Coffelake Thread : Rumors, and Specs

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LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
Your whole post boils down to you want (a) cheaper CPUs and (b) you want to reuse motherboards. That was quite a lot of ranting for two simple points.

Intel will either lower their CPU price, or will suffer at the enthusiast level. I personally suspect that Intel will lower their price, but I could be wrong. Ryzen is not out yet, so of course Intel won't yet respond. Probably Intel won't do much until Skylake-X comes out this summer.

As for reusing motherboards, you are in such a minority that Intel doesn't care. Even among enthusiasts most people get a new motherboard with new CPU generations. Yes, it is a nice-to-have. But, you are now putting a top-of-the-line processor into a motherboard with ports that are all out of date.

If you need or wanted more than 4 cores, Intel has had it since last spring. It isn't like Intel "failed to see the need". And the price point of ~$380 for the last few months isn't a deal breaker either for those who need the cores. In reality, the 10 nm process is delayed, so Intel didn't have another line ready in time for Ryzen. Plain and simple.
His wished for Intel chips would put AMD right out of business...
 
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UsandThem

Elite Member
May 4, 2000
16,068
7,380
146
His wished for Intel chips would put AMD right out of business...

+1

It's crazy how many 'gloom and doom' threads about Intel have popped up since Ryzen was announced. They have only gotten more bombastic the closer we have gotten to its release. Sure there have been leaks, but nobody really knows how well it performs until the NDA expires tomorrow.

I mean Intel has controlled 80%+ of the CPU market for so long now, and they have the money and R&D to compete with anyone. They need AMD to stay in business to avoid potential anti-trust issues down the road.

It's not like their leadership is going to say "Well guys, AMD's new CPU is a pretty good and competitive one, so let's just throw in the towel, and file for bankruptcy protection".
 
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thepaleobiker

Member
Feb 22, 2017
149
45
61
http://wccftech.com/amd-ryzen-7-1700x-review-leak-gaming-overclock-benchmarks/
+1

It's crazy how many 'gloom and doom' threads about Intel have popped up since Ryzen was announced. They have only gotten more bombastic the closer we have gotten to its release. Sure there have been leaks, but nobody really knows how well it performs until the NDA expires tomorrow.

There are a leaked slide set of slides over at WCCFTECH (new slides, leaked less than 2 hours ago)

These specific slides below talk about the IPC & ST performance.





Lots more slides in the main WCCFTECH article.

Regards,
Vishnu
 

gotd

Junior Member
Mar 1, 2017
2
2
16
Your whole post boils down to you want (a) cheaper CPUs and (b) you want to reuse motherboards. That was quite a lot of ranting for two simple points.

LOL. Gotta love when people tell you what you meant to say.

I've always wanted better and cheaper CPU's and longer lasting sockets/motherboards. But I decided to "rant" now so someone can reduce my post and tell me what I really want.

As for reusing motherboards, you are in such a minority that Intel doesn't care. Even among enthusiasts most people get a new motherboard with new CPU generations. Yes, it is a nice-to-have. But, you are now putting a top-of-the-line processor into a motherboard with ports that are all out of date. Remember, Intel's customers are Dell, HP, Lenovo, etc who want to sell complete systems. You are not Intel's customer focus.

http://store.steampowered.com/hwsurvey?platform=pc

Among gamers, roughly 18% have a GTX 970 in their computers. More importantly roughly 70-80% have less than a GTX970 graphics cards in their systems. If the graphics card is an indication of the type of system gamers play on, then at least 70% of gamers still use Ivy Bridge or older systems. And that's among gamers... the people you expect to have the lastest stuff. I'm the majority, not the minority as you seem to think. What's your evidence?

But you're right... I'm not Intel's customer focus. That's probably why Intel finds itself in the position they are now.

If you need or wanted more than 4 cores, Intel has had it since last spring. It isn't like Intel "failed to see the need".

Sure, Intel has had more than 4 cores since 2008/9 on their Xeon and enthusiast lineups. I'm talking about mainstream processors. What are the 6 & 8 core mainstream Intel processors right now?
 
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Teizo

Golden Member
Oct 28, 2010
1,271
31
91
Lots more slides in the main WCCFTECH article.

Regards,
Vishnu
So, AMD has had a once in a decade IPC improvement and caught up to 10 year old Intel architecture and all of a sudden Intel is doomed. When Intel releases Skylake X this year and Cannonlake next year....let's see what happens. Plus, everyone hating on Intel for not making IPC improvements this generation with Kabylake will hopefully give AMD the same treatment as Zen+ barely makes strides next time around as well. We all know that won't happen though. I'm not saying that Kabylake is the greatest chip for mainstream...but being able to run 4.8ghz core and 4.5ghz cache at 1.285v is not 'not' making progress over Skylake. Skylake chips can't sniff those speeds at that voltage.

AMD has been so horrid Intel has been able to command the price they felt. Now that thankfully AMD can be competitive with them, let's see what happens to retail prices on Intel's side with the new chips that come out. The way markets always work...prices are based on perceived value and demand. This is why the new 1080 Ti is selling for $699 and not the $799 most were expecting.

In B4 haters say $10,000,000...
 
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crisium

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2001
2,643
615
136
So, AMD has had a once in a decade IPC improvement and caught up to 10 year old Intel architecture and all of a sudden Intel is doomed.

The way to respond to hyperbole is to present the level-headed argument as the alternative. Not more hyperbole.

I assume you are exaggerating that Intel hasn't really changed since much fundamentally in a while.

Or are you going on record with your prediction with Ryzen IPC only matching Kentsfield (Q6600)? That's what came out almost exactly 10 years ago.
 

Teizo

Golden Member
Oct 28, 2010
1,271
31
91
The way to respond to hyperbole is to present the level-headed argument as the alternative. Not more hyperbole.

I assume you are exaggerating that Intel hasn't really changed since much fundamentally in a while.

Or are you going on record with your prediction with Ryzen IPC only matching Kentsfield (Q6600)? That's what came out almost exactly 10 years ago.
Maybe I have my information wrong then. I am not above making an honest mistake. How old is Nehalem? I heard it being discussed and they said it was basically 10 year old architecture and that is the architecture Intel is still using. Not that Intel has not made improvements on it...just the basic framework is 10 years old.

I'm not on 'record' for anything, btw. Not sure what the heck you are even going on about that with. Discussions don't always have to be competitions on who is right so they can hold it over people's heads....
 

UsandThem

Elite Member
May 4, 2000
16,068
7,380
146
UsandThem said:
Lots more slides in the main WCCFTECH article.

Regards,
Vishnu

I know it was an honest mistake when quoting and replying, but I just want to point out UsandThem did not say that anything that involves WCCFTECH. That was user thepaleobiker.
 
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Teizo

Golden Member
Oct 28, 2010
1,271
31
91
I know it was an honest mistake when quoting and replying, but I just want to point out UsandThem did not say that anything that involves WCCFTECH. That was user thepaleobiker.
Oh, dang. My bad lol. I was trying to clean up the post and not make it so long and obviously goofed up on that.
 
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DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
21,805
11,161
136
I doubt Optane vs. SSD will "feel" the same way for users as SSD vs. HDD, especially with SSDs still being a moving target. It may be excellent for enthusiasts and professionals though.

Right now, there are still some situations where SSDs can have significant load times. If Optane can get around that, and basically make everything instant-on . . .

Coffeelake alone probably won't make much of an impact.
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,449
10,119
126
Intel would have needed to decide to make the move to 6/8 core mainstream CPUs on their own, a long time ago, without reference to AMD's upcoming effort, in order to be in a good position when the RyZen benches leaked.
Cue the Intel apologists, who claim that AMD was irrelevant for competition in the x86/x64 market, and that "Intel only competes with itself". If Intel wasn't so hell-bent on milking the market, then they wouldn't be "behind" (in mind share) today, on the eve of the Ryzen launch.
 
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IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
Optane is one possible edge that may keep people coming back to the Intel platform, even if they aren't absolutely in love with the CPUs..

Or NVMe drives may short-circuit the whole Optane revolution. Who knows?

The only consumer Optane is on NVMe. On servers your point is valid, but they can't use Optane to differentiate versus Ryzen. In couple of months we'll see caching drives based on Optane, which isn't top-end in performance. Later this year we'll see NVMe versions, which isn't Intel exclusive. The DIMM version coming is exclusive but that's only for server.

Optane will only be a differentiating point for Intel if the following is true:
-You want to use Optane caching
-If Optane comes in a DIMM form factor
-OS, BIOS, application is optimized for the Optane DIMMs

First, isn't meant for absolute performance(it may be widely available). The second is only for servers, and the third is going to take 5-10 years.

Some news sites have seemed to connect Optane DIMMs on server applying to everything. And its true Intel could have made it much more clearer. But here's the point. Only DIMMs matter for Optane and its not for consumer anytime soon.
 

R0H1T

Platinum Member
Jan 12, 2013
2,582
162
106
Right now, there are still some situations where SSDs can have significant load times. If Optane can get around that, and basically make everything instant-on . . .

Coffeelake alone probably won't make much of an impact.
How many programs can make use of "instant on" where load times is just a few ms or less, I can't think of any & we already have NVMe ssd that can achieve such feats ~ https://www.techpowerup.com/231084/kingston-announces-the-dcp-1000-pci-express-nvme-ssd
Kingston today announced the DCP-1000 line of high-performance PCI-Express SSDs, targeted at enterprises, particularly at data-centers with high bandwidth demands, the drives come in the half-height add-on card form-factor, and take feature a PCI-Express 3.0 x8 host interface (64 Gbps), and takes advantage of the NVMe protcol. It puts this interface bandwidth to good use, belting out sequential transfer rates in excess of 6,800 MB/s. The drive comes in capacities of 800 GB, 1600 GB, and 3200 GB.

All three models offer sequential read speeds of up to 6,800 MB/s. The 800 GB variant writes at speeds of up to 5,000 MB/s, while the other two models write at up to 6,000 MB/s. The 4K random access performance of the 800 GB variant is 900,000/145,000 IOPS (reads/writes); with the 1600 GB variant belting out 1,100,000/200,000 IOPS, and the 3200 GB variant 1,000,000/180,000 IOPS. The drives come with full-length heatsinks cooling the MLC NAND flash chips and controller; and a bank of capacitors that provide power-outage data-loss mitigation.
 

coercitiv

Diamond Member
Jan 24, 2014
6,400
12,834
136
Right now, there are still some situations where SSDs can have significant load times. If Optane can get around that, and basically make everything instant-on . . .
We are talking diminishing returns here. Think about how many people max out RAM on their systems in order to dramatically improve loading times in many apps through caching, and RAM is very cheap by comparison.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
Cue the Intel apologists, who claim that AMD was irrelevant for competition in the x86/x64 market, and that "Intel only competes with itself". If Intel wasn't so hell-bent on milking the market, then they wouldn't be "behind" (in mind share) today, on the eve of the Ryzen launch.
Just talking about Intel knowing about RyZen and reacting to it, which I don't think they could have done in time.

I agree that Intel should have moved forward anyway, regardless of AMD, and should be in a better position now.

Not sure how I am apologizing, especially since I don't think Intel needs any apologies.

Should they have done things differently? Yes, I guess so.

Is hindsight 20/20?

It's way too easy to look back and claim you would have done better.
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
How many programs can make use of "instant on" where load times is just a few ms or less, I can't think of any & we already have NVMe ssd that can achieve such feats ~ https://www.techpowerup.com/231084/kingston-announces-the-dcp-1000-pci-express-nvme-ssd

The NVMe SSDs are fast, but not for true instant-on computing. The SSD announcements almost always focus on MB/s, or IO/s. That's fine and dandy but its really only useful for a handful amount of people. To get the speeds they claim you'd have to be on a workload that matches the characteristics they got the speeds from.

Boot times exist because of storage limitation, be it SSD or so-called spinning rust drives. The latency is too high for storage compared to DRAM(like DDR4 RAM).

Optane has the potential to make instant-on happen but only when its on a DRAM interface, and only when the whole computing architecture is overhauled for it. I mean, BIOS changes, OS changes, applications you run on. Hard drives are so slow programs often insert delays to accomodate for them. For super fast technologies like Optane, the artificial delays are the limitations of true instant-on computing.

I agree that Intel should have moved forward anyway, regardless of AMD, and should be in a better position now.

I think Intel got "burned" with Netburst because they were taking too many risks. The chief architect of Nehalem once said they could have squeezed out more performance but we didn't want to risk further delays so we kept it as is. Proper risk taking is probably very important because CPU designs are often plagued with serious delays and delays come with slower than expected performance.

That's the likely reason for having Tick/Tock. It might have been that they played too safe, though. Plus it seems just inevitable despite having prior experience, big companies start putting squeezing every dollar out of buyers over product advancement. Steve Jobs were on an interview where he said inventors make a company successful but that success turns over the helm to financial and marketing folks and it becomes all about making dollars from there.

Despite what people think of Steve Jobs that statement is probably accurage.
 
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R0H1T

Platinum Member
Jan 12, 2013
2,582
162
106
The NVMe SSDs are fast, but not for true instant-on computing. The SSD announcements almost always focus on MB/s, or IO/s. That's fine and dandy but its really only useful for a handful amount of people. To get the speeds they claim you'd have to be on a workload that matches the characteristics they got the speeds from.

Boot times exist because of storage limitation, be it SSD or so-called spinning rust drives. The latency is too high for storage compared to DRAM(like DDR4 RAM).

Optane has the potential to make instant-on happen but only when its on a DRAM interface, and only when the whole computing architecture is overhauled for it. I mean, BIOS changes, OS changes, applications you run on. Hard drives are so slow programs often insert delays to accomodate for them. For super fast technologies like Optane, the artificial delays are the limitations of true instant-on computing.
I get that & I recall some debate about this last year & on AT front page, anyway the point is the OS & programs are simply not there to handle drives that do I/O in ns, even if someone tried it'd be limited to certain enterprises because I'd assume the avg (program coded for) NVMe ssd could never match that. At that point RAM cache, as others have pointed & I have personal experience with, could simply be cheaper &/or less complex to implement.

IMO Optane will have to undercut NVMe SSD on price, for it to truly gain traction, whether it be in the consumer sector or enterprise.
 
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LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
Yep, it's possible that Intel could have made a move towards 8 core mainstream and lost big time.

There's no guarantee that it would have been a success.

There's no guarantee that enough people will pay $300 for a CPU to make AMD's 8C effort successful.
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
IMO Optane will have to undercut NVMe SSD on price, for it to truly gain traction, whether it be in the consumer sector or enterprise.

It doesn't have to. Initial versions are either cache(so its cheap anyways because of the small capacity) or a super fast SSD. There are people who needs all the IOPS and throughput with the extra low latency NVMe Optane offers. And they'll pay for it. And if Intel is being realistic it'll be priced competitively(ie. priced higher, but not extremely higher).

Enterprise, its different, because even the SSD version will bring more widespread benefits. And they've been working there for a longer time there.

That's why it'll take few years. But it is the future of computing. The benefits of a fully implemented system is enormous. Things like battery-backed RAM and RAMdisk programs are just a hassle and only a temporary solution. But nothing ever changes instantly. It'll take time. The kind of changes a fully implemented one will bring blows any CPU and GPU advancements out of the water. Its something everyone will get to see, not just enthusiasts.
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,449
10,119
126
I agree that Intel should have moved forward anyway, regardless of AMD, and should be in a better position now.

Not sure how I am apologizing, especially since I don't think Intel needs any apologies.
I didn't mean you when I said "Intel apologists". I was talking about a certain other member here, that often posts pro-Intel stuff, that has repeatedly claimed that AMD was irrelavent for competition, and that Intel only competes with itself.
 
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DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
21,805
11,161
136

Absolute0

Senior member
Nov 9, 2005
714
21
81
General rant on what Intel is doing, and why they haven't made "mainstream" 8C earlier...

There just hasn't been huge demand there; AT is the 0.1% when it comes to hardware, and 95% of the consumers out there couldn't max out a quad core if you told them to. For what little demand there is for consumer 8C, you can cough up $$$ for 6900, because it's called Intel Corporation not Intel CPU Charity and that's the state of the market.

Intel hasn't been trying to deliver POWER to the desktop. Desktop is no longer a growth segment for them. They have told shareholders they are shifting their focus away. Mobile has overtaken desktop and so the CPU R&D isn't aimed at power, but at making low TDP chips with iGPUs, so laptops can stream 4K, have better battery life, etc.

Intel is shifting their spending away from desktop. They will cede some small portion to AMD when the professional workstation users opt for 8C ryzen.

They are getting into FPGAs, AI, autonomous driving, 3DXP R&D, 5G, Internet of Things, etc. They are not devoting all of their budget to desktop chips.
 
Aug 11, 2008
10,451
642
126
General rant on what Intel is doing, and why they haven't made "mainstream" 8C earlier...

There just hasn't been huge demand there; AT is the 0.1% when it comes to hardware, and 95% of the consumers out there couldn't max out a quad core if you told them to. For what little demand there is for consumer 8C, you can cough up $$$ for 6900, because it's called Intel Corporation not Intel CPU Charity and that's the state of the market.

Intel hasn't been trying to deliver POWER to the desktop. Desktop is no longer a growth segment for them. They have told shareholders they are shifting their focus away. Mobile has overtaken desktop and so the CPU R&D isn't aimed at power, but at making low TDP chips with iGPUs, so laptops can stream 4K, have better battery life, etc.

Intel is shifting their spending away from desktop. They will cede some small portion to AMD when the professional workstation users opt for 8C ryzen.

They are getting into FPGAs, AI, autonomous driving, 3DXP R&D, 5G, Internet of Things, etc. They are not devoting all of their budget to desktop chips.

Problem is, how many if any of those new initiatives will ever be profitable? I am not an intel hater by any means, but they have an atrocious track record when breaking into new markets. Just look at the money they poured down the rathole of mobile, where they should have had considerable expertise, but failed miserably and eventually gave up. I have said long ago in other posts that I thought intel's extreme segmentation of the market and obsession with margins would eventually catch up to them and bite them in the butt, especially in a declining market. I think with Zen, it finally has. If intel had brought a mainstream hex core to the market a year or two ago, such a chip on the Skylake architecture and with the high clocking 14nm+ process could have done a lot to defuse the frenzy for Zen. Now Coffee lake will be just "too little, too late". And they will most likely have to cut prices anyway, especially on the HEDT platform. But I guess from Intel's POV, they maximized profits for as long as possible.
 

Absolute0

Senior member
Nov 9, 2005
714
21
81
Problem is, how many if any of those new initiatives will ever be profitable? I am not an intel hater by any means, but they have an atrocious track record when breaking into new markets. Just look at the money they poured down the rathole of mobile, where they should have had considerable expertise, but failed miserably and eventually gave up. I have said long ago in other posts that I thought intel's extreme segmentation of the market and obsession with margins would eventually catch up to them and bite them in the butt, especially in a declining market. I think with Zen, it finally has. If intel had brought a mainstream hex core to the market a year or two ago, such a chip on the Skylake architecture and with the high clocking 14nm+ process could have done a lot to defuse the frenzy for Zen. Now Coffee lake will be just "too little, too late". And they will most likely have to cut prices anyway, especially on the HEDT platform. But I guess from Intel's POV, they maximized profits for as long as possible.

3DXP in datacenter, autonomous driving, AI, FPGAs, IoT, are each enormous market opportunities that Intel needs only to grab a smidgen of to be profitable... The Altera acquisition is factoring into their revenue nicely tho will take time to cover the 16B acquisition cost lol. But Intel has the treasure trove to do this... by strategically buying out companies that are well-suited in their respective spaces, I think they have positioned themselves to be profitable. Time will tell. Obviously there is risk to diversifying beyond the core competency, but also potential reward.

With Zen, you must think about how much $ is Intel losing. Until the 3 series and 5 series and APUs all launch, not much is affected; Ryzen 7 only targets HEDT *non-gamers* which is, IDK what small % of CPU sales. Uptake into a market is slow and takes time. AMD still has the reputation of being the poor man's CPU which their hype train is working well to reverse.

Using past history, look at AMD marketshare in 2004-2006 when the Athlon 64 X2 was SLAMMING the oudated P4's, how much of the market did AMD grab from Intel? Look up the chart, it's about 7%.

If Ryzen were really "biting Intel in the butt" then their share price would be reeling from the Ryzen launch. Instead it's down about 50 cents from a month ago.

Intel is more concerned about datacenter, where the big $$$ is, than consumer end desktops. Naples is the real threat and the real potential $ maker for AMD. Ryzen, at lower clocks, and with the right workloads, is MUCH more efficient/watt than Intel architecture. That's AMD's real chance to make $. The current hype train targeting niche HEDT and ineffectually targeting gamers haha... Is a big PR stint to show HEY we are no longer the poor man's CPU! Take us seriously. And Ryzen is > Intel in the right workloads so I give respect where it is due. I also own AMD stock. Cuz, hedge your bets .
 
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