Originally posted by: RabidMongoose
Originally posted by: Dead Parrot Sketch
"That's the main difference in our two 'opinions' - mine is applied without any possible bias while yours very well could be severely biased."
The only person you are fooling is yourself. When you decide that a particular set of statistics are what matters, that decision is your opinion, it isn't a fact.
The objective is to win games. RBIs win games. Does OPS win games ?
Sure, RBIs partly win games - but that's a function of your team and yourself. Why are you wanting to reward an individual for what his team did?
As I said before, you only look at half of the story..
It's true that Bench played for a great team, that meant he frequently came to the plate with runnners on base. AT THAT POINT IT WAS HIS JOB TO HIT THE BALL DEEP, which he did with great success. Hitters in that position necessarly suffer in their batting average, which of course makes their OPS suffer.
Piazza on the other hand is more often in a position where it's his job to get on base, not drive someone in, so naturally he has a higher onbase percentage, and lower RBIs
Therefore there is not such a cut and dried answer as to who is better offensively, as you insist there is. Evaluate Bench for what he was at his peak, he was an exceptional clean-up hitter, one of the best of his time, and on a couple of occasions the best in the league.
Piazza is well above average as an offensive player, and has been very consistent over a number of years. But compared to the best offensive players of his day, he isn't at the top, even at his peak.
So it's a perfectly rational position that Bench's offensive production was more significant than Piazza's, Bench was better at his offensive role at his peak, than Piazza has been at his role at his peak. I don't have a problem with you or others thinking that something else is more important, in your opinion. I have a problem when you think your opinion is more than an opinion.
You put ALL of your evaluation on one seriously misleading stat. You refuse to look at ALL of the relevant stats. Bench's OPS is low at least partly because his RBI and home run totals are so good.
As far as your other comments, like career vs peak, I'm not going to keep repeating my previous comments, if you think career is more important, fine. But it would be nice if you would stop insisting that things that are just opinions, are actually facts.
Um, Piazza SHOULD amass more stats in a HITTER'S ERA. Are you that blinded in your fanboy Mets' status to realize this? Remember, it's hard to concentrate on HITTING when you're CATCHING, something that Piazza fails to do effectively. Bench is the only catcher to lead his era in hitting and catching, u will probably never see such a well rounded player again...Originally posted by: RabidMongoose
Oh, and yes, OPS wins games. I'm pretty sure that OPS has a pretty good correlation to runs scored, better than say, BA or even HRs.
You're right - that's why OPS is used.
RBI are very, very team dependent. Why does Rickey Henderson not have a ton of RBI? Simple, because the players hitting in front of him did not get on base at a good clip.
Why doesn't Bonds lead the majors in RBI every single year, even though he is one of the best players of all time (top 5? top 10?)? Because RBI, by themselves, don't tell you a whole lot about a player. Unfortunately, not everyone realizes this.
Stop making sense!
Soon, this will all likely be moot. After a few more years (unless he gets really hurt), Piazza will amass enough rate stats (HR, RBI, etc) that all discussions will seem silly.
I agree. In 20 years, everyone will just look at the statistics and see such a huge difference. By then Piazza wouldn't have to go through nostalgia or the aura of Bench.
Originally posted by: SP33Demon
Um, Piazza SHOULD amass more stats in a HITTER'S ERA. Are you that blinded in your fanboy Mets' status to realize this? Remember, it's hard to concentrate on HITTING when you're CATCHING, something that Piazza fails to do effectively. Bench is the only catcher to lead his era in hitting and catching, u will probably never see such a well rounded player again...Originally posted by: RabidMongoose
Oh, and yes, OPS wins games. I'm pretty sure that OPS has a pretty good correlation to runs scored, better than say, BA or even HRs.
You're right - that's why OPS is used.
RBI are very, very team dependent. Why does Rickey Henderson not have a ton of RBI? Simple, because the players hitting in front of him did not get on base at a good clip.
Why doesn't Bonds lead the majors in RBI every single year, even though he is one of the best players of all time (top 5? top 10?)? Because RBI, by themselves, don't tell you a whole lot about a player. Unfortunately, not everyone realizes this.
Stop making sense!
Soon, this will all likely be moot. After a few more years (unless he gets really hurt), Piazza will amass enough rate stats (HR, RBI, etc) that all discussions will seem silly.
I agree. In 20 years, everyone will just look at the statistics and see such a huge difference. By then Piazza wouldn't have to go through nostalgia or the aura of Bench.
Rabid, I still don't see where u get off saying that Piazza peaked better? Look at best 3 years (AGAIN): Bench, 45 HR's/148RBI/.293, 40/125/.270, 33/129/.280. Piazza, 40/124/.362, 40/124/.303, 38/113/.324... I am failing to see where or how Piazza is significantly better offensively in the "peaks" of their careers?? Especially when Piazza is in a hitter's era? Bench had more HR's/RBI's, Piazza higher avg.
Until Piazza leads MLB in HR's Twice and RBI's Twice and Nat League at least once, I will never consider him on the level of Bench for his era, bottom line. That is the best indicator of power hitting against your peers for an era. You might say average, but has Piazza even ever led just the NL, let alone the MLB in average? Hell no. He has never led in ANY statistical category is the point. He fails against his peers in hitting, whereas Bench stood out.
Bench also batted in an era where OPS+ wasn't tainted by roids (name 2 players from that era who have admitted to using roids: I can name Canseco and Ken Caminiti for Piazza's), and it's well accepted that roids are more dominant today than the 70's.
The fact that Bench's 45 HR's has beaten Piazza's 40 from 1972 is downright embarrassing, it proves that Piazza can only hit for avg, another reason why his OPS+ is so high year after year.
Piazza was more consistent in hitting for avg, HR's, and RBI's than Bench, but he definitely didn't peak "significantly better" (your words). You would even have a tough time arguing that Piazza even peaked BETTER, let alone "SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER", especially considering Bench won 2 parts (HR's and RBI) of the Triple crown in 1972 and 1974. When has Piazza even won ONE PART EVER?
In the grand scheme of things, it is asinine to argue who was better offensively. Yes, Piazza was more consistent and hit for better avg overall, but he fails when compared to his peers today in Triple Crown stats whereas Bench didn't. We all know who the better catcher was, and who's in the HOF with World Series victories. Anything else is just crying over spilled milk.
I'd say that it's nothing I haven't already granted (avg which obviously correlates to a higher OBP). They both hit significantly higher in SLG, but you are forgetting that even this stat is tainted b/c there were less teams in the 70's. More teams today = more dilution of pitching, which = higher slug%.Originally posted by: RabidMongoose
Rabid, I still don't see where u get off saying that Piazza peaked better? Look at best 3 years (AGAIN): Bench, 45 HR's/148RBI/.293, 40/125/.270, 33/129/.280. Piazza, 40/124/.362, 40/124/.303, 38/113/.324... I am failing to see where or how Piazza is significantly better offensively in the "peaks" of their careers?? Especially when Piazza is in a hitter's era? Bench had more HR's/RBI's, Piazza higher avg.
It's simple. I look at mor ethan three dimensions. There is far more than batting average, homeruns, and RBIs. I'm looking at statistics that bring together batting average, walks, doubles, homeruns, triples, singles, and total number of at bats. I look at the OBP and SLG of each player and compare it to their league in their own time. From that, I see that Piazza was more dominant than Bench. You are not looking at what I see as the best three seasons of these player's career. Why do you only look at homeruns? Why do you not look at walks, doubles, triples, singles, etc.?
Piazza's three highest OPS+ seasons are: 1995-1997: 172 167 186
However, Piazza only had 112 games in 1995. I guess you could replace it with 2000 and that would make it: 159 167 186
Bench's three highest OPS+ seasons are: 166, 145, 143
That's a pretty big difference. OPS+ has its flaws (again, like not measuring OBP enough - but this flaw helps Bench) but that is a sizable difference. One that would make me believe that Piazza's peak three seasons were better than Bench's. This is also confirmed when looking at statistics like runs created or any other comprehensive statistic. You could also just look at their SLG and OBP and compare it to their own peers and see the same. Bench's peak three years were damn damn good. However, Piazza's peak three years were insane.
Again, don't look at only RBIs, HRs, and batting average. You're ignoring so many dimensions.
Until Piazza leads MLB in HR's Twice and RBI's Twice and Nat League at least once, I will never consider him on the level of Bench for his era, bottom line. That is the best indicator of power hitting against your peers for an era. You might say average, but has Piazza even ever led just the NL, let alone the MLB in average? Hell no. He has never led in ANY statistical category is the point. He fails against his peers in hitting, whereas Bench stood out.
That's fine if you don't want to believe it. However, Bench was far inferiori against his peers than Piazza was against his. You're looking at only two seasons and saying that because of those two seasons, Bench is the best. That makes no sense. Why are you looking at less than 15% of the career. Why not look at the entire career? Piazza has the 6th highest slugging out of active players and the 21st best OBP out of active players. Bench had the 19th best SLG(as you stated) during his time and wasn't even ranked in the top 100 for OBP.
Bench also batted in an era where OPS+ wasn't tainted by roids (name 2 players from that era who have admitted to using roids: I can name Canseco and Ken Caminiti for Piazza's), and it's well accepted that roids are more dominant today than the 70's.
Again, there is no proof that Piazza uses steroids. I don't believe that he does. Again, OPS+ compares Bench's OPS to Bench's leagues and Piazza's OPS to Piazza's leagues. Therefore if people ARE using steroids today, then that would HURT Piazza in his OPS+. Again, OPS+ isn't a calculation that is the same for every year. It takes the league average OPS for each year and then compares the OPS against that single year's average.
The fact that Bench's 45 HR's has beaten Piazza's 40 from 1972 is downright embarrassing, it proves that Piazza can only hit for avg, another reason why his OPS+ is so high year after year.
Bench's 45 homeruns were good. However, he also had about 10% more at bats than Piazza. He didn't walk as much and he didn't have as high of a slugging when compared to their own respective leagues. So, yes, Bench had more total homeruns. However, he didn't provide as much total offensive production.
The most homeruns that Ted Williams ever hit was 43 (in a time when runs scoring was just as prolific as today). Does that mean that he is pathetic when compared to Bench? Of course not. Overall he was far more productive than either Piazza or Bench. There is far more than just homeruns.
Piazza was more consistent in hitting for avg, HR's, and RBI's than Bench, but he definitely didn't peak "significantly better" (your words). You would even have a tough time arguing that Piazza even peaked BETTER, let alone "SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER", especially considering Bench won 2 parts (HR's and RBI) of the Triple crown in 1972 and 1974. When has Piazza even won ONE PART EVER?
Again, you are ONLY looking at homeruns and RBIs. Why? One of these statistics you have already admitted to being highly dependent on the OBP of the players in front of you.
Piazza's peak was better than Bench's. If you want me to drop the 'significantly better' , then that's fine. You still haven't addressed the issue of their whole career.
In the grand scheme of things, it is asinine to argue who was better offensively. Yes, Piazza was more consistent and hit for better avg overall, but he fails when compared to his peers today in Triple Crown stats whereas Bench didn't. We all know who the better catcher was, and who's in the HOF with World Series victories. Anything else is just crying over spilled milk.
Why is it asinine? Piazza is clearly better as an offensive player. Every single comprehensive statistic shows the same thing. Piazza will also be in the HOF with no world series victories - just like Ted Williams. There's nothing bad about that. Piazza may be inferior to Bench in HRs and RBIs in relation to his peers, but Bench is far inferior in OBP, SLG, OPS or any other statistic that looks at more than one dimension.
Again:
Through his career, Bench hit .267 (the league average throughout his career was ..263), his OBP was .342 (where the league average was .331) and his SLG was .476 where the league average was .387. Now that's damn good, especially teh SLG. However, his OBP is about average.
Piazza through his career hit .319 (league average of .263), had an OBP of .388 (league average of .333), and had a SLG of .572 (league average of .417). He did this all in pitcher's parks half of the time. Even if you don't factor in the park (which is significant), he is still more dominant in offense than Bench.
What do you have to say to the above two paragraphs?
I'd say that it's nothing I haven't already granted (avg which obviously correlates to a higher OBP). They both hit significantly higher in SLG, but you are forgetting that even this stat is tainted b/c there were less teams in the 70's. More teams today = more dilution of pitching, which = higher slug%.
The rest of the posts I generally agree with, except for Triple Crown stats. It really bothers me that Piazza can't compete with his peers in these stats, and Bench could. I guess you could call me more of a traditionalist.
Nobody has said Piazza is pathetic, in fact I've said repeatedly there is a good argument that he is better than Bench offensively, but it's an opinion, not a fact.
You say Bench didn't walk as much..DID YOU READ WHAT I SAID BEFORE ???? It wasn't Bench's job to walk, his job was to knock in runners. HAVE YOU HEARD THE TERM SACRIFICE FLY ???
On base percentage is an almost completely meaningless stat for a clean-up hitter that plays for a team that gets lots of base runners. Delivering RBIs is the job.
Slugging percentage is also flawed, it gives the same weight to the difference between a triple and a homerun as it does between a single and a double, right ? Well, in the real game a triple is only a little more valuable than a double, the value of a double depends on how good a base runner is; Joe Morgan hits a single it might as well be called a double; and a home run is a lot better than a triple, being as runs are how you win games.
That's just an example of what I mean by flawed, the same thing is true of all stats, it's easy to give them more significance than they deserve.
Please, let's not get into Bonds... the years he did lead in HR's are most likely tainted, granted he did receive steroids from BALCO...Originally posted by: RabidMongoose
I guess you do have a more traditionalist view. However, Barry Bonds never won the triple crown. He never even came close. He only led his league in HR twice and led his league in RBIs once.
severely.. did I say severely ?
If you are correct about the slugging formula, and I'll accept you are, then my previous point still stands that it's flawed, particlularly in the way you try to say that it takes the place of RBIs, except for the HR component, there isn't that much difference in potential RBIs between a single and a triple.
A better stat would be RBIs delivered compared to RBI opportunities, that would negate to some extent the issue of RBIs being related to team strength.
And I never said stats aren't significant. We aren't talking about something that is all that significant, we are expressing opinions about a higlhy regarded player from a different era compared to a highly regarded player from the present day.
Such discussions are just for fun, there is no signifiance to it. It is more fun to discuss such things with people who aren't so wrapped up in themselves that they believe their opinions are tantamount to facts that can't be challenged.
Please, let's not get into Bonds... the years he did lead in HR's are most likely tainted, granted he did receive steroids from BALCO...
On a sidenote, I think the reason why it might be even harder to win the Triple Crown, or even 2 aspects of the triple crown, is the increase of players in the league. There is more of a specialization of players to do certain aspects of the game. For instance, ARod/Bonds can hit HR's like there's no tomorrow, but they do not specialize in hitting for avg. Players such as Ichiro specialize in things like this. Statistically, it's probably harder to hit for avg and still lead in HR's and RBI's today than yesteryear because more players in MLB = higher % of any player randomly having a breakout year. Take Bill Mueller for instance. Nobody would have expected him to win the batting title last year... I think more players and the increase of specialization in the game make it virtually impossible for any player to even win 2 categories of the triple crown today. But there's always this year for Piazza (good luck!). The fact that Bench did it in his era is spectacular, if someone did it today it would be astronomical.
The whole scene is too ridiculous even to comprehend: Bench, facing an 0-2 count and his team down 3-2. Bench, who in the second inning had told Rose, "I hope I come up in the ninth inning with one man on and us needing a hit, because I know I'll get one." ... Bench, who in the on-deck circle before his fateful at-bat, told Joe Morgan, "I'm taking him to right field," even though Bench hardly ever hit to right field; he knew in his gut that Pittsburgh Pirates closer Dave Giusti would try to get him out with his palm ball away. ... Bench, who nodded and smiled when his mother walked down to the railing to signal him to hit a home run ("I knew I was going to hit one out," Bench later said. "I had that feeling.").
In 1973, the Reds squared off against the New York Mets in the NL Playoffs. In the opening game, Tom Seaver took a 1-1 tie into the bottom of the ninth in Cincinnati. Bench blasted a home run off the future Hall of Famer and the Reds won 2-1.
The 1975 World Series is regarded by many as the greatest ever played. In Game Two, in the bottom of the ninth inning with his team trailing the Red Sox 2-1, Bench doubled off Bill Lee and scored the tying run. The Reds went on to win the game 3-2, and ultimately the series. Even though Bench batted just .207 in the series, three of his six hits were for extra bases, and he drove in four runs.
The 1976 post-season truly belonged to Johnny Bench. In the playoffs against the Philadelphia Phillies he batted .333 in the three-game sweep. In the final game, with the Phils clinging to a 6-5 lead, Bench homered off Ron Reed to tie the score, paving the way to victory. In the World Series, Bench performed as well as any batter in history, collecting eight hits (four for extra-bases) in the four-game sweep of the New York Yankees. He batted .533 and hit two homers with six RBI. In Game Four, he hit a three-run blast in the top of the ninth to clinch the game and the series.
Originally posted by: Dead Parrot Sketch
You said-
"Slugging Percentage = (1B + 2*2B + 3*3B + 4*HR)/PA
Where HR = total number of homeruns, etc. and PA = Plate Appearances. Walks aren't counted in SLG."
This site says-
"Slugging Percentage (SLG)
The Slugging Percentage indicates the power and effectiveness of the hitter. Mathematically, it's the number of bases divided by the number of times the player was at bat.
Example: A player bats three times, and gets a triple, a double and a strike out. His slugging average would be: (3+2+0)/3 = 1.666."
If that site is correct, then it is you who doesn't understand what slugger percentage is, not me. Your equation says a single is worth 1 point, a double is worth 4, a triple is worth 9, and a HR is worth 16.
edit- my original feeling about slugger percentage was based on that site's description of it, so the part of my opinion you think was based on my misunderstanding isn't valid, since I didn't misunderstand it. (if that site is correct)