Originally posted by: Fern
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Fern
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Fern you should really go back and read the rest of this thread, virtually all the points you brought up were covered and shown to be BS.
-snip-
Fern
Are you disputing factcheck.org's analysis? If so, why?
Of course things have changed in a material way, greater numbers of people are eligible for the program.
Hi eskimospy,
I've checked out factcheck.org. I think they're being disengenious with their *wording* and I do dispute how some here seem to be interpreting what they say.
Factscheck covers only three issues from what I can see:
1. Those making $83K
2. The shift from employer plans to the gov SCHIP plan
3. Covering "poor people"
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Those making $83K
The president repeated a false charge that has been bandied about by the administration and other Republicans:
Bush: Their proposal would result in taking a program meant to help poor children and turning it into one that covers children in households with incomes of up to $83,000 a year.
In fact, nothing in either the House or Senate bill would force coverage for families earning $83,000 a year.
They say his remarks are false, but then go on to butress that by saying "nothing... forces coverage for...$83k.."
I don't see where he said "forces". Forces isn't the issue. All it has to do is allow it, and it does.
That's already possible under current law, but no state sets its cut-off that high for a family of four and the bill contains no requirement for any such increase. The Bush administration, in fact, just denied a request by New York to set its income cut-off at $82,600 for a family of four
Here again, what is the relevance of noting there is no requirement for such an increase. The real point is that there is no prohibition. The bill ALLOWS it. That's the issue, not "forcing" it.
Moreover, down below you'll see forbids PROHIBITING the increase? Now why do that if you intend or plan for states to raise it?
So Bush is simply wrong to say that the legislation "would" result in families making $83,000 a year to be eligible. It might happen in a future administration, but that would be possible without the new legislation.
I don't see how it's 'simply wrong" to contend that the bill will result in making familes with $83K eligible. Of course it will result in that as soon as the states move to make it so.
AND
He said it "would result" in covering children in families with incomes up to $83,000 per year, which isn't true. The Urban Institute estimated that 70 percent of children who would gain coverage are in families earning half that amount, and the bill contains no requirement for setting income eligibility caps any higher than what's in the current law.
They contend the "would result" remark is untrue, and try it prove by quoting some estimate about 70%? Next sentance above -Again, the point is not whether the bill mandates raising the cap, it's whether it permits it.
(The compromise bill that was released a few days after Bush's press conference does rescind an administration effort to block New York state from increasing its eligibility cap to that level.)
See above about all the "does not force it" stuff. Here they're moving to prevent the forbiding of such a huge raise in the cap. Geez.
We're doing an awful lot of *wordplay above.
Pretty juvenile stuff IMO. Lets recind the law prohibiting bank robberies. Will that result in more bank robberies? Sure. But oh no, under this logic that's false, you see we're not MANDATING that people rob banks.
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The "Shift"
In the news conference, the president also described Congress' SCHIP expansion as a step toward government-run health coverage.
Bush: The proposal would move millions of American children who now have private health insurance into government-run health care. Our goals should be for children who have no health insurance to be able to get private coverage, not for children who already have private health insurance to be able to get government coverage.... Their S-CHIP plan is an incremental step toward the goal of government-run health care for every American.
It is true that the Congressional Budget Office has projected that the House and Senate bills will cause some who recently had private coverage to sign up for SCHIP or Medicaid coverage, depending on how the state administers those programs. However, Bush is being misleading by leaving out additional details about this shift. The Congressional Budget Office director said he hasn't seen another policy proposal that would reach as great a level of the uninsured with as low of an effect on those who had private insurance
So, they are not arguing that people will not shift. In fact, they are admitting it. Wierd way to debunk stuff, IMO
Health care and government experts, including CBO Director Peter R. Orszag and MIT economics professor Jonathan Gruber, have said that when the government offers programs that target the uninsured, those programs will inevitably be used by some who already have or could have private insurance. Experts call this effect "crowd-out."
So, their (debunk) article include verification GWB's assertion?
At best any disagrement is over the scope of the problem of shifting. And I don't see much of that here anyway.
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The "Poor"
The third topic is *word sparring* about the term "poor". I don't think it's worth discussing. Some us feel allowing state's the leeway to raise the cap to 4 times the poverty rate is too much. Debating the semantics is silly and irrelevant.
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I see nothing about allowing coverage for those above age 18.
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I see nothing about an exp[lanaition for the huge increase in costs. Clearly, Congress is preparing for a whole bunch of new people to qualify under this revision. No amount of obfuscation can mask that fact.
Fern