- Mar 10, 2006
- 11,715
- 2,012
- 126
So, AMD's pretty great at the whole hype machine thing. I was looking at the HotChips slides for "Steamroller" and I was thinking to myself, "gee, this looks like it could be a real improvement and it could take on Intel!"
But then I snapped out of the pretty powerpoint hype and noted the following:
- Isn't Intel already leagues ahead of AMD, and isn't Intel still feverishly spending massive amounts of $ to improve its CPUs?
- AMD is nearly out of money and just significantly cut its R&D budget/costs...
- "Steamroller" based stuff won't be out until at least 2014 (listened to Rory Read's presentation @ Credit Suisse technology conference...said that "Kabini/Temash and Trinity" would be important in 2H 2013...no mention of "Kaveri")
- Intel will be doing a ground-up design on 22nm tri-gate transistors on "Haswell"...AMD will be working with GloFo's 28nm planar transistors...
So, does it seem at all reasonable for AMD to catch up? Logically and mathematically, it seems unlikely, but could anybody outline a reasonable scenario in which AMD can actually match up with Intel? I also have to keep in mind that by the time "Kaveri" hits in 2014, Intel will be ramping freakin' Broadwell 14nm!
But then I snapped out of the pretty powerpoint hype and noted the following:
- Isn't Intel already leagues ahead of AMD, and isn't Intel still feverishly spending massive amounts of $ to improve its CPUs?
- AMD is nearly out of money and just significantly cut its R&D budget/costs...
- "Steamroller" based stuff won't be out until at least 2014 (listened to Rory Read's presentation @ Credit Suisse technology conference...said that "Kabini/Temash and Trinity" would be important in 2H 2013...no mention of "Kaveri")
- Intel will be doing a ground-up design on 22nm tri-gate transistors on "Haswell"...AMD will be working with GloFo's 28nm planar transistors...
So, does it seem at all reasonable for AMD to catch up? Logically and mathematically, it seems unlikely, but could anybody outline a reasonable scenario in which AMD can actually match up with Intel? I also have to keep in mind that by the time "Kaveri" hits in 2014, Intel will be ramping freakin' Broadwell 14nm!