You could be more clear with what you saying. It is sarcasm or it isn't. I don't even know anymore lol.
Does anybody actually believe my hypothesis? Sure, I bet if I scoured the scientific literature for say tree ring growth in Asia, around the time of plague outbreaks, is such data even exists, I could maybe find one or two places where there could be a connection, but what would cause me to think of doing that first. As we should well be aware, when a scientific hypothesis is made, it isn't invented out of the air. Some scientific question has to arise that causes science to postulate a possible link. What in Gods name would make me wonder if Gerbils in Asia would have anything to do with the Black Plague?
But I am convinced now that gerbils caused the Arab Spring.
Again from the abstract. 2-3 times more likely from evidence in the article. This isn't idle speculation or back-of-the-napkin estimates. You can dive into their method if you want to, again the article is there. Its funny how you accuse them of speculation when you are doing just that.
Ok, the scientific theory is 2-3 times more likely. Is that theory falsifiable? How many assumptions does it make? Are those assumptions falsifiable?
Ok, the scientific theory is 2-3 times more likely. Is that theory falsifiable? How many assumptions does it make? Are those assumptions falsifiable?
You haven't looked or you only read sensational headlines. There have been impact studies that show benefits to global warming. Particularly the midwest in the US. Agriculture worldwide will benefit.
Several independent studies in recent years have predicted that the American Southwest and central Great Plains will experience extensive droughts in the second half of this century, and that advancing climate change will exacerbate those droughts. But a new analysis released today says the drying will be even more extreme than previously predicted
Um not really. Disaster for America too.... These twits are always the same..... their predictions are ALWAYS worse than previously thought. So while we aren't having the droughts now because of global warming, they are right around the corner. Oh my fucking god, we are all gonna die!!
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/u-s-droughts-will-be-the-worst-in-1-000-years1/
Someone once said it's no longer about right vs left... it's about smart vs stupid.
Not really, Brad.
We should have given them jobs so they could control climate global warming change and we would have peace on earth!
The article clearly states that one of the causes of the Syrian War was global warming. That may be "common sense" in your world, but it's pure insanity in mine.
Like I said, deniers are so nuts about this issue they are no longer able to look at common sense arguments rationally. Look to Subyman's post above for details.
What if we made the world a better place for no reason? Right?
because making the world a 'better place' is free?
You could be more clear with what you saying. It is sarcasm or it isn't. I don't even know anymore lol.
This is the eskimospy world. If the fear mongering supports his POV, its ok. If it doesnt then the whole argument is invalid.
Funny you should say that! The Dust Bowl was caused by man. Particularly, clear cutting the vast forests and deep rooted grasses of the central US and poorly implementing agriculture.
I think you need to read the article to see how they correlated the drought to warming, they have their logical process in their report if you really want to understand. Global warming doesn't equal drought everywhere. It depends on the region and how warming affects the weather in each region. You need to be a phd to properly make conclusions in that regard. You could do a literature search and find more information.
My intention is to transmit, if possible, my assumption that we are motivated by assumptions we are unaware that we have. One way I sometimes try to do this is by mirroring the behaviors of people that are unaware of this, as I call it, fact. How we see the world is dependent on our understanding of how it works. Primitive man anthropomorphized the world attributing to it human feelings. Science came late to the game.
I took a real scientific theory, regarding the origin of the plague and made it sound ridiculous, as it does to folk without understanding by suggesting I invented out of thin air, just as those who do not understand how scientific theories originate and thus can't follow the reasoning. I wanted to show their stupidity by mirroring it, as if such a ridiculous idea could only be made up.
This is how the mind that is ignorant works. It can't see what people with deep study in a field can see. They do not have the knowledge base from which to make such connections. The gerbil thingi arose because scientists can't explain why the plague comes in cycles without some natural continuous reservoir of plague bacteria present in European mammals so they went out looking for some natural source. From there connections lead to burst and bust population cycles and what causes them, warm wet weather in the case of Asian Gerbils. The same kind of thinking goes into the Syrian thingi.
Understanding science requires a mind that is scientifically trained. Otherwise all one sees is Black Magic. Scientific thinking is a form of cognitive reasoning, the unconscious driver behind which is curiosity. It is a natural human thurst, that still kills a lot of cat children. Once bitten by unpleasant experiences with knowing, twice shy about the acquisition of new information. Sort of like being math phobic, maybe.
Not really, Brad.
My intention is to transmit, if possible, my assumption that we are motivated by assumptions we are unaware that we have. One way I sometimes try to do this is by mirroring the behaviors of people that are unaware of this, as I call it, fact. How we see the world is dependent on our understanding of how it works. Primitive man anthropomorphized the world attributing to it human feelings. Science came late to the game.
I took a real scientific theory, regarding the origin of the plague and made it sound ridiculous, as it does to folk without understanding by suggesting I invented out of thin air, just as those who do not understand how scientific theories originate and thus can't follow the reasoning. I wanted to show their stupidity by mirroring it, as if such a ridiculous idea could only be made up.
This is how the mind that is ignorant works. It can't see what people with deep study in a field can see. They do not have the knowledge base from which to make such connections. The gerbil thingi arose because scientists can't explain why the plague comes in cycles without some natural continuous reservoir of plague bacteria present in European mammals so they went out looking for some natural source. From there connections lead to burst and bust population cycles and what causes them, warm wet weather in the case of Asian Gerbils. The same kind of thinking goes into the Syrian thingi.
Understanding science requires a mind that is scientifically trained. Otherwise all one sees is Black Magic. Scientific thinking is a form of cognitive reasoning, the unconscious driver behind which is curiosity. It is a natural human thurst, that still kills a lot of cat children. Once bitten by unpleasant experiences with knowing, twice shy about the acquisition of new information. Sort of like being math phobic, maybe.
Lighten up, Francis. I figured it was pronounced like "reality" but after posting "not really" and seeing it next to your name I just had to edit it.So, it was a terrible pun you made. Reali is commonly mistaken for a misspelling of Really. The correct way to say Reali is exampled here.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aUbRzTNstvU
Most of Moonbeam's posts are completely rational. Typically, and I'm not saying this is the case with you, people that think a post by Moonbeam is babble either don't understand it because it is over their head and don't want to take the time to understand it, or they just don't like the message.See, this is what is annoying about you. Much of what I see you post is babble. Then, you go and post something like this. Completely coherent and rational. If I could talk to this person, I feel I could have some deep enjoyable discussions.