Climate Scientists Have Discovered Cause of Syrian War - Guess what it is

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Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
The shear magnitude of brainwashing on this issue is amazing.

Religion or climate science?

If you meant religion, I agree. They have centuries of brainwashing experience under their belts and seeing the amount of people that still believe in religion, they are doing a pretty good job at it.
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,128
5,657
126
There was nothing wrong with what was said. Whether Syria's drought has been caused by GW or not is another issue. However, CC will destabilize regions by bringing differing weather patterns to them that they have not adapted to. In some cases it could trigger various hardships, even War. Other regions, especially in the Industrial World will better adapt, but will still experience Economic impacts at least.
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
Lighten up, Francis. I figured it was pronounced like "reality" but after posting "not really" and seeing it next to your name I just had to edit it.

Most of Moonbeam's posts are completely rational. Typically, and I'm not saying this is the case with you, people that think a post by Moonbeam is babble either don't understand it because it is over their head and don't want to take the time to understand it, or they just don't like the message.

For example, everything he just explained was completely apparent to me from his first post. Now, even though that last post was completely clear to you, there are many people reading it that still think it looks like babble.

The pun thing was empirical. I was not offended.

As for moonie, he does come out with rational thoughts and sometimes makes good points. I suppose I have not seen enough of his posts. I do remember going back and forth on objective morality, and from what I remember, that was not his best work.

I think where he gets lost to me, is when he gets into the spiritual stuff. He ends up sounding like a Deepak Chopra fan.
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
I am not a climate change denier. The climate will always change and has always changed. I am denier that human influences on the climate are having some catastrophic impact that we will not be able to handle easily.


Do you deny it because you have data to show that your position is logical, or do you feel there is not a way that humans could change climate?
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,574
7,636
136
Huh? This is what comes from reading too much Steven Goddard.

Climate change makes droughts more likely and it makes them more likely to be more severe. That in no way means we couldn't or didn't have severe droughts in the past, and it doesn't mean that droughts that happen today are entirely caused by climate change or anything like that.

It's sad that you're trying to paint scientists as propagandists, especially because the reason you're doing so is that you've fallen victim to climate denial propaganda.

Propaganda, like Hurricane Katrina's real name is Global Warming.

Weather equals climate any time it suits their purposes. That's why I'm disgusted at the "link" with Syria. The connection is simply nonexistent. They already try to pull this !@#$ with the United States weather, regardless of the cold hard facts. Hurricane impacts, tornado counts, drought severity... the "extreme weather" meme simply doesn't hold up.

When I present how mild US droughts have been, you run away. Too busy attacking Goddard to admit government data does not support you.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,797
49,474
136
Propaganda, like Hurricane Katrina's real name is Global Warming.

Weather equals climate any time it suits their purposes. That's why I'm disgusted at the "link" with Syria. The connection is simply nonexistent. They already try to pull this !@#$ with the United States weather, regardless of the cold hard facts. Hurricane impacts, tornado counts, drought severity... the "extreme weather" meme simply doesn't hold up.

When I present how mild US droughts have been, you run away. Too busy attacking Goddard to admit government data does not support you.

You've done nothing of the sort and your chart doesn't provide any such analysis that would do that. Where are your controls? Where's the regression line? What are your confidence intervals? Etc, etc, etc. You were duped by yet another chart from a guy who has been repeatedly busted for lying to his readers about climate change science.

As for the connection to Syria being nonexistant that's just nonsense. It is not a certain connection, but the case the paper makes is a reasonable one. What you should be disgusted with is the anti-science community's attempt to keep feeding you propaganda.
 

nyker96

Diamond Member
Apr 19, 2005
5,630
2
81
I think you misunderstood this article OP, these guys are saying not global warming but the shortages of food due partly, only partly, to global warming influences is the cause of warm/famine/civilization instability in a region.

so in other words if you put a lot of people in an area with little food, the civilization created will be less stable. weather this shortage of food is due to global warming or not.

obviously these results are just correlation studies, I won't put too much trust into these personally. However to say all GW scientists work are unscientific as a whole because of these few people is quite unfair.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,797
49,474
136
Well I mean what would you measure other than correlations?

A vast portion of scientific research is all correlations.
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
Well I mean what would you measure other than correlations?

A vast portion of scientific research is all correlations.

Yep. Ex Post explanations can help to make Ex Ante predictions. I think there is a problem with the way most people now use correlations though. Many think that observations about correlations may mean they understand what is happening. Often, Ex Post explanations about correlations can be wrong, and in science that is fine. Many feel that changing your stance means you don't have credibility. Science is not a method that gives you perfect answers. Its a method that is most efficient at getting answers, vs every other method we have so far.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,797
49,474
136
Yep. Ex Post explanations can help to make Ex Ante predictions. I think there is a problem with the way most people now use correlations though. Many think that observations about correlations may mean they understand what is happening. Often, Ex Post explanations about correlations can be wrong, and in science that is fine. Many feel that changing your stance means you don't have credibility. Science is not a method that gives you perfect answers. Its a method that is most efficient at getting answers, vs every other method we have so far.

Most certainly. While 'correlation does not mean causation' is completely true, that doesn't mean that you can't understand causation by using correlations. For example we know that smoking causes cancer because it is insanely highly correlated with it. Technically, it's just a correlation, but I doubt many would want to argue that smoking doesn't cause cancer.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
obviously these results are just correlation studies, I won't put too much trust into these personally. However to say all GW scientists work are unscientific as a whole because of these few people is quite unfair.

The thing that is disturbing is the endless correlation studies which are performed on every bad event in the world to see it they can be linked to global warming. On the other hand, not a single correlation study is done on good events to see if they can be linked to global warming. From where I am sitting, that is an not pure science but an attempt to push a poilitical agenda. Objective science would evaluate BOTH the good and the bad. For example, there is ample evidence that the planet is greening rapidly because of the increased CO2 in the atmosphere, the only scientists who appear interested in this are in the anti-MMGW crowd..... why is that?
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
The thing that is disturbing is the endless correlation studies which are performed on every bad event in the world to see it they can be linked to global warming. On the other hand, not a single correlation study is done on good events to see if they can be linked to global warming. From where I am sitting, that is an not pure science but an attempt to push a poilitical agenda. Objective science would evaluate BOTH the good and the bad. For example, there is ample evidence that the planet is greening rapidly because of the increased CO2 in the atmosphere, the only scientists who appear interested in this are in the anti-MMGW crowd..... why is that?

There will be some good effects sure. By your own admission, you want to know the net effect. From the details that I have seen, the net effect is not positive.

More CO2 is good for plants which is nice. More CO2 dissolved in the oceans causes negative effects on calcifying species. The planet works off of a very complex eco system. That system is far beyond our ability to understand currently. Breaking a link in that system could have very negative effects.

So while plants may benefit, ocean life may suffer. Turns out, a lot of people eat animals from the ocean.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,693
6,195
126
The thing that is disturbing is the endless correlation studies which are performed on every bad event in the world to see it they can be linked to global warming. On the other hand, not a single correlation study is done on good events to see if they can be linked to global warming. From where I am sitting, that is an not pure science but an attempt to push a poilitical agenda. Objective science would evaluate BOTH the good and the bad. For example, there is ample evidence that the planet is greening rapidly because of the increased CO2 in the atmosphere, the only scientists who appear interested in this are in the anti-MMGW crowd..... why is that?

Maybe because the deaths of billions of people would be good for fungus growth.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
Maybe because the deaths of billions of people would be good for fungus growth.

It may come as a shock to you but every single person alive on the planet today is going to die, every last one, whether there is global warming or not will not change that basic fact a bit. If you are going to argue, you should argue on quality of life, sustainability, etc....

I do thank you for the nice easy lob right over the plate, it was my pleasure to knock it out of the park.... lol!
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
Good thing OP is not in any position of importance or authority when it comes to world concerns.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,797
49,474
136
It may come as a shock to you but every single person alive on the planet today is going to die, every last one, whether there is global warming or not will not change that basic fact a bit. If you are going to argue, you should argue on quality of life, sustainability, etc....

I do thank you for the nice easy lob right over the plate, it was my pleasure to knock it out of the park.... lol!

Today I learned that the death count from every battle in history was zero because everyone was going to die someday anyway.

/facepalm
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
Today I learned that the death count from every battle in history was zero because everyone was going to die someday anyway.

/facepalm

Good grief eski, you really believe Moon when he says that BILLIONS will die because of global warming? Is there a scientific basis for that claim? Is it testable? What is the difference between that and the nutter with the sign on the street crying end of days?
 

michal1980

Diamond Member
Mar 7, 2003
8,019
43
91
Good grief eski, you really believe Moon when he says that BILLIONS will die because of global warming? Is there a scientific basis for that claim? Is it testable? What is the difference between that and the nutter with the sign on the street crying end of days?

He believes in global climate change. All fear mongering is justified when you have that belief.
 

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
35,590
29,297
136
Good grief eski, you really believe Moon when he says that BILLIONS will die because of global warming? Is there a scientific basis for that claim? Is it testable? What is the difference between that and the nutter with the sign on the street crying end of days?

That isn't what he said. He was making the point that billions of human deaths would be good for fungus growth but that doesn't make things "even out."
 

norseamd

Lifer
Dec 13, 2013
13,990
180
106
You can yell all the bullshit you want but that does not override that fact that your diatribe is based off your ignorant need to proclaim everything as true to how you want to think instead of what is existence. As far as the pros and cons of a warm environment I for one am actually one who would love to live in such a tropical environment but I know that huge climate shift has huge potential catastrophic potential. Also related to this is the fact that since humanity has introduced so many invasive species we now try to prevent any major retraction or expansion of species around the world when historically that is now how life has survived the eons.
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,693
6,195
126
That isn't what he said. He was making the point that billions of human deaths would be good for fungus growth but that doesn't make things "even out."

Indeed, I took this nonsense that man made climate change is a made up hysteria on the left designed to use fear of billions of deaths to push a political agenda as something also that has a bright side he's not looking at. In short, the point he made is idiotic, and when I made the same case back to him, he saw the soft ball he lobbed. Of course, it never occurred to me that everybody is going to die. But now that I think about it, maybe, if so, we should make life while we have it as good as we can. Silly me. I think I'm going to go back and worry about the government stealing from me and calling it taxes. After all, I'm going to die and I want to be the richest man in the cemetery.

What the fuck is the meaning of life again? I get so confused.
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
Indeed, I took this nonsense that man made climate change is a made up hysteria on the left designed to use fear of billions of deaths to push a political agenda as something also that has a bright side he's not looking at. In short, the point he made is idiotic, and when I made the same case back to him, he saw the soft ball he lobbed. Of course, it never occurred to me that everybody is going to die. But now that I think about it, maybe, if so, we should make life while we have it as good as we can. Silly me. I think I'm going to go back and worry about the government stealing from me and calling it taxes. After all, I'm going to die and I want to be the richest man in the cemetery.

What the fuck is the meaning of life again? I get so confused.

There is not a meaning to life. Life happened and we are lucky to be around.
 
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