It's only $.43 per mBTC, I feel the price is extremely reasonable and sane
I wouldn't count on it crashing. It might crash, or this might just be a bump before heading to $2000.
Historically, each run up bitcoin value has gone up tremendously. In comparison, simply going from $250 up to $450 is a relatively small jump in value.
$1 high, crash to $.50.
$32 high (60X higher than previous low), crash to $4 (higher than previous high)
$260 high (65X previous crash low), crash to $50 (higher than previous high)
$450 high? (9X higher than previous crash low point). Maybe, but I think value could potentially go a LOT higher before the next crash. If it follows past patterns, I'd expect to see a value around $2500 before crashing to around $900.
Meh, doesn't really matter to me. I think that most evidence points to the idea that simply holding your bitcoin for the next 10 years is a much better idea than cashing out at any given price.
Agreed. If and when it crashes I doubt it will drop below $200 ever again, and it's far from a big gain yet.
The problem most people have is looking at the wrong chart. You need to look at the weekly chart, logarithmic scale, to see how small the gain really is right now. It has potential to hit $1000 within weeks, but you definitely need to protect your investment and not jump in 100% right now. If BTC breaks above $448 soon, jump in and hang on for the ride, but don't hold if it crashes below $400 afterwards.
Take a look at
this chart (weekly, logarithmic scale) and you'll see it's only closed below the 25-week moving average once. It's a beautiful chart, and it may even be forming a
pennant formation right now which is a
continuation pattern for when it breaks above it's most recent high.