[Canard PC Hardware] Intel prepares Ryzen's response behind the scenes

Page 13 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

Insert_Nickname

Diamond Member
May 6, 2012
4,971
1,692
136
But there are probably good reasons for Intel to not have done that.

Just a bit of idle speculation here, but what would stop Intel from just releasing the smallest HEDT die (with the same architecture) in an LGA-115x package? We're apparently seeing the reverse with KBL, mainstream dies in LGA-2066 package. Software and platform issues should be fixable.
 

Rifter

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
11,522
751
126
Arachnotronic however big a company is its basically run by very few people at the highest level, the most important of whom is the CEO. They make all the important decisions which determine the future and direction of a company. We have seen CEOs like Hector Ruiz destroy AMD due to sheer arrogance and complacency and plain bad business decisions (like overpaying for ATI). Brian Krzanich seems to be one of those kinds according to canard pc who recently wrote about the general mood and state of projects within Intel. charlie also hinted at some major problems some of which are management related.

http://www.portvapes.co.uk/?id=Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps&exid=threads/semiaccurate-coffee-lake-points-to-issues-with-intel’s-10nm-process.2495934/

You might want to believe everything is fine at Intel but I think the next few years will point out how bad the problems are.

I agree, the writing is on the wall, intels real problems have just begun. Anyone who is not blinded by fanboy shades can see this clearly if they have been paying attention. The intel of today is not the intel of old.
 

Justinbaileyman

Golden Member
Aug 17, 2013
1,980
249
106
Would this even be possible without changing the socket?
Sure they could do it... they did it with socket lga1366. Its like when I first bought into x58 / 1366 which was released years ago, they only had 4c/8t cpu's and a year later they released 6c/12t cpu's so if they could manage it back then for the same socket then for sure they could do it again for todays Z270 motherboards.The problem is Intel called AMD's bluff to many times that when AMD finally does have a killer hand Intel is blinded to past reoccurring bad hands from AMD and Intel can't see there own bad hand and is still expecting AMD to bluff.But this time its looking like AMD's the one with the killer hand..
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
126
Just a bit of idle speculation here, but what would stop Intel from just releasing the smallest HEDT die (with the same architecture) in an LGA-115x package? We're apparently seeing the reverse with KBL, mainstream dies in LGA-2066 package. Software and platform issues should be fixable.

Who would buy it? What's the value prop of such a product?
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
126
Arachnotronic however big a company is its basically run by very few people at the highest level, the most important of whom is the CEO. They make all the important decisions which determine the future and direction of a company. We have seen CEOs like Hector Ruiz destroy AMD due to sheer arrogance and complacency and plain bad business decisions (like overpaying for ATI). Brian Krzanich seems to be one of those kinds according to canard pc who recently wrote about the general mood and state of projects within Intel. charlie also hinted at some major problems some of which are management related.

http://www.portvapes.co.uk/?id=Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps&exid=threads/semiaccurate-coffee-lake-points-to-issues-with-intel’s-10nm-process.2495934/

You might want to believe everything is fine at Intel but I think the next few years will point out how bad the problems are.

If Intel's financial performance starts deteriorating, I'll be much more inclined to believe you that Intel is doomed.

Right now I see no financial evidence of the "doom and gloom" that you are saying (record revenue, record margins, diversifying into new businesses, etc.), but we'll just have to see how the next few years play out.
 
Reactions: Phynaz

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
Just a bit of idle speculation here, but what would stop Intel from just releasing the smallest HEDT die (with the same architecture) in an LGA-115x package? We're apparently seeing the reverse with KBL, mainstream dies in LGA-2066 package. Software and platform issues should be fixable.
Intel should not lift a finger until RyZen has been shown to outperform Intel for less money. And I don't think they have done a thing regarding RyZen beyond work on media responses.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
There won't be a 10nm solution for pc for years to come, so yah, they are hopelessly stuck on 14nm. And as we saw with kabylake, they cannot squeeze additional ipc out of it either. Now clock speeds are likely maxed too.

The only trick left in the bag is more cores, and they don't want to do that because they have been grooming the consumers to accept ever higher prices. And their pricing is largely based on more cores being exponentially more expensive.
Intel could claim that with the KL refinement of SL, more cores are now cheaper. And we'd all believe it. Right now HEDT is still clunky old expensive Broadwell...
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
There won't be a 10nm solution for pc for years to come, so yah, they are hopelessly stuck on 14nm. And as we saw with kabylake, they cannot squeeze additional ipc out of it either. Now clock speeds are likely maxed too.

The only trick left in the bag is more cores, and they don't want to do that because they have been grooming the consumers to accept ever higher prices. And their pricing is largely based on more cores being exponentially more expensive.
If RyZen needs a reaction, Intel could probably get 10nm on the board earlier than expected.
One thing is for certain, if RyZen requires a reaction, Intel will react.
The only uncertainty is how they will react.
 
Reactions: Phynaz

Rifter

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
11,522
751
126
If RyZen needs a reaction, Intel could probably get 10nm on the board earlier than expected.
One thing is for certain, if RyZen requires a reaction, Intel will react.
The only uncertainty is how they will react.

Im also in the we need to wait and see actual real benchmarks bandwagon before getting to carried away. BUT even if only 1/10th of the leaks are accurate then its safe to say that Ryzen does require a reaction, and intel should be planning that reaction already.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
Im also in the we need to wait and see actual real benchmarks bandwagon before getting to carried away. BUT even if only 1/10th of the leaks are accurate then its safe to say that Ryzen does require a reaction, and intel should be planning that reaction already.
Well, if they didn't have something much better than KL in the pipeline already, they can't really react any time soon, except with prices.

Unless Intel has that 10nm chip up it's sleeve and ready...

I haven't seen any leaks except prices that would indicate that Intel needs to do anything. Intel can lower chip prices any time they want.

At best, AMD seems to be releasing a chip that has caught up with Intel's 2-3 year old DT designs. If I were Intel I'd worry strictly about the pricing until AMD shows something better than what has been leaked.

For me, it is the RyZen based APUs that are a real threat to Intel's IGP monopoly.

Maybe we will finally find out what a full power 72EU Intel IGP can do in a desktop.

I think the 7740K and 7640K are an indication that Intel has not reacted and doesn't have anything to react with. Those chips were just what Intel was doing anyway.
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
126
Well, if they didn't have something much better than KL in the pipeline already, they can't really react any time soon, except with prices.

Skylake-X...

Unless Intel has that 10nm chip up it's sleeve and ready...

The only 10nm chips planned for release anytime soon from Intel are ULV Cannon Lake chips. Nothing for desktops/server/HEDT anytime soon.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
IIRC, SL-X is a 15% improvement at best, and that's what Intel says?.

If they have working ULV 10nm chips, it doesn't seem like it would take too long to turn out working DT chips.

But there's no indication that 10nm is a big ipc improvement, either.

It's possible that Intel's biggest problem with RyZen is TDP, not IPC. Energy usage is a bigger concern these days.

10nm may be the only solution for that.
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
126
IIRC, SL-X is a 15% improvement at best, and that's what Intel says?.

Intel has said nothing publicly about SKL-X.

If they have working ULV 10nm chips, it doesn't seem like it would take too long to turn out working DT chips.

It would, you have to actually design the chip

The first 10nm desktop chips should be Ice Lake in either late 2018 or early 2019. The 2018 product line is yet again on 14nm (but enhanced again, like we saw with Kaby Lake). Intel will do six cores and four core variants of Coffee Lake-S (the 2018 desktop chips).

But there's no indication that 10nm is a big ipc improvement, either.

IPC and process technology are largely orthogonal.

It's possible that Intel's biggest problem with RyZen is TDP, not IPC. Energy usage is a bigger concern these days.

Intel's HEDT chips are way overspec'd TDP wise so that the mobo makers don't think they can cheap out on their boards.

10nm may be the only solution for that.

14nm++ should deliver more energy efficiency improvements over the 14nm+ used in Kaby Lake.
 
Reactions: chile

Insert_Nickname

Diamond Member
May 6, 2012
4,971
1,692
136
Who would buy it? What's the value prop of such a product?

Cheaper platform cost vs. HEDT. People who could benefit from more then 4 cores, and perhaps don't need an IGP because they have a dedicated GPU anyway.

In other words, all that make Zen interesting.
 

CatMerc

Golden Member
Jul 16, 2016
1,114
1,153
136
Just a bit of idle speculation here, but what would stop Intel from just releasing the smallest HEDT die (with the same architecture) in an LGA-115x package? We're apparently seeing the reverse with KBL, mainstream dies in LGA-2066 package. Software and platform issues should be fixable.
Their smallest HEDT die is 250mm^2. Would it properly fit in a Kaby Lake package? Is it worth the costs for Intel considering we're talking about having up to 6 cores on mainstream? (This die is 10 cores)
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
If Intel's financial performance starts deteriorating, I'll be much more inclined to believe you that Intel is doomed.

Right now I see no financial evidence of the "doom and gloom" that you are saying (record revenue, record margins, diversifying into new businesses, etc.), but we'll just have to see how the next few years play out.

Financial impact shows later. Obviously if they are having internal problems they won't say it. You can "hide" the problems behind money for a while though. If its bad as some say it is, give it a few years.

Its like someone(and Charlie at SA) said. Intel will not die by a single big attack, but a series of thousand smaller cuts. POWER, AMD, ARM, even Windows is entirely going in the direction to oppose Intel's dominance.

IMO if they don't majorly screw up, and the problems are true, they might lose PC dominance and become like IBM with enterprise focus. That seems to be one bright spot in their business anyway.
 

.vodka

Golden Member
Dec 5, 2014
1,203
1,537
136
Their smallest HEDT die is 250mm^2. Would it properly fit in a Kaby Lake package? Is it worth the costs for Intel considering we're talking about having up to 6 cores on mainstream? (This die is 10 cores)

Intel fit a 296mm^2 die, Lynnfield, in socket 1156 which has the same package dimensions as the rest of the 115x family (37.5mm*37.5mm).

Well, it's then a matter of compatibility between HEDT dies and mainstream socket pinout, those video out pins aren't going to be used, two memory channels will be left unconnected, etc.
 
Reactions: Drazick

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
Their smallest HEDT die is 250mm^2. Would it properly fit in a Kaby Lake package? Is it worth the costs for Intel considering we're talking about having up to 6 cores on mainstream? (This die is 10 cores)

Physically, there's no limitation. The desktop LGA 1151 socket is 37.5mm x 37.5mm. That's 1400mm2 of space, way beyond lithography limits. In mobile chips, dies can often be nearly 50% of the package size.

The limitation is almost always financial and market positioning. Just like we have CPUs with iGPU taking up half the space. The cost of silicon is negligible compared to everything else and how much it sells for plus you have a huge market that needs them and pays for R&D and the miniscule increase in costs brought on by a larger die.

I'd be surprised if KBL-X is a dedicated enthusiast line. Most likely it'll have a Xeon E3 variant and be far more profitable there.
 

coercitiv

Diamond Member
Jan 24, 2014
6,400
12,849
136
I'd be surprised if KBL-X is a dedicated enthusiast line. Most likely it'll have a Xeon E3 variant and be far more profitable there.
Now that's a plausible explanation for KBL-X, not the oddly shaped budget SKU for the high-end platform argument.
 
Reactions: Drazick

Ancalagon44

Diamond Member
Feb 17, 2010
3,274
202
106
Intel should not lift a finger until RyZen has been shown to outperform Intel for less money. And I don't think they have done a thing regarding RyZen beyond work on media responses.

Even then, will anyone buy it? Intel has a much better recognized and stronger brand than AMD.

Not saying that Intel should sit back and do nothing, but merely having a better product, or even a better value product, is not necessarily enough to damage Intel.
 
Reactions: Phynaz

Phynaz

Lifer
Mar 13, 2006
10,140
819
126
Intel should not lift a finger until RyZen has been shown to outperform Intel for less money. And I don't think they have done a thing regarding RyZen beyond work on media responses.

Intel shouldn't lift a finger until (if) RyZen affects their business results.
 
Reactions: Arachnotronic

Phynaz

Lifer
Mar 13, 2006
10,140
819
126
Physically, there's no limitation. The desktop LGA 1151 socket is 37.5mm x 37.5mm. That's 1400mm2 of space, way beyond lithography limits. In mobile chips, dies can often be nearly 50% of the package size.

The limitation is almost always financial and market positioning. Just like we have CPUs with iGPU taking up half the space. The cost of silicon is negligible compared to everything else and how much it sells for plus you have a huge market that needs them and pays for R&D and the miniscule increase in costs brought on by a larger die.

I'd be surprised if KBL-X is a dedicated enthusiast line. Most likely it'll have a Xeon E3 variant and be far more profitable there.

People really need to get out of the PC mentality. Desktop is no longer a focus for Intel.

All this doom and gloom that AMD is going to put Intel out of business, or the fall is coming. But yet look where Intel is investing - Altera, DCG, IOT, Mobile, Deep Learning. These are all growth markets where AMD doesn't play.
 
Reactions: Arachnotronic

Crumpet

Senior member
Jan 15, 2017
745
539
96
People really need to get out of the PC mentality. Desktop is no longer a focus for Intel.

All this doom and gloom that AMD is going to put Intel out of business, or the fall is coming. But yet look where Intel is investing - Altera, DCG, IOT, Mobile, Deep Learning. These are all growth markets where AMD doesn't play.

That's all well and good.. But if you purchase these products for the desktop market, it's kind of important to you.

Frankly, I don't care if AMD or Intel were flying pigs to the moon, it's only what they bring to the desktop market that I care about.
 
Reactions: CHADBOGA

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
1,475
136
Phynaz AMD surely will not put Intel out of business. But they can take significant amount of market share. AMD are at their lowest ever market share in servers and client PC because of the disastrous Bulldozer architecture. If you think Ryzen is not going to allow AMD to recover market share then you are pretty much in denial. Almost everyone agrees that AMD is back with a competitive CPU core. Exactly how competitive will be known in just over 10 days. But the indications are very positive. Intel will see margins and revenue fall. I think Intel will see the worst hit to DCG. imo Naples could be every bit as disruptive as the original Hammer.
 
Reactions: Drazick

rainy

Senior member
Jul 17, 2013
508
427
136
If Intel's financial performance starts deteriorating, I'll be much more inclined to believe you that Intel is doomed.

Right now I see no financial evidence of the "doom and gloom" that you are saying (record revenue, record margins, diversifying into new businesses, etc.), but we'll just have to see how the next few years play out.

Just because Intel have very good or even great financial results (through dominant market position), it doesn't mean automatically that their top management could not make bad decision/decisions.

For example, are you sure that Altera was worth 16.7 billion dollars because we know already that 7.7 billions spent on McAfee was a pure waste:
http://www.businessinsider.com/john-mcafee-intel-buying-mcafee-was-terrible-idea-2016-6?IR=T
 
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |