Coffee Lake -- Yea or Nay?

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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,831
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On what do you base that cache claim? I don't think there's evidence either way.

Die size. Isn't it 140ish vs 120 or so for the Kaby Quad? The dual is like 90 something. Plus it makes sense with the L3/core cut on Skylake Server which is pretty much confirmed.
 

RaistlinZ

Diamond Member
Oct 15, 2001
7,629
10
91
Nay. My Broadwell-E setup should last me until 2019. The only thing I may upgrade is my GPU, and my SSD to an NVMe drive.
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
21,797
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6c/12t mainstream chips could be interesting. I'm more interested in seeing whether or not Intel is serious about supporting their k-chips on non-HEDT in the future. If Coffee Lake doesn't bring a 6c/12t k-class chip to the mainstream then Intel may be making a very serious mistake.
 

deasd

Senior member
Dec 31, 2013
553
867
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There's no official leak about CFL being hexa-core, except a site named PCWatch's own speculation due to what they 'heard'.
 

RussianSensation

Elite Member
Sep 5, 2003
19,458
765
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6700K will last until the end of this console generation. Assuming PS5/XB2 are slated for 2019-2020, I would want Ice Lake/X or it's refresh. Coffee Lake's architecture will be 2.5-3 years old by the time it launches. It will fall into no man's land territory on the desktop side with new Ice Lake architecture not far away at that point. The biggest IPC leaps for Intel will now happen on a 3-year cadence. To get ready for 2020-2025 next gen console ports, I'd want the most modern architecture which won't be Coffee Lake. I feel that having Coffee Lake on the mobile side will be more popular.

I actually have a feeling that based on how much slower Intel will update new architectures, 6700K users could even skip Ice Lake and wait for "Ice Lake 2" 2021's architecture. I went from Sandy to Skylake which is a 2 generation architectural jump (Sandy -> (1) Haswell -> (2) Skylake. The "same" jump should now take ~ 6 years since Intel moved away from Tick-Tock.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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There's no official leak about CFL being hexa-core, except a site named PCWatch's own speculation due to what they 'heard'.

*sigh*





i got an interesting whatsapp message today:
CFL-62 design "tape-in" last week (a term i'm not familiar with, i know of "tape-out", but not "tape-in"), first desktop cpu with 6 cores, uses KBL architecture. product due 2018.

http://www.portvapes.co.uk/?id=Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps&exid=thread...icroarchitecture.2489451/page-2#post-38580224
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
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6700K will last until the end of this console generation.

Yup.

Assuming PS5/XB2 are slated for 2019-2020, I would want Ice Lake/X or it's refresh. Coffee Lake's architecture will be 2.5-3 years old by the time it launches. It will fall into no man's land territory on the desktop side with new Ice Lake architecture not far away at that point.

Six cores + high frequencies (due to 14nm++ process) should still make it formidable. It will gain bonus points if it's drop-in compatible in Z170 boards.

I actually have a feeling that based on how much slower Intel will update new architectures, 6700K users could even skip Ice Lake and wait for "Ice Lake 2" 2021's architecture. I went from Sandy to Skylake which is a 2 generation architectural jump (Sandy -> (1) Haswell -> (2) Skylake. The "same" jump should now take ~ 6 years since Intel moved away from Tick-Tock.

I think Intel is going to start banking more on process technology/circuit implementation improvements to wring out frequency improvements going forward. The performance equation is always IPC * frequency. Throwing in more cores for marketing reasons (and maybe someday actual performance reasons) is also clearly on the agenda.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,831
5,444
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Throwing in more cores for marketing reasons (and maybe someday actual performance reasons) is also clearly on the agenda.

Honestly the real reason they are doing Coffee Lake is because they want to have something new but didn't want to spend the $$$ to get the 10 nm fab capacity needed. Plus to burn some more 14 nm wafers.

I imagine you'd be better off with 6 core Skylake-X than Coffee Lake.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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Honestly the real reason they are doing Coffee Lake is because they want to have something new but didn't want to spend the $$$ to get the 10 nm fab capacity needed. Plus to burn some more 14 nm wafers.

That explanation makes no sense. It's more likely that 10nm yields, especially for high perf/high frequency CPUs are still in the toilet. Look at the teething issues 6700K had versus a mature 22nm 4790K...big clock regression that was compensated for by IPC.
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
I actually have a feeling that based on how much slower Intel will update new architectures, 6700K users could even skip Ice Lake and wait for "Ice Lake 2" 2021's architecture. I went from Sandy to Skylake which is a 2 generation architectural jump (Sandy -> (1) Haswell -> (2) Skylake. The "same" jump should now take ~ 6 years since Intel moved away from Tick-Tock.

Hate to break it to you guys but it'll take way longer.

According to that leak below RS's post, it says CFL parts are "BTS '18". Back to School 2018. My guess is Computex 2018 announcement, availability of S parts at places like Newegg to buy on July, and Notebooks based on it at August/September. Benchlife was claiming Feb/Mar, and the more colorful roadmaps puts it at early Q2. Means that the announcement and availability is delayed.

So a "half generation" is taking 18 months or longer now. Let's assume Cannonlake is not delayed for simplicity.

This is what I assume will happen if plans don't change.
Kabylake - Q4 2016
Coffeelake - Q2/Q3 2018
Cannonlake - Q4 2017

I assume since Cannonlake is the first 10nm part available on low power parts, and higher end Coffelake is significantly later, they'll go straight from Cannonlake to Icelake rather than creating further delays for the large core parts.

Perhaps it won't need to take 18 months, rather 15 months. Which means:
Icelake for low power and high performance - Spring 2019

Assuming everyone will suddenly get back to 24 months cadence for process is pure fantasy. It'll get harder and harder. But lets give them the benefit of the doubt and assume it doesn't get slower.

Successor to Icelake - Summer 2020
7nm successor - Fall 2021
7nm architectural refresh - Winter 2022

Of course, I wouldn't be surprised at all if its Summer 2020 --> Holiday 2021 --> BTS 2023. I mean Kabylake is staying for almost 20 months!

The big if is what they mean by white dots on the process roadmap for 10nm. Will the staggered introductions be such that we'll see 10nm cores introduced well into the 7 nm cycle? Like we might see 2nd "half gen" of 7nm alongside 5th "half gen" of 10nm?
 
Mar 10, 2006
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The big if is what they mean by white dots on the process roadmap for 10nm. Will the staggered introductions be such that we'll see 10nm cores introduced well into the 7 nm cycle? Like we might see 2nd "half gen" of 7nm alongside 5th "half gen" of 10nm?

You should notice carefully what Intel is doing.

Intel clearly doesn't have confidence in its ability to ramp to mature yields in a reasonable time-frame for the "shrink" nodes. So what Intel is doing is constantly improving the current nodes so that they offer performance/power benefits (the improvements made in 14nm+ for example are not trivial and certainly not the types of improvements you'd get just from process maturity) while it works on the "shrink" nodes.

For products that don't need to be moved to the shrunken nodes, Intel's strategy seems to be to keep them on the larger geometry nodes (with improved transistor performance) until the next shrunken node becomes economical. That way, Intel keeps a large portion of its volumes on mfg tech that yields well and has a good cost structure, eating poor yields only on products that absolutely need the new nodes.

So, long story short, Intel will be pumping out 10nm++ parts probably alongside 7nm parts.
 

NTMBK

Lifer
Nov 14, 2011
10,269
5,134
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I just realised the ideal target for 6 core Coffee Lake- iMacs. Coffee Lake plus a Vega GPU will probably be faster than the current Mac Pro.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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I just realised the ideal target for 6 core Coffee Lake- iMacs. Coffee Lake plus a Vega GPU will probably be faster than the current Mac Pro.

iMac, other premium all-in-one systems, MacBook Pro, mobile workstations, mobile gaming PCs, etc.

A lot of segments that are performance sensitive could use (or at least earn marketing brownie points from) those two extra cores.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,831
5,444
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For products that don't need to be moved to the shrunken nodes, Intel's strategy seems to be to keep them on the larger geometry nodes (with improved transistor performance) until the next shrunken node becomes economical.

I'm sure doing more 14 nm products in general will save them money. Remember Intel said they were cutting back on PC R&D and they did lay off 10% of their workforce. Intel is clearly in cutting mode.
 

jihe

Senior member
Nov 6, 2009
747
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HEDT has a price floor. It's a big expensive platform with quad channel memory, tons of PCIe lanes, and support for multi-socket systems (even if this is disabled in consumer parts). All of this adds transistors on the CPU, and complexity to the motherboard. They can't get the price as low as if they made a dedicated 6 core consumer chip.

Anyway, the big win will be in laptops. 6 core Macbook Pro, anyone?
Mobile is all about efficiency. A 6 core will have the same perf as a quad or even dual when everything is limited by TDP.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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Mobile is all about efficiency. A 6 core will have the same perf as a quad or even dual when everything is limited by TDP.

Ah yes, that's why laptop makers only use single core CPUs, since adding more cores doesn't improve multi-threaded performance at all.

Seriously, quad core notebook CPUs perform a lot better than dual core ones in the same TDP, especially since these CPUs have sophisticated turbo implementations.
 

Dave2150

Senior member
Jan 20, 2015
639
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(the improvements made in 14nm+ for example are not trivial and certainly not the types of improvements you'd get just from process maturity)

Please post your source for this information. All we've seen so far is that the 7700k's baseclock is 200Mhz higher than the 6700k. The turbo is 300Mhz higher. This is not excting, since every Skylake CPU ever made can clock to these speeds.

I've seen some rumours that the 7700k can clock to 5.1Ghz on air etc, though we all saw the same nonsense rumours about the 6700k before release also.

So, please post your source showing the 'non trivial' gains from 14nm+.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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Please post your source for this information. All we've seen so far is that the 7700k's baseclock is 200Mhz higher than the 6700k. The turbo is 300Mhz higher. This is not excting, since every Skylake CPU ever made can clock to these speeds.

I've seen some rumours that the 7700k can clock to 5.1Ghz on air etc, though we all saw the same nonsense rumours about the 6700k before release also.

So, please post your source showing the 'non trivial' gains from 14nm+.

With 14nm+, Intel changed the fin height (made the fins taller, which improves drive current) and made some other materials changes ("improved transistor channel strain"):



Intel made no such changes during the lifetime of 22nm.

Anyway, Kaby Lake is already out for notebooks and reviewers showing big performance gains at a given power consumption thanks to the new transistors (since top frequency is higher and the more efficient transistors mean that the chips can stay at higher frequencies for longer).

https://www.pcper.com/reviews/Processors/Intel-Kaby-Lake-Performance-Surprising-Jump-over-Skylake

What started a simple pet project to get comparable Kaby Lake and Skylake systems in house quickly became a riveting dive into the performance advantages of Intel’s newest architecture. I did not expect the gap between these two most recently platforms to be as wide as it was or as ubiquitous through my testing.

For example, looking at something like H.264 video encoding, I was fully expecting a ~5% performance advantage that was in line with the base clock improvements from the specifications we showed you on an earlier page. Instead, we saw well over double digit gains in some areas, proving that clock speed, thermal improvements and technologies like the updated Speed Shift were combining into a “better than the sum of its parts” result. Other noted surprises were the gaming benefits (over 30% faster in Overwatch) and an 18% edge on POV-Ray, a heavily multi-threaded rendering engine.

Whether this translates into significantly higher OC capability on desktop remains to be seen, but +300MHz in single core turbo and probably +400MHz in all-core turbo at the same power consumption should verify that 14nm+ offers meaningfully better performance than 14nm.
 
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Dave2150

Senior member
Jan 20, 2015
639
178
116
With 14nm+, Intel changed the fin height (made the fins taller, which improves drive current) and made some other materials changes ("improved transistor channel strain"):



Intel made no such changes during the lifetime of 22nm.

Anyway, Kaby Lake is already out for notebooks and reviewers showing big performance gains at a given power consumption thanks to the new transistors (since top frequency is higher and the more efficient transistors mean that the chips can stay at higher frequencies for longer).

https://www.pcper.com/reviews/Processors/Intel-Kaby-Lake-Performance-Surprising-Jump-over-Skylake



Whether this translates into significantly higher OC capability on desktop remains to be seen, but +300MHz in single core turbo and probably +400MHz in all-core turbo at the same power consumption should verify that 14nm+ offers meaningfully better performance than 14nm.

Intel marketing slides?.....Speedshift? Clockspeeds obtainable on every Skylake? I'm talking from a desktop point of view here.

Again, pretty much every unlocked skylake out there can clock to 4.6, 4.7Ghz easily, so Kaby being able to do 4.5Ghz turbo (on one core?) is pathetic.
 
Mar 10, 2006
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Intel marketing slides?.....Speedshift? Clockspeeds obtainable on every Skylake? I'm talking from a desktop point of view here.

Dude, you asked me for proof that Intel made significant changes to 14nm with 14nm+. I provided you with what Intel claims that it did and then for good measure provided you with a link to those enhancements playing out in third party testing.

From a desktop POV, we all know from leaks that the clock speeds will be higher out of the box at similar TDPs, meaning that performance/watt has gone up. That's what a transistor improvement does, it improves performance at a given power consumption.

Again, pretty much every unlocked skylake out there can clock to 4.6, 4.7Ghz easily, so Kaby being able to do 4.5Ghz turbo (on one core?) is pathetic.

OK, but that's not what we were talking about. The claim I made was that 14nm+ is significantly improved from 14nm, and I believe I have provided proof for that claim. Just because Skylake chips can be overclocked (more performance for more power) doesn't invalidate that claim.

Whether that improved process will mean much to enthusiasts who overclock their CPUs is up for debate, and it's something we won't know until third parties and users on these forums get their hands on the 7700K and overclock them for themselves.
 
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