Android phone sales up 886%

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cheezy321

Diamond Member
Dec 31, 2003
6,218
2
0
the funny thing is that Android is really the anti iPhone. A lot of the whiners are the ones on Verizon. I mean granted you see AT&T people complaining, but in the rest of the world, the whole Android vs iPhone thing isnt as big. I feel as if its blown up because the US uses exclusivity, doesn't use unlocked phones, etc etc. CDMA vs GSM.

It seems like every point Android scores is one the iPhone fanbois lash back at, and every step the iPhone trips on generates a bunch of jeering oooooohs from the Android crowd.

You could look at Android as a full competing OS but while it's also partially acting as the Anti-Apple camp, I sometimes don't think it still can pull that fight off too well. The bottom line is 65-70% of the cell market is NOT on AT&T. And of the 30% that is on AT&T, how many are willing to deal with the iPhone and its contract. I think Apple does quite well for being in such a limited market.

How many people of the 65-70% get an Android phone because they feel its better than the iPhone? How many get an Android phone because that's all that there is on their network? How many people switched to AT&T for the iPhone? How many Verizon people would get an iPhone if it came to their network? See, there are so many variables right now this isn't even a fair comparison.

I feel as if phone sales and OS marketshare is completely fucked up in the US. It's not a true representation of marketshare. It's a representation of how the networks split up their OS allocations and who gets what subsidized phones.

The MP3 player market is totally different.

Here's a better picture. What if all the Android phones were available on every carrier, and what if the iPhone were available on every US carrier. How would you think the numbers would look?

You sir, are a smart man. Very well said.
 

senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,195
126
If my aunt had a penis, would she be my uncle?

Apple CHOSE to:
- Make only one iPhone device instead of different form factors and price points
- Tie it to one network in the US

So what's the point of arguing what would happen if Apple made different choices? What matters is the reality we live in, not some hypothetical one.
 

ObscureCaucasian

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2006
3,934
0
0
If my aunt had a penis, would she be my uncle?

Apple CHOSE to:
- Make only one iPhone device instead of different form factors and price points
- Tie it to one network in the US

So what's the point of arguing what would happen if Apple made different choices? What matters is the reality we live in, not some hypothetical one.

This.

Exclusivity was part of Apples strategy. It doesn't matter how many people WANT something, if they can't get it that's the biggest product flaw of all.
 
Feb 19, 2001
20,158
20
81
This.

Exclusivity was part of Apples strategy. It doesn't matter how many people WANT something, if they can't get it that's the biggest product flaw of all.

It's not necessarily a flaw though. The limited presence causes people to want it more. I'd also argue that it's only so limited in the US given that the iPhone only works properly on 1/4 of the major carriers. So even if you could unlock and use on another network, very few T-Mobile users do this, and obviously the main rival Verizon is just out of the picture.

Now while the iPhone has exclusivity deals with many other carriers worldwide, at least there exists a HUGE unlocked iPhone market for other carriers. In essence, the exclusivity crap goes out the window especially when people are willing to deal with unlocked phones to begin with. But still, I agree exclusivity plays a huge role because iPhone prices are well above $700 USD worldwide. Adoption in Europe and Asia is ridiculously high. That's not saying Android doesn't stand a chance, but for a phone thats exclusively in certain countries and certain carriers, that's pretty damn good

I think for Apple to hold its own this well with ONE network and ONE phone is already pretty amazing. I'm glad Android's done well, but this shouldn't be taken as a "Hah iPhone" thing.
 

ObscureCaucasian

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2006
3,934
0
0
It's not necessarily a flaw though. The limited presence causes people to want it more. I'd also argue that it's only so limited in the US given that the iPhone only works properly on 1/4 of the major carriers. So even if you could unlock and use on another network, very few T-Mobile users do this, and obviously the main rival Verizon is just out of the picture.

Now while the iPhone has exclusivity deals with many other carriers worldwide, at least there exists a HUGE unlocked iPhone market for other carriers. In essence, the exclusivity crap goes out the window especially when people are willing to deal with unlocked phones to begin with. But still, I agree exclusivity plays a huge role because iPhone prices are well above $700 USD worldwide. Adoption in Europe and Asia is ridiculously high. That's not saying Android doesn't stand a chance, but for a phone thats exclusively in certain countries and certain carriers, that's pretty damn good

I think for Apple to hold its own this well with ONE network and ONE phone is already pretty amazing. I'm glad Android's done well, but this shouldn't be taken as a "Hah iPhone" thing.

I agree, but only to a certain extent. The Nintendo Wii used the whole shortage thing to make people want it more, but when that goes on for 5 years, you just allowed a whole market of other competitors to take a foothold. If the iPhone would have launched with a CDMA version alongside the GSM, and it was available on multiple carriers, then platforms like Android would have had a much harder time.

I just think Apple made the wrong move with ATT. Like you said, it's done amazingly well being one device on (what many consider to be) one of the worst carriers in the US. All things the same, there would be a lot more iPhones sold if it was even just on Verizon, and the Verizon network would go along with Apples "Just Works" strategy.
 

sactoking

Diamond Member
Sep 24, 2007
7,547
2,759
136
So in 2010 vs 1985 terms, if Apple = Apple and Google = Microsoft, who are RIM, Symbian, Microsoft, etc?

This has always been a flawed analogy, in that when Microsoft and Apple were battling it out, there weren't two other, already entrenched, personal computer platforms with greater market share than either.

No, Apple = Apple and Google = IBM. The other players are ancillary and irrelevant.

A) Apple is not the market leader.

B) Android will never reach 95% market share, as was the case with Microsoft/Windows.

C) Even with a small percentage of the smartphone market (~25%), iOS would be more of a success than Mac OS. Apple is not looking to take over the world as they were with the original Macintosh computers. They just want a healthy ecosystem and they want to do it on their terms.

A) They're #2 behind a failing offering (RIM) and ahead of a failing offering (Windows phone)
B) Never say never
C) If you don't think Apple wants to take over the world with iOS you're deluded. Has Steve Jobs ever said "I just want my little piece and I'll let Bill/Google take the rest?"
 

ObscureCaucasian

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2006
3,934
0
0
C) If you don't think Apple wants to take over the world with iOS you're deluded. Has Steve Jobs ever said "I just want my little piece and I'll let Bill/Google take the rest?"

I'm sure he'd take the business, but Apple would have to lower standards to get product cheap enough to capture some of the lower end business (just like the Mac vs PC market), and that's something Apple isn't willing to do.
 

cheezy321

Diamond Member
Dec 31, 2003
6,218
2
0
I agree, but only to a certain extent. The Nintendo Wii used the whole shortage thing to make people want it more, but when that goes on for 5 years, you just allowed a whole market of other competitors to take a foothold. If the iPhone would have launched with a CDMA version alongside the GSM, and it was available on multiple carriers, then platforms like Android would have had a much harder time.

I just think Apple made the wrong move with ATT. Like you said, it's done amazingly well being one device on (what many consider to be) one of the worst carriers in the US. All things the same, there would be a lot more iPhones sold if it was even just on Verizon, and the Verizon network would go along with Apples "Just Works" strategy.

The whole smartphone explosion (yes, android included) would have never happened if Apple didnt partner with one company like AT&T in the US. Apple tried to go to verizon but verizon rebuffed them because they like to have a stanglehold over the OS on their phones. Oh yeah, and the popularity of the iPhone probably would have destroyed the 'nations best network' back in 2007. Verizon didn't wan't that type of reputation.

Its so ironic because this is what all the iPhone haters bring up the closed system of iOS. Verizon was very very very controlling over the OS on their phones up until the iPhone came out. Then google came along and finally convinced verizon to do it right with the droid. So you guys can thank apple for that.
 

rudeguy

Lifer
Dec 27, 2001
47,371
14
61
The whole smartphone explosion (yes, android included) would have never happened if Apple didnt partner with one company like AT&T in the US. Apple tried to go to verizon but verizon rebuffed them because they like to have a stanglehold over the OS on their phones. Oh yeah, and the popularity of the iPhone probably would have destroyed the 'nations best network' back in 2007. Verizon didn't wan't that type of reputation.

Its so ironic because this is what all the iPhone haters bring up the closed system of iOS. Verizon was very very very controlling over the OS on their phones up until the iPhone came out. Then google came along and finally convinced verizon to do it right with the droid. So you guys can thank apple for that.

I don't think anyone has every said that Apple didn't play a major part in the smart phone explosion in the US. Back then it was either Apple of BlackBerry and nearly everyone hated BlackBerry.

Ignore the idiots who downplay Apple's role in bettering the phone market.
 

MrX8503

Diamond Member
Oct 23, 2005
4,529
0
0
The whole smartphone explosion (yes, android included) would have never happened if Apple didnt partner with one company like AT&T in the US. Apple tried to go to verizon but verizon rebuffed them because they like to have a stanglehold over the OS on their phones. Oh yeah, and the popularity of the iPhone probably would have destroyed the 'nations best network' back in 2007. Verizon didn't wan't that type of reputation.

Its so ironic because this is what all the iPhone haters bring up the closed system of iOS. Verizon was very very very controlling over the OS on their phones up until the iPhone came out. Then google came along and finally convinced verizon to do it right with the droid. So you guys can thank apple for that.

This I agree with.

Verizon was just much of a control freak as Apple was. People tend to forget the horrible proprietary OS that Verizon forced upon its users. To break that trend we needed another control freak, Apple.

Obviously Verizon wasn't having that, so Apple they went with ATT. With the success of the iPhone smartphones now have OSs not developed by the carrier, but the phone manufacturer themselves.

We are still under the mercy of phone carriers, but Apple was the one to challenge that stranglehold and now we have sweet smartphones.
 

dwell

pics?
Oct 9, 1999
5,189
2
0
No, Apple = Apple and Google = IBM. The other players are ancillary and irrelevant.

Because they don't fit into your contrived example.

B) Never say never

I just did, and I'll say it again in a minute.

C) If you don't think Apple wants to take over the world with iOS you're deluded. Has Steve Jobs ever said "I just want my little piece and I'll let Bill/Google take the rest?"

They only way to take over the world is to make concessions that Apple is not willing to make. They are going to sell the iPhone on their terms. If that means they end up with a 15% market share the rest of their stay, that's fine with them.

The alternative is to let carriers and manufacturers have their way with their product (bundled apps, manufacturer skins, etc). Apple saw what a clusterfuck that was for Windows, they see where it's going with Android and want no part in it.

Apple will never let iOS be a commodity OS that can be slapped on any hardware, or open it up so, say, Sprint can bundle their Nascar apps on it. It will never happen/
 

rudeguy

Lifer
Dec 27, 2001
47,371
14
61
Steve has said something to the effect of "We don't need to put Windows out of business. We just need to be better than them." I believe that's usually his way of doing things.

I do believe that if Apple wants to cut down on the market share they are losing...they need to have more than one phone. Unless they aren't thinking in units shipped anymore. But who knows what Steve and his buddies have up their sleeves.
 

Patranus

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2007
9,280
0
0
Unless they aren't thinking in units shipped anymore. But who knows what Steve and his buddies have up their sleeves.

Apple is most certainly looking at profits.

According to Google, they make roughly $10 per Android user.
(Per the article stating 10 billion in revenue for 1 billion devices shipped)

Now, for Apple to make 10 billion in profits they would need to sell 30 million iPhones or 3% of what Google would have to ship.
 

zerocool84

Lifer
Nov 11, 2004
36,041
472
126
Apple is most certainly looking at profits.

According to Google, they make roughly $10 per Android user.
(Per the article stating 10 billion in revenue for 1 billion devices shipped)

Now, for Apple to make 10 billion in profits they would need to sell 30 million iPhones or 3% of what Google would have to ship.

Are you trying to say that's a bad thing??? They're making money on it and are going to make money on it. You're trying to say Google's strategy is bad or something? They obviously know what they're doing and they're going to sell even more and more phones.
 

Bateluer

Lifer
Jun 23, 2001
27,730
8
0
Its so ironic because this is what all the iPhone haters bring up the closed system of iOS. Verizon was very very very controlling over the OS on their phones up until the iPhone came out. Then google came along and finally convinced verizon to do it right with the droid. So you guys can thank apple for that.

They forgot the lesson very very quickly. See Droid X and Droid 2.
 

Patranus

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2007
9,280
0
0
Are you trying to say that's a bad thing??? They're making money on it and are going to make money on it. You're trying to say Google's strategy is bad or something? They obviously know what they're doing and they're going to sell even more and more phones.

Not saying if it is a good or bad thing. Simply replying to a post making the statement that Steve Jobs & Co. might not care about units shipped and why that might be the case.

We will have to wait and see which business model is stronger in the long run.
 

Pliablemoose

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
25,195
0
56
I want to point out that market share and the number of phones sold are somewhat unrelated, the smartphone market is huge and getting larger, that means smartphone sales by a manufacturer can double and they can still lose marketshare.

Also, don't forget to factor in things like international sales into your thinking...

We typically get spoon fed US #'s, and make generalizations that make no sense...
 

rudeguy

Lifer
Dec 27, 2001
47,371
14
61
I want to point out that market share and the number of phones sold are somewhat unrelated, the smartphone market is huge and getting larger, that means smartphone sales by a manufacturer can double and they can still lose marketshare.

Also, don't forget to factor in things like international sales into your thinking...

We typically get spoon fed US #'s, and make generalizations that make no sense...

So you are saying 80% of statistics are bullshit 50% of the time?
 

pm

Elite Member Mobile Devices
Jan 25, 2000
7,419
22
81
So you are saying 80% of statistics are bullshit 50% of the time?

I think the ratio is worse than that... Isn't there some "law" about that on the internet?

This.

Exclusivity was part of Apples strategy. It doesn't matter how many people WANT something, if they can't get it that's the biggest product flaw of all.
The iPhone is only exclusive in some countries. In most of Europe, it's available from multiple carriers. So it might be less of a strategy and at least somewhat tied to technical reasons.

By which I mean, if other countries that are on GSM/UMTS exclusively and all use the same frequencies all have competition between carriers for the iPhone, then maybe the reason that the iPhone is exclusive in the US has less to do with strategy and more to do with the fact that our cell phone ecosystem is pretty fragmented (1700MHz, 850MHz, 2100MHz UMTS, and then CDMA on multiple frequencies).
 
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rudeguy

Lifer
Dec 27, 2001
47,371
14
61
I think the ratio is worse than that... Isn't there some "law" about that on the internet?

I only learn about the laws when I get the little PM saying I broke one

Anyone else's quotes messed up? Mine are either blank or gibberish.
 

pm

Elite Member Mobile Devices
Jan 25, 2000
7,419
22
81
I only learn about the laws when I get the little PM saying I broke one
Ouch. For what it's worth, PM sends a lot of PM's so it's nothing personal.
Anyone else's quotes messed up? Mine are either blank or gibberish.
They look fine to me, and I'm not having any issues.
 

SAWYER

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
16,745
42
91
lol@people who seem to actually get mad at google's success and seem offended at apple not ruling all
 

ObscureCaucasian

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2006
3,934
0
0
The iPhone is only exclusive in some countries. In most of Europe, it's available from multiple carriers. So it might be less of a strategy and at least somewhat tied to technical reasons.

By which I mean, if other countries that are on GSM/UMTS exclusively and all use the same frequencies all have competition between carriers for the iPhone, then maybe the reason that the iPhone is exclusive in the US has less to do with strategy and more to do with the fact that our cell phone ecosystem is pretty fragmented (1700MHz, 850MHz, 2100MHz UMTS, and then CDMA on multiple frequencies).

I realize that there are technical hurdles for Apple to overcome to launch on multiple carriers but I would imagine that a company like Apple can handle developing a CDMA version if they so choose to. It's most likely rooted in Apples "Unified Experience Theory"; they don't think a consumer can handle the concept the there are 2 iPhone that look the same, but won't work on certain networks, or that iPhone 'A' (GSM) may have signal while iPhone 'B' (hypothetical CDMA iPhone) wouldn't.
 
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