AMD to launch 20nm and a brand new architecture for GPUs this year

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Fx1

Golden Member
Aug 22, 2012
1,215
5
81
Try to be a bit realistic. I can understand you want to dream but 70-100% aint happening.

7970 saw a 30% improvement over 6970. 8970 in 20nm and this new architecture might match or pass Titan with 10% better performance max. Power consumption on the 8970 however will be better than Titan.

The 7970 is just as fast as a 6990.

Which is 2x6970

Also the 7970 was clocking 1125mhz right out the gate.

Drivers didnt increase performance THAT much!

Or maybe they did!
 
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Stuka87

Diamond Member
Dec 10, 2010
6,240
2,559
136
The 7970 is just as fast as a 6990.

Which is 2x6970

Also the 7970 was clocking 1125mhz right out the gate.

Drivers didnt increase performance THAT much!

Or maybe they did!

7970GE is faster than a 6990 in some cases. Slower in others. When the 7970 first shipped it was quite a bit slower. Drivers and the faster GE have pushed it ahead in many cases.

I assume you mean overclocking?

Drivers improved a LOT over the course of the last year. there was some very large gains in some games.
 

Fx1

Golden Member
Aug 22, 2012
1,215
5
81
7970GE is faster than a 6990 in some cases. Slower in others. When the 7970 first shipped it was quite a bit slower. Drivers and the faster GE have pushed it ahead in many cases.

I assume you mean overclocking?

Drivers improved a LOT over the course of the last year. there was some very large gains in some games.

I dont give the GE formal recognition because its just a factory overclock.

The review cards were hitting 1125mhz on release day.

Also i think AMD's driver team has improved alot since launch and i think launch drivers will be better this time around.

I think 50% faster is a conservative estimate
 

Stuka87

Diamond Member
Dec 10, 2010
6,240
2,559
136
I dont give the GE formal recognition because its just a factory overclock.

The review cards were hitting 1125mhz on release day.

Also i think AMD's driver team has improved alot since launch and i think launch drivers will be better this time around.

I think 50% faster is a conservative estimate

Also, the 6990 is not 6970x2. The cores are clocked down.

Not all HD7970's hit 1125 like you say. A lot did sure, but not all. Plus, the person had to overclock it. And the majority of graphics card owners do not overclock. The GHz also has boost, which helps the average person get better performance as well.

As for the drivers, like I have stated above, the change from VLIW to GCN is the reason the drivers took such a hit. It has nothing to do with their team getter "better", its just the process of switching to a completely new architecture. Volcanic Islands is not a new architecture.
 

Aikouka

Lifer
Nov 27, 2001
30,383
912
126
Nvidia makes a 28nm refresh (a 7xx series of cards).
AMD makes a 20nm refresh (a 8xxx series of cards).

Does this mean Nvidia's 7xx series will be short lived?
That titan's will take a nose dive in price soon?

That's certainly a possibility. Although, if nVidia's 700 series is supposed to be based on their existing GK110 platform, who's to say that they won't take a page from Intel's book and try to migrate a proven platform to a new/smaller process?

Also, I thought Apple paid a ton of money for TSMC to ready the 20nm process for their SoCs?
 

Fx1

Golden Member
Aug 22, 2012
1,215
5
81
Also, the 6990 is not 6970x2. The cores are clocked down.

Not all HD7970's hit 1125 like you say. A lot did sure, but not all. Plus, the person had to overclock it. And the majority of graphics card owners do not overclock. The GHz also has boost, which helps the average person get better performance as well.

As for the drivers, like I have stated above, the change from VLIW to GCN is the reason the drivers took such a hit. It has nothing to do with their team getter "better", its just the process of switching to a completely new architecture. Volcanic Islands is not a new architecture.

Yeh i understand they were slightly down clocked.

Every 7970 will do GE speeds though. Also if people dont overclock its their problem. It takes 2 seconds to move a slider. Heck i didnt even stability test my 1125/1700 i just benched it and started playing.

Also many benches where AMD suffered were based on DICE's Frostbite engine which seemed to make the 7970 look less impressive.

The great thing about AMD's cards in the last 2 generations has been the performance increases that come out through drivers. Ideally you would want 100% performance at launch but this cant always be the case.
 

BallaTheFeared

Diamond Member
Nov 15, 2010
8,115
0
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It takes two seconds to move a slider, and hours to hone in volt/clock stability.


Edit: Of course that's just for one game, the next game you run might be tottally unstable, like going from BF3 to Crysis 2... And with no indication of an unstable overclock you'll be doing a lot of rebooting...

/joygasm
 
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Fx1

Golden Member
Aug 22, 2012
1,215
5
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It takes two seconds to move a slider, and hours to hone in volt/clock stability.

i never moved voltage...

I started off at 1150mhz and there were small artifacts

Moved down to 1125mhz and stable!

Also i kept moving memory up 100mhz a time all the way to 1900 where it crashed and then i backed down to 1800 and stable!

About 45 mins i was done.
 
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BallaTheFeared

Diamond Member
Nov 15, 2010
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I only get artifacts with memory, with core it just locks or crashes the driver.

Of course I go for more than just stock voltage, and I also like to undervolt to maximize noise/heat/power per clock.

Dirty clock much quicker.
 

Stuka87

Diamond Member
Dec 10, 2010
6,240
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i never moved voltage...

I started off at 1150mhz and there were small artifacts

Moved down to 1125mhz and stable!

Also i kept moving memory up 100mhz a time all the way to 1900 where it crashed and then i backed down to 1800 and stable!

About 45 mins i was done.

Sorry dude, but I have to laugh at your logic. you are saying because your 7970 (Which I assume is a non-GHz) can overclock with no voltage adjustments, and your memory clocks to an unusually high level, that ALL cards can clock to that? Really? There are people that cannot get past 1050 even with voltage bumps (Talking original non-GHz cards).
 

boxleitnerb

Platinum Member
Nov 1, 2011
2,601
2
81
That is very good news. I feared the 20nm transition would be way off. I just hope the yields are good enough and the costs aren't that high.

@Stuka87:
Wafers are two-dimensional objects
40 -> 28 = 0.7*0.7 = 0.49
28 -> 20 = 0.714*0.714 = 0.51
 

Stuka87

Diamond Member
Dec 10, 2010
6,240
2,559
136
That is very good news. I feared the 20nm transition would be way off. I just hope the yields are good enough and the costs aren't that high.

@Stuka87:
Wafers are two-dimensional objects
40 -> 28 = 0.7*0.7 = 0.49
28 -> 20 = 0.714*0.714 = 0.51

I wasn't talking about the dimensions, and technically they are three dimensional

I was just stating the potential shrink size based on the process used. The transistors can theoretically be X% smaller.
 

boxleitnerb

Platinum Member
Nov 1, 2011
2,601
2
81
Fair enough. Although the difference seems rather small. In the end, it's theoretical anyway. What transistor density both companies can achieve, remains to be seen.

Btw, the thread title is a bad choice since:
The Volcanic Islands architecture although not confirmed could stick to 28nm.
It wouldn't be the worst idea to imitate Intel's tick-tock: Alternate between new process and new architectures. Especially considering that 20nm should be quite expensive at the beginning. So why rush things?
 
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Fx1

Golden Member
Aug 22, 2012
1,215
5
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Sorry dude, but I have to laugh at your logic. you are saying because your 7970 (Which I assume is a non-GHz) can overclock with no voltage adjustments, and your memory clocks to an unusually high level, that ALL cards can clock to that? Really? There are people that cannot get past 1050 even with voltage bumps (Talking original non-GHz cards).

I had a VERY poor 7970 that wouldnt clock past 1075mhz and memory was stuck at 1400mhz.

You would have to be the most unlucky owner to get one that doesnt do 1050mhz
 

Skurge

Diamond Member
Aug 17, 2009
5,195
1
71
Fair enough. Although the difference seems rather small. In the end, it's theoretical anyway. What transistor density both companies can achieve, remains to be seen.

Btw, the thread title is a bad choice since:
It wouldn't be the worst idea to imitate Intel's tick-tock: Alternate between new process and new architectures. Especially considering that 20nm should be quite expensive at the beginning. So why rush things?

I think one thing you can give AMD is that their GPU division does a great of making use of new processes. So I'm not worried at all about them "rushing" to 20nm.
 

Blitzvogel

Platinum Member
Oct 17, 2010
2,012
23
81
I think one thing you can give AMD is that their GPU division does a great of making use of new processes. So I'm not worried at all about them "rushing" to 20nm.

AMD's graphics team definitely pioneers new processes and technologies it seems more so than Nvidia, at least in the past few years.

First with GDDR5 (well they did help compose the standard)
First to 40 nm with the 4770.
First to DX11
First to 28 nm

What AMD lacks is Nvidia's drive, direction, and marketing towards relevant markets beyond PC gaming, hence why CUDA and Tesla have been successful for Nvidia. Also GCN as far as I know is much more in line with Nvidia's SIMD methodology, so it goes to show that VLIW was a dead end.
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
106
Assuming AMD beats nVidia to 20nm and has a performance advantage over Titan, I think we'll be looking at another $1000 card.

If the 7790 is anything to judge by (or even Pitcairn), it should be appreciably more efficient than Tahiti, as well.
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
106
If it's $999, no thanks.

That's what people said about Titan, too. :shrug:

AMD has been selling stuff at little or no profit for too long. That's why they're struggling so much financially. Their APU's look like they are starting to gel, their CPU's are improving relative to their competition, and their GPU's seem to be taking a more upmarket direction rather than the sweet spot strategy.
 

BallaTheFeared

Diamond Member
Nov 15, 2010
8,115
0
71
AMD tried $550 and got denied, you think they'd go for $1k? Actually I think they might, or close to it.. The 7990 shows their grasp of reality is very limited.
 

alcoholbob

Diamond Member
May 24, 2005
6,277
330
126
That's what people said about Titan, too. :shrug:

AMD has been selling stuff at little or no profit for too long. That's why they're struggling so much financially. Their APU's look like they are starting to gel, their CPU's are improving relative to their competition, and their GPU's seem to be taking a more upmarket direction rather than the sweet spot strategy.

Except the Titan is an nvidia product.
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
106
Except the Titan is an nvidia product.

I don't think that matters to AMD. They didn't try to undercut the market with the 7970 and they aren't trying to undercut the market with the 7990. I'm not trying to argue the success of the strategy, just saying that judging from their past releases under Rory Reed, there's no indication they'll go back to releasing product beneath the establish market levels. I could be wrong, but I'm predicting $1000 if it's faster than Titan.
 

SolMiester

Diamond Member
Dec 19, 2004
5,331
17
76
This will make Titan WORTHLESS!

A 20nm GPU based on the die area of the 7970 would crush Titan.

We could be looking at an 70-100% performance increase for the same money. Yields should be good given how fast they are moving ahead.

Has AMD ever had a 70-100% performance increase?.....I dont think so...Bit of an OTT statement on Titan being worthless too....sigh, we go through this every time a new GPU is on the horizon....
 

Blitzvogel

Platinum Member
Oct 17, 2010
2,012
23
81
I don't think that matters to AMD. They didn't try to undercut the market with the 7970 and they aren't trying to undercut the market with the 7990. I'm not trying to argue the success of the strategy, just saying that judging from their past releases under Rory Reed, there's no indication they'll go back to releasing product beneath the establish market levels. I could be wrong, but I'm predicting $1000 if it's faster than Titan.

No way. Titan is a premium product in a market that actually has participants with real purchasing power but it's a limited market. It's cost comes down not only to premium performance, but costs, and satisfactory die yields. A $1000 Titan graphics card with the GPU is one less GPU that doesn't go into a CAD/Workstation or Tesla processing board that sells for much more. On the upside, it provides an outlet for Nvidia's most powerful current GPU for more than GPGPU.

A die shrink to 20 nm would mean such a powerful chip for AMD doesn't have to cost no where near as much, assuming yields are plentiful. AMD would have no need to sell the top end Volcanic Islands for $1000.
 
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