And hats off to [DPC] Crisp...

[LeBlatt]

for guestimating quite accurately the date and block count where DPC would pass us. This graph is dated 10/31/2000 !

 

[murdmath]

Wow, that was close.

 

[poohke]

LeBlatt: call it dumb luck, caus that's what is was basicly.
One user screaming "WE CAN BEAT THEM TO IT!! FLUSH EVERYTHING YOU'VE GOT!!" and then a snowballeffect from all the users..
I would like to see the blocks/user flushed en # of users flushing yesterday caust those ar egonne be BIG.

edit: woops, offcourse, the graph WASN'T dumb luck.. the passing of the 600miljon and TA was

 

[crisp]

ok, I'll take a bough (is that how you spell it???)!
My estimation indeed proved quite accurate didn't it?
It was than based upon 10 weeks history or so (just after MF6) and was based upon a growing rate of 1.014% for DPC and 1.010% for AT if I'm not mistaken.
Now I have to use a different calculation method because of so many teams saving up lately, but still every time this very date kept pupping up...
Call it luck, call it whatever you like, but I'm proud of it!
Thanx to every-1 from TA for the good spirits, and I wish you good luck in keeping your no. 1 in OGR!

 

[Geintje]

two thumbs up ! Crisp !!
idd nice calculating last few months
*geintje takes his hat off*

 

[Viztech]

Hmmmm, Slash didn't make the grade though. They must have really slacked off RC5 to make that run in OGR. Slash hasn't broke the 550,000,000 barrier yet.

Great forecast though Crisp.

viz

 

[Marnix]

Hmm well the Graph from Crisp wasn't right if we didn't flush that 10million on one day, when we hadn't done that it took 3 of 4 days more to pass TA

 

[poohke]

actualy, if you take an average of more then 3 months (blocks experation date), it doesn't matter if people save up or not crisp.
Even if you take less then 3 months it should even out on average, not all flush on the same date