Climate Science Is Not Settled

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bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
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Nope, the science is really solid on all those things, so the question I was looking at is how many people were denying clear and unequivocal evidence to suit what they wanted to believe.

You're one of those people, by the way.


The science is not real clear that CO2 is the MAJOR forcing agent in warming. You are being dishonest. Nobody denies that it is an agent. The debate is to the EXTENT of the forcing. Another parallel debate is whether warming is a net bad/good thing. The "science" is not settled on that either.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,595
7,653
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The science is not real clear that CO2 is the MAJOR forcing agent in warming. You are being dishonest. Nobody denies that it is an agent. The debate is to the EXTENT of the forcing. Another parallel debate is whether warming is a net bad/good thing. The "science" is not settled on that either.

4-6 degrees warmer might help offset the 12 degrees of the impending glaciation.

Problem is we're a bit early. By a few hundred years, possibly a thousand.
 

schmuckley

Platinum Member
Aug 18, 2011
2,335
1
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What about subsidizing corn crops?

Subsidizing corn crops is directly related to Ethanol production,which was mandated in response to "Climate Change" nonsense.

Using Ethanol produces way more CO2 than it saves.

It's all bullshit.

"Green Fuel" is really "destroying green" fuel.

Furthermore "Climate Change" is reponsible for higher electricity bills ALA Obama
not really..but they're using it as an excuse

http://www.nationalreview.com/campa...lectricity-rates-are-necessarily-skyrocketing

It's all one big "fuck the people"

There is a much larger percentage of household income having to be spent on food/fuel/gas now than there ever has been.

You can thank "Climate Change" for that.

and...That's what it was all about from the jump:Getting more out of people's pockets.

In the process,more CO2 is being created than before from the Ethanol production.

More plants are being destroyed,more fuel is being burned in the production/transportation of crops/ethanol than if it was done away with.
 
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Nov 30, 2006
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I would say that calling a group that represents one in three republicans and that exerts strong influence over elected officials outliers is severely stretching the definition of the word.

Hell, when you look at the other metrics about the scientific consensus and human responsibility for warming we're talking about near majorities or outright majorities. It's crazy.
Link please.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
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The science is not real clear that CO2 is the MAJOR forcing agent in warming. You are being dishonest. Nobody denies that it is an agent. The debate is to the EXTENT of the forcing. Another parallel debate is whether warming is a net bad/good thing. The "science" is not settled on that either.

You should really try and avoid calling people dishonest in a post where you're desperately and dishonestly trying to twist the discussion into what you want it to be.

You're just as bad as the Tea Party. Proud of your ignorance and enraged by those who try to inform you of it.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
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The $64 question is, and always has been, how much of the temperature increase from the Little Ice Age forward is actually the direct result of AGW vs how much is due to natural variation. "Deniers" say that the "Believers" have been exaggerating AGW to the point of fear-mongering. Nobody's saying that AGW is not a factor.

I'm sure somebody does, but we can collectively tell them to shove it.

Well there are plenty of folks who deny it's happening.

Like the House of Representatives Committee on Science.
http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/the-curious-wavefunction/2014/03/31/the-house-of-representatives-committee-on-science-is-turning-into-a-national-embarrassment/

After all, the subcommittee responsible for climate change is, quite appropriately enough, led by a climate change denier (this literally sounds like something out of Orwell). 17 out of 22 members of the larger committee either deny that climate change is happening or question that human activities are responsible for it; the chairman of the committee himself is skeptical about global warming. And of course, let’s not forget committee member Paul Broun who thinks evolution is a “lie from the pit of hell”.

A couple of choice quotes from the committee:

Several members, for example, appeared to be trying to mock rather than engage Holdren on climate change. “I may want to get your cellphone number, Dr. Holdren,” said Representative Randy Weber (R–TX), “because, if we go through another few cycles of global warming and cooling, I may need to ask you when I should buy my long coat on sale.”

I just don’t know how you all prove those theories going back 50 or 100,000 or even millions of years,” Weber said.

“I remember in the ’70s, that [cooling] was the threat, the fear,” Posey recalled. Then he pivoted. “I’ve read that during the period of the dinosaurs, that the Earth’s temperature was 30° warmer. Does that seem fathomable to you?”

Now you guys just said you you believe climate change is happening and man is playing a part. It seems that you would have as much problem with this level of scientific illiteracy as I do.

Or do you feel the phrase, "questions that human activities are responsible for it" better describes your positions?


Regardless of congress, 97% of climate scientists, feel it's a problem.

The insurance industry feels it's a problem:
http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-linden-insurance-climate-change-20140617-story.html

The pentagon feels its a problem:
http://www.desmogblog.com/2014/03/05/pentagon-climate-change-impacts-threat-multipliers-could-enable-terrorism

Of course congress has blocked funding to allow the Pentagon to do any study in preparation for impacts to their mission due to climate change.

Two questions I do have though is what facts do you use to convince yourself that our part in climate change is small. And/or the impacts of climate change are negligible?

I am curious.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
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Two questions I do have though is what facts do you use to convince yourself that our part in climate change is small. And/or the impacts of climate change are negligible?

I am curious.


The second question is easy, in my own life, I have observed no negative impacts in anything. The environment that I grew up in was vastly dirtier than the environment I live in now.

In the world at large, crop yields are increasing at a constant rate to the point where we have repurposed vast swaths of cropland to growing fuel instead of food. Everybody says the sky is falling but yet it does not fall.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
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The second question is easy, in my own life, I have observed no negative impacts in anything. The environment that I grew up in was vastly dirtier than the environment I live in now.

In the world at large, crop yields are increasing at a constant rate to the point where we have repurposed vast swaths of cropland to growing fuel instead of food. Everybody says the sky is falling but yet it does not fall.

I would make the following rebuttals:

The cleaner environment we enjoy is in part due to environmental regulations put into effect over the last 50 years. Due to the work of scientists in conjunction with government. You enjoy the benefits of that work today at the cost it incurred. What is different about climate change?

As for crop yields the green revolution has been amazing. However crop yields have slowed in the last few years. That's going to be a problem.



The changing climate is going to disrupt crop production as local climates change.
 
Nov 30, 2006
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Well there are plenty of folks who deny it's happening.
<snip>
So what...there's a ton of really ignorant people in the world. Do I actually need to define every word I use and qualify every minute detail of everything I say? It appears that you've lost the forest for the trees.

Two questions I do have though is what facts do you use to convince yourself that our part in climate change is small. And/or the impacts of climate change are negligible?

I am curious.
I try to keep an open mind as it's a highly complex branch of science that's in its relative infancy...definitive facts are hard to come by. That said, I highly doubt that human impact is negligible. I'm not sure how you came to such a conclusion...apparently you made a false assumption about what I think. I suggest that you reexamine your rationale a little more closely. But don't take it too hard...science tells us that this is very common brain defect among liberals. Right Moonie? :biggrin:
 
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Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
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Well there are plenty of folks who deny it's happening.

Like the House of Representatives Committee on Science.

Now you guys just said you you believe climate change is happening and man is playing a part. It seems that you would have as much problem with this level of scientific illiteracy as I do.

Or do you feel the phrase, "questions that human activities are responsible for it" better describes your positions?

I wonder how many of them would be among the "97% consensus", which is anyone who recognizes CO2 is a greenhouse gas. That it physically has that effect. I look at the quotes you take issue with, and I see word games. Not clear refutation of the underlying science. I mean, if they DO then shame on them.

Questioning Climate Sensitivity, the amount of warming per CO2, is a direct questioning of whether humans are majorly responsible for observed warming trends.

Regardless of congress, 97% of climate scientists, feel it's a problem.

Since you invoked it...

 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,595
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Two questions I do have though is what facts do you use to convince yourself that our part in climate change is small. And/or the impacts of climate change are negligible?

I am curious.

This is a rehash of many posts I've made.

The observed changes in temperature since the start of the 20th century match the PDO / AMO. When they are both "warm", the surface temperature rises for 20 year periods. From the 1930s-1940s, and again in the 1980s-1990s.

Based on this logic, observed warming on the surface temperature is largely due to natural factors. To prove this, it should not warm again for another ~20 years until the PDO turns warm. Following this logic, any warming between now and then is safely concluded as anthropogenic.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
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Since you invoked it...

That is an EXTREMELY dishonest way of approaching it. It is trying to count every paper that doesn't have an explicit position on AGW as a knock against it. The 97% figure is far more accurate. They even asked people who wrote the papers to self identify them and ended up with the same figure.

If you're concerned about propaganda you definitely shouldn't be posting images like that. Surely you don't want to be tricked by those people?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
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Thanks. Good to see opposition within the party trending upward. However, I'm very surprised to see 7 Democrats/Leaners supporting the Tea Party. Say it isn't so!

I imagine they are a combination of people who are ignorant of what the Tea Party is and people who are doing a Zell Miller impersonation.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,849
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<snip>
So what...there's a ton of really ignorant people in the world. Do I actually need to define every word I use and qualify every minute detail of everything I say? It appears that you've lost the forest for the trees.


I try to keep an open mind as it's a highly complex branch of science that's in its relative infancy...definitive facts are hard to come by. That said, I highly doubt that human impact is negligible. I'm not sure how you came to such a conclusion...apparently you made a false assumption about what I think. I suggest that you reexamine your rationale a little more closely. But don't take it too hard...science tells us that this is very common brain defect among liberals. Right Moonie? :biggrin:

Well Doc no LBD here however,

Words have meaning. I also didn't pick just anybody for an example, I picked the Congressional comitte on Science. If you were just referencing people in this thread the I would point out Schmuckley and bshole. So either way I didn't find your arguement persuasive.

Actually there quite a few definitive facts. The underlying science of thermodynamics and heat and mass transfer governing Earths climate are all very sound. So is the absorption spectrum of all the major gasses in our atmosphere, the measured solar flux of the sun, the amount of fossil fuels used per year, the relative amounts of gasses in our atmosphere. All of those are very definitive.

But I'm glad you think our impact is non-negligible and that folks who feel otherwise are ignorant. Do our reps in congress bother you on this subject?


The one area that I don't think gets enough debate is mitigation measures.

I found this chart the other day. It sort if suggests things that have worked in the past to reduce CO2 emissions:


http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21618680-our-guide-actions-have-done-most-slow-global-warming-deepest-cuts


Thoughts?
 
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dphantom

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2005
4,763
327
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That is an EXTREMELY dishonest way of approaching it. It is trying to count every paper that doesn't have an explicit position on AGW as a knock against it. The 97% figure is far more accurate. They even asked people who wrote the papers to self identify them and ended up with the same figure.

If you're concerned about propaganda you definitely shouldn't be posting images like that. Surely you don't want to be tricked by those people?

I am afraid your way of representing that 97% number is disingenuous. There are almost no scientists involved in climate work that would say CO2 and man has not had some effect on climate. hence the 97% is surprisingly low in my estimation.

It is how that number is presented that is the problem. It is made out by environmentalists and others to be man is the primary if not sole cause of GW and see here 97% of scientists think just like we do. And we know that to not be true. We do know man has some effect and it may be considerable.

But climate is so complex or simplistic models and limited understanding cannot definitely say man is the cause and CO2 is the primary factor in today's warming.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
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I am afraid your way of representing that 97% number is disingenuous. There are almost no scientists involved in climate work that would say CO2 and man has not had some effect on climate. hence the 97% is surprisingly low in my estimation.

It is how that number is presented that is the problem. It is made out by environmentalists and others to be man is the primary if not sole cause of GW and see here 97% of scientists think just like we do. And we know that to not be true. We do know man has some effect and it may be considerable.

But climate is so complex or simplistic models and limited understanding cannot definitely say man is the cause and CO2 is the primary factor in today's warming.

No, the endorsement is simply this: "human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures."

Nobody says that human activity is the sole cause, that's a straw man.
 

dphantom

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2005
4,763
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No, the endorsement is simply this: "human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures."

Nobody says that human activity is the sole cause, that's a straw man.

and no again 97% do not say that. Unless you define significant down into single digits.
 

dphantom

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2005
4,763
327
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Then tell me what significant means.

edit. In fact Q2 in that survey is entirely meaningless. Significant is not defined. Hman activity encompasses such a broad area that I doubt anyone would disagree man's activities do not ahave an effect on climate, the environment etc...

If this is the best you can do, it is a very poor effort. Not at all scientifically rigorous.
 
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beginner99

Diamond Member
Jun 2, 2009
5,223
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Coal is one of the largest artificial producers of radioactive waste in the world and even China is shutting down their coal industry.

Exactly. Coal plants are actually way worse than nuclear plants in terms of radioactivity output to the environment. But then radioactivity itself is misunderstood in the common population and even by so called experts. Prim example being Chernobyl and the evacuated town of Pripyat. Radiation was even directly after the accident lower than in many natural high-radiation areas. And funny enough people from those areas are actually healthier.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
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Then tell me what significant means.

edit. In fact Q2 in that survey is entirely meaningless. Significant is not defined. Hman activity encompasses such a broad area that I doubt anyone would disagree man's activities do not ahave an effect on climate, the environment etc...

If this is the best you can do, it is a very poor effort. Not at all scientifically rigorous.

Considering we are measuring the scientists' opinion on climate change, significant is whatever they personally consider it to be. That's the way it should be.
 
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