year is clearly among the best. lol.

Yes there will have to be further reductions if Kavery doesnt deliver big time (and i dont expect that). And yes the wsa is a conflicting mess - we have been over it. So be it. The steps taken is whats needed to be profitable - and yes it works. Perhaps at some time with future arm derivatives and mantle entering the market - and perhaps the mobile market - it will be time to raise the expectations but right now its very far from the reality.

Its a shame we dont have 2 players being strong on the pc market because we would benefit and have 8 cores haswell from day one. But we just dont.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
If operating margins are "mid teens", how can your estimate of 15% gross be correct? Don't you think it's a lot more likely that my estimate of 22% is nearer the mark?

Nope. I don't think there is much SG&A on this business.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
You mean the turnaround from going bankrupt to barely surviving?

Its a huge change in my book , not only from a economic perspective but also because there have been a sense in the management of AMD that change was needed.

We dont know if they will pull it off. We dont even know if they are barely survivable. In this situation i would say no - it looks more red than green to me. So further change is absolutely needed just to stay alive. I would say shares in AMD is very very risky. I dont know who buys them. But good for us consumers, it gives spades of innovation and very much needed competition.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
50mm per quarter is super fine in AMD world, and safe money on top of it. I dont know why people have those high expectations for AMD. A business not turning profit is meaningless and it doesnt matter if its highend cpu or plastic bags. Amd was only seriously compettitive from 2000 to 2006, and for the rest of its lifetime it was not. And prior to 1995 it was nothing. If fact the last year is clearly among the best. lol.

I don't think it's high expectations. They have a 450MM OPEX bill to foot, the business that pays it is dying and the new business only pays 11% of it. Another 15% drop in their CPU business is enough to wipe out the console gains and put the company back into negative cash flow territory, and we know that it isn't a too distant scenario for 2014.
 
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