Climate Science Is Not Settled

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norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
I follow the science very closely. We know way too little about the oceans to even be able to begin to draw any conclusions over the effect you are describing. Until we get consistent records over at least one if not 2 ocean cycles PDO/AMO we are only guessing at best.

As far as my knowledge about the technicality of climate this is probably true. Actually it is because there is so much we do not know about the natural proccesses of Earth and the Universe. But we do know that the rise in CO2 throughout history is most certainly because of humans and it is a very significant increase.
 

CLite

Golden Member
Dec 6, 2005
1,726
7
76
Yes coal is dirty, but you don't have to push the transition and risk the grid.

Nor should you crash into anything with your lightweight crumple car. Calling them safe is ridiculous.

Crumple is a good thing because energy in a crash needs to be absorbed. Of course you're a complete ignoramus with not even a basic level of understanding when it comes to engineering or physics.

For your viewing pleasure

*darn* this was already posted, didn't read whole thread.*
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FP8Idne-MRM
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,123
14,491
146
Supposedly it went into the ocean. That makes no utterly no sense at all. Anybody with basic science knowledge can see that. IF IT WENT INTO THE OCEAN WHY DIDN'T THE RATE OF OCEAN RISE ACCELERATE? Jesus Christ are you really unaware that water EXPANDS when warmed?!?!! Now that is a trick.... the heat went into the ocean and the water did not expand. Dumb as box of fucking rocks.

These climate scientists are real fucking good at explaining why their predictions miss so badly. What they aren't so good at is actually predicting anything close to reality.

that is one of the problems with that explanation for the current pause in warming. The rate of sea level rise has not changed in the last century and there are even some indications it may be slowing.

I think it is another example of how little we understand climate and how much more work there is yet to do.

What? You mean this thermal expansion?

originally posted by:NASA

http://m.earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/OceanCooling/page5.php

Rising sea level is one of the most serious consequences of global warming. In the past 50 years, sea level rose about 1.8 (plus or minus 0.3) millimeters a year. Satellite observations since 1993 indicate the pace has accelerated to about 3 millimeters per year. What’s driving the acceleration? How much and how fast will sea level rise in the future? In trying to answer these questions, scientists repeatedly tried to balance the sea level budget, and they repeatedly came up short.



Underestimating ocean warming
“Susan Wijffels and her colleagues from here at CSIRO, along with Josh Willis, provided a way to correct the XBT data, and so we took those corrections and made the first revised estimates of sea level rise due to ocean warming for the period 1961 to 2003. What we found was that ocean heating was larger than scientists previously thought, and so the contribution of thermal expansion to sea level rise was actually 50 percent larger than previous estimates.”
It seems that the main reason the sea level budget between 1961 and 2003 would not add up before is that scientists were underestimating just how much warming and expanding the ocean was experiencing. But what about more recent changes in sea level?

Keep appealing to ignorance guys, if it makes you feel better.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
And as I already asked, what action? All the same questions I asked Norse apply. I'm all for taking action, but no one has ever said what that action is. Reducing CO2 emissions isn't a plan, it's a response. It's like your doctor telling you have a terminal illness and you ask what to do, and he responds with "try to live longer".

So what's the plan? What specifically are the steps to reversing climate change? Do we need to build ten thousand nuclear power plants and build a damn on every river on earth? Is solar energy the answer, and can we produce enough of it to matter?

I don't know what "action" means in this circumstance. Running in circles with our hands in the air may be emotionally rewarding, but it's not going to help.

Why give a lot of money and power to bureaucrats of course. You know, the same ones that manage healthcare, the economy, public schools, govt contracts\projects, and war so well. Dont worry, I'm sure they will get this one right.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
85,651
50,912
136
Why give a lot of money and power to bureaucrats of course. You know, the same ones that manage healthcare, the economy, public schools, govt contracts\projects, and war so well. Dont worry, I'm sure they will get this one right.

Or we could always implement a cap and trade system, you know, the same kind that was implemented by a Republican administration as a free market way to control acid rain causing emissions. It worked out really well.

Now apparently it's communism or something.
 

WackyDan

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2004
4,794
68
91
His uncertainty is ridiculous. He is basically arguing that because the damage could be anywhere from really bad to utterly catastrophic that we should not act. There is no non-terrible band in his uncertainty. Therefore the way forward is clear.

This is simply another step in the steady retreat of climate denialists. In and of itself this is a good step forward though.

Al Gore claimed in 2007 we'd have no polar ice at all this year and yet we actually have more ice. Enter the picture of the polar bear and her cub "adrift" on a mini-iceberg, etc.

That is the kind of alarmist (and false) bullshit that isn't needed in the climate debate.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
Al Gore claimed in 2007 we'd have no polar ice at all this year and yet we actually have more ice. Enter the picture of the polar bear and her cub "adrift" on a mini-iceberg, etc. That is the kind of alarmist (and false) bullshit that isn't needed in the climate debate.

Because obviously there is no lack of summer sea ice in the arctic right now.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
34,019
8,056
136
What is the way forward? I haven't seen or heard of any plan.

sigh ...

Lower emissions?

By a miniscule amount that changes nothing? Your position makes that seem as ridiculous as doing nothing. After all, you're saving the world. You've got to stop at nothing. My position is for moderate action, and research into alternatives. Because I do not think the effects of CO2 have been proven to be as bad as short term speculation would claim.

I think we have time to do things reasonably, and not attack our own industry / economy. That means CO2 will easily reach 600ppm, likely go over 1,000ppm before we have the means to quit major emissions of it.

So when you say you've got a plan to "lower emissions", you may want to spell out how it's going to go faster and avoid those milestones without major damage to our economy.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
By a miniscule amount that changes nothing? Your position makes that seem as ridiculous as doing nothing. After all, you're saving the world. You've got to stop at nothing. My position is for moderate action, and research into alternatives. Because I do not think the effects of CO2 have been proven to be as bad as short term speculation would claim. I think we have time to do things reasonably, and not attack our own industry / economy. That means CO2 will easily reach 600ppm, likely go over 1,000ppm before we have the means to quit major emissions of it. So when you say you've got a plan to "lower emissions", you may want to spell out how it's going to go faster and avoid those milestones without major damage to our economy.

There are ways to dramatically lower emissions while not breaking our overall economy. You are ignorantly ignoring that specific business interests value the revenue of their specific economies over the general economy.
 

WackyDan

Diamond Member
Jan 26, 2004
4,794
68
91
Because obviously there is no lack of summer sea ice in the arctic right now.

It is there... http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

It isn't all gone. It isn't as much as it used to average, and it rebounded from 2011-2012 levels during the same period, but the Antarctic sea ice is setting record levels.

It isn't all doom and gloom, so spare me the sarcastic snips.

I'm certainly of the opinion that man influences changes in the environment and climate. I'm just not subscribing to the religion of climate change and the prevailing "sky is falling" attitude by those who seek to gain from what they can turn into a crisis - Hence my Gore reference.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
34,019
8,056
136
There are ways to dramatically lower emissions while not breaking our overall economy. You are ignorantly ignoring that specific business interests value the revenue of their specific economies over the general economy.

Would one of those be natural gas? By the time it has replaced coal entirely, our increased energy use / population growth will make up the difference. No matter how you slice it, our emissions are still "dangerous". There is no plan out there which "saves the world" and leave our economy intact. Humans = CO2 emissions and it will be that way for at least another hundred years.

Thorium reactors and large solar plants need to cover the nation before we find meaningful reductions.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
It isn't all gone. It isn't as much as it used to average, and it rebounded from 2011-2012 levels during the same period, but the Antarctic sea ice is setting record levels.

And what is the current data on Antarctic glacial ice?
 

Paul98

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2010
3,732
199
106
Supposedly it went into the ocean. That makes no utterly no sense at all. Anybody with basic science knowledge can see that. IF IT WENT INTO THE OCEAN WHY DIDN'T THE RATE OF OCEAN RISE ACCELERATE? Jesus Christ are you really unaware that water EXPANDS when warmed?!?!! Now that is a trick.... the heat went into the ocean and the water did not expand. Dumb as box of fucking rocks.

These climate scientists are real fucking good at explaining why their predictions miss so badly. What they aren't so good at is actually predicting anything close to reality.

The amount of change in energy going into the ocean is very small. Any noise and other changes such as low solar activity will have no problem making it so you are unable to see any change.

We do see global sea level rise accelerating in the long term.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
Would one of those be natural gas?

In the short term.

Thorium reactors and large solar plants need to cover the nation before we find meaningful reductions.

Solar requires large areas for huge amounts of power at the current level of technology so there is probably going to be only moderate construction of solar power infrastructure not counting dual use areas like solar roads and rooftops plus solar panels for individual cars and buldings and such. Wind power is probably going to see more adoption as basic power infrastructure but that also only provides so much power and the generation of such power is variable by the hour. Much of this can be managed with improved power infrastructure and technology but there is still a limit on how much power solar and wind infrastructure will provide. The goal in the long term is to transition to fusion power but until then we will need to rely on thorium and generation 3 and 4 nuclear power plants along with other possible power technologies like wave and tidal power infrastructure.
 

Matt1970

Lifer
Mar 19, 2007
12,320
3
0
Al Gore claimed in 2007 we'd have no polar ice at all this year and yet we actually have more ice. Enter the picture of the polar bear and her cub "adrift" on a mini-iceberg, etc.

That is the kind of alarmist (and false) bullshit that isn't needed in the climate debate.

Exactly. I can't think of anything that will make nonbelievers quicker than that.
 

Greenman

Lifer
Oct 15, 1999
20,944
5,569
136
How about we reduce CO2 in the air by reducing long term demand for fossil fuels by reducing the global population. The ethical way to reduce global population is to increase the third worlds standard of living. First world standards of living cause negative population growth.

So we take a shorter term environmental hit to increase the power available to third world. We try and use solar, wind and nuclear instead of coal and oil to offset CO2. Even natural gas would be better than coal.

If we were smart we could sell the third world US solar panels, GE wind turbines, Westinghouse advanced nuclear reactors and US natural gas, (yay business).

Further research can give a us narrower band of changes we'll have to adapt to while we try and get the population to peak.

How's that for a start?

That's actually a very good start. The basic concepts are sound and population reduction is a necessary element in the long term planetary clean up.
The only issue I see is that it's going to require that the US rule the rest of the world, and I don't think we can beat all of them.
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
silence

Pronunciation


  • IPA(key): /ˈsaɪləns/
Etymology

From Old French silence.
Noun

silence (usually uncountable, plural silences)

  1. The lack of any sound. When the motor stopped, the silence was almost deafening.
  2. The act of refraining from speaking.  [quotations ▼]"You have the right to silence," said the police officer.
  3. Form of meditative worship practiced by the Society of Friends (Quakers); meeting for worship. During silence a message came to me that there was that of God in every person.
 
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