I think there's something here:
whatever I say about market analysis, run the opposite direction.
I wrote off bitcoin forever ago when it was low in price (after one or two price spikes), saying I couldn't get a worthwhile amount of coin from my GPUs (nvidia). I think if I started then, I could have something of real value now (for less than the power cost).
I also thought, if one could roughly estimate the jumps or at least catch on at the right time, you could invest trading-style, buying coin for cash and hoping it goes up. I swore off that idea because there was no fraud protection or anything like modern trading.
I also notably, at a time when I was somewhat day-trading (petty cash volumes ), when gold was like 700, that it just couldn't get going ridiculously high. I fucked that call up.
I also thought about Microsoft last year, and, well yeah, they're on quite the rise lately.