Climate Science Is Not Settled

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Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
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No what we are saying is the increase in OHC has raised the average temperature of the ocean by 0.02C.

That makes all the difference, seeing as that would represent a bigger change in the atmosphere. It adds up.

Are you comfortable with the error margins of ARGO measuring in hundredths of a degree? I just looked up an interesting... commentary on the subject.

A single ARGO buoy (which measures ocean temperatures down to 2000m) has an uncertainty of about 0.1C
 

Paul98

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2010
3,732
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One thing to remember is that this is only 2000m deep into the ocean, the mass that was being used in that calculation was the entire mass of the ocean.
 

feralkid

Lifer
Jan 28, 2002
16,577
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And as I already asked, what action? All the same questions I asked Norse apply. I'm all for taking action, but no one has ever said what that action is. Reducing CO2 emissions isn't a plan, it's a response. It's like your doctor telling you have a terminal illness and you ask what to do, and he responds with "try to live longer".

So what's the plan? What specifically are the steps to reversing climate change? Do we need to build ten thousand nuclear power plants and build a damn on every river on earth? Is solar energy the answer, and can we produce enough of it to matter?

I don't know what "action" means in this circumstance. Running in circles with our hands in the air may be emotionally rewarding, but it's not going to help.



So this is the latest retreat and cover for the deniers?

"I would have done my part, but no one showed me how"?
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,851
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That makes all the difference, seeing as that would represent a bigger change in the atmosphere. It adds up.

Are you comfortable with the error margins of ARGO measuring in hundredths of a degree? I just looked up an interesting... commentary on the subject.

Well from what I've found on-line the design requirements were for .001C. Her arguement seems to be that they can't staistically combine temperatures the way the ARGO teams says they can to reach that accuracy.

http://www.terrapub.co.jp/journals/JO/pdf/6002/60020253.pdf

I'm not a statistician but it would seem these two options, (Argo says the oceans are warming, Argo is not accurate the oceans aren't warming) lead to two different outcomes that could be supported by other measurements.

As I've posted above we've seen decreases in the mass of ice at both poles via satellite measurements indicating melting. Melting requires energy. Energy that wouldn't be available if Argo was wrong and ocean temperature was decreasing.

She also mentions that it may not make sense that warm water would be carried down to the lower ocean because warm water is less dense and therefore floats.

This is generally true but ignores two important points. Cold water only becomes more dense above 4C below its actually less dense. The other point is that warmer water holds more salt, and saltier water becomes more dense.
http://marinebio.org/oceans/temperature/. Argo measures both temperature and salinity.

The latest from that research I linked to says that they were surprised to find the warmed salty water dropping deep into the ocean. Errors in the current models led them to find this fact.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
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13,793
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http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/518497/Exclusive-interview-with-Dr-Benny-Peiser

Well you got the Ocean absorbed all the energy theory down pat, better start brushing up on the other 29 theories for why the warming stopped. :awe:

originally posted by: Dr Peiser
"Something is clearly balancing out the warming effect of the CO2 [carbon dioxide]," he explained.
"It might be natural factors, it might be the ocean, no one knows for sure.
originally posted by: Dr Peiser

Peiser acknowledges that he is "not a climate scientist" and has "never claimed to be one." His interest as a social anthropologist, is in "how climate change is portrayed as a potential disaster and how we respond to that."
I'll let Benny brush up on the science.

Interesting site:

"Kate Moss flashes Boobs for Breast Cancer"

"Abbey Clancey bares all"

I guess you were reading it for the articles.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,836
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I'll let Benny brush up on the science.

Interesting site:

"Kate Moss flashes Boobs for Breast Cancer"

"Abbey Clancey bares all"

I guess you were reading it for the articles.

If we all had a dime for every editorial piece written by a non-climate scientist that the deniers on here attempted to pass off as a legitimate rebuttal to overwhelming scientific evidence we would all be very rich men.
 

dphantom

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2005
4,763
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If we all had a dime for every editorial piece written by a non-climate scientist that the deniers on here attempted to pass off as a legitimate rebuttal to overwhelming scientific evidence we would all be very rich men.

Who are the deniers here? I have seen none that deny climate is changing and that the climate has warmed since the end of the LIA.

Perhaps if you defined what constitutes a "denier" that may help.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,851
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If we all had a dime for every editorial piece written by a non-climate scientist that the deniers on here attempted to pass off as a legitimate rebuttal to overwhelming scientific evidence we would all be very rich men.

You know what's really funny about that. Every time we bring up the fact that 97% of climate scientists agree about MMGW we are adamantly told on this board that that's wrong.

If the consensus is wrong and most of those papers don't support MMGW why do we never see links to one of the 1000's of papers? :hmm:

Instead we get links like this, or the occasional Judith Curry link.

:hmm:
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,836
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Who are the deniers here? I have seen none that deny climate is changing and that the climate has warmed since the end of the LIA.

Perhaps if you defined what constitutes a "denier" that may help.

How about the guy who linked the article from Benny Peiser? (yet another quack posing as a climate scientist)

A denier is someone who does not accept the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change. Specifically, that the earth is warming due to greenhouse gasses and the majority of this warming has come from human sources.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,836
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You know what's really funny about that. Every time we bring up the fact that 97% of climate scientists agree about MMGW we are adamantly told on this board that that's wrong.

If the consensus is wrong and most of those papers don't support MMGW why do we never see links to one of the 1000's of papers? :hmm:

Instead we get links like this, or the occasional Judith Curry link.

:hmm:

Their argument is that all those people writing papers about ways to mitigate the warming effects of excess carbon dioxide in the atmosphere don't really believe in the scientific consensus on AGW, they must clearly just think that a whole shitload of extra CO2 showed up in the atmosphere by random chance. Therefore, we can't say they accept the consensus.

No really, that's their argument.
 

Greenman

Lifer
Oct 15, 1999
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Who are the deniers here? I have seen none that deny climate is changing and that the climate has warmed since the end of the LIA.

Perhaps if you defined what constitutes a "denier" that may help.

Denier is a catch all term used to describe anyone that isn't fully on the band wagon. It also serves as a useful tag so the "believers" will know who to sneer at.

Doesn't this all sound a bit familiar?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,836
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Denier is a catch all term used to describe anyone that isn't fully on the band wagon. It also serves as a useful tag so the "believers" will know who to sneer at.

Doesn't this all sound a bit familiar?

This does sound familiar, much like the creationism/evolution debate.

- Those who accept the consensus point to the result of huge amounts of scientific research.
- Those attempting to deny this research use fringe figures who frequently have no real knowledge of the science at issue and then demand those figured be accorded equal respect.
- When this isn't forthcoming they complain about how they are disrespected and persecuted for their beliefs.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
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This does sound familiar, much like the creationism/evolution debate.


NOT EVEN CLOSE! When was the last time that evolutionists attempted to cripple the American economy and impoverish the world? AGW proponents have been attempting to do exactly that for decades.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,836
49,539
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NOT EVEN CLOSE! When was the last time that evolutionists attempted to cripple the American economy and impoverish the world? AGW proponents have been attempting to do exactly that for decades.

1. Like basically everything else you say about AGW this is based on a profound ignorance of the science. As usual, you're hysterically ranting.

2. Even if your hysterical rant were true, the preferred policy of those accepting the science has literally nothing to do with whether or not the science is correct. This is basic logic.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
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If we all had a dime for every editorial piece written by a non-climate scientist that the deniers on here attempted to pass off as a legitimate rebuttal to overwhelming scientific evidence we would all be very rich men.

And still no closer to actually achieving your political objectives than you have been for the last 3 decades. And 30 years hence you'll be making the same arguments in yet another thread about global warming while you reminisce about the good old days of the widely ignored and repudiated Kyoto treaty which represents the high water mark of your achievements.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,836
49,539
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And still no closer to actually achieving your political objectives than you have been for the last 3 decades. And 30 years hence you'll be making the same arguments in yet another thread about global warming while you reminisce about the good old days of the widely ignored and repudiated Kyoto treaty which represents the high water mark of your achievements.

Nah, definitely not true. We're definitely closer to achieving our political objectives than we were 30 years ago. Thanks for your concern though!
 
Nov 30, 2006
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Can I get a definition of a "denier"? Is it someone that believes that less than 50% of global warming since the industrial age is due to AGW vs. a "believer" who thinks it's >50%? Is this the crux of the imagined divide?
 

xBiffx

Diamond Member
Aug 22, 2011
8,232
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0
This debate is starting to sound more and more like religion all the time. Creationism, believers, faith.....
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,836
49,539
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You would be priest/rabbi/cleric btw.

I know you were trying to go for that, but that's because you guys are so blinded by ideology you can't look at the facts objectively.

Only on ATPN do the people who say we should follow the overwhelming conclusions of science try to get labeled as the religious guys by the people desperately trying to deny those same scientific conclusions.

You guys are displaying all the same irrationality that comes from the creationists in the creation/evolution debate, just about a different topic. What's sad is that I'm pretty confident that you think creationists are acting foolish when they do this.
 

xBiffx

Diamond Member
Aug 22, 2011
8,232
2
0
I know you were trying to go for that, but that's because you guys are so blinded by ideology you can't look at the facts objectively.

Only on ATPN do the people who say we should follow the overwhelming conclusions of science try to get labeled as the religious guys by the people desperately trying to deny those same scientific conclusions.

You guys are displaying all the same irrationality that comes from the creationists in the creation/evolution debate, just about a different topic. What's sad is that I'm pretty confident that you think creationists are acting foolish when they do this.

/insert pot meet kettle.gif

overwhelming conclusions of science

Just listen to yourself.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
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1. Like basically everything else you say about AGW this is based on a profound ignorance of the science. As usual, you're hysterically ranting.

2. Even if your hysterical rant were true, the preferred policy of those accepting the science has literally nothing to do with whether or not the science is correct. This is basic logic.

You have the audacity to call yourself a liberal and yet you support policies that attack and impoverish America's most vunerable. From the congressional budget office....

Without accounting for how the revenues from a carbon tax would be used, such a tax would have a negative effect on the economy. The higher prices it caused would diminish the purchasing power of people’s earnings, effectively reducing their real (inflation-adjusted) wages. Lower real wages would have the net effect of reducing the amount that people worked, thus decreasing the overall supply of labor. Investment would also decline, further reducing the economy’s total output.

The costs of a carbon tax would not be evenly distributed among U.S. households. For example, the additional costs from higher prices would consume a greater share of income for low-income households than for higher-income households, because low-income households generally spend a larger percentage of their income on emission-intensive goods. Similarly, workers and investors in emission-intensive industries, who would see the largest decrease in demand for their products, would be likely to bear relatively large burdens as the economy adjusted to the tax. Finally, areas of the country where electricity is produced from coal—the most emission-intensive fossil fuel per unit of energy generated—would tend to experience larger increases in electricity prices than other areas would.
http://www.cbo.gov/publication/44223
 
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