Question are video card prices headed down yet?

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coercitiv

Diamond Member
Jan 24, 2014
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Add to that the elephant in the room that so many seem to overlook: 4090 pricing vs 3090, a very modest 7% gain in price. Yet that damn 4080 with the smaller chip goes up 70% (vs the large die 3080).
It's been repeated every once in a while, but conveniently ignored by folks who keep explaining how rising die costs linearly affect card pricing. It's ok to argue the 4070Ti should be more than double the 3060 price since apparently wafer cost is more than double, but we don't like the idea that 4080 should be around $900 because the die cost is bellow 60% of AD102. That's where the cognitive dissonance kicks in. /s

Price as a linear function of die cost can only go up, never down
 
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maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
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It's been repeated every once in a while, but conveniently ignored by folks who keep explaining how rising die costs linearly affect card pricing. It's ok to argue the 4070Ti should be more than double the 3060 price since apparently wafer cost is more than double, but we don't like the idea that 4080 should be around $900 because the die cost is bellow 60% of AD102. That's where the cognitive dissonance kicks in. /s

Price as a linear function of die cost can only go up, never down
It's a racket ratchet.
 

amenx

Diamond Member
Dec 17, 2004
4,008
2,278
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One disturbing phenomenon the world is now grappling with is 'greedflation', where some businesses are raising prices more than necessary, even on products where cost has not gone up much. I have no doubt costs have gone up for wafer production and Nvidia, but I dont think its evenly applied to all their products in a logically proportional manner. The greed aspect kicks whenever milking opportunities arise. Not singling out Nvidia, I think its occurring in all industries.
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
21,808
11,164
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One disturbing phenomenon the world is now grappling with is 'greedflation', where some businesses are raising prices more than necessary, even on products where cost has not gone up much. I have no doubt costs have gone up for wafer production and Nvidia, but I dont think its evenly applied to all their products in a logically proportional manner. The greed aspect kicks whenever milking opportunities arise. Not singling out Nvidia, I think its occurring in all industries.

If there isn't sufficient competition or product supply to prevent arbitrary price increases, what's going to stop them from trying? It's not a new phenomenon for companies to try to starve supply and raise prices. Selling 1000 units for 2x price is easier than selling 2000 units for 1x price. The goal here isn't to build market share or please customers. It's to make as much money as quickly as possible!
 

blckgrffn

Diamond Member
May 1, 2003
9,198
3,185
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www.teamjuchems.com
If there isn't sufficient competition or product supply to prevent arbitrary price increases, what's going to stop them from trying? It's not a new phenomenon for companies to try to starve supply and raise prices. Selling 1000 units for 2x price is easier than selling 2000 units for 1x price. The goal here isn't to build market share or please customers. It's to make as much money as quickly as possible!

Won’t you think of the shareholders! And the execs who risk it all with their compensation largely determined by stock prices??? They need to eat too!

Haha, the incentives in this game create a predictable outcome.

You ever played Monopoly? You ever play it with people you liked or cared about? Fun.
 

Saylick

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2012
3,386
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If there isn't sufficient competition or product supply to prevent arbitrary price increases, what's going to stop them from trying? It's not a new phenomenon for companies to try to starve supply and raise prices. Selling 1000 units for 2x price is easier than selling 2000 units for 1x price. The goal here isn't to build market share or please customers. It's to make as much money as quickly as possible!
In a perfect world, elastic demand should stop Nvidia from jacking prices up through the stratosphere because you likely won't be able to sell half as many units for 2x the price. GPUs aren't an inelastic good. People can live perfectly fine without a baller, shot caller gaming computer. What we've learned over the last few years is that people apparently treat GPUs as more of an inelastic good than we ever could imagine.
 
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IEC

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Jun 10, 2004
14,362
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One disturbing phenomenon the world is now grappling with is 'greedflation', where some businesses are raising prices more than necessary, even on products where cost has not gone up much. I have no doubt costs have gone up for wafer production and Nvidia, but I dont think its evenly applied to all their products in a logically proportional manner. The greed aspect kicks whenever milking opportunities arise. Not singling out Nvidia, I think its occurring in all industries.

It's all the stimmy money governments threw at people due to the human malware lockdowns... Savings rate in the USA was an insane 30%+ as a result.

More recently, it's the lowest it has been in recent memory at about 2%. Quite the reversal of fortune and with US consumer debt at nearly $1 TRILLION... look out below?

tl;dr I'm expecting demand for goods to continue to decrease. GPU prices should correct... but maybe not until this generation sells terribly forcing more sane pricing for the next generation of cards (similar to what happened for RTX 2000 series --> RTX 3000 series)
 

CP5670

Diamond Member
Jun 24, 2004
5,527
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I notice that the 4090s are pretty widely available at regular prices now, which was not the case one or two months ago. The 7900 XTX still seems marked up though.
 

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
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What we've learned over the last few years is that people apparently treat GPUs as more of an inelastic good than we ever could imagine.
No, we learned that miners who make huge profits with these cards are willing to pay more than gamers. That the prices dropped a lot after the merge shows that gamers won't buy at any price.

My worry is that Jensen believes the same nonsense as you and attributes the low sales to a recession or such.
 

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
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Bottom line: There is a severe lack of competition in the GPU/wafer production market.
But this is improving, if only because overall demand is down, so high TSMC prices cause expensive production capacity to go unused.

The same is true for GPUs, where AMD may refuse to fight for market share for now, but where the high prices suppress demand a lot.
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,450
10,119
126
I think the reason the high end prices have gone up so much is that the desktop PC has become a luxury product, like luxury cars. It's not about production costs or inflation. The desktop PC itself is now a niche luxury good for gamers and content creators. Most people now only use phones and laptops, which are now the utility goods that everyone "needs." Luxury goods are always expensive and never "necessary," and that has never been the point of them. PC hardware is still way cheaper than all kinds of other luxury goods out there.
You might be on to something.
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
21,808
11,164
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Won’t you think of the shareholders! And the execs who risk it all with their compensation largely determined by stock prices??? They need to eat too!

. . . let them eat cake?

I notice that the 4090s are pretty widely available at regular prices now, which was not the case one or two months ago. The 7900 XTX still seems marked up though.

AMD didn't produce a very large initial allocation of cards. Perhaps they'll put more on the market now that RDNA3 refresh has been canned (for now, supposedly).
 

GunsMadeAmericaFree

Golden Member
Jan 23, 2007
1,276
294
136
Has Intel had any sales on their low end video cards? I've been tempted to try one of those out on one of our 3 systems, but it would take a sale or rebate to entice me to do it.....
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,841
5,456
136
But this is improving, if only because overall demand is down, so high TSMC prices cause expensive production capacity to go unused.

Keep in mind TSMC made more on N7/N6 in Q4 22 than Q4 21 albeit less than the other quarters in 2022. And N5 is very much growing. The price hikes are I'm sure a big part of that.
 

fleshconsumed

Diamond Member
Feb 21, 2002
6,485
2,362
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I notice that the 4090s are pretty widely available at regular prices now, which was not the case one or two months ago. The 7900 XTX still seems marked up though.
AMD doesn't have as much supply and AMD cards generally provide better value for the money, so AMD cards will be more difficult to get. However, even AMD card prices/availability are normalizing. Amazon has 7900XTX Red Devil for $1050 for shipping in early March. Yes, you'll have to wait a bit, but prices are going down.


Yes, it blows that prices are not going down as fast as we would like, but they are going down. Gamers are not paying Miners prices.
 
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DAPUNISHER

Super Moderator CPU Forum Mod and Elite Member
Super Moderator
Aug 22, 2001
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RDNA(1) strikes back! Brand-new RX 5500 XT 8GB GDDR6 hits market for $140 on Amazon.com USA.
That's a strong value compared to what else is available NIB in the $150 and under range. I may pick this up to replace the RX 6600 I am going to give to my friend @xeno2060. I know it isn't as strong, but the RX6600 system isn't getting used much. Mostly just testing different linux distros here and there, and the 5500 can serve that purpose just as well.
 
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