Originally posted by: brikis98
As I read through Michael Pollan's
In Defense of Food, I'm definitely starting to look at these sorts of studies from a different perspective and I really have to question the conclusions being drawn from them.
First, does anyone else think that an average weight loss of 9lbs after
two years is... kind of low? Consider the fact that participants were supposedly on a ~750 daily caloric deficit for
two years. Do the math. That should have amounted to ~150lbs of fat loss (3500 calories per pound of fat) after 730 days. And that's not counting the fact that "participants were asked to do 90 minutes of moderate exercise each week" which should have increased the caloric deficit even more. The fact that the weight loss was no where near the amount predicted by "calories in vs. calories out" is an indication that (a) the majority of the participants did not maintain their assigned caloric intake and that (b) "calories in vs. calories out" is not as simple as it sounds. It's also worth noting that "individual counseling was provided every eight weeks over two years and group sessions were held three out of four weeks during the first six months and two out of four weeks from six months to two years." This is a far cry from the kind of support an average American would get while struggling to lose weight, so in the real world, you'd expect the average weight loss to be even less. Given that one third of Americans are
obese, it seems to me that 9lbs won't make enough of a difference to make "calorie restriction" the national policy. It's also tough to decide how much of the results were a result of the recommendation that "the diets followed heart-healthy principles, replacing saturated with unsaturated fat and were high in whole cereal grains, fruits and vegetables". If participants not only changed
how much they ate, but also
what they ate and how much they exercised, then it seems like we have too many variables to conclude that calorie intake is the one that really matters.
Finally, it's also a bit odd that low carb diets were actually left out of the study, even though CNN mentions "low carb" in the article's title. The study defined "low fat" as 20% fat and "high fat" as 40% fat. Since the
lowest percentage of carbs in any of the 4 groups was 35% (the other groups had 45%, 55%, and 65%), then at best, we had one "moderate carb" group and a whole bunch of "high carb" groups. Since low carb and ketogenic diets are the primary "fad diets" these days, why on earth would they leave them out of the study?