Pretty much this (except for the iffy Russell comparison). I can't think of a recent QB with a worse ability-to-handling ratio than RG3. If he goes to a team where management doesn't have such a severe case of head-in-ass disease, he could blow up again like in his rookie season.
Of course, there's the rub. Teams which can manage QBs usually already have QBs. How much talent does this league waste because it's an athletic version of Kitchen Nightmares? How many completely valid dreams are crushed because cowardly and/or incompetent coaches keep trying to hitch giraffes to plows?
Chalkboard day is long past at the pro level. It's Jimmies and Joes, not Xs and Os. A real NFL coach knows there is no spoon and bends himself to the situation without losing command of it. The exact opposite of how RG3 has been handled. Good thinking, Shanahan...like you were going to win the Super Bowl anyway.
What you guys are missing (and I had to explain to another guy on another forum recently) is that the style RGIII played in Washington his first year is the only style that he has shown he can play successfully in the NFL. Unfortunately for him, two things happened:
1. Defenses adapted to this play style.
2. His injury.
I predicted on numerous occasions that BOTH of these things would happen. I pointed out on NUMEROUS occasions that Shanahan installed a gimmicky offense full of read options, designed QB runs, and other tomfoolery. Of course, all I got back was things like "RGIII is better than Luck!" and foolishness like "He isn't running designed run plays or read options! He is a pocket passer! You don't watch his games!" The last part was especially funny because I literally had just watched one of his games and like 3/4ths of his plays were exactly what I said and the times he remained in the pocket, he showed terrible footwork and presence.
Guess what? I was 100% right and proven so the last 3 years, just like I was proven right about Kevin Kolb and Michael Vick, two other QBs I was ridiculed for criticizing when I said the Eagles ripped the Cards off for trading for an unproven and mediocre QB (Kolb) and said Vick was not an elite QB. And to be clear, my original argument wasn't the fact that the Redskins drafted RGIII, but the fact that the Rams ripped them off. Again, Redskins fans told me I was nuts and guess who was right?
RGIII has had AMPLE time to become a pocket passer. He has shown he has zero pocket presence and while his offensive line might not be great, Luck has been hit FAR more and keeps lighting it up. Shanahan was the ONLY reason RGIII had ANY success at all in the NFL. Most other teams would've forced him into a pocket passer role and as we've seen, he would likely not do well.
Lastly, the Colts did consider taking him but were exposed to his attitude issues and that sunk any slim chance he had of going #1 overall.