California bullet train cost surges by $2.8 billion: 'Worst-case scenario has happened'

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glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
While I agree lack of eminent domain is a big part of the problem there’s also other bullshit litigation that people use to impede construction such as this:

https://www.dnainfo.com/20110216/up...lding-sues-mta-over-planned-subway-entrances/

The building in this case eventually litigated the MTA into exhaustion through bullshit arguments like ‘this will lead to crowded sidewalks IN FUCKING MANHATTAN’.

The building just kept using lawsuits to force the MTA to study the placement of a simple exit so much that they eventually gave up because it just wasn’t worth the fight. This sort of legal harassment of necessary infrastructure needs to be curbed as well.

Seems like you and your side is fine with NIMBY and BANANA attacks on infrastructure projects when they run afoul of your political sensibilities. If it were the Dakota Access Piipeline or border wall instead of high speed rail you’d probably be in huge support of lawsuits on ED or environmental grounds.

Ultimately this project always ignored the non-viability on the business and economic sides so this outcome was basically preordained.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
The project will never be completed. The budget is already out of control, the land acquisition costs are going to be crippling, and the end result will be a moderate speed rail system that's slower and costs more than flying.
This thing is a clusterfuck of biblical proportions that will be a never ending drain on the tax payers. Kill it with fire.

Doesn’t that point more to a need to reform how we as a country build infrastructure?

A high speed rail link between San Diego, La, and San Francisco is an incredibly good idea that everyone should be able to acknowledge. If we can’t even find ways to do ideas this good then we have a problem.
 

Sgt. York

Senior member
Mar 27, 2016
798
209
116
You are ignoring the fact that it will not be high speed rail as advertised @ 200 mph and will cost more than flying.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
Seems like you and your side is fine with NIMBY and BANANA attacks on infrastructure projects when they run afoul of your political sensibilities. If it were the Dakota Access Piipeline or border wall instead of high speed rail you’d probably be in huge support of lawsuits on ED or environmental grounds.

Nah. I’m fine with pipelines. They are one of the safer ways to transport oil. While we should be discouraging further oil development in general I’m all for making better ways to transport what we have. As for a border wall as we have been over I oppose it because it is stupid and useless, not because we might have to use ED to make it.

Ultimately this project always ignored the non-viability on the business and economic sides so this outcome was basically preordained.

That’s silliness. A high speed rail link from Southern California to the Bay Area is probably one of the most economically and environmentally beneficial infrastructure projects that exists in the US today.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
You are ignoring the fact that it will not be high speed rail as advertised @ 200 mph and will cost more than flying.

You can certainly argue the current implementation was bad, but the business case for it is bulletproof.
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
26,704
25,035
136
Seems like you and your side is fine with NIMBY and BANANA attacks on infrastructure projects when they run afoul of your political sensibilities. If it were the Dakota Access Piipeline or border wall instead of high speed rail you’d probably be in huge support of lawsuits on ED or environmental grounds.

Ultimately this project always ignored the non-viability on the business and economic sides so this outcome was basically preordained.
Lol the person you’re responding to has consistently criticized NIMBY.
 

Sgt. York

Senior member
Mar 27, 2016
798
209
116
It won't get you to your destination at 200 mph and it will cost more. It was a lie from the beginning. Why do you support it?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
Lol the person you’re responding to has consistently criticized NIMBY.

Yeah it’s a testament to glenn’s weird ongoing quest to discover some hypocrisy that he didn’t stop to think that I consistently advocate for anti-NIMBY policies that would lower the value of my home, easily my most valuable asset.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,884
34,843
136
While I agree lack of eminent domain is a big part of the problem there’s also other bullshit litigation that people use to impede construction such as this:

https://www.dnainfo.com/20110216/up...lding-sues-mta-over-planned-subway-entrances/

The building in this case eventually litigated the MTA into exhaustion through bullshit arguments like ‘this will lead to crowded sidewalks IN FUCKING MANHATTAN’.

The building just kept using lawsuits to force the MTA to study the placement of a simple exit so much that they eventually gave up because it just wasn’t worth the fight. This sort of legal harassment of necessary infrastructure needs to be curbed as well.

Lol...the MTA and NYC/NYS politics around transportation are another, probably worse fucked up, ball of wax.
 
Nov 8, 2012
20,828
4,777
146
I'm shocked and appalled that government entities can't handle the complexities of managing an infrastructure project worth a shit.

Shocked. Shocked I tell you.

 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,884
34,843
136
The project will never be completed. The budget is already out of control, the land acquisition costs are going to be crippling, and the end result will be a moderate speed rail system that's slower and costs more than flying.
This thing is a clusterfuck of biblical proportions that will be a never ending drain on the tax payers. Kill it with fire.

I don't agree. If I had to call it today CA is going to wring some more dollars out of the feds and perhaps switch alignments to get into LA (via Palmdale always was nuts). Flying is only shorter if you're actually on time and any number of things can screw that up, weather at SFO being a chief culprit in my personal experience. Also if you're going anywhere that isn't LAX adjacent you're looking a potentially very long car ride on that end of the trip.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
I'm shocked and appalled that government entities can't handle the complexities of managing an infrastructure project worth a shit.

Shocked. Shocked I tell you.


Government entities handle things this complicated all the time though?

I never understand this reflexive antigovernment view. We already know that governments all over the world handle exactly this all the time. If the US can’t then isn’t the answer to look to other governments and do what they do instead of deciding the US is somehow magically and uniquely incompetent?
 
Reactions: Meghan54 and Zorba

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,884
34,843
136
I'm shocked and appalled that government entities can't handle the complexities of managing an infrastructure project worth a shit.

Shocked. Shocked I tell you.

May never want to go to Europe if you want to keep that view. It's not the thing itself but how we manage the doing of it. Basically America really blows at heavy infrastructure cost effectiveness. The reasons why are more worthy of consideration besides "lol government sucks".
 
Nov 8, 2012
20,828
4,777
146
Nah. I’m fine with pipelines. They are one of the safer ways to transport oil. While we should be discouraging further oil development in general I’m all for making better ways to transport what we have.

Get out of here with your rational thoughts when it comes to the oil and gas industry. That has no place for left leaning people.
 
Nov 8, 2012
20,828
4,777
146
Government entities handle things this complicated all the time though?

I never understand this reflexive antigovernment view. We already know that governments all over the world handle exactly this all the time. If the US can’t then isn’t the answer to look to other governments and do what they do instead of deciding the US is somehow magically and uniquely incompetent?

May never want to go to Europe if you want to keep that view. It's not the thing itself but how we manage the doing of it. Basically America really blows at heavy infrastructure cost effectiveness. The reasons why are more worthy of consideration besides "lol government sucks".

I won't disagree with you here - and I think a good culprit to suspect is really our justice system where we can tie things up with lawsuits galore. I'm guessing that isn't as easy to do in Europe?

But it's just something that's been proven time and time again with our government. Just because other governments CAN be efficient doesn't mean that we are capable of mimicking them. It's a sad reality.

Anyone with half a brain in business can understand what a budget is - and then can see and forecast problems down the way.... So if people are stuck and can't proceed due to courts, legal issues, imminent domain, etc... Then all funding should cease. I can't help but just imagine a fuckton of people being paid to sit around. That's sincerely the only possibility when you blow out your budget to this level of proportions.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
I won't disagree with you here - and I think a good culprit to suspect is really our justice system where we can tie things up with lawsuits galore. I'm guessing that isn't as easy to do in Europe?

But it's just something that's been proven time and time again with our government. Just because other governments CAN be efficient doesn't mean that we are capable of mimicking them. It's a sad reality.

Anyone with half a brain in business can understand what a budget is - and then can see and forecast problems down the way.... So if people are stuck and can't proceed due to courts, legal issues, imminent domain, etc... Then all funding should cease. I can't help but just imagine a fuckton of people being paid to sit around. That's sincerely the only possibility when you blow out your budget to this level of proportions.

So the United States, the greatest and most powerful nation on earth is simply so incompetent that we can no longer make necessary infrastructure?

Doesn’t that mean we need to change that and make our government more like those who can act effectively?
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,189
14,102
136
So the United States, the greatest and most powerful nation on earth is simply so incompetent that we can no longer make necessary infrastructure?

Doesn’t that mean we need to change that and make our government more like those who can act effectively?

More to the point, we are probably not that bad at it either. It's not like we haven't successfully built plenty of it in the past. It's just that some projects have large cost overruns. I bet some projects in Europe do too.
 

chowderhead

Platinum Member
Dec 7, 1999
2,633
263
126
A major problem with CAHSR specifically was that they started building before having all the land acquired. Turned into a very expensive and long clusterfuck. ED would have been pretty useful in speeding this up if there was any political will to use it. Unfortunately the whole starting the system in the middle plan as a sop to Central Valley politicians/voters was ill advised and artificially constraining so it's clear such will is in short supply.

While this works itself out I'd like to see CA shift some attention to the LOSSAN Corridor between SD and LA. A couple billion dollars could electrify the route, cut the SD-LA time to less than 2 hours, and drastically increase capacity in a place that needs it within a couple years. Basically do what Caltrain is doing between San Jose and San Francisco.
I have suggested this before but they should have started with Los Angeles to Las Vegas and get the casinos to foot the bill. 1 1/2 hours to Las Vegas, if they can get that built cheaply on the casino’s dime and show ridership than maybe. But the CAHSRA has been shown to be repeatedly misleading, incompetent, and had no real plans except get it going and hope for the best. Thank you Newsom.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
More to the point, we are probably not that bad at it either. It's not like we haven't successfully built plenty of it in the past. It's just that some projects have large cost overruns. I bet some projects in Europe do too.

Well I can’t speak for everywhere but New York City has systemic problems that prevent us from making infrastructure effectively. (There is a good NYT story about subway construction that will make you go blind with rage) Although now that you mention it a good counterexample is Los Angeles. While NYC struggles to make the trains work at all or build three new stations, LA has been aggressively expanding its mass transit. This will pay LA absolutely huge long term dividends if they keep it up.

So yes, maybe only certain projects run into problems but I feel like the ability of property owners to inhibit building with litigation is somewhat uniquely American and very problematic. I don’t mean that we should throw property rights out the window or anything close it it, but a lot of construction seems to go out of its way to avoid wealthy areas first because they are politically powerful but also because they will litigate the project to death.
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,189
14,102
136
Well I can’t speak for everywhere but New York City has systemic problems that prevent us from making infrastructure effectively. (There is a good NYT story about subway construction that will make you go blind with rage) Although now that you mention it a good counterexample is Los Angeles. While NYC struggles to make the trains work at all or build three new stations, LA has been aggressively expanding its mass transit. This will pay LA absolutely huge long term dividends if they keep it up.

So yes, maybe only certain projects run into problems but I feel like the ability of property owners to inhibit building with litigation is somewhat uniquely American and very problematic. I don’t mean that we should throw property rights out the window or anything close it it, but a lot of construction seems to go out of its way to avoid wealthy areas first because they are politically powerful but also because they will litigate the project to death.

I look around me and I see roads, bridges, trains, subways, etc. All over America. We couldn't have been that bad at it or we'd still be in the stone age.

If NYC is incompetent at building infrastructure in 2019, then NYC is incompetent at building infrastructure in 2019. Similarly, if one big project in CA has big cost overruns, then one big project in CA has big cost overruns. These are likely issues related to the particulars of these places as well as these particular projects.

I agree that NIMBYISM is a problem not only for building infrastructure, but housing as well. If the problem continues to get worse and we are facing decaying infrastructure, we may have to alter our laws to shift the balance we currently strike between property rights and the public's interest in having more housing and infrastructure.

Either way, someonesmind is exaggerating here. If our government screwed up everything it did, we'd all be living in huts, eating rocks and twigs, not being the most powerful and successful country in the history of the earth.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,884
34,843
136
I have suggested this before but they should have started with Los Angeles to Las Vegas and get the casinos to foot the bill. 1 1/2 hours to Las Vegas, if they can get that built cheaply on the casino’s dime and show ridership than maybe. But the CAHSRA has been shown to be repeatedly misleading, incompetent, and had no real plans except get it going and hope for the best. Thank you Newsom.

That was always the dream for Vegas but it never panned out even though the expensive CAHSR diversion through Palmdale was to plan for that day. Any service to Vegas should go over the Cajon Pass and be paid for jointly by CA/NV/Feds.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
I look around me and I see roads, bridges, trains, subways, etc. All over America. We couldn't have been that bad at it or we'd still be in the stone age.

If NYC is incompetent at building infrastructure in 2019, then NYC is incompetent at building infrastructure in 2019. Similarly, if one big project in CA has big cost overruns, then one big project in CA has big cost overruns. These are likely issues related to the particulars of these places as well as these particular projects.

Yes, we in NYC were clearly not always incompetent at building infrastructure but we very much are now and going forward that’s the new normal so that’s what has to change.

Phase one of the SAS was a titanic lift that was barely done despite it being three stations. I have no confidence that phases two through four will be any different. Something has to change.

If you have not read this story I recommend it. It’s a doozy:

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/28/nyregion/new-york-subway-construction-costs.html

I agree that NIMBYISM is a problem not only for building infrastructure, but housing as well. If the problem continues to get worse and we are facing decaying infrastructure, we may have to alter our laws to shift the balance we currently strike between property rights and the public's interest in having more housing and infrastructure.

Either way, someonesmind is exaggerating here. If our government screwed up everything it did, we'd all be living in huts, eating rocks and twigs, not being the most powerful and successful country in the history of the earth.

I absolutely agree. Our government is very good at doing lots of things, but I think this is an important part of a government's job that we have become bad at which deserves addressing.

I would say the problem has been getting worse and worse for decades and we are already at the level where it has to be addressed.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,884
34,843
136
Well I can’t speak for everywhere but New York City has systemic problems that prevent us from making infrastructure effectively. (There is a good NYT story about subway construction that will make you go blind with rage) Although now that you mention it a good counterexample is Los Angeles. While NYC struggles to make the trains work at all or build three new stations, LA has been aggressively expanding its mass transit. This will pay LA absolutely huge long term dividends if they keep it up.

So yes, maybe only certain projects run into problems but I feel like the ability of property owners to inhibit building with litigation is somewhat uniquely American and very problematic. I don’t mean that we should throw property rights out the window or anything close it it, but a lot of construction seems to go out of its way to avoid wealthy areas first because they are politically powerful but also because they will litigate the project to death.

The godamned East Side Access is $11B, many years late, and still going. All because Metro North didn't want to share Grand Central with Long Island Rail Road and nobody (Amtrak/MTA) can play nice with each other.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,523
136
The godamned East Side Access is $11B, many years late, and still going. All because Metro North didn't want to share Grand Central with Long Island Rail Road.

And remember, the whole point of it being the MTA as opposed to the NYC Subway, metro north, and the LIRR is to coordinate stuff like that.

Cuomo is the goddamn worst. I can’t believe people were dumb enough to re-elect him.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,884
34,843
136
Yes, we in NYC were clearly not always incompetent at building infrastructure but we very much are now and going forward that’s the new normal so that’s what has to change.

Phase one of the SAS was a titanic lift that was barely done despite it being three stations. I have no confidence that phases two through four will be any different. Something has to change.

If you have not read this story I recommend it. It’s a doozy:

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/28/nyregion/new-york-subway-construction-costs.html

It would literally be cheaper to research and build a time machine to go back to the 1930s and tell the city leaders not to scrap any of the elevated rail lines (especially 2nd ave) than build the rest of the SAS today.
 
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