Climate Science Is Not Settled

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glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
If you were in a desert with only one bucket of water to survive, and the other 5 people you were with were guzzling it down like crazy, and you were taking small sips, would you actually entertain them telling you that Everyone needed to conserve water so you needed to take smaller sips, all the while they either didn't stop guzzling it down, and/or, just hogged more water to a lesser degree?

That is in effect what the developed rich world is telling these developing countries. If you think the average first worlder is going to consume less unless forced to - and that force would come from Politicians, who, surprise!, want to get re-elected, which means, they kick those hard decision (read: unpopular) cans down the road everytime - you are simply crazy. We can just agree to disagree at this point.

If you start guzzling water just because other people are, you run out of water faster and die sooner.

Better than what the climate change believers would suggest:
1. Use smaller buckets that come from "renewable sources," ignoring how to fill them
2. Increase government funding for alternative liquids research
3. Impose a "water tax" to make people drink less
4. Ban SUVs since they have cup holders and thus might cause people to drink more water
5. Organize the desert dwellers to have a political march demanding people living next to a lake use less water
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
Better than what the climate change believers would suggest: 1. Use smaller buckets that come from "renewable sources," ignoring how to fill them 2. Increase government funding for alternative liquids research 3. Impose a "water tax" to make people drink less 4. Ban SUVs since they have cup holders and thus might cause people to drink more water 5. Organize the desert dwellers to have a political march demanding people living next to a lake use less water

The psychology composing this post seems very ignorant.
 

WHAMPOM

Diamond Member
Feb 28, 2006
7,628
183
106
The answer is to leap frog past all the dirty levels first world countries had to use to get where they are and install clean , efficient systems infrastructure for third world economies.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
The answer is to leap frog past all the dirty levels first world countries had to use to get where they are and install clean , efficient systems infrastructure for third world economies.

What I have been suggesting for a long while now.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,038
36
86
China and India aren't going to pony up the $, they're the ones benefiting (along with their neighbors) from us offshoring our pollution. That's a big part of their competitive advantage.

So now we're down to the US and EU paying for it. Then there is the matter of actual implementation, and enforcement. I wish you luck on all three fronts...
 

OverVolt

Lifer
Aug 31, 2002
14,278
89
91

To be fair considering thats pretty much a scoreboard of how much shit we import from China it looks like we are hitting it out of the park. New high score every month, can't be beat! Like we're actually going to pay back China in equivalent 2014 dollars. They'll get paid back in dollars alright they'll just be practically worthless by the time we do :awe:. Talk about winning!
 

Cozarkian

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,352
95
91
I'm not asking you to take in more water than what you're sipping, I'm asking you now to take in less. Don't worry though, I'm way over-consuming full steam ahead. You're cool with that right?

The principal remains the same. Regardless of how much water others drink, I should drink the minimum amount necessary to stay sufficiently hydrated to conduct those activities that will be necessary to maximize my chance of survival.
 

OverVolt

Lifer
Aug 31, 2002
14,278
89
91
The principal remains the same. Regardless of how much water others drink, I should drink the minimum amount necessary to stay sufficiently hydrated to conduct those activities that will be necessary to maximize my chance of survival.

Yea right. And the first guy to bring his own container and start stocking his own will will end up with a wife and 4 children while you sit there and pee brown.
 

Cozarkian

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,352
95
91
Yea right. And the first guy to bring his own container and start stocking his own will will end up with a wife and 4 children while you sit there and pee brown.

Wait a second, are we changing the hypothetical to allow people to bring their own containers? Well, in that case, I would get my own bucket, pour my 1/6th share of the remaining water into it, and travel in a different direction than the other 5 members so that they won't try to steal my water when they drink theirs too quickly.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
Wait a second, are we changing the hypothetical to allow people to bring their own containers? Well, in that case, I would get my own bucket, pour my 1/6th share of the remaining water into it, and travel in a different direction than the other 5 members so that they won't try to steal my water when they drink theirs too quickly.

Meh, I would just shoot the other 5 and take theirs.
 

Cozarkian

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,352
95
91
Meh, I would just shoot the other 5 and take theirs.

Where the heck did you get a gun? Since you are in a desert, you could probably find a rock and bash in the head of one of them while they slept, but the other 4 might wake up and decide to bash your head in. It's just a matter of how and how soon you want to die.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,038
36
86
The principal remains the same. Regardless of how much water others drink, I should drink the minimum amount necessary to stay sufficiently hydrated to conduct those activities that will be necessary to maximize my chance of survival.

No, you're missing the point: The 5 people and you are already consuming at your individual x level. You are now all going to be at y, which is (x - something). This is not a scenario where you were just fine taking sips so you'll be fine at the new y value, this is a scenario where your wife and kids are suffering and dying, along with almost yourself, and these other 5 and their families are living high on the hog.

So No, the principle doesn't remain the same - you're already at as low of an amount you ever want to go. But, take heart! You get less, they get the same or more! Why? Because iToo!

Makes perfect sense right?
 

Cozarkian

Golden Member
Feb 2, 2012
1,352
95
91
No, you're missing the point: The 5 people and you are already consuming at your individual x level. You are now all going to be at y, which is (x - something). This is not a scenario where you were just fine taking sips so you'll be fine at the new y value, this is a scenario where your wife and kids are suffering and dying, along with almost yourself, and these other 5 and their families are living high on the hog.

So No, the principle doesn't remain the same - you're already at as low of an amount you ever want to go. But, take heart! You get less, they get the same or more! Why? Because iToo!

Makes perfect sense right?

No, the principal is the same, you shouldn't only drink what you need. Assume "y" = the optimum amount of water each person should drink. You should drink "y" amount, regardless of what others do.

Yes, you obviously would not agree to a plan in which everyone reduces their consumption by "x," but anyone who sees that as the only option is a terrible negotiator. You would suggest alternatives, such as, everyone agrees to only drink "y", or everyone agrees to reduce their water intake by "x", without falling below "y", or even, "I'm tired of only drinking "y" while the rest of you guzzle water. Either reduce your intake by "x", or I'm going to start drinking like the rest of you and we'll run out of water tomorrow."

In terms of countries, the same applies. Yes, if the optimum CO2 omissions are "y", developing countries that already emit "y" aren't going to agree to reduce their omissions, but they might and should agree to avoid increasing them in exchange for reductions.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
China is eating America's lunch right now. Cap and trade would give China a pitchfork so it can eat Amerca's lunch faster.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,038
36
86
No, the principal is the same, you shouldn't only drink what you need. Assume "y" = the optimum amount of water each person should drink. You should drink "y" amount, regardless of what others do.

Yes, in a perfect world that would happen - but we are not in a perfect world. In this case drinking less water, y, means you die. Or your wife and kids die. Or they live in misery. Or you in reality are already at x (close to y though), while others are at A.

Yes, you obviously would not agree to a plan in which everyone reduces their consumption by "x," but anyone who sees that as the only option is a terrible negotiator. You would suggest alternatives, such as, everyone agrees to only drink "y", or everyone agrees to reduce their water intake by "x", without falling below "y", or even, "I'm tired of only drinking "y" while the rest of you guzzle water. Either reduce your intake by "x", or I'm going to start drinking like the rest of you and we'll run out of water tomorrow."

Oh don't misunderstand me (and I apologize if I didn't post clearly before), I'm not saying everyone has to reduce the same amount. Clearly that cannot be the case. Yes, in a perfect world, everyone would consume just a same y amount. Your last sentence here is actually what is happening, except the person sipping and now starting to take on more and more water is just taking on more and more water really without an ultimatum - unless of course asked by those already guzzling to cut back.

In terms of countries, the same applies. Yes, if the optimum CO2 omissions are "y", developing countries that already emit "y" aren't going to agree to reduce their omissions, but they might and should agree to avoid increasing them in exchange for reductions.

This is what will not happen. No developing country is going to make it harder on itself, unless we simply buy off their Leadership somehow, or expend our own resources subsidizing them, because of some temp change that really don't give a sh1t about. They're going to build that new steel mill and employ their people living in (compared to 1st world countries, heck, even compared to their own country) shit conditions, get revenue from it, use that revenue to (hopefully) make improvements to their country. What they're not going to do is cut back their competitive edge (cheaper goods) so some smug Progressive can take a plane flight on a pleasure trip to the EU, i.e. they're going to continue to sip water, increasing if they can their consumption, while the guzzlers keep guzzling talking about how low the water bucket is getting.

Chuck
 

desy

Diamond Member
Jan 13, 2000
5,439
211
106
This is the real issue of climate change
Its real, however the ones who either deny or ostrich do so not because they don't believe in science or the motivations of scientists but because the medicine required is awful.
It would be like chemotherapy and even after it all we still might not make it and I think that's what is the scary part for them.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,038
36
86
Sure, it's real. How real? Well, don't look at past models, those were all wrong, trust this model today, which will be wrong tomorrow. It's not just that the climate is changing, and that man is having some kind of impact, it's what is the true impact, what will our cutbacks result in for the future climate? We need to know what will happen (not what they guess will happen) if we don't cut back, what will happen if we do, and then make adjustments based on that information.

We don't have that information. But, fear not!, we must go forward with "solutions"! Forgive us if we don't Believe in that...
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,722
6,201
126
Thirty five thousand walruses have hauled out on Alaska's shores because the sea ice they rest on while feeding on clams in shallow distant article waters has disappeared.
 
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