AP:Trump weighs mobilizing Nat Guard for immigration roundups

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PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
'Most certainly', huh? That's odd, as the economics literature on the effects of immigration on wages is mixed at best, with plenty of papers finding either little to no effect on wages for low skilled workers or sometimes even a positive one. For example:

http://davidcard.berkeley.edu/papers/new-immig.pdf

Berkeley. lol


The key portion is "using our estimates......" lol

Again, supply and demand. You can do small scale studies of particular locations or situations and come to whatever conclusions you've decided you want. Unless you can show that somehow supply and demand curves have ceased to matter, it's all just drivel. No matter how you slice it, there is no conceivable way that adding more supply of unskilled labor causes a rise in the wages for unskilled labor.
 
Last edited:
Jul 9, 2009
10,723
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It's only bad when Trump and/or Bush did it, if it's Obamahole then it's good. Still it's a leaked story that has been denied by different sources.
"
In 2010, former President Barack Obama said he would deploy 1,200 National Guard troops to the U.S.-Mexico border. They were sent to Arizona, Texas, California and New Mexico. While National Guard troops were not authorized to arrest people found to be crossing the border illegally, they helped staff observation posts, monitor surveillance footage and build fences.

In 2006, former President George W. Bush called up 6,000 National Guard troops to California, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas. They were commissioned to help install border barriers, provide training and assist with border surveillance. The deployment was designed to support Customs and Border Protection agents in “executing logistical and administrative support, operating detection systems, providing mobile communications, augmenting border-related intelligence analysis efforts, and building and installing border security infrastructure.” Operation Jump Start, as the project was called, hoped to relieve Border Patrol agents from administrative duties so they could instead focus on border security.

According to Customs and Border Protection, the operation resulted in the apprehension of 5,003 people, 110 vehicles, $11,052, 28,577 pounds of marijuana and 1,447 pounds of cocaine."


Read more here: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/article133332154.html#storylink=cpy
 

PokerGuy

Lifer
Jul 2, 2005
13,650
201
101
What I'm saying is that the fixation on immigration, and the notion that all illegal immigrants have to be out now now now, is flawed.

Now now now?? Really? How long has this been a problem, 40, 50 + years? That's what you call "now now now". For the first time in at least half a century we have someone who is showing any sign of wanting to deal with the problem.... and the left goes howling mad with tantrums at the audacity of someone wanting to address the problem.

Yes, there should be better enforcement of border controls and illegal immigration in the first place. But is building an extremely expensive (and possibly ineffective) wall going to help? Is deporting a legion of people all at once wise versus a gradual program or (gasp) giving some of them a path to legal status where they have to be paid more?

Yes, and yes. You can't have a policy if you can't keep more people from coming in (or people coming back once you get them out). So yes, you need a wall as a start. Only then can you have a meaningful conversation about policy.

Also, remember: illegal immigrants frequently take the jobs that legal residents don't want. Congratulations, you just opened up a bunch of avenues for gardeners, crop pickers and hotel housekeepers. This has no effect on the wages of many Americans.

Ah yes, the tried and true "jobs Americans do not want" nonsense. Guess what, there's no such thing as a job that Americans do not want. There are "jobs that not enough Americans want at the price the employer wants to pay". Instead of doing what normally should occur: offering higher wages to get people to do the job, the answer has been to import illegals willing to do the jobs for low wages. Is it any surprise then that wages are stagnant? Normally, when demand is higher than supply, the price goes up to reach equilibrium. When you add new supply to meet demand, the price (wages) doesn't need to go up. Shocking how economics works no?

And it's funny that you talk about improving wages when you voted for the candidate least likely to increase the minimum wage or otherwise improve working conditions

Increasing minimum wages is just a distortion of the job market, it doesn't fix the fundamental underlying factors that are setting the prices. An improving economy improves working conditions, not drivel about forcing McDonalds to pay someone $15 per hour to flip a burger and thus forcing the company to get rid of the jobs altogether in favor of kiosks.
 
Jul 9, 2009
10,723
2,064
136
"Ah yes, the tried and true "jobs Americans do not want" nonsense. Guess what, there's no job that Americans do not want. There are "jobs that not enough Americans want at the price the employer wants to pay". Instead of doing what normally should occur: offering higher wages to get people to do the job, the answer has been to import illegals willing to do the jobs for low wages. Is it any surprise then that wages are stagnant? Normally, when demand is higher than supply, the price goes up to reach equilibrium. When you add new supply to meet demand, the price (wages) doesn't need to go up. Shocking how economics works no?"


Thank you PokerGuy.!
 

WelshBloke

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
30,967
8,688
136
Now now now?? Really? How long has this been a problem, 40, 50 + years? That's what you call "now now now". For the first time in at least half a century we have someone who is showing any sign of wanting to deal with the problem.... and the left goes howling mad with tantrums at the audacity of someone wanting to address the problem.



Yes, and yes. You can't have a policy if you can't keep more people from coming in (or people coming back once you get them out). So yes, you need a wall as a start. Only then can you have a meaningful conversation about policy.



Ah yes, the tried and true "jobs Americans do not want" nonsense. Guess what, there's no such thing as a job that Americans do not want. There are "jobs that not enough Americans want at the price the employer wants to pay". Instead of doing what normally should occur: offering higher wages to get people to do the job, the answer has been to import illegals willing to do the jobs for low wages. Is it any surprise then that wages are stagnant? Normally, when demand is higher than supply, the price goes up to reach equilibrium. When you add new supply to meet demand, the price (wages) doesn't need to go up. Shocking how economics works no?



Increasing minimum wages is just a distortion of the job market, it doesn't fix the fundamental underlying factors that are setting the prices. An improving economy improves working conditions, not drivel about forcing McDonalds to pay someone $15 per hour to flip a burger and thus forcing the company to get rid of the jobs altogether in favor of kiosks.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/oct/14/alabama-immigration-law-workers
 

brandonbull

Diamond Member
May 3, 2005
6,330
1,203
126
"Ah yes, the tried and true "jobs Americans do not want" nonsense. Guess what, there's no job that Americans do not want. There are "jobs that not enough Americans want at the price the employer wants to pay". Instead of doing what normally should occur: offering higher wages to get people to do the job, the answer has been to import illegals willing to do the jobs for low wages. Is it any surprise then that wages are stagnant? Normally, when demand is higher than supply, the price goes up to reach equilibrium. When you add new supply to meet demand, the price (wages) doesn't need to go up. Shocking how economics works no?"


Thank you PokerGuy.!

That's sounds very racist to me. How dare economics and the real world work like.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,775
49,430
136
Berkeley. lol

lol, one of the most prestigious research universities in the world isn't good enough for you. Shocking.

Looks like we're back to asking you what sources you will accept! While you're searching for a list of sources you will accept about media bias please also include sources that you will accept about economics.

The key portion "using our estimates......" lol

That is not a key portion for anyone who knows how to read research competently. Basically every economics paper ever is about creating estimates for the effects of the phenomenon you're measuring. Nice job embarrassing yourself, do you realize how stupid you look?

Again, supply and demand. You can do small scale studies of particular locations or situations and come to whatever conclusions you've decided you want. Unless you can show that somehow supply and demand curves have ceased to matter, it's all just drivel. No matter how you slice it, there is no conceivable way that adding more supply of unskilled labor causes a rise in the wages for unskilled labor.

If only those professional economists who may very well literally teach supply and demand curves had the deep understanding of them that you do! lol. I guess we can put professional economists up there with the pope in our list of fields where Pokerguy knows more than people who have devoted their lives to studying something.There are many, many ways adding additional unskilled labor can cause a rise in wages for unskilled labor in the long run. In fact, the papers that you clearly did not read discuss several possible explanations at length.

Thank you for displaying your total incompetence when it comes to economics so completely. I also can't help but note how easy it was to predict that you wouldn't admit being wrong despite empirical research to the contrary being shoved in your face.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,775
49,430
136
Berkeley. lol

lol, one of the most prestigious research universities in the world isn't good enough for you. Shocking.

Looks like we're back to asking you what sources you will accept! While you're searching for a list of sources you will accept about media bias please also include sources that you will accept about economics.

The key portion "using our estimates......" lol

That is not a key portion for anyone who knows how to read research competently. Basically every economics paper ever is about creating estimates for the effects of the phenomenon you're measuring. Nice job embarrassing yourself, do you realize how stupid you look?

Again, supply and demand. You can do small scale studies of particular locations or situations and come to whatever conclusions you've decided you want. Unless you can show that somehow supply and demand curves have ceased to matter, it's all just drivel. No matter how you slice it, there is no conceivable way that adding more supply of unskilled labor causes a rise in the wages for unskilled labor.

If only those professional economists who may very well literally teach supply and demand curves had the deep understanding of them that you do! lol. I guess we can put professional economists up there with the pope in our list of fields where Pokerguy knows more than people who have devoted their lives to studying something.There are many, many ways adding additional unskilled labor can cause a rise in wages for unskilled labor in the long run. In fact, the papers that you clearly did not read discuss several possible explanations at length.

Thank you for displaying your total incompetence when it comes to economics so completely. I also can't help but note how easy it was to predict that you wouldn't admit being wrong despite empirical research to the contrary being shoved in your face.
 

Spungo

Diamond Member
Jul 22, 2012
3,217
2
81
Is ID a specific thing or anything that meets certain criteria? (Does it have to be an "official" ID or can it be, say, an entry pass for work?)
ID would be government issued ID. Almost everyone carries government ID. You need ID to open a bank account, close a bank account, buy alcohol, sometimes just to enter a bar, buy cigarettes, drive a car (a large percentage of Americans drive to work). For the people who do not drive cars, their bus pass is usually in their wallet.


We don't need to carry a driver's license, if you get stopped by the police you have 7 days to turn up at the cop shop and show it.
In Washington, you need the license with you at all times while operating a vehicle. Not having a license at all is one thing, but not being able to present a license is also a crime. What happens after failing to present a license is also at the discretion of the police officer. With no photo ID, they have no way of knowing if you are who you say you are. You say your name is John Smith, and the computer says John Smith owns this car and has a valid license, but they have no proof that you really are John Smith. The police have the legal right to impound your car and tell you to walk home. When you find your license, you can go down to the impound lot, pay the $1000 for towing and impound fees, and you get your car back.

You should see what happens when people try operating a gun in Canada without a license. They don't just take your gun away. They will put you in jail until they know who you are.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
Is ID a specific thing or anything that meets certain criteria? (Does it have to be an "official" ID or can it be, say, an entry pass for work?)
We don't need to carry a drivers license, if you get stopped by the police you have 7 days to turn up at the cop shop and show it.

Believe it or not, its actually the same in America, at least in Minnesota. So many people in America are just salivating eager beaver at the thought of making America fascist, where you can be shot on the spot for not having an ID card.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,906
20,199
136
All negative news is fake? What are you talking about, this isn't even negative news. This would be a good thing.

I specifically it "could be" fake news, I didn't say it was. I'm just aware that you can't trust half the stuff most of the lefty media says because it's likely fake. Nothing more, nothing less.

You think half the news from places like CNN and the NYTimes is at least half fake?

You are fucking loony tunes
 

Ackmed

Diamond Member
Oct 1, 2003
8,478
524
126
And yeah, we figured you'd be jerking off to the thought of fewer brown people in the US.

I know you like to race bait a lot, but there are plenty of illegals that are not from Mexico or the Middle East. Plenty of white illegals too. And getting criminal illegals out of here is not a bad thing. Not the way he suggested, but overall.
 

Ackmed

Diamond Member
Oct 1, 2003
8,478
524
126
I never said they shouldn't? They should. I just pointed out that there are illegals that are not "brown" too. They should also be deported. The usual race baiting was going on and I called him on it.
 

MagnusTheBrewer

IN MEMORIAM
Jun 19, 2004
24,135
1,594
126
I'm so glad I left Arizona, I'd be going to jail for sure. Not because I don't have id but, for refusing to produce it.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,906
20,199
136
I never said they shouldn't? They should. I just pointed out that there are illegals that are not "brown" too. They should also be deported. The usual race baiting was going on and I called him on it.

My post wasn't directed at you, it just happen to be posted right after yours. This was just a general question for anyone in the thread.
 

Commodus

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2004
9,215
6,818
136
Now now now?? Really? How long has this been a problem, 40, 50 + years? That's what you call "now now now". For the first time in at least half a century we have someone who is showing any sign of wanting to deal with the problem.... and the left goes howling mad with tantrums at the audacity of someone wanting to address the problem.

As usual, you aren't really understanding. What I'm saying is that it's delusional to think that you can reverse those decades of illegal immigration problems in a matter of months without creating serious problems. The sudden vacuum in certain fields would be bad enough (don't assume that there would be legions of Americans lining up to be housekeepers), but it'd also rip large chunks out of certain communities with little to no warning.

Addressing the problem is fine. But you have to address it intelligently, and acknowledge that you can't simply get rid of millions of people without serious consequences. Let's abuse driving analogies for this one. Which is smarter when approaching a red light: slamming the brakes at the last possible moment, or coming to a smooth stop? Both achieve the same end, but only one is responsible and safe.



Yes, and yes. You can't have a policy if you can't keep more people from coming in (or people coming back once you get them out). So yes, you need a wall as a start. Only then can you have a meaningful conversation about policy.

Need? We don't even know if the wall will work. Has there been a feasibility study conducted? I'm not seeing evidence of one. Just because Trump thinks it'll work doesn't mean it will. Assuming it gets built, that is... right now, the estimated cost is $21.5 billion, or more than twice what he claimed it would cost.



Ah yes, the tried and true "jobs Americans do not want" nonsense. Guess what, there's no such thing as a job that Americans do not want. There are "jobs that not enough Americans want at the price the employer wants to pay". Instead of doing what normally should occur: offering higher wages to get people to do the job, the answer has been to import illegals willing to do the jobs for low wages. Is it any surprise then that wages are stagnant? Normally, when demand is higher than supply, the price goes up to reach equilibrium. When you add new supply to meet demand, the price (wages) doesn't need to go up. Shocking how economics works no?

This isn't really an answer. It makes a couple of bad assumptions: that there will always be a large-enough pool of legal residents willing to work these jobs, and that the companies can always justify paying whatever it takes to fill those jobs. A berry farm is not going to pay $12 an hour when it was paying, say, $4 before. You will see a pay increase, but that'll likely mean minimum wage and not much more. It's an improvement, but the notion that this will magically fix the job situation is misguided.



Increasing minimum wages is just a distortion of the job market, it doesn't fix the fundamental underlying factors that are setting the prices. An improving economy improves working conditions, not drivel about forcing McDonalds to pay someone $15 per hour to flip a burger and thus forcing the company to get rid of the jobs altogether in favor of kiosks.

Minimum wage hasn't been keeping pace with inflation. It's as simple as that -- a job that used to be just enough to get by now forces many people to work second jobs or take on one or more roommates. You can't pretend that market forces will fix this, because they've had decades to do that and have clearly failed.

Also, news flash: automation is coming whether or not the minimum wage stays low. Why would McDonald's pay $7.25 per hour for a large number of cashiers when it can replace most of them with a few touchscreens? At best, keeping wages low delays the inevitable. I'd rather improve the quality of life while human workers are around so that they can live better lives and have the money needed to study for more sophisticated positions.
 

Commodus

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2004
9,215
6,818
136
I know you like to race bait a lot, but there are plenty of illegals that are not from Mexico or the Middle East. Plenty of white illegals too. And getting criminal illegals out of here is not a bad thing. Not the way he suggested, but overall.

We know exactly which immigrants are being targeted, though. It's not the white ones, and in many cases the threat is being exaggerated or outright falsified. Take the anti-Muslim immigration ban, for example: there's no evidence that the ban would actually stop terrorist attacks in the US, and the number of attacks by immigrant Muslims has been extremely low. It's just about giving paranoid white Christians the illusion of safety.

I do agree that tackling illegal immigration is important. I'd just prefer a considerably more moderate approach: open more paths to legal residency when possible, conduct any deportation increases more gradually and don't act as if a wall will magically fix your problems. I'd rather have increased border monitoring.
 
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