Question are video card prices headed down yet?

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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
15,114
5,667
136
Plenty of shill bidding going on at Ebay to keep prices up. Then there are the people coming to forums like this to tell you Ethereum is on the rebound again and you better jump on those high prices before its too late. Its all a game.

There's new 6800's at $599. That's a pretty good deal. By the time you see N33 those will be long gone. Sure N33 is faster but you could take advantage of the time to mine when not gaming.
 

maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
4,878
4,951
136
Plenty of shill bidding going on at Ebay to keep prices up. Then there are the people coming to forums like this to tell you Ethereum is on the rebound again and you better jump on those high prices before its too late. Its all a game.
There's new 6800's at $599. That's a pretty good deal. By the time you see N33 those will be long gone. Sure N33 is faster but you could take advantage of the time to mine when not gaming.
This is probably the most perfect response justifying the original post.
 

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,506
2,060
106
You guys been snapping up those cheap, 2 year old, end of cycle $800+ 12GB 3080's? Once they're gone, they are GONE boys. Don't be an idiot. You guys are smelling like stoopid right now unless you help Nvidia clear their mining stock, pronto.
Exactly. They'll go up in value too, like housing prices. In 2050, such a card will be worth 1 million and you can retire by selling one.
 
Reactions: Ajay and moonbogg

MoragaBlue

Member
Jul 17, 2022
140
70
71
While I haven't read all the replies on this thread (sure wish I had joined earlier for the fascinating chat you guys are having here), most here probably are well aware of and practice a lesson we learned during the onset of this hobby--never buy computer parts/hardware until such time where it becomes absolutely necessary.

So, IMHO, unless one is building a new rig now, there is absolutely zero reason to consider purchasing, and, even then, only in some very specific scenarios. For instance, unless there's compelling pricing, e.g., Amazon prime day's $217 on the 12600KF, let it go and wait for the new AM5 or Intel (forgot the name but it's some kind of new Lake?). Additionally, unless one sees some relatively good deals on DD5, e.g., 16GBs for under $100, again, just let it go. Finally, if one has an older GPU that can be swapped and run the system, just run with that until a few months from now when the new series cards from both Nvidia and AMD are introduced. Then, all things being equal, is when one should buy.

The wildcard is, of course, the crypto market. Absent of another meteoric rise, it'll be interesting to see the dynamic between those opting for used vs new cards, and how these GPU manufacturers will ultimately manage this secondary market. Predicting future events is obscenely difficult even during the best of times, but I'd wager a pretty penny that by year's end, we're going to see pricing, especially in the secondary market, fall by around 50% on the higher end cards, and maybe 20% - 30%, finally, on the 3060.
 

maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
4,878
4,951
136
While I haven't read all the replies on this thread (sure wish I had joined earlier for the fascinating chat you guys are having here), most here probably are well aware of and practice a lesson we learned during the onset of this hobby--never buy computer parts/hardware until such time where it becomes absolutely necessary.

So, IMHO, unless one is building a new rig now, there is absolutely zero reason to consider purchasing, and, even then, only in some very specific scenarios. For instance, unless there's compelling pricing, e.g., Amazon prime day's $217 on the 12600KF, let it go and wait for the new AM5 or Intel (forgot the name but it's some kind of new Lake?). Additionally, unless one sees some relatively good deals on DD5, e.g., 16GBs for under $100, again, just let it go. Finally, if one has an older GPU that can be swapped and run the system, just run with that until a few months from now when the new series cards from both Nvidia and AMD are introduced. Then, all things being equal, is when one should buy.

The wildcard is, of course, the crypto market. Absent of another meteoric rise, it'll be interesting to see the dynamic between those opting for used vs new cards, and how these GPU manufacturers will ultimately manage this secondary market. Predicting future events is obscenely difficult even during the best of times, but I'd wager a pretty penny that by year's end, we're going to see pricing, especially in the secondary market, fall by around 50% on the higher end cards, and maybe 20% - 30%, finally, on the 3060.
Oh my, you think we're rational.

Seriously though, I agree fully.
 
Reactions: psolord

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,506
2,060
106
Intel (forgot the name but it's some kind of new Lake?).

Raptor lake (13th gen). It's just an optimization though, so I expect a relatively modest boost, with Intel adding a bunch of e-cores which matter little for gaming. Zen 4 should beat it for gaming because of the higher clock speeds and the smaller process.

Finally, if one has an older GPU that can be swapped and run the system, just run with that until a few months from now when the new series cards from both Nvidia and AMD are introduced. Then, all things being equal, is when one should buy.

Yes, I'm leaning towards this more and more. My 8th gen Core i5 is going to drive a new card reasonably well at the resolution and FPS I target, so no need to hurry.

The AM5 chipset is designed to be relatively cheap, so motherboard prices should come down before too long and DDR5-5600 will probably get quite a bit cheaper soon (especially with the surplus on better nodes.). So summer 2023 or a little later might be a great time to upgrade to AM5. Especially if demand continues to decline and companies become desperate for sales.

The wildcard is, of course, the crypto market. [...] Predicting future events is obscenely difficult even during the best of times, but I'd wager a pretty penny that by year's end, we're going to see pricing, especially in the secondary market, fall by around 50% on the higher end cards, and maybe 20% - 30%, finally, on the 3060.

The GPU mining earnings are in mostly Ethereum and the merge is surely going to happen in September or at worst a month or two later. So the end game seems clear. All those mining farms that are solely for mining need to liquidate at some point. It might happen a bit later than we expect though (mining won't stop at the merge, but once the Bomb drives down earnings enough and then the cards still need to make it to the 2nd hand market).
 
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BoomerD

No Lifer
Feb 26, 2006
64,098
12,419
136
While I haven't read all the replies on this thread (sure wish I had joined earlier for the fascinating chat you guys are having here), most here probably are well aware of and practice a lesson we learned during the onset of this hobby--never buy computer parts/hardware until such time where it becomes absolutely necessary.

So, IMHO, unless one is building a new rig now, there is absolutely zero reason to consider purchasing, and, even then, only in some very specific scenarios. For instance, unless there's compelling pricing, e.g., Amazon prime day's $217 on the 12600KF, let it go and wait for the new AM5 or Intel (forgot the name but it's some kind of new Lake?). Additionally, unless one sees some relatively good deals on DD5, e.g., 16GBs for under $100, again, just let it go. Finally, if one has an older GPU that can be swapped and run the system, just run with that until a few months from now when the new series cards from both Nvidia and AMD are introduced. Then, all things being equal, is when one should buy.

The wildcard is, of course, the crypto market. Absent of another meteoric rise, it'll be interesting to see the dynamic between those opting for used vs new cards, and how these GPU manufacturers will ultimately manage this secondary market. Predicting future events is obscenely difficult even during the best of times, but I'd wager a pretty penny that by year's end, we're going to see pricing, especially in the secondary market, fall by around 50% on the higher end cards, and maybe 20% - 30%, finally, on the 3060.

If you wait for the "next, best" thing, you'll always be waitin and never upfrade. Even before the "NEW & IMPROVED" thing hits the market, they're already working on the next generation after that.
 

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,506
2,060
106
If you wait for the "next, best" thing, you'll always be waitin and never upfrade. Even before the "NEW & IMPROVED" thing hits the market, they're already working on the next generation after that.

That's not what he's saying though.

Your tired old spiel is also just one side of the coin. Many people feel compelled to upgrade at high cost for relatively little gain because they want to have the latest thing.
 

GodisanAtheist

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2006
7,133
7,619
136
If you wait for the "next, best" thing, you'll always be waitin and never upfrade. Even before the "NEW & IMPROVED" thing hits the market, they're already working on the next generation after that.

- TBF the script has flipped a bit with mining and extreme supply scarcity on the scene.

Folks that bought a 1080TI right out the gate for $650 really got their money's worth. Someone who bought a 2080TI early on when everyone was betting that prices would tumble and $1000 is too expensive for a consumer card got their money's worth (unless they got space invadered, of course). Someone who picked up a $700 3080 at launch made out like a damn oil baron.

In ye olde days, yeah waiting to buy was a loser's game, but for the last several generations the early adopters of a new generation actually made out much better than basically everyone else. I agree that waiting too long is certainly a fool's errand, but buying on the tail end of what appears to be a huge generational leap doesn't look like a great idea either.
 
Reactions: RnR_au

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,506
2,060
106
Folks that bought a 1080TI right out the gate for $650 really got their money's worth. Someone who bought a 2080TI early on when everyone was betting that prices would tumble and $1000 is too expensive for a consumer card got their money's worth (unless they got space invadered, of course). Someone who picked up a $700 3080 at launch made out like a damn oil baron.

Yeah, but all of that is basically for the same reason: price/performance stagnating and even regressing, due to immense demand from miners, so GPU makers merely had to price their product to what miners were willing to pay. In principle, there should be a significant potential for the price/performance improvement that manufacturers achieved in the meantime, but didn't have to pass on to consumers, to all release in a relatively short time, driving prices down significantly.

On the other hand, we have bad inflation and increased costs.

Anyway, if mining does mostly stop after the merge (eventually), you'd at the very least expect to return to a more normal market, where prices gradually go down over time.
 

BoomerD

No Lifer
Feb 26, 2006
64,098
12,419
136
That's not what he's saying though.

Your tired old spiel is also just one side of the coin. Many people feel compelled to upgrade at high cost for relatively little gain because they want to have the latest thing.

Well...you can't fix stupid.

Upgrading for a REAL performance boost is one thing...upgrading to get a few percent improvement is totally different.
Hell, it's not my money they're spending...and if folks want to buy the latest, greatest thing...great...go for it.
 

dlerious

Golden Member
Mar 4, 2004
1,882
756
136
Raptor lake (13th gen). It's just an optimization though, so I expect a relatively modest boost, with Intel adding a bunch of e-cores which matter little for gaming. Zen 4 should beat it for gaming because of the higher clock speeds and the smaller process.

The 13900K will be 8 performance and 16 e-cores according to the latest leak I saw. Unsure what I saw for other chips.

Yes, I'm leaning towards this more and more. My 8th gen Core i5 is going to drive a new card reasonably well at the resolution and FPS I target, so no need to hurry.

The AM5 chipset is designed to be relatively cheap, so motherboard prices should come down before too long and DDR5-5600 will probably get quite a bit cheaper soon (especially with the surplus on better nodes.). So summer 2023 or a little later might be a great time to upgrade to AM5. Especially if demand continues to decline and companies become desperate for sales.

Has there been any pricing released on AM5 boards yet? I'm expecting some kind of price increase if AMD runs PCIe 5.0 to all the lanes instead of just GPU. I'd like to see DDR5 drop closer to DDR4 prices (within 10-20%) as well.
 

mastertech01

Moderator Emeritus Elite Member
Nov 13, 1999
11,875
282
126
My OS boots up within seconds, applications instantly and games near instantly and run fluidly. Downloads happen in seconds an video fluid and flawless. What are you going to do with so much more "power" and "speed"? Benchtests all day long so you can have bragging rights? Just what is it you are reaching for other than bragging rights?
 
Reactions: Ranulf

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
22,003
11,568
136
TBF the script has flipped a bit with mining and extreme supply scarcity on the scene.

That situation has changed. Intel has a CPU oversupply and NV has a 3-series dGPU oversupply. They're both trying to weasel out of their respective problems.
 

Aapje

Golden Member
Mar 21, 2022
1,506
2,060
106
Has there been any pricing released on AM5 boards yet? I'm expecting some kind of price increase if AMD runs PCIe 5.0 to all the lanes instead of just GPU. I'd like to see DDR5 drop closer to DDR4 prices (within 10-20%) as well.

The B650 motherboards will feature one small chip, rather than a cut down, large X chip. The X670 will have two of the same chips, daisy chained.

Also, PCIe 5.0 is only standard for the 1st M2 slot. Budget boards will have PCIe 4 graphics.

It points to relatively cheap boards being available.
 
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Reactions: Leeea and dlerious

SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,221
4,452
136
electricity isnt going to get any less expensive, I can assure you of that.
I would not bet on that. With the research being done in renewable power it might soon be viable to have cheap clean energy, at least if you can afford the upfront cost.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
15,114
5,667
136
The B650 motherboards will feature one small chip, rather than a cut down, large X chip. The X670 will have two of the same chips, daisy chained.

Also, PCIe 5.0 is only standard for the 1st M2 slot. Budget boards will have PCIe 4 graphics.

It points to relatively cheap boards being available.

The chipset doesn't cost that much, even on Intel. The reason LGA 1700 boards are pricey is because of the power requirements and to an extent how much more PCIe 5 and DDR5 cost. A proper AM5 board probably isn't going to be much cheaper.
 
Reactions: Leeea

Hotrod2go

Senior member
Nov 17, 2021
349
233
86
Today, I caved in & ordered an RX 6800 XT factory OC card for under AUD 1K!
Was going to save n' wait for next gen RDNA 3 cards but figured by the time they come to market, only the high end cards will be out & they will typically be around AUD 2K mark.
Besides that, on a 1440p/144hz monitor I think that card will be good enough to max it out along with my OC rigged already!

As per all things in computing, its horses for courses.
 
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