[AppleInsider] Apple may abandon Intel for its Macs starting with post-Broadwell

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North01

Member
Dec 18, 2013
88
1
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Look at the pic, the hinge covers the entirety of the side of the screen half. The bottom half will look exactly the same.

Also you are way off on 7.9mm. I put my 7.2mm iPhone 5s beside it and it's exactly by the pic.

Based on the pic it is at most 7.5mm thin as a whole.


Even if your poor estimates based on nothing but conjecture were correct, it still only leaves 5mm for the whole body including keyboard. Surface pro 3 is like 8mm and it has no keyboard nor does it need space for a clamshell.

We know the iPad Air 2 in the picture is ~6.1 mm thick. Setting that as our scale, we can see the hinge on the display is ~1.26x the thickness of the iPad Air 2, so we get a number around 7.7 mm. Including the base would only add to that number.

For reference, the Samsung ATIV Book 9 (2015) is 11.68 mm thick, and it uses a full-sized USB port.

 
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Roland00Address

Platinum Member
Dec 17, 2008
2,196
260
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You are totally missing my point about thickness.
I frequently miss your point about many things.

As for the rest of your comment it runs on a lot of assumptions, and I rather deal with what is known and I will not speculate when there are lots of assumptions for I want solid ground for speculation.
 

III-V

Senior member
Oct 12, 2014
678
1
41
To clarify, are all Broadwell Y variants now renamed Core M or only some parts?
Really, Core M is the marketing name. I think those skus are still considered their Y series internally, but I could be wrong.
Yeah - I'm in the camp that we will see Apple move some x86 based products to ARM one day and the MBA being the most likely candidate. However Apple has been pretty methodical in how they progress their roadmap and 2015 feels too soon.

Having some base MBA product with an ARM SOC while simultaneously selling and supporting x86 versions sounds like a nightmare for consumers and Apple. And they won't/can't get rid of Intel in this line until they have a SOC that matches the performance of the top tier MBA - 1.7Ghz i7 with 8GB of memory.

Then the software branch would also be a PITA to manage. So it's not to say Apple couldn't do it - they certainly can - but it would be a far more disjointed change than I see them making. If they do it, it'll be when they can transition the entire MBA line at once and have a clean cut-over.
Yeah, I just think that early adopters of the rMBA would get shafted terribly hard if it were the only ARM Mac device. Apple would need to have a CPU capable of taking on Intel's to do a launch across the entire mac specturm, and they're a few years out, even if they keep at their current rate.
 
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Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
3,926
404
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Let's assume the next MBA will be Broadwell based. Then what's held Apple back from releasing it already?

Some theories:

1. Apple was not satisfied with the Broadwell Y Core M 5Y70 performance, so they are waiting for Intel to provide a better SKU that satisfies their requirements. E.g. higher clocks at same TDP, maybe the 5Y71 model or even better.

2. Apple is expecting the new MBA to sell in very high volumes. So they have to wait for Intel to build up a sufficiently large stock of 5Y71 chips before launch. Normally Intel has already built up sufficient stock of CPUs when they launch a new CPU. But given the 14 nm yield issues, this may have taken longer than expected. So maybe they released small quantities of Core M in late 2014 (not sufficient volumes for Apple though) to still be able to claim a 2014 Broadwell release, and then make the "actual" launch in 2015?

What do you guys think is most likely, and are there any alternative theories?
 

SAAA

Senior member
May 14, 2014
541
126
116
Let's assume the next MBA will be Broadwell based. Then what's held Apple back from releasing it already?

Some theories:

1. Apple was not satisfied with the Broadwell Y Core M 5Y70 performance, so they are waiting for Intel to provide a better SKU that satisfies their requirements. E.g. higher clocks at same TDP, maybe the 5Y71 model or even better.

2. Apple is expecting the new MBA to sell in very high volumes. So they have to wait for Intel to build up a sufficiently large stock of 5Y71 chips before launch. Normally Intel has already built up sufficient stock of CPUs when they launch a new CPU. But given the 14 nm yield issues, this may have taken longer than expected. So maybe they released small quantities of Core M in late 2014 (not sufficient volumes for Apple though) to still be able to claim a 2014 Broadwell release, and then make the "actual" launch in 2015?

What do you guys think is most likely, and are there any alternative theories?

Point N°1 seems more likely considered the higher turbo in the old air, but the graphics here is the problem: the HD5500 at 4.5W in it can't compete with a HD5000 at three times the TDP, so considering they might increase screen resolution it's almost certain they are waiting for better models with 48EUs.
 

TreVader

Platinum Member
Oct 28, 2013
2,057
2
0
We know the iPad Air 2 in the picture is ~6.1 mm thick. Setting that as our scale, we can see the hinge on the display is ~1.26x the thickness of the iPad Air 2, so we get a number around 7.7 mm. Including the base would only add to that number.



For reference, the Samsung ATIV Book 9 (2015) is 11.68 mm thick, and it uses a full-sized USB port.





Wow, so now you're just going to lie outright? . I opened the pic in Photoshop, it's 1.16x which brings the FULL THICKNESS to 7.2mm


I encourage anybody to check themselves or to take their 5s and put it up to the iPad Air 2. I have both and will take pics later today to refute this guy but he's just plain lying, and he also seems to be lying about the "base" being taller than the bottom.
Anybody who's ever bought an apple product knows they love symmetry.


It's going to be hilarious when Apple reveals this an I'm the only one on this whole tech forum who saw it coming
 
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TreVader

Platinum Member
Oct 28, 2013
2,057
2
0
I frequently miss your point about many things.



As for the rest of your comment it runs on a lot of assumptions, and I rather deal with what is known and I will not speculate when there are lots of assumptions for I want solid ground for speculation.


Hmm yes let's stop speculating now that you have no argument? No thanks.
 
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TreVader

Platinum Member
Oct 28, 2013
2,057
2
0
Let's assume the next MBA will be Broadwell based. Then what's held Apple back from releasing it already?

Some theories:

1. Apple was not satisfied with the Broadwell Y Core M 5Y70 performance, so they are waiting for Intel to provide a better SKU that satisfies their requirements. E.g. higher clocks at same TDP, maybe the 5Y71 model or even better.

2. Apple is expecting the new MBA to sell in very high volumes. So they have to wait for Intel to build up a sufficiently large stock of 5Y71 chips before launch. Normally Intel has already built up sufficient stock of CPUs when they launch a new CPU. But given the 14 nm yield issues, this may have taken longer than expected. So maybe they released small quantities of Core M in late 2014 (not sufficient volumes for Apple though) to still be able to claim a 2014 Broadwell release, and then make the "actual" launch in 2015?

What do you guys think is most likely, and are there any alternative theories?


Neither is likely. Apple won't use Broadwell because it's junk for anything less than 80 watt TDP.

Why do we have to constantly assume Apple will compromise for Intel, when Intel has always been the one to compromise? Well, they tried their best with core M, and it just wasn't good enough for apple.

Broadwell U is out, core M is out, yet no retina MacBook Air. Hmmmm...
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
126
Let's assume the next MBA will be Broadwell based. Then what's held Apple back from releasing it already?

Some theories:

1. Apple was not satisfied with the Broadwell Y Core M 5Y70 performance, so they are waiting for Intel to provide a better SKU that satisfies their requirements. E.g. higher clocks at same TDP, maybe the 5Y71 model or even better.

2. Apple is expecting the new MBA to sell in very high volumes. So they have to wait for Intel to build up a sufficiently large stock of 5Y71 chips before launch. Normally Intel has already built up sufficient stock of CPUs when they launch a new CPU. But given the 14 nm yield issues, this may have taken longer than expected. So maybe they released small quantities of Core M in late 2014 (not sufficient volumes for Apple though) to still be able to claim a 2014 Broadwell release, and then make the "actual" launch in 2015?

What do you guys think is most likely, and are there any alternative theories?

Both of these explanations seem plausible. 5Y70 was EOL'd in like August/September -- before the first systems based on it came out.
 

Qwertilot

Golden Member
Nov 28, 2013
1,604
257
126
There's also always the awfully 'dull' (and consequently unfashionable ) thought that maybe they're just going to use the broadwell equivalent of the processors already in the airs.....
 

Roland00Address

Platinum Member
Dec 17, 2008
2,196
260
126
Hmm yes let's stop speculating now that you have no argument? No thanks.

No, I will not speculate on broadwell's battery life when we have limited data points on broadwell's battery life mainly the Yoga 3. Since I do not know Broadwell's battery life I will not extrapolate whether something is broadwell or not saying it has to be or it can't be broadwell due to an unknown which is battery life.

But then again you can be quite hyperbolic and thus often can be quite obtuse, after all you then do this hyperbolic statement which shows your understanding of the cpu market to be limited

Neither is likely. Apple won't use Broadwell because it's junk for anything less than 80 watt TDP.

There is nothing like the efficiency of haswell and probably broadwell in the 15w segment, let alone higher tdps. Junk for anything less than 80w tdp (roll eyes)

TreVader said:
It's going to be hilarious when Apple reveals this an I'm the only one on this whole tech forum who saw it coming

Broadwell U is out, core M is out, yet no retina MacBook Air. Hmmmm...

How much you want to bet that the next airs are going to stay intel? It does not have to be something physical but on an emotional scale what would you be willing to bet, how much pride would you be willing to give up if you are wrong, or gain if you are right?

I am being serious, would you stake your name or some other claim on this, whether apple will stick with intel for the airs?
 

Tuna-Fish

Golden Member
Mar 4, 2011
1,422
1,759
136
What do you guys think is most likely, and are there any alternative theories?

3. It's not in Apple's schedule to launch a new line now. Apple has often been late to upgrades simply because they don't care that much. As far as they are concerned, the current MBP lineup is perfectly good, and Broadwell isn't exactly earth-shattering enough upgrade for them to change their plans. Just look at how long they shipped core 2's when better options were available, and in power/perf that upgrade was much more important.
 

elemein

Member
Jan 13, 2015
114
0
0
No, I will not speculate on broadwell's battery life when we have limited data points on broadwell's battery life mainly the Yoga 3. Since I do not know Broadwell's battery life I will not extrapolate whether something is broadwell or not saying it has to be or it can't be broadwell due to an unknown which is battery life.

But then again you can be quite hyperbolic and thus often can be quite obtuse, after all you then do this hyperbolic statement which shows your understanding of the cpu market to be limited



There is nothing like the efficiency of haswell and probably broadwell in the 15w segment, let alone higher tdps. Junk for anything less than 80w tdp (roll eyes)





How much you want to bet that the next airs are going to stay intel? It does not have to be something physical but on an emotional scale what would you be willing to bet, how much pride would you be willing to give up if you are wrong, or gain if you are right?

I am being serious, would you stake your name or some other claim on this, whether apple will stick with intel for the airs?

I'd be willing to bet money. I want in on this.

Getting a bit tired of it, I tried talking to him earlier in this very thread, and it almost seemed like TreVader "got it", but seems that didn't last long.
 

Eug

Lifer
Mar 11, 2000
23,752
1,285
126
Heh. I purposely put those pix in the Apple 12" Retina MacBook speculation thread and not this thread, because they have absolutely nothing to do with ARM vs Intel.

For the record, I believe it will be Broadwell. Maybe M/Y, although I'm starting to think I might prefer a U based machine. Can't say though since I've never personally compared Broadwell U and Y side by side with real-world usage.

Either way though, I'll likely wait for Skylake.
 

TreVader

Platinum Member
Oct 28, 2013
2,057
2
0
No, I will not speculate on broadwell's battery life when we have limited data points on broadwell's battery life mainly the Yoga 3. Since I do not know Broadwell's battery life I will not extrapolate whether something is broadwell or not saying it has to be or it can't be broadwell due to an unknown which is battery life.

But then again you can be quite hyperbolic and thus often can be quite obtuse, after all you then do this hyperbolic statement which shows your understanding of the cpu market to be limited



There is nothing like the efficiency of haswell and probably broadwell in the 15w segment, let alone higher tdps. Junk for anything less than 80w tdp (roll eyes)





How much you want to bet that the next airs are going to stay intel? It does not have to be something physical but on an emotional scale what would you be willing to bet, how much pride would you be willing to give up if you are wrong, or gain if you are right?

I am being serious, would you stake your name or some other claim on this, whether apple will stick with intel for the airs?


I am already staking my name on this forum. I'm not sure, I don't gamble with money as a principle but other stuff I'm fine with.

I expect to be roundly ridiculed if this thing comes out with Intel, but if it turns out to be ARM I would hope to gain some modicum of respect.
 

Roland00Address

Platinum Member
Dec 17, 2008
2,196
260
126
I am already staking my name on this forum. I'm not sure, I don't gamble with money as a principle but other stuff I'm fine with.

I expect to be roundly ridiculed if this thing comes out with Intel, but if it turns out to be ARM I would hope to gain some modicum of respect.

That is all I am asking, you emphatically are placing a wager even if there is nothing physical at state. You are placing your name on the line and are expecting positive or negative consequences (such as positive or negative social fame) if you are right or wrong.

We shall see...we shall see. I expect it will be core m, but I would be ecstatic if its ARM and its a no compromise device that is equivalent to core m. (And will be so pissed if its ARM and it is sucky and core m is superior in other devices.) If its even better than core m that would be superb, but if its better than core m I would look outside and wonder where the hell is my unicorn that I wanted.

So my bet is on broadwell, probably core m (broadwell y), but broadwell y or u I am not confident enough to place a bet. (I am still pretty sure it will be core m).
 

TreVader

Platinum Member
Oct 28, 2013
2,057
2
0
That is all I am asking, you emphatically are placing a wager even if there is nothing physical at state. You are placing your name on the line and are expecting positive or negative consequences (such as positive or negative social fame) if you are right or wrong.

We shall see...we shall see. I expect it will be core m, but I would be ecstatic if its ARM and its a no compromise device that is equivalent to core m. (And will be so pissed if its ARM and it is sucky and core m is superior in other devices.) If its even better than core m that would be superb, but if its better than core m I would look outside and wonder where the hell is my unicorn that I wanted.

So my bet is on broadwell, probably core m (broadwell y), but broadwell y or u I am not confident enough to place a bet. (I am still pretty sure it will be core m).


The one upset I could see is Intel releasing Skylake early in a special Apple-only sku.

They could put Broadwell in the form factor, but I would estimate no more than 4-6hrs battery life even on a 5Y10 device. Hard to say really, but with the issues the Yoga 3 pro is having I am skeptical.

The thing that makes me think apple is going to ARM more than anything else is the fact that they did not debut Broadwell in a MacBook, which is what we all expected. Then they release Broadwell-U, and no MacBook. Then with the benchmarks and yoga 3 pro issues and finally the odd silence or AT on the whole issue. No reviews of Broadwell or anything. Just silence.

It's mighty suspicious...
 

coercitiv

Diamond Member
Jan 24, 2014
6,400
12,849
136
The thing that makes me think apple is going to ARM more than anything else is the fact that they did not debut Broadwell in a MacBook
Broadwell 1H 2015 -> Apple does not launch new laptops -> Skylake 2H 2015 -> Apple launches laptops with ARM

They are aiming really high.
 

North01

Member
Dec 18, 2013
88
1
66
Wow, so now you're just going to lie outright? . I opened the pic in Photoshop, it's 1.16x which brings the FULL THICKNESS to 7.2mm


I encourage anybody to check themselves or to take their 5s and put it up to the iPad Air 2. I have both and will take pics later today to refute this guy but he's just plain lying, and he also seems to be lying about the "base" being taller than the bottom.
Anybody who's ever bought an apple product knows they love symmetry.

I would like to ask you NOT to put words in my mouth or misrepresent my intentions. The only statement I made regarding the base, is that it would add to the overall thickness, nothing more. The point at the hinge is not the thickest part of a Macbook Air.


Regarding your accusations, that I'm "lying", here is a crude, but simple representation of scale that displays how I came to that approximation:



46/37 = ~ 1.2432
46/36 = ~ 1.2777

Average = ~ 1.2605

Of course there are numerous factors of error that can be introduced when trying to analyse a rather low quality image of a "supposed" MacBook Air display/lid. This is nothing more than speculation.
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
3,899
193
106
To clarify, are all Broadwell Y variants now renamed Core M or only some parts?

People don't seem to understand Core M. Core M is name without any content. It's like saying "my laptop has i7!!1".

Core M is the brand for all fanless Core-Y SKUs from Broadwell on. Skylake-Y will also be called Core M and that's why you should call it BDW-Y or SKL-Y, not Core M.
 

TreVader

Platinum Member
Oct 28, 2013
2,057
2
0
I would like to ask you NOT to put words in my mouth or misrepresent my intentions. The only statement I made regarding the base, is that it would add to the overall thickness, nothing more. The point at the hinge is not the thickest part of a Macbook Air.





Regarding your accusations, that I'm "lying", here is a crude, but simple representation of scale that displays how I came to that approximation:







46/37 = ~ 1.2432

46/36 = ~ 1.2777



Average = ~ 1.2605



Of course there are numerous factors of error that can be introduced when trying to analyse a rather low quality image of a "supposed" MacBook Air display/lid. This is nothing more than speculation.


So based on your analysis, and assuming the hinge does represent the full thickness (which I think it does based on the leaked photo showing the screen), the entire laptop should be between 7.5-7.8mm

In the photo that screen looks about 3-3.5mm. But let's be generous and assume they made it thin at 2.5mm, that still leaves only 5-5.3mm for the keyboard, SoC, SSD, battery, and motherboard.


That is not an insurmountable challenge, but it's a challenge you don't need to overcome of you use ARM. With an ARM device you will have a fraction of the power draw and heat.
 
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